Accrington 2–2 Notts County – England League Two, 16 Mar 2024

Match facts

Accrington Notts County

23 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 7

6 Corners 5

13 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (443 league matches this season so far).

Result Accrington to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.50

Expected goals 1.88 – 1.54

Home / Draw / Away

46% 22% 32%

AccringtonDrawNotts County

Under / Over 2.5 goals

34% 67%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

33% 67%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

11% 1

19% 2

22% 3

19% 4

26% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 9.5% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Accrington before this match, all matches

1.32points / match

1.32scored / match

1.41conceded / match

14 7 16

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 49:52

Notts County before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.94scored / match

1.94conceded / match

14 5 17

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 70:70

Accrington all matches all matches Notts County

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.94

1.41 Goals conceded 1.94

2.73 Total goals 3.89

14.27 Shots 12.22

4.51 Shots on target 4.78

13.27 Shots faced 13.81

5.41 Corners 5.86

5.14 Corners against 4.75

13.46 Fouls 7.78

2.38 Yellow cards 2.06

0.51 1st-half goals scored 1.08

0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

38% Wins 39%

19% Draws 14%

43% Losses 47%

95% Over 0.5 goals 97%

78% Over 1.5 goals 89%

57% Over 2.5 goals 72%

22% Over 3.5 goals 53%

11% Over 4.5 goals 31%

8% Over 5.5 goals 22%

54% Both teams scored 72%

24% Clean sheets 14%

27% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 39%

46% Draws 33%

24% Losses 28%

62% Over 0.5 goals 86%

32% Over 1.5 goals 58%

11% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington all matches

1

W

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

4

L

3

L

2

1

W

Notts County all matches

5

D

1

D

1

L

1

3

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

3

L

3

4

L

2

L

1

2

L

Accrington before this match, at home

1.58points / match

1.42scored / match

1.16conceded / match

9 3 7

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 27:22

Notts County before this match, away

0.89points / match

1.61scored / match

2.11conceded / match

4 4 10

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 29:38

Accrington at home away Notts County

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.61

1.16 Goals conceded 2.11

2.58 Total goals 3.72

16.05 Shots 11.89

4.95 Shots on target 4.33

11.63 Shots faced 14.22

6.11 Corners 5.50

4.89 Corners against 4.39

12.63 Fouls 7.89

2.00 Yellow cards 2.06

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.67

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

47% Wins 22%

16% Draws 22%

37% Losses 56%

89% Over 0.5 goals 94%

74% Over 1.5 goals 78%

58% Over 2.5 goals 61%

16% Over 3.5 goals 44%

11% Over 4.5 goals 28%

5% Over 5.5 goals 28%

42% Both teams scored 72%

37% Clean sheets 11%

32% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 33%

42% Draws 28%

21% Losses 39%

63% Over 0.5 goals 83%

32% Over 1.5 goals 39%

11% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington at home

2

W

3

4

L

D

2

1

W

3

W

1

2

L

D

2

W

1

L

3

L

Notts County away

1

L

2

4

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

2

4

L

5

D

1

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Accrington all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.24	Swindon – Accrington	1–2 (0–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
09.03.24	Accrington – Bradford	0–3 (0–3)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.00	1.85
02.03.24	Wrexham – Accrington	4–0 (4–0)	1.53	4.50	5.50	1.60	2.30
27.02.24	Walsall – Accrington	2–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.75	4.20	1.93	1.93
24.02.24	Accrington – Crawley Town	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	1.80	2.00
17.02.24	Colchester – Accrington	1–1 (1–0)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.70	2.10
13.02.24	Accrington – AFC Wimbledon	2–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.60	2.45	2.00	1.85
10.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.73	2.08
03.02.24	Accrington – Grimsby	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.80	3.40	1.67	2.15
27.01.24	Forest Green – Accrington	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.75	1.75	2.05

