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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: T Reeves

Hartlepool 1–3 Carlisle

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.20 fair 2.83
Draw 3.30 fair 3.51
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 2.77
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 1.67
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.50

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hartlepool Carlisle
13 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 9
10 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (136 league matches this season so far).
Result Carlisle to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.13 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
HartlepoolDrawCarlisle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.3% 0–1 11.7% 1–0 11.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Hartlepool before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.83scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 10:20
Carlisle before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.18scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:10
Hartlepool all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 1.18
1.67 Goals conceded 0.91
2.50 Total goals 2.09
9.83 Shots 11.55
2.50 Shots on target 4.36
13.08 Shots faced 10.64
3.92 Corners 4.64
5.50 Corners against 4.00
10.75 Fouls 10.18
1.67 Yellow cards 1.36
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

8% Wins 36%
50% Draws 55%
42% Losses 9%
75% Over 0.5 goals 82%
75% Over 1.5 goals 64%
50% Over 2.5 goals 36%
33% Over 3.5 goals 9%
8% Over 4.5 goals 9%
8% Over 5.5 goals 9%
58% Both teams scored 64%
25% Clean sheets 36%
42% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 27%
58% Draws 55%
17% Losses 18%
58% Over 0.5 goals 73%
33% Over 1.5 goals 45%
8% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hartlepool all matches
Carlisle all matches
Hartlepool before this match, at home
1.17points / match
0.67scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:5
Carlisle before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:5
Hartlepool at home away Carlisle

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.00
0.83 Goals conceded 1.00
1.50 Total goals 2.00
12.17 Shots 8.60
3.17 Shots on target 3.80
10.00 Shots faced 13.60
5.17 Corners 3.20
4.83 Corners against 4.80
10.50 Fouls 10.60
1.17 Yellow cards 1.80
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

17% Wins 20%
67% Draws 60%
17% Losses 20%
50% Over 0.5 goals 80%
50% Over 1.5 goals 80%
33% Over 2.5 goals 40%
17% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 80%
50% Clean sheets 20%
50% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 20%
67% Draws 40%
0% Losses 40%
50% Over 0.5 goals 80%
17% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hartlepool at home
Carlisle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hartlepool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.22 Hartlepool – Doncaster 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.402.90 2.00 1.85
30.09.22 Mansfield – Hartlepool 2–2 (0–0) 1.404.339.00 1.83 2.02
24.09.22 Hartlepool – Gillingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.65
17.09.22 Sutton – Hartlepool 2–0 (0–0) 1.613.805.75 2.05 1.75
13.09.22 Hartlepool – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.803.252.55 2.10 1.70
03.09.22 Colchester – Hartlepool 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Leyton Orient – Hartlepool 4–2 (2–1) 1.653.755.50 2.10 1.70
20.08.22 Hartlepool – Bradford 1–3 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 2.00 1.85
16.08.22 Hartlepool – Tranmere 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.87 2.35 1.57
13.08.22 Northampton – Hartlepool 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 2.20 1.65

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Carlisle – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.20 2.05 1.75
27.09.22 Grimsby – Carlisle 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.204.00 2.15 1.66
24.09.22 Newport County – Carlisle 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80
17.09.22 Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.70
13.09.22 Mansfield – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.005.75 1.90 1.95
03.09.22 Carlisle – Rochdale 3–3 (1–1) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.70
27.08.22 Carlisle – Gillingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.203.25 2.25 1.61
20.08.22 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–1 (2–1) 1.833.754.20 2.10 1.70
13.08.22 Carlisle – Swindon 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.302.80 2.05 1.80
06.08.22 Colchester – Carlisle 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.10 1.70

Hartlepool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.22 Hartlepool – Doncaster 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.402.90 2.00 1.85
24.09.22 Hartlepool – Gillingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.65
13.09.22 Hartlepool – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.803.252.55 2.10 1.70
20.08.22 Hartlepool – Bradford 1–3 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 2.00 1.85
16.08.22 Hartlepool – Tranmere 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.87 2.35 1.57
06.08.22 Hartlepool – AFC Wimbledon 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.75 2.15 1.66
07.05.22 Hartlepool – Colchester 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.80 2.00
23.04.22 Hartlepool – Swindon 0–3 (0–1) 3.703.302.10 2.10 1.70
15.04.22 Hartlepool – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.202.15 2.40 1.53
02.04.22 Hartlepool – Salford 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.65

