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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: M Woods

Accrington 4–1 Tranmere

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.36
Draw 3.60 fair 4.02
Away 2.70 fair 3.05
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Accrington Tranmere
20 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 7
13 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (540 league matches this season so far).
Result Accrington to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
AccringtonDrawTranmere
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 2–1 8.9% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Accrington before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.31scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 45 played · 59:70
Tranmere before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.47scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 45 played · 66:66
Accrington all matches all matches Tranmere

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.47
1.56 Goals conceded 1.47
2.87 Total goals 2.93
14.02 Shots 12.62
4.47 Shots on target 4.53
13.20 Shots faced 14.18
5.00 Corners 5.44
5.13 Corners against 6.13
13.49 Fouls 9.53
2.31 Yellow cards 1.91
0.49 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 38%
20% Draws 13%
47% Losses 49%
93% Over 0.5 goals 98%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
62% Over 2.5 goals 60%
29% Over 3.5 goals 31%
11% Over 4.5 goals 16%
9% Over 5.5 goals 7%
58% Both teams scored 60%
22% Clean sheets 18%
27% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 33%
44% Draws 33%
31% Losses 33%
64% Over 0.5 goals 82%
36% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington all matches
Tranmere all matches
Accrington before this match, at home
1.45points / match
1.36scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 30:26
Tranmere before this match, away
0.82points / match
1.00scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 22:34
Accrington at home away Tranmere

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.00
1.18 Goals conceded 1.55
2.55 Total goals 2.55
16.18 Shots 11.59
4.95 Shots on target 3.91
11.45 Shots faced 15.64
5.91 Corners 4.73
4.91 Corners against 6.23
12.82 Fouls 10.05
2.09 Yellow cards 2.05
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

41% Wins 23%
23% Draws 14%
36% Losses 64%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 73%
59% Over 2.5 goals 41%
18% Over 3.5 goals 23%
9% Over 4.5 goals 14%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
45% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 9%
32% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 27%
45% Draws 32%
23% Losses 41%
59% Over 0.5 goals 77%
32% Over 1.5 goals 27%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington at home
Tranmere away

Last 10 matches before this match

Accrington all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Stockport – Accrington 4–2 (2–1) 1.335.508.50 1.57 2.35
16.04.24 Mansfield – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.365.258.50 1.48 2.60
13.04.24 Doncaster – Accrington 4–0 (2–0) 1.753.804.50 1.73 2.08
09.04.24 Newport County – Accrington 1–3 (1–1) 2.633.502.55 1.73 2.08
06.04.24 Accrington – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.602.50 1.70 2.10
29.03.24 Accrington – Morecambe 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.10 1.70 2.10
23.03.24 Sutton – Accrington 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
16.03.24 Accrington – Notts County 2–2 (1–2) 2.753.802.35 1.53 2.40
12.03.24 Swindon – Accrington 1–2 (0–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
09.03.24 Accrington – Bradford 0–3 (0–3) 3.203.502.20 2.00 1.85

Tranmere all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Tranmere – AFC Wimbledon 3–2 (2–0) 3.003.402.38 2.03 1.83
13.04.24 Newport County – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.30 1.70 2.10
06.04.24 Tranmere – Walsall 1–3 (1–1) 2.633.502.55 1.83 2.03
01.04.24 Tranmere – Colchester 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.08
29.03.24 Bradford – Tranmere 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.93 1.93
23.03.24 Tranmere – Crawley Town 1–3 (1–2) 2.003.503.75 1.67 2.15
16.03.24 Wrexham – Tranmere 0–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.00 1.65 2.20
12.03.24 Tranmere – Mansfield 2–1 (1–1) 4.203.601.91 1.70 2.10
09.03.24 Gillingham – Tranmere 1–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.80 2.10 1.70
02.03.24 Tranmere – Sutton 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.98 1.88