Notts County all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.24	Crawley Town – Notts County	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.80	2.40	1.44	2.70
09.03.24	Notts County – AFC Wimbledon	0–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.62	2.25
27.02.24	Notts County – Sutton	3–4 (2–2)	1.70	4.20	4.50	1.57	2.35
24.02.24	Notts County – Crewe	1–3 (0–2)	1.91	3.75	4.00	1.57	2.35
17.02.24	Wrexham – Notts County	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.35
13.02.24	Newport County – Notts County	1–3 (0–2)	2.55	3.80	2.45	1.57	2.35
09.02.24	Notts County – Gillingham	1–3 (1–2)	2.20	3.80	3.00	1.65	2.20
03.02.24	Mansfield – Notts County	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
27.01.24	Notts County – Barrow	1–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.60	3.40	1.73	2.08
13.01.24	Grimsby – Notts County	5–5 (2–2)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.60	2.30

Accrington at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Accrington – Bradford	0–3 (0–3)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.00	1.85
24.02.24	Accrington – Crawley Town	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	1.80	2.00
13.02.24	Accrington – AFC Wimbledon	2–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.60	2.45	2.00	1.85
03.02.24	Accrington – Grimsby	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.80	3.40	1.67	2.15
13.01.24	Accrington – Gillingham	1–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	2.00	1.85
01.01.24	Accrington – Salford	3–0 (3–0)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.67	2.15
23.12.23	Accrington – Walsall	2–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.50	2.88	1.80	2.00
09.12.23	Accrington – Doncaster	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	1.73	2.08
28.11.23	Accrington – Swindon	3–4 (0–2)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.57	2.35
18.11.23	Accrington – Wrexham	2–0 (0–0)	3.20	4.00	2.05	1.60	2.30

Notts County away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.24	Crawley Town – Notts County	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.80	2.40	1.44	2.70
17.02.24	Wrexham – Notts County	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.35
13.02.24	Newport County – Notts County	1–3 (0–2)	2.55	3.80	2.45	1.57	2.35
03.02.24	Mansfield – Notts County	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
13.01.24	Grimsby – Notts County	5–5 (2–2)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.60	2.30
01.01.24	Tranmere – Notts County	4–2 (2–2)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.62	2.25
22.12.23	Stockport – Notts County	2–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.75	5.00	1.73	2.08
16.12.23	Harrogate – Notts County	3–1 (2–0)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.60	2.30
25.11.23	AFC Wimbledon – Notts County	4–2 (2–0)	2.50	3.60	2.63	1.67	2.15
11.11.23	Crewe – Notts County	1–0 (0–0)	2.88	4.00	2.20	1.48	2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Accrington winsDrawsNotts County wins

1matches

4.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.09.23E3	Notts County – Accrington	3–1 (1–1)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.57	2.35

