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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: M Barlow

Newport County 6–3 Milton Keynes Dons

Full time · half time 4–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 5.25 fair 2.92
Draw 3.60 fair 3.99
Away 1.67 fair 2.46
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newport County Milton Keynes Dons
16 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 9
9 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (235 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
Newport CountyDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 8.8% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Newport County before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
1.11scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:28
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 30:20
Newport County all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.67
1.47 Goals conceded 1.11
2.58 Total goals 2.78
9.00 Shots 11.78
2.84 Shots on target 5.22
15.68 Shots faced 10.89
2.68 Corners 4.11
6.16 Corners against 3.78
11.58 Fouls 10.28
2.16 Yellow cards 1.50
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

32% Wins 50%
26% Draws 17%
42% Losses 33%
79% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 78%
58% Over 2.5 goals 56%
42% Over 3.5 goals 28%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 56%
32% Clean sheets 17%
42% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 44%
32% Draws 28%
47% Losses 28%
79% Over 0.5 goals 83%
37% Over 1.5 goals 44%
21% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County all matches
Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Newport County before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:11
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.71scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:10
Newport County at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.71
1.38 Goals conceded 1.43
2.88 Total goals 3.14
10.75 Shots 12.86
3.88 Shots on target 5.43
14.13 Shots faced 13.14
3.50 Corners 3.57
5.00 Corners against 4.00
12.25 Fouls 11.43
2.13 Yellow cards 1.43
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

50% Wins 43%
25% Draws 14%
25% Losses 43%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 86%
75% Over 2.5 goals 57%
50% Over 3.5 goals 43%
13% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
63% Both teams scored 57%
25% Clean sheets 0%
38% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 29%
38% Draws 29%
38% Losses 43%
75% Over 0.5 goals 86%
38% Over 1.5 goals 43%
13% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County at home
Milton Keynes Dons away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newport County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Colchester – Newport County 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.205.75 1.83 2.03
03.12.24 AFC Wimbledon – Newport County 2–2 (2–1) 1.404.507.50 1.70 2.10
23.11.24 Notts County – Newport County 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.53 2.40
16.11.24 Newport County – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.30 1.85 2.00
09.11.24 Tranmere – Newport County 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.505.00 1.93 1.93
26.10.24 Newport County – Fleetwood Town 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.601.91 1.67 2.15
22.10.24 Gillingham – Newport County 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
18.10.24 Newport County – Chesterfield 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.801.73 1.62 2.25
12.10.24 Harrogate – Newport County 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.40 1.88 1.98
07.10.24 Bradford – Newport County 3–1 (1–0) 1.484.336.00 1.73 2.08

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Gillingham 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.604.75 1.98 1.88
03.12.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Chesterfield 3–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.00 1.73 2.08
16.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham 3–2 (1–2) 1.733.754.33 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.252.20 1.85 1.95
22.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.62 2.25
19.10.24 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–2) 3.703.601.91 1.75 2.05
12.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
05.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 1–1 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
01.10.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 (0–3) 3.603.701.91 1.93 1.93

Newport County at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.11.24 Newport County – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.30 1.85 2.00
26.10.24 Newport County – Fleetwood Town 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.601.91 1.67 2.15
18.10.24 Newport County – Chesterfield 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.801.73 1.62 2.25
01.10.24 Newport County – Salford 3–1 (2–0) 3.203.502.20 1.90 1.95
28.09.24 Newport County – Crewe 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.00 2.00 1.85
07.09.24 Newport County – Port Vale 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.602.15 1.83 2.03
24.08.24 Newport County – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.402.90 1.73 2.08
17.08.24 Newport County – Doncaster 3–1 (0–1) 3.903.901.80 1.70 2.10
20.04.24 Newport County – Salford 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.70 2.10
13.04.24 Newport County – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.30 1.70 2.10

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.252.20 1.85 1.95
19.10.24 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–2) 3.703.601.91 1.75 2.05
01.10.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 (0–3) 3.603.701.91 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Bromley – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.502.15 1.70 2.10
14.09.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.90 1.90 1.95
02.09.24 Salford – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.20 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Colchester – Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.20 1.70 2.10
20.04.24 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 3–5 (2–2) 3.253.602.10 1.67 2.15
06.04.24 Forest Green – Milton Keynes Dons 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.80 1.83 2.03
01.04.24 Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons 3–3 (1–1) 2.703.602.50 1.50 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newport County winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
11.11.23E3 Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 1.73 2.08