Accrington at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Accrington – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.602.50 1.70 2.10
29.03.24 Accrington – Morecambe 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.10 1.70 2.10
16.03.24 Accrington – Notts County 2–2 (1–2) 2.753.802.35 1.53 2.40
09.03.24 Accrington – Bradford 0–3 (0–3) 3.203.502.20 2.00 1.85
24.02.24 Accrington – Crawley Town 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.80 2.00
13.02.24 Accrington – AFC Wimbledon 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.45 2.00 1.85
03.02.24 Accrington – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.803.40 1.67 2.15
13.01.24 Accrington – Gillingham 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 2.00 1.85
01.01.24 Accrington – Salford 3–0 (3–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
23.12.23 Accrington – Walsall 2–1 (1–1) 2.403.502.88 1.80 2.00

Tranmere away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Newport County – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.30 1.70 2.10
29.03.24 Bradford – Tranmere 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.93 1.93
16.03.24 Wrexham – Tranmere 0–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.00 1.65 2.20
09.03.24 Gillingham – Tranmere 1–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.80 2.10 1.70
27.02.24 Swindon – Tranmere 3–1 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.75 2.05
24.02.24 Forest Green – Tranmere 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 1.95 1.90
10.02.24 Doncaster – Tranmere 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.95 1.90
27.01.24 Grimsby – Tranmere 1–2 (1–1) 2.153.503.30 1.85 2.00
06.01.24 Barrow – Tranmere 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.20 2.05 1.75
29.12.23 Harrogate – Tranmere 0–2 (0–0) 2.703.302.70 2.03 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Accrington winsDrawsTranmere wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23E3 Tranmere – Accrington 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.55 1.85 2.00

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 45 27 11 7 95 46 +49 92
2 Mansfield 45 24 13 8 89 46 +43 85
3 Wrexham 45 25 10 10 87 51 +36 85
4 Milton Keynes Dons 45 23 8 14 79 64 +15 77
5 Doncaster 45 21 7 17 71 66 +5 70
6 Crewe 45 19 13 13 68 64 +4 70
7 Barrow 45 18 14 13 61 55 +6 68
8 Crawley Town 45 20 7 18 71 67 +4 67
9 Bradford 45 18 12 15 57 58 -1 66
10 Walsall 45 18 11 16 68 68 0 65
11 Gillingham 45 18 9 18 44 55 -11 63
12 AFC Wimbledon 45 16 14 15 59 50 +9 62
13 Harrogate 45 17 11 17 58 67 -9 62
14 Notts County 45 18 7 20 89 85 +4 61
15 Morecambe 45 17 9 19 64 78 -14 60
16 Tranmere 45 17 6 22 66 66 0 57
17 Newport County 45 16 7 22 61 72 -11 55
18 Accrington 45 15 9 21 59 70 -11 54
19 Swindon 45 14 11 20 74 80 -6 53
20 Salford 45 13 11 21 64 80 -16 50
21 Grimsby 45 11 16 18 57 72 -15 49
22 Colchester 45 11 11 23 58 79 -21 44
23 Sutton 45 9 14 22 55 80 -25 41
24 Forest Green 45 10 9 26 43 78 -35 39
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 22 16 3 3 60 24 +36 51
2 Stockport 23 15 5 3 48 17 +31 50
3 Milton Keynes Dons 22 14 4 4 44 23 +21 46
4 Mansfield 23 13 7 3 43 22 +21 46
5 Doncaster 23 14 2 7 38 30 +8 44
6 Walsall 23 12 6 5 35 25 +10 42
7 Barrow 22 11 7 4 27 18 +9 40
8 Tranmere 23 12 3 8 44 32 +12 39
9 Notts County 23 12 2 9 51 42 +9 38
10 Crewe 23 11 5 7 35 35 0 38
11 Swindon 22 11 4 7 42 31 +11 37
12 AFC Wimbledon 22 10 6 6 36 24 +12 36
13 Gillingham 22 9 8 5 23 21 +2 35
14 Crawley Town 22 10 3 9 35 30 +5 33
15 Newport County 23 9 6 8 37 37 0 33
16 Accrington 22 9 5 8 30 26 +4 32
17 Bradford 22 8 8 6 25 27 -2 32
18 Grimsby 23 9 5 9 34 41 -7 32
19 Morecambe 23 8 7 8 29 29 0 31
20 Harrogate 23 9 3 11 35 37 -2 30
21 Sutton 23 5 9 9 33 34 -1 24
22 Colchester 22 6 6 10 33 40 -7 24
23 Salford 22 5 7 10 35 44 -9 22
24 Forest Green 22 4 4 14 18 38 -20 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 22 12 6 4 47 29 +18 42
2 Mansfield 22 11 6 5 46 24 +22 39
3 Bradford 23 10 4 9 32 31 +1 34
4 Wrexham 23 9 7 7 27 27 0 34
5 Crawley Town 23 10 4 9 36 37 -1 34
6 Crewe 22 8 8 6 33 29 +4 32
7 Harrogate 22 8 8 6 23 30 -7 32
8 Milton Keynes Dons 23 9 4 10 35 41 -6 31
9 Morecambe 22 9 2 11 35 49 -14 29
10 Barrow 23 7 7 9 34 37 -3 28
11 Salford 23 8 4 11 29 36 -7 28
12 Gillingham 23 9 1 13 21 34 -13 28
13 Doncaster 22 7 5 10 33 36 -3 26
14 AFC Wimbledon 23 6 8 9 23 26 -3 26
15 Notts County 22 6 5 11 38 43 -5 23
16 Walsall 22 6 5 11 33 43 -10 23
17 Forest Green 23 6 5 12 25 40 -15 23
18 Newport County 22 7 1 14 24 35 -11 22
19 Accrington 23 6 4 13 29 44 -15 22
20 Colchester 23 5 5 13 25 39 -14 20
21 Tranmere 22 5 3 14 22 34 -12 18
22 Grimsby 22 2 11 9 23 31 -8 17
23 Sutton 22 4 5 13 22 46 -24 17
24 Swindon 23 3 7 13 32 49 -17 16

