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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: D Webb

Harrogate 3–5 Milton Keynes Dons

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.25 fair 2.58
Draw 3.60 fair 4.13
Away ✓ 2.10 fair 2.70
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Harrogate Milton Keynes Dons
16 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 9
4 Corners 5
9 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (527 league matches this season so far).
Result Harrogate to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
HarrogateDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Harrogate before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.25scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 55:62
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.68scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 74:61
Harrogate all matches all matches Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.68
1.41 Goals conceded 1.39
2.66 Total goals 3.07
10.18 Shots 14.50
3.61 Shots on target 5.05
16.09 Shots faced 11.50
4.41 Corners 4.91
6.61 Corners against 4.50
8.68 Fouls 10.20
1.52 Yellow cards 2.00
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

39% Wins 50%
25% Draws 18%
36% Losses 32%
93% Over 0.5 goals 95%
70% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 64%
25% Over 3.5 goals 36%
11% Over 4.5 goals 20%
5% Over 5.5 goals 7%
55% Both teams scored 61%
25% Clean sheets 20%
27% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 41%
45% Draws 30%
32% Losses 30%
61% Over 0.5 goals 84%
23% Over 1.5 goals 50%
9% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate all matches
Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Harrogate before this match, at home
1.36points / match
1.45scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:32
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, away
1.27points / match
1.36scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 30:38
Harrogate at home away Milton Keynes Dons

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.36
1.45 Goals conceded 1.73
2.91 Total goals 3.09
11.59 Shots 13.86
4.45 Shots on target 4.14
15.73 Shots faced 12.64
4.55 Corners 4.68
5.86 Corners against 4.59
7.95 Fouls 10.36
1.32 Yellow cards 1.95
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.95

How often Full Time

41% Wins 36%
14% Draws 18%
45% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
73% Over 1.5 goals 73%
55% Over 2.5 goals 64%
41% Over 3.5 goals 36%
18% Over 4.5 goals 23%
5% Over 5.5 goals 14%
55% Both teams scored 55%
18% Clean sheets 14%
27% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 23%
32% Draws 36%
45% Losses 41%
73% Over 0.5 goals 82%
27% Over 1.5 goals 50%
14% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Harrogate at home
Milton Keynes Dons away

Last 10 matches before this match

Harrogate all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Harrogate – Sutton 2–2 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.93 1.93
09.04.24 Harrogate – Grimsby 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.00
06.04.24 Notts County – Harrogate 3–0 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.44 2.70
01.04.24 Harrogate – Gillingham 5–1 (0–1) 3.753.402.05 2.05 1.75
29.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.03 1.83
23.03.24 Harrogate – Bradford 3–0 (1–0) 4.003.501.95 1.98 1.88
16.03.24 Barrow – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.335.75 1.88 1.98
12.03.24 Wrexham – Harrogate 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.50 2.50
09.03.24 Harrogate – Crawley Town 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.502.60 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.15

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Mansfield 1–4 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.67 2.15
06.04.24 Forest Green – Milton Keynes Dons 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.80 1.83 2.03
01.04.24 Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons 3–3 (1–1) 2.703.602.50 1.50 2.50
29.03.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Walsall 5–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 1.75 2.05
23.03.24 Stockport – Milton Keynes Dons 5–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.00
16.03.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Crewe 3–1 (3–1) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.08
12.03.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.752.25 1.73 2.08
09.03.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Salford 3–1 (3–1) 1.754.004.20 1.60 2.30
05.03.24 Mansfield – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.70 2.10
02.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93

Harrogate at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Harrogate – Sutton 2–2 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.93 1.93
09.04.24 Harrogate – Grimsby 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.00
01.04.24 Harrogate – Gillingham 5–1 (0–1) 3.753.402.05 2.05 1.75
23.03.24 Harrogate – Bradford 3–0 (1–0) 4.003.501.95 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Harrogate – Crawley Town 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.502.60 1.73 2.08
27.02.24 Harrogate – Newport County 1–4 (0–2) 2.553.302.80 1.98 1.88
24.02.24 Harrogate – Walsall 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Harrogate – Colchester 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.83 2.03
06.01.24 Harrogate – Doncaster 3–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 2.03 1.83
29.12.23 Harrogate – Tranmere 0–2 (0–0) 2.703.302.70 2.03 1.83