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Walsall 19 12 4 3 35 19 +16 40 DWDWWW
2 Doncaster 21 10 6 5 31 24 +7 36 DDWDLW
3 Port Vale 20 10 6 4 26 19 +7 36 LWDDLD
4 Crewe 20 9 8 3 24 16 +8 35 WDDDWD
5 AFC Wimbledon 19 10 3 6 31 16 +15 33 DLWDWW
6 Chesterfield 20 8 7 5 35 23 +12 31 LLWLWW
7 Grimsby 20 10 1 9 27 30 -3 31 WDLWWL
8 Milton Keynes Dons 18 9 3 6 30 20 +10 30 WWWWWL
9 Gillingham 20 9 3 8 22 18 +4 30 WLLWWD
10 Bradford 19 7 7 5 24 19 +5 28 LLDDDW
11 Notts County 19 7 7 5 25 21 +4 28 WDLDLL
12 Salford 19 7 6 6 20 19 +1 27 DLDWLW
13 Cheltenham 21 7 6 8 29 30 -1 27 LWDDWD
14 Barrow 20 7 5 8 20 18 +2 26 DLLDLW
15 Bromley 19 5 9 5 23 23 0 24 DDDWWD
16 Colchester 20 4 11 5 23 22 +1 23 DWDWDD
17 Fleetwood Town 19 5 8 6 24 25 -1 23 WDLLDL
18 Newport County 19 6 5 8 21 28 -7 23 DLDDDD
19 Harrogate 20 6 3 11 17 30 -13 21 LWWLLL
20 Tranmere 20 5 6 9 15 29 -14 21 LLDLWL
21 Accrington 19 4 7 8 26 34 -8 19 WDDLLD
22 Swindon 20 3 7 10 23 34 -11 16 LDLLWL
23 Morecambe 20 3 5 12 19 36 -17 14 WLWDLL
24 Carlisle 19 3 5 11 15 32 -17 14 LWDDDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Walsall 10 7 2 1 21 14 +7 23 LWDDWW
2 AFC Wimbledon 10 6 2 2 20 8 +12 20 WLDLDW
3 Milton Keynes Dons 11 6 2 3 18 10 +8 20 LWWWWL
4 Gillingham 11 6 1 4 16 10 +6 19 LLWLWD
5 Crewe 10 5 4 1 13 8 +5 19 WDWWDD
6 Doncaster 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19 DLDDDW
7 Barrow 10 5 3 2 15 8 +7 18 WLDDLW
8 Bradford 9 5 3 1 13 7 +6 18 DWWLDW
9 Salford 10 6 0 4 12 9 +3 18 WLWLWW
10 Cheltenham 11 5 3 3 14 12 +2 18 LDDWDW
11 Port Vale 9 4 3 2 13 10 +3 15 WDWWDL
12 Chesterfield 10 3 6 1 14 12 +2 15 DDDLWW
13 Notts County 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14 WLLWWD
14 Newport County 8 4 2 2 12 11 +1 14 LWWLDD
15 Colchester 10 3 4 3 13 7 +6 13 DLLDWD
16 Tranmere 10 3 4 3 8 10 -2 13 LLWLDW
17 Fleetwood Town 10 2 6 2 9 10 -1 12 LDWDLD
18 Grimsby 10 4 0 6 14 20 -6 12 LLLLWL
19 Harrogate 10 4 0 6 9 16 -7 12 LWLLWL
20 Accrington 9 2 5 2 12 12 0 11 DWWDDL
21 Bromley 10 2 5 3 13 14 -1 11 DLDDWD
22 Swindon 9 2 2 5 12 15 -3 8 LDLDLW
23 Carlisle 10 1 3 6 8 15 -7 6 LDLDDL
24 Morecambe 9 0 3 6 8 19 -11 3 DDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Port Vale 11 6 3 2 13 9 +4 21 WWLWDD
2 Grimsby 10 6 1 3 13 10 +3 19 WWWWDW
3 Walsall 9 5 2 2 14 5 +9 17 WDWDWW
4 Doncaster 10 5 2 3 16 13 +3 17 WWWDWL
5 Chesterfield 10 5 1 4 21 11 +10 16 DWWLLW
6 Crewe 10 4 4 2 11 8 +3 16 DWDDDW
7 Notts County 11 3 5 3 15 16 -1 14 DDDLLL
8 AFC Wimbledon 9 4 1 4 11 8 +3 13 LLLWWW
9 Bromley 9 3 4 2 10 9 +1 13 LDWDDW
10 Fleetwood Town 9 3 2 4 15 15 0 11 WWLDLL
11 Gillingham 9 3 2 4 6 8 -2 11 WLLDLW
12 Morecambe 11 3 2 6 11 17 -6 11 WLWWDL
13 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10 LLDWWW
14 Bradford 10 2 4 4 11 12 -1 10 DWDLDD
15 Colchester 10 1 7 2 10 15 -5 10 DDDWDD
16 Salford 9 1 6 2 8 10 -2 9 LDWDDL
17 Cheltenham 10 2 3 5 15 18 -3 9 LWWLDD
18 Harrogate 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9 DDLWLL
19 Newport County 11 2 3 6 9 17 -8 9 LWLDDD
20 Barrow 10 2 2 6 5 10 -5 8 LLDLDL
21 Accrington 10 2 2 6 14 22 -8 8 WLWDLD
22 Swindon 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8 WLLDLL
23 Carlisle 9 2 2 5 7 17 -10 8 WDLLWD
24 Tranmere 10 2 2 6 7 19 -12 8 DWLLLL