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	37	19	12	6	73	35	+38	69
2	Stockport	36	19	10	7	69	39	+30	67
3	Wrexham	37	19	10	8	67	46	+21	67
4	Crewe	37	18	10	9	65	51	+14	64
5	Milton Keynes Dons	38	19	7	12	60	48	+12	64
6	Barrow	36	16	12	8	52	40	+12	60
7	AFC Wimbledon	38	15	12	11	52	39	+13	57
8	Walsall	37	15	10	12	56	51	+5	55
9	Crawley Town	36	17	4	15	53	52	+1	55
10	Gillingham	38	16	7	15	35	44	-9	55
11	Morecambe	37	15	9	13	56	62	-6	54
12	Newport County	37	15	7	15	56	58	-2	52
13	Bradford	36	13	11	12	45	42	+3	50
14	Harrogate	37	14	8	15	43	55	-12	50
15	Accrington	37	14	7	16	49	52	-3	49
16	Tranmere	38	14	5	19	57	54	+3	47
17	Notts County	36	14	5	17	70	70	0	47
18	Swindon	38	11	11	16	64	68	-4	44
19	Doncaster	36	12	7	17	47	61	-14	43
20	Salford	38	10	11	17	55	71	-16	41
21	Grimsby	36	8	14	14	47	61	-14	38
22	Forest Green	37	8	9	20	38	62	-24	33
23	Colchester	35	8	8	19	45	64	-19	32
24	Sutton	38	5	12	21	41	70	-29	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wrexham	18	13	3	2	48	22	+26	42
2	Milton Keynes Dons	19	12	4	3	35	18	+17	40
3	Stockport	19	11	5	3	36	15	+21	38
4	Crewe	19	11	4	4	34	25	+9	37
5	Mansfield	18	10	6	2	36	15	+21	36
6	Walsall	19	10	6	3	28	17	+11	36
7	Tranmere	19	11	2	6	38	23	+15	35
8	Barrow	17	9	6	2	22	13	+9	33
9	Newport County	19	9	6	4	35	27	+8	33
10	AFC Wimbledon	19	9	5	5	34	21	+13	32
11	Swindon	19	9	4	6	36	26	+10	31
12	Notts County	18	10	1	7	41	32	+9	31
13	Crawley Town	18	10	1	7	31	23	+8	31
14	Accrington	19	9	3	7	27	22	+5	30
15	Gillingham	19	8	6	5	19	20	-1	30
16	Doncaster	18	9	2	7	25	27	-2	29
17	Morecambe	18	7	7	4	24	19	+5	28
18	Bradford	18	6	8	4	21	19	+2	26
19	Grimsby	19	7	4	8	29	37	-8	25
20	Harrogate	18	6	2	10	21	29	-8	20
21	Salford	19	4	7	8	30	39	-9	19
22	Sutton	19	3	8	8	24	27	-3	17
23	Colchester	16	4	5	7	25	30	-5	17
24	Forest Green	19	4	4	11	18	32	-14	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mansfield	19	9	6	4	37	20	+17	33
2	Harrogate	19	8	6	5	22	26	-4	30
3	Stockport	17	8	5	4	33	24	+9	29
4	Crewe	18	7	6	5	31	26	+5	27
5	Barrow	19	7	6	6	30	27	+3	27
6	Morecambe	19	8	2	9	32	43	-11	26
7	AFC Wimbledon	19	6	7	6	18	18	0	25
8	Wrexham	19	6	7	6	19	24	-5	25
9	Gillingham	19	8	1	10	16	24	-8	25
10	Bradford	18	7	3	8	24	23	+1	24
11	Milton Keynes Dons	19	7	3	9	25	30	-5	24
12	Crawley Town	18	7	3	8	22	29	-7	24
13	Salford	19	6	4	9	25	32	-7	22
14	Walsall	18	5	4	9	28	34	-6	19
15	Accrington	18	5	4	9	22	30	-8	19
16	Newport County	18	6	1	11	21	31	-10	19
17	Forest Green	18	4	5	9	20	30	-10	17
18	Notts County	18	4	4	10	29	38	-9	16
19	Colchester	19	4	3	12	20	34	-14	15
20	Doncaster	18	3	5	10	22	34	-12	14
21	Grimsby	17	1	10	6	18	24	-6	13
22	Swindon	19	2	7	10	28	42	-14	13
23	Tranmere	19	3	3	13	19	31	-12	12
24	Sutton	19	2	4	13	17	43	-26	10

Accrington Notts County

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Swindon	38	11	27	1.7	1.8	11	11	16	64	68	44
2	17	Notts County	36	10	26	1.9	1.9	14	5	17	70	70	47
3	11	Morecambe	37	13	24	1.5	1.7	15	9	13	56	62	54
4	20	Salford	38	14	24	1.4	1.9	10	11	17	55	71	41
5	5	Milton Keynes Dons	38	15	23	1.6	1.3	19	7	12	60	48	64
6	12	Newport County	37	14	23	1.5	1.6	15	7	15	56	58	52
7	16	Tranmere	38	15	23	1.5	1.4	14	5	19	57	54	47
8	19	Doncaster	36	13	23	1.3	1.7	12	7	17	47	61	43
9	4	Crewe	37	16	21	1.8	1.4	18	10	9	65	51	64
10	8	Walsall	37	16	21	1.5	1.4	15	10	12	56	51	55
11	15	Accrington	37	16	21	1.3	1.4	14	7	16	49	52	49
12	1	Mansfield	37	17	20	2.0	0.9	19	12	6	73	35	69
13	2	Stockport	36	16	20	1.9	1.1	19	10	7	69	39	67
14	9	Crawley Town	36	16	20	1.5	1.4	17	4	15	53	52	55
15	23	Colchester	35	16	19	1.3	1.8	8	8	19	45	64	32
16	3	Wrexham	37	19	18	1.8	1.2	19	10	8	67	46	67
17	14	Harrogate	37	19	18	1.2	1.5	14	8	15	43	55	50
18	21	Grimsby	36	18	18	1.3	1.7	8	14	14	47	61	38
19	22	Forest Green	37	19	18	1.0	1.7	8	9	20	38	62	33
20	24	Sutton	38	21	17	1.1	1.8	5	12	21	41	70	27
21	6	Barrow	36	21	15	1.4	1.1	16	12	8	52	40	60
22	13	Bradford	36	21	15	1.2	1.2	13	11	12	45	42	50
23	7	AFC Wimbledon	38	24	14	1.4	1.0	15	12	11	52	39	57
24	10	Gillingham	38	26	12	0.9	1.2	16	7	15	35	44	55