Milton Keynes Dons away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Forest Green – Milton Keynes Dons 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.80 1.83 2.03
01.04.24 Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons 3–3 (1–1) 2.703.602.50 1.50 2.50
23.03.24 Stockport – Milton Keynes Dons 5–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.00
12.03.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.752.25 1.73 2.08
05.03.24 Mansfield – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.70 2.10
02.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
17.02.24 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20
13.02.24 Bradford – Milton Keynes Dons 4–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 2.00 1.85
03.02.24 Barrow – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 2.03 1.83
13.01.24 Tranmere – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.602.45 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Harrogate winsDrawsMilton Keynes Dons wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.00 1.85 2.00

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 44 26 11 7 91 44 +47 89
2 Wrexham 45 25 10 10 87 51 +36 85
3 Mansfield 44 23 13 8 87 45 +42 82
4 Milton Keynes Dons 44 22 8 14 74 61 +13 74
5 Crewe 45 19 13 13 68 64 +4 70
6 Barrow 43 18 14 11 58 49 +9 68
7 Crawley Town 44 20 6 18 69 65 +4 66
8 Walsall 44 18 11 15 66 65 +1 65
9 Doncaster 43 19 7 17 63 63 0 64
10 Gillingham 44 18 9 17 43 53 -10 63
11 AFC Wimbledon 44 16 14 14 57 47 +10 62
12 Harrogate 44 17 11 16 55 62 -7 62
13 Bradford 43 16 12 15 52 55 -3 60
14 Morecambe 44 17 9 18 63 76 -13 60
15 Notts County 44 17 7 20 88 85 +3 58
16 Newport County 44 16 7 21 61 71 -10 55
17 Tranmere 44 16 6 22 63 64 -1 54
18 Accrington 44 15 9 20 57 66 -9 54
19 Swindon 44 14 11 19 74 78 -4 53
20 Salford 44 12 11 21 63 80 -17 47
21 Grimsby 44 10 16 18 55 72 -17 46
22 Colchester 43 11 11 21 57 74 -17 44
23 Sutton 44 9 13 22 53 78 -25 40
24 Forest Green 44 9 9 26 41 77 -36 36
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 22 16 3 3 60 24 +36 51
2 Stockport 22 14 5 3 44 15 +29 47
3 Milton Keynes Dons 22 14 4 4 44 23 +21 46
4 Mansfield 22 12 7 3 41 21 +20 43
5 Walsall 22 12 6 4 33 22 +11 42
6 Doncaster 22 13 2 7 34 28 +6 41
7 Barrow 21 11 7 3 26 16 +10 40
8 Crewe 23 11 5 7 35 35 0 38
9 Swindon 22 11 4 7 42 31 +11 37
10 AFC Wimbledon 22 10 6 6 36 24 +12 36
11 Tranmere 22 11 3 8 41 30 +11 36
12 Notts County 22 11 2 9 50 42 +8 35
13 Gillingham 22 9 8 5 23 21 +2 35
14 Crawley Town 22 10 3 9 35 30 +5 33
15 Newport County 22 9 6 7 37 36 +1 33
16 Accrington 22 9 5 8 30 26 +4 32
17 Bradford 22 8 8 6 25 27 -2 32
18 Morecambe 22 8 7 7 28 27 +1 31
19 Harrogate 22 9 3 10 32 32 0 30
20 Grimsby 22 8 5 9 32 41 -9 29
21 Colchester 21 6 6 9 32 36 -4 24
22 Sutton 22 5 8 9 31 32 -1 23
23 Salford 22 5 7 10 35 44 -9 22
24 Forest Green 22 4 4 14 18 38 -20 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 22 12 6 4 47 29 +18 42
2 Mansfield 22 11 6 5 46 24 +22 39
3 Wrexham 23 9 7 7 27 27 0 34
4 Crawley Town 22 10 3 9 34 35 -1 33
5 Crewe 22 8 8 6 33 29 +4 32
6 Harrogate 22 8 8 6 23 30 -7 32
7 Morecambe 22 9 2 11 35 49 -14 29
8 Barrow 22 7 7 8 32 33 -1 28
9 Bradford 21 8 4 9 27 28 -1 28
10 Milton Keynes Dons 22 8 4 10 30 38 -8 28
11 Gillingham 22 9 1 12 20 32 -12 28
12 AFC Wimbledon 22 6 8 8 21 23 -2 26
13 Salford 22 7 4 11 28 36 -8 25
14 Notts County 22 6 5 11 38 43 -5 23
15 Doncaster 21 6 5 10 29 35 -6 23
16 Walsall 22 6 5 11 33 43 -10 23
17 Newport County 22 7 1 14 24 35 -11 22
18 Accrington 22 6 4 12 27 40 -13 22
19 Colchester 22 5 5 12 25 38 -13 20
20 Forest Green 22 5 5 12 23 39 -16 20
21 Tranmere 22 5 3 14 22 34 -12 18
22 Grimsby 22 2 11 9 23 31 -8 17
23 Sutton 22 4 5 13 22 46 -24 17
24 Swindon 22 3 7 12 32 47 -15 16