Newport County   Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 21 Accrington 19 6 13 1.4 1.8 4 7 8 26 34 19 OOOOOU
2 6 Chesterfield 20 8 12 1.8 1.1 8 7 5 35 23 31 OOUOOU
3 7 Grimsby 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 10 1 9 27 30 31 UUUOOU
4 22 Swindon 20 8 12 1.1 1.7 3 7 10 23 34 16 OOOOOU
5 13 Cheltenham 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 7 6 8 29 30 27 OUUOUO
6 18 Newport County 19 8 11 1.1 1.5 6 5 8 21 28 23 UOUUOU
7 1 Walsall 19 9 10 1.8 1.0 12 4 3 35 19 40 UUOOUU
8 2 Doncaster 21 11 10 1.5 1.1 10 6 5 31 24 36 UUOOUO
9 8 Milton Keynes Dons 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 9 3 6 30 20 30 OOOOOU
10 20 Tranmere 20 10 10 0.8 1.4 5 6 9 15 29 21 UUOOOO
11 23 Morecambe 20 10 10 0.9 1.8 3 5 12 19 36 14 OUOOOU
12 5 AFC Wimbledon 19 10 9 1.6 0.8 10 3 6 31 16 33 OUUOOU
13 10 Bradford 19 10 9 1.3 1.0 7 7 5 24 19 28 OUUUUU
14 19 Harrogate 20 11 9 0.8 1.5 6 3 11 17 30 21 OOOUOO
15 15 Bromley 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 5 9 5 23 23 24 UUOOOU
16 17 Fleetwood Town 19 11 8 1.3 1.3 5 8 6 24 25 23 UUOOUU
17 24 Carlisle 19 11 8 0.8 1.7 3 5 11 15 32 14 UUUUUU
18 3 Port Vale 20 13 7 1.3 0.9 10 6 4 26 19 36 UUUUUU
19 9 Gillingham 20 13 7 1.1 0.9 9 3 8 22 18 30 UOOUUO
20 11 Notts County 19 12 7 1.3 1.1 7 7 5 25 21 28 UUUUOO
21 12 Salford 19 12 7 1.1 1.0 7 6 6 20 19 27 OUUUUO
22 16 Colchester 20 13 7 1.1 1.1 4 11 5 23 22 23 UUUOUU
23 4 Crewe 20 15 5 1.2 0.8 9 8 3 24 16 35 UUUUUU
24 14 Barrow 20 16 4 1.0 0.9 7 5 8 20 18 26 UOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Walsall 10 3 7 2.1 1.4 7 2 1 21 14 23 OOUOOU
2 7 Grimsby 10 3 7 1.4 2.0 4 0 6 14 20 12 OOOUOU
3 5 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 6 2.0 0.8 6 2 2 20 8 20 OUOUOU
4 8 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 3 18 10 20 UOOOOU
5 18 Newport County 8 2 6 1.5 1.4 4 2 2 12 11 14 OOOOUU
6 22 Swindon 9 3 6 1.3 1.7 2 2 5 12 15 8 UUOUOO
7 6 Chesterfield 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 3 6 1 14 12 15 OOUOUO
8 9 Gillingham 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 6 1 4 16 10 19 OUUOUO
9 10 Bradford 9 4 5 1.4 0.8 5 3 1 13 7 18 UOOOUU
10 15 Bromley 10 5 5 1.3 1.4 2 5 3 13 14 11 OOUUOU
11 19 Harrogate 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 4 0 6 9 16 12 OUUOOO
12 21 Accrington 9 4 5 1.3 1.3 2 5 2 12 12 11 OOUUOO