Carlisle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.22 Grimsby – Carlisle 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.204.00 2.15 1.66
24.09.22 Newport County – Carlisle 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.80
13.09.22 Mansfield – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.005.75 1.90 1.95
20.08.22 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–1 (2–1) 1.833.754.20 2.10 1.70
06.08.22 Colchester – Carlisle 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.10 1.70
07.05.22 Bradford – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.72 2.07
23.04.22 Harrogate – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 2.403.502.87 2.10 1.77
15.04.22 Walsall – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.304.50 2.35 1.57
02.04.22 Tranmere – Carlisle 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.65
29.03.22 Rochdale – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hartlepool winsDrawsCarlisle wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.22E3 Carlisle – Hartlepool 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.65
28.08.21E3 Hartlepool – Carlisle 2–1 (1–1) 2.553.252.87 2.25 1.61

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 11 9 1 1 19 6 +13 28
2 Stevenage 12 9 1 2 17 10 +7 28
3 Northampton 12 8 2 2 23 13 +10 26
4 Bradford 11 6 3 2 18 10 +8 21
5 Salford 11 6 3 2 16 9 +7 21
6 Barrow 11 7 0 4 15 12 +3 21
7 Mansfield 11 6 2 3 18 12 +6 20
8 Swindon 12 5 5 2 14 11 +3 20
9 Doncaster 12 6 2 4 17 15 +2 20
10 Carlisle 11 4 6 1 13 10 +3 18
11 Tranmere 11 5 1 5 11 9 +2 16
12 Crewe 11 4 4 3 12 11 +1 16
13 Grimsby 11 4 4 3 11 10 +1 16
14 Sutton 12 4 2 6 12 15 -3 14
15 Walsall 12 3 4 5 12 11 +1 13
16 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
17 Newport County 12 3 2 7 12 16 -4 11
18 Gillingham 11 2 4 5 3 11 -8 10
19 Stockport 11 2 3 6 12 16 -4 9
20 Hartlepool 12 1 6 5 10 20 -10 9
21 Harrogate 11 2 2 7 7 14 -7 8
22 Colchester 11 1 3 7 8 16 -8 6
23 Crawley Town 11 1 3 7 10 19 -9 6
24 Rochdale 11 1 2 8 7 18 -11 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 6 6 0 0 10 2 +8 18
2 Northampton 6 5 0 1 13 6 +7 15
3 Leyton Orient 6 5 0 1 11 4 +7 15
4 Sutton 6 4 1 1 9 5 +4 13
5 Bradford 6 3 3 0 9 3 +6 12
6 Doncaster 6 4 0 2 11 8 +3 12
7 Barrow 5 4 0 1 8 5 +3 12
8 Carlisle 6 3 3 0 8 5 +3 12
9 Mansfield 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
10 Salford 6 3 2 1 9 4 +5 11
11 Swindon 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11
12 Crewe 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
13 Tranmere 5 3 0 2 8 4 +4 9
14 Stockport 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9
15 Walsall 6 2 2 2 8 5 +3 8
16 Gillingham 6 2 2 2 2 4 -2 8
17 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
18 Hartlepool 6 1 4 1 4 5 -1 7
19 Colchester 6 1 2 3 4 7 -3 5
20 Harrogate 5 1 1 3 4 7 -3 4
21 Newport County 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
22 Grimsby 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
23 Crawley Town 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4 3
24 Rochdale 5 0 1 4 3 7 -4 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 5 4 1 0 8 2 +6 13
2 Grimsby 6 4 1 1 7 4 +3 13
3 Northampton 6 3 2 1 10 7 +3 11
4 Salford 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
5 Stevenage 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
6 Bradford 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
7 Mansfield 6 3 0 3 8 7 +1 9
8 Barrow 6 3 0 3 7 7 0 9
9 Swindon 6 2 3 1 5 6 -1 9
10 Doncaster 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
11 Newport County 6 2 1 3 7 6 +1 7
12 Tranmere 6 2 1 3 3 5 -2 7
13 Carlisle 5 1 3 1 5 5 0 6
14 Crewe 5 1 3 1 3 5 -2 6
15 Walsall 6 1 2 3 4 6 -2 5
16 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
17 Harrogate 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4
18 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 4 11 -7 4
19 Crawley Town 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
20 Gillingham 5 0 2 3 1 7 -6 2
21 Hartlepool 6 0 2 4 6 15 -9 2
22 Colchester 5 0 1 4 4 9 -5 1
23 Sutton 6 0 1 5 3 10 -7 1
24 Stockport 5 0 0 5 6 11 -5 0