Harrogate   Milton Keynes Dons

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Notts County 44 10 34 2.0 1.9 17 7 20 88 85 58
2 19 Swindon 44 12 32 1.7 1.8 14 11 19 74 78 53
3 14 Morecambe 44 15 29 1.4 1.7 17 9 18 63 76 60
4 20 Salford 44 15 29 1.4 1.8 12 11 21 63 80 47
5 4 Milton Keynes Dons 44 16 28 1.7 1.4 22 8 14 74 61 74
6 8 Walsall 44 17 27 1.5 1.5 18 11 15 66 65 65
7 9 Doncaster 43 16 27 1.5 1.5 19 7 17 63 63 64
8 16 Newport County 44 17 27 1.4 1.6 16 7 21 61 71 55
9 18 Accrington 44 17 27 1.3 1.5 15 9 20 57 66 54
10 17 Tranmere 44 18 26 1.4 1.5 16 6 22 63 64 54
11 1 Stockport 44 19 25 2.1 1.0 26 11 7 91 44 89
12 5 Crewe 45 20 25 1.5 1.4 19 13 13 68 64 70
13 7 Crawley Town 44 19 25 1.6 1.5 20 6 18 69 65 66
14 3 Mansfield 44 20 24 2.0 1.0 23 13 8 87 45 82
15 2 Wrexham 45 22 23 1.9 1.1 25 10 10 87 51 85
16 22 Colchester 43 20 23 1.3 1.7 11 11 21 57 74 44
17 12 Harrogate 44 22 22 1.2 1.4 17 11 16 55 62 62
18 23 Sutton 44 22 22 1.2 1.8 9 13 22 53 78 40
19 21 Grimsby 44 23 21 1.2 1.6 10 16 18 55 72 46
20 24 Forest Green 44 23 21 0.9 1.8 9 9 26 41 77 36
21 13 Bradford 43 24 19 1.2 1.3 16 12 15 52 55 60
22 6 Barrow 43 25 18 1.3 1.1 18 14 11 58 49 68
23 10 Gillingham 44 29 15 1.0 1.2 18 9 17 43 53 63
24 11 AFC Wimbledon 44 29 15 1.3 1.1 16 14 14 57 47 62
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Notts County 22 3 19 2.3 1.9 11 2 9 50 42 35
2 17 Tranmere 22 5 17 1.9 1.4 11 3 8 41 30 36
3 20 Salford 22 5 17 1.6 2.0 5 7 10 35 44 22
4 16 Newport County 22 7 15 1.7 1.6 9 6 7 37 36 33
5 19 Swindon 22 7 15 1.9 1.4 11 4 7 42 31 37
6 2 Wrexham 22 8 14 2.7 1.1 16 3 3 60 24 51
7 4 Milton Keynes Dons 22 8 14 2.0 1.0 14 4 4 44 23 46
8 5 Crewe 23 9 14 1.5 1.5 11 5 7 35 35 38
9 7 Crawley Town 22 9 13 1.6 1.4 10 3 9 35 30 33
10 9 Doncaster 22 9 13 1.5 1.3 13 2 7 34 28 41
11 18 Accrington 22 9 13 1.4 1.2 9 5 8 30 26 32
12 8 Walsall 22 10 12 1.5 1.0 12 6 4 33 22 42