13 2 Doncaster 11 7 4 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19 UUUUOO
14 3 Port Vale 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 4 3 2 13 10 15 OUOOUU
15 12 Salford 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 6 0 4 12 9 18 UOOUUO
16 16 Colchester 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 3 4 3 13 7 13 UOOUOU
17 23 Morecambe 9 5 4 0.9 2.1 0 3 6 8 19 3 UUOOUO
18 4 Crewe 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 1 13 8 19 UUOUUU
19 13 Cheltenham 11 8 3 1.3 1.1 5 3 3 14 12 18 OUUUUU
20 14 Barrow 10 7 3 1.5 0.8 5 3 2 15 8 18 OUUUOU
21 17 Fleetwood Town 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 2 6 2 9 10 12 UOUUOU
22 20 Tranmere 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 4 3 8 10 13 UUOUOO
23 24 Carlisle 10 7 3 0.8 1.5 1 3 6 8 15 6 UUUUUU
24 11 Notts County 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 13 Cheltenham 10 2 8 1.5 1.8 2 3 5 15 18 9 OOUOOO
2 21 Accrington 10 2 8 1.4 2.2 2 2 6 14 22 8 OOOOOU
3 6 Chesterfield 10 3 7 2.1 1.1 5 1 4 21 11 16 OOOOOU
4 20 Tranmere 10 3 7 0.7 1.9 2 2 6 7 19 8 UOOUOO
5 2 Doncaster 10 4 6 1.6 1.3 5 2 3 16 13 17 OOOUOU
6 22 Swindon 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8 OOOOOU
7 23 Morecambe 11 5 6 1.0 1.5 3 2 6 11 17 11 UOOOOU
8 7 Grimsby 10 5 5 1.3 1.0 6 1 3 13 10 19 UOUUUO
9 11 Notts County 11 6 5 1.4 1.5 3 5 3 15 16 14 OUUUOO
10 17 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 3 2 4 15 15 11 UOOUOU
11 18 Newport County 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 2 3 6 9 17 9 UUOUOU
12 24 Carlisle 9 4 5 0.8 1.9 2 2 5 7 17 8 UUOOUU
13 8 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10 UOUOOO
14 10 Bradford 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 2 4 4 11 12 10 UUUUUU
15 19 Harrogate 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9 UUUOUO
16 1 Walsall 9 6 3 1.6 0.6 5 2 2 14 5 17 UOOUUU
17 3 Port Vale 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 6 3 2 13 9 21 UUUUUU
18 5 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 4 1 4 11 8 13 UUOOUO
19 12 Salford 9 6 3 0.9 1.1 1 6 2 8 10 9 OUOOUU
20 15 Bromley 9 6 3 1.1 1.0 3 4 2 10 9 13 UUUUOO
21 16 Colchester 10 7 3 1.0 1.5 1 7 2 10 15 10 UUUUUU
22 4 Crewe 10 8 2 1.1 0.8 4 4 2 11 8 16 UUUUUU
23 9 Gillingham 9 7 2 0.7 0.9 3 2 4 6 8 11 UUOUOU
24 14 Barrow 10 9 1 0.5 1.0 2 2 6 5 10 8 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47