Accrington   Tranmere

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Notts County 45 11 34 2.0 1.9 18 7 20 89 85 61
2 19 Swindon 45 13 32 1.6 1.8 14 11 20 74 80 53
3 15 Morecambe 45 15 30 1.4 1.7 17 9 19 64 78 60
4 4 Milton Keynes Dons 45 16 29 1.8 1.4 23 8 14 79 64 77
5 5 Doncaster 45 16 29 1.6 1.5 21 7 17 71 66 70
6 20 Salford 45 16 29 1.4 1.8 13 11 21 64 80 50
7 10 Walsall 45 17 28 1.5 1.5 18 11 16 68 68 65
8 18 Accrington 45 17 28 1.3 1.6 15 9 21 59 70 54
9 16 Tranmere 45 18 27 1.5 1.5 17 6 22 66 66 57
10 17 Newport County 45 18 27 1.4 1.6 16 7 22 61 72 55
11 1 Stockport 45 19 26 2.1 1.0 27 11 7 95 46 92
12 8 Crawley Town 45 19 26 1.6 1.5 20 7 18 71 67 67
13 2 Mansfield 45 20 25 2.0 1.0 24 13 8 89 46 85
14 6 Crewe 45 20 25 1.5 1.4 19 13 13 68 64 70
15 22 Colchester 45 21 24 1.3 1.8 11 11 23 58 79 44
16 3 Wrexham 45 22 23 1.9 1.1 25 10 10 87 51 85
17 13 Harrogate 45 22 23 1.3 1.5 17 11 17 58 67 62
18 23 Sutton 45 22 23 1.2 1.8 9 14 22 55 80 41
19 24 Forest Green 45 23 22 1.0 1.7 10 9 26 43 78 39
20 9 Bradford 45 24 21 1.3 1.3 18 12 15 57 58 66
21 21 Grimsby 45 24 21 1.3 1.6 11 16 18 57 72 49
22 7 Barrow 45 25 20 1.4 1.2 18 14 13 61 55 68
23 11 Gillingham 45 29 16 1.0 1.2 18 9 18 44 55 63
24 12 AFC Wimbledon 45 29 16 1.3 1.1 16 14 15 59 50 62
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Notts County 23 4 19 2.2 1.8 12 2 9 51 42 38
2 16 Tranmere 23 5 18 1.9 1.4 12 3 8 44 32 39
3 20 Salford 22 5 17 1.6 2.0 5 7 10 35 44 22
4 17 Newport County 23 8 15 1.6 1.6 9 6 8 37 37 33
5 19 Swindon 22 7 15 1.9 1.4 11 4 7 42 31 37
6 3 Wrexham 22 8 14 2.7 1.1 16 3 3 60 24 51
7 4 Milton Keynes Dons 22 8 14 2.0 1.0 14 4 4 44 23 46
8 5 Doncaster 23 9 14 1.7 1.3 14 2 7 38 30 44
9 6 Crewe 23 9 14 1.5 1.5 11 5 7 35 35 38
10 8 Crawley Town 22 9 13 1.6 1.4 10 3 9 35 30 33
11 10 Walsall 23 10 13 1.5 1.1 12 6 5 35 25 42
12 13 Harrogate 23 10 13 1.5 1.6 9 3 11 35 37 30