13 12 Harrogate 22 10 12 1.5 1.5 9 3 10 32 32 30
14 21 Grimsby 22 10 12 1.5 1.9 8 5 9 32 41 29
15 22 Colchester 21 9 12 1.5 1.7 6 6 9 32 36 24
16 14 Morecambe 22 11 11 1.3 1.2 8 7 7 28 27 31
17 23 Sutton 22 11 11 1.4 1.5 5 8 9 31 32 23
18 24 Forest Green 22 11 11 0.8 1.7 4 4 14 18 38 16
19 3 Mansfield 22 12 10 1.9 1.0 12 7 3 41 21 43
20 1 Stockport 22 14 8 2.0 0.7 14 5 3 44 15 47
21 11 AFC Wimbledon 22 14 8 1.6 1.1 10 6 6 36 24 36
22 13 Bradford 22 14 8 1.1 1.2 8 8 6 25 27 32
23 10 Gillingham 22 15 7 1.0 1.0 9 8 5 23 21 35
24 6 Barrow 21 15 6 1.2 0.8 11 7 3 26 16 40
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Morecambe 22 4 18 1.6 2.2 9 2 11 35 49 29
2 1 Stockport 22 5 17 2.1 1.3 12 6 4 47 29 42
3 19 Swindon 22 5 17 1.5 2.1 3 7 12 32 47 16
4 8 Walsall 22 7 15 1.5 2.0 6 5 11 33 43 23
5 15 Notts County 22 7 15 1.7 2.0 6 5 11 38 43 23
6 3 Mansfield 22 8 14 2.1 1.1 11 6 5 46 24 39
7 4 Milton Keynes Dons 22 8 14 1.4 1.7 8 4 10 30 38 28
8 9 Doncaster 21 7 14 1.4 1.7 6 5 10 29 35 23
9 18 Accrington 22 8 14 1.2 1.8 6 4 12 27 40 22
10 6 Barrow 22 10 12 1.5 1.5 7 7 8 32 33 28
11 7 Crawley Town 22 10 12 1.5 1.6 10 3 9 34 35 33
12 16 Newport County 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 7 1 14 24 35 22
13 20 Salford 22 10 12 1.3 1.6 7 4 11 28 36 25
14 5 Crewe 22 11 11 1.5 1.3 8 8 6 33 29 32
15 13 Bradford 21 10 11 1.3 1.3 8 4 9 27 28 28
16 22 Colchester 22 11 11 1.1 1.7 5 5 12 25 38 20
17 23 Sutton 22 11 11 1.0 2.1 4 5 13 22 46 17
18 12 Harrogate 22 12 10 1.0 1.4 8 8 6 23 30 32
19 24 Forest Green 22 12 10 1.0 1.8 5 5 12 23 39 20
20 2 Wrexham 23 14 9 1.2 1.2 9 7 7 27 27 34
21 17 Tranmere 22 13 9 1.0 1.5 5 3 14 22 34 18
22 21 Grimsby 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 2 11 9 23 31 17
23 10 Gillingham 22 14 8 0.9 1.5 9 1 12 20 32 28
24 11 AFC Wimbledon 22 15 7 1.0 1.0 6 8 8 21 23 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40