Hartlepool   Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Northampton 12 4 8 1.9 1.1 8 2 2 23 13 26
2 9 Doncaster 12 4 8 1.4 1.2 6 2 4 17 15 20
3 2 Stevenage 12 5 7 1.4 0.8 9 1 2 17 10 28
4 4 Bradford 11 4 7 1.6 0.9 6 3 2 18 10 21
5 7 Mansfield 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 6 2 3 18 12 20
6 12 Crewe 11 5 6 1.1 1.0 4 4 3 12 11 16
7 14 Sutton 12 6 6 1.0 1.2 4 2 6 12 15 14
8 19 Stockport 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 2 3 6 12 16 9
9 20 Hartlepool 12 6 6 0.8 1.7 1 6 5 10 20 9
10 5 Salford 11 6 5 1.5 0.8 6 3 2 16 9 21
11 8 Swindon 12 7 5 1.2 0.9 5 5 2 14 11 20
12 16 AFC Wimbledon 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
13 21 Harrogate 11 6 5 0.6 1.3 2 2 7 7 14 8
14 23 Crawley Town 11 6 5 0.9 1.7 1 3 7 10 19 6
15 24 Rochdale 11 6 5 0.6 1.6 1 2 8 7 18 5
16 6 Barrow 11 7 4 1.4 1.1 7 0 4 15 12 21
17 10 Carlisle 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 4 6 1 13 10 18
18 11 Tranmere 11 7 4 1.0 0.8 5 1 5 11 9 16
19 15 Walsall 12 8 4 1.0 0.9 3 4 5 12 11 13
20 17 Newport County 12 8 4 1.0 1.3 3 2 7 12 16 11
21 1 Leyton Orient 11 8 3 1.7 0.5 9 1 1 19 6 28
22 13 Grimsby 11 8 3 1.0 0.9 4 4 3 11 10 16
23 22 Colchester 11 8 3 0.7 1.5 1 3 7 8 16 6
24 18 Gillingham 11 10 1 0.3 1.0 2 4 5 3 11 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Northampton 6 1 5 2.2 1.0 5 0 1 13 6 15
2 9 Doncaster 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 4 0 2 11 8 12
3 12 Crewe 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
4 2 Stevenage 6 3 3 1.7 0.3 6 0 0 10 2 18
5 4 Bradford 6 3 3 1.5 0.5 3 3 0 9 3 12
6 7 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
7 8 Swindon 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11
8 11 Tranmere 5 2 3 1.6 0.8 3 0 2 8 4 9
9 14 Sutton 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 4 1 1 9 5 13
10 21 Harrogate 5 2 3 0.8 1.4 1 1 3 4 7 4
11 23 Crawley Town 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 4 6 10 3
12 1 Leyton Orient 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 5 0 1 11 4 15
13 5 Salford 6 4 2 1.5 0.7 3 2 1 9 4 11
14 6 Barrow 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 4 0 1 8 5 12
15 10 Carlisle 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 3 3 0 8 5 12
16 13 Grimsby 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
17 15 Walsall 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 2 2 2 8 5 8
18 16 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
19 17 Newport County 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
20 20 Hartlepool 6 4 2 0.7 0.8 1 4 1 4 5 7
21 24 Rochdale 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 0 1 4 3 7 1
22 19 Stockport 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9
23 22 Colchester 6 5 1 0.7 1.2 1 2 3 4 7 5
24 18 Gillingham 6 6 0 0.3 0.7 2 2 2 2 4 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Stockport 5 0 5 1.2 2.2 0 0 5 6 11 0
2 2 Stevenage 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
3 4 Bradford 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
4 20 Hartlepool 6 2 4 1.0 2.5 0 2 4 6 15 2
5 3 Northampton 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 3 2 1 10 7 11
6 5 Salford 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
7 7 Mansfield 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 0 3 8 7 9
8 9 Doncaster 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
9 14 Sutton 6 3 3 0.5 1.7 0 1 5 3 10 1
10 16 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
11 24 Rochdale 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 1 1 4 4 11 4
12 6 Barrow 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 3 0 3 7 7 9
13 8 Swindon 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 3 1 5 6 9
14 10 Carlisle 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 1 3 1 5 5 6
15 12 Crewe 5 3 2 0.6 1.0 1 3 1 3 5 6
16 15 Walsall 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 1 2 3 4 6 5
17 17 Newport County 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 3 7 6 7
18 21 Harrogate 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4
19 22 Colchester 5 3 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 4 4 9 1
20 23 Crawley Town 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
21 1 Leyton Orient 5 4 1 1.6 0.4 4 1 0 8 2 13
22 11 Tranmere 6 5 1 0.5 0.8 2 1 3 3 5 7
23 13 Grimsby 6 5 1 1.2 0.7 4 1 1 7 4 13
24 18 Gillingham 5 4 1 0.2 1.4 0 2 3 1 7 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51