13 18 Accrington 22 9 13 1.4 1.2 9 5 8 30 26 32
14 22 Colchester 22 9 13 1.5 1.8 6 6 10 33 40 24
15 15 Morecambe 23 11 12 1.3 1.3 8 7 8 29 29 31
16 21 Grimsby 23 11 12 1.5 1.8 9 5 9 34 41 32
17 23 Sutton 23 11 12 1.4 1.5 5 9 9 33 34 24
18 2 Mansfield 23 12 11 1.9 1.0 13 7 3 43 22 46
19 24 Forest Green 22 11 11 0.8 1.7 4 4 14 18 38 16
20 1 Stockport 23 14 9 2.1 0.7 15 5 3 48 17 50
21 9 Bradford 22 14 8 1.1 1.2 8 8 6 25 27 32
22 12 AFC Wimbledon 22 14 8 1.6 1.1 10 6 6 36 24 36
23 7 Barrow 22 15 7 1.2 0.8 11 7 4 27 18 40
24 11 Gillingham 22 15 7 1.0 1.0 9 8 5 23 21 35
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Morecambe 22 4 18 1.6 2.2 9 2 11 35 49 29
2 1 Stockport 22 5 17 2.1 1.3 12 6 4 47 29 42
3 19 Swindon 23 6 17 1.4 2.1 3 7 13 32 49 16
4 4 Milton Keynes Dons 23 8 15 1.5 1.8 9 4 10 35 41 31
5 5 Doncaster 22 7 15 1.5 1.6 7 5 10 33 36 26
6 10 Walsall 22 7 15 1.5 2.0 6 5 11 33 43 23
7 14 Notts County 22 7 15 1.7 2.0 6 5 11 38 43 23
8 18 Accrington 23 8 15 1.3 1.9 6 4 13 29 44 22
9 2 Mansfield 22 8 14 2.1 1.1 11 6 5 46 24 39
10 7 Barrow 23 10 13 1.5 1.6 7 7 9 34 37 28
11 8 Crawley Town 23 10 13 1.6 1.6 10 4 9 36 37 34
12 9 Bradford 23 10 13 1.4 1.3 10 4 9 32 31 34
13 17 Newport County 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 7 1 14 24 35 22
14 20 Salford 23 11 12 1.3 1.6 8 4 11 29 36 28
15 6 Crewe 22 11 11 1.5 1.3 8 8 6 33 29 32
16 22 Colchester 23 12 11 1.1 1.7 5 5 13 25 39 20
17 23 Sutton 22 11 11 1.0 2.1 4 5 13 22 46 17
18 24 Forest Green 23 12 11 1.1 1.7 6 5 12 25 40 23
19 13 Harrogate 22 12 10 1.0 1.4 8 8 6 23 30 32
20 3 Wrexham 23 14 9 1.2 1.2 9 7 7 27 27 34
21 11 Gillingham 23 14 9 0.9 1.5 9 1 13 21 34 28
22 16 Tranmere 22 13 9 1.0 1.5 5 3 14 22 34 18
23 21 Grimsby 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 2 11 9 23 31 17
24 12 AFC Wimbledon 23 15 8 1.0 1.1 6 8 9 23 26 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40