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Tranmere	19	4	15	2.0	1.2	11	2	6	38	23	35
2	17	Notts County	18	3	15	2.3	1.8	10	1	7	41	32	31
3	20	Salford	19	5	14	1.6	2.1	4	7	8	30	39	19
4	3	Wrexham	18	6	12	2.7	1.2	13	3	2	48	22	42
5	9	Crawley Town	18	6	12	1.7	1.3	10	1	7	31	23	31
6	12	Newport County	19	7	12	1.8	1.4	9	6	4	35	27	33
7	18	Swindon	19	7	12	1.9	1.4	9	4	6	36	26	31
8	4	Crewe	19	8	11	1.8	1.3	11	4	4	34	25	37
9	5	Milton Keynes Dons	19	8	11	1.8	0.9	12	4	3	35	18	40
10	15	Accrington	19	8	11	1.4	1.2	9	3	7	27	22	30
11	19	Doncaster	18	7	11	1.4	1.5	9	2	7	25	27	29
12	21	Grimsby	19	8	11	1.5	1.9	7	4	8	29	37	25
13	22	Forest Green	19	9	10	0.9	1.7	4	4	11	18	32	16
14	8	Walsall	19	10	9	1.5	0.9	10	6	3	28	17	36
15	14	Harrogate	18	9	9	1.2	1.6	6	2	10	21	29	20
16	23	Colchester	16	7	9	1.6	1.9	4	5	7	25	30	17
17	1	Mansfield	18	10	8	2.0	0.8	10	6	2	36	15	36
18	7	AFC Wimbledon	19	11	8	1.8	1.1	9	5	5	34	21	32
19	11	Morecambe	18	10	8	1.3	1.1	7	7	4	24	19	28
20	24	Sutton	19	11	8	1.3	1.4	3	8	8	24	27	17
21	2	Stockport	19	12	7	1.9	0.8	11	5	3	36	15	38
22	10	Gillingham	19	13	6	1.0	1.1	8	6	5	19	20	30
23	13	Bradford	18	12	6	1.2	1.1	6	8	4	21	19	26
24	6	Barrow	17	12	5	1.3	0.8	9	6	2	22	13	33

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Morecambe	19	3	16	1.7	2.3	8	2	9	32	43	26
2	18	Swindon	19	4	15	1.5	2.2	2	7	10	28	42	13
3	2	Stockport	17	4	13	1.9	1.4	8	5	4	33	24	29
4	1	Mansfield	19	7	12	1.9	1.1	9	6	4	37	20	33
5	5	Milton Keynes Dons	19	7	12	1.3	1.6	7	3	9	25	30	24
6	8	Walsall	18	6	12	1.6	1.9	5	4	9	28	34	19
7	19	Doncaster	18	6	12	1.2	1.9	3	5	10	22	34	14
8	12	Newport County	18	7	11	1.2	1.7	6	1	11	21	31	19
9	17	Notts County	18	7	11	1.6	2.1	4	4	10	29	38	16
10	4	Crewe	18	8	10	1.7	1.4	7	6	5	31	26	27
11	6	Barrow	19	9	10	1.6	1.4	7	6	6	30	27	27
12	15	Accrington	18	8	10	1.2	1.7	5	4	9	22	30	19
13	20	Salford	19	9	10	1.3	1.7	6	4	9	25	32	22
14	23	Colchester	19	9	10	1.1	1.8	4	3	12	20	34	15
15	13	Bradford	18	9	9	1.3	1.3	7	3	8	24	23	24
16	14	Harrogate	19	10	9	1.2	1.4	8	6	5	22	26	30
17	24	Sutton	19	10	9	0.9	2.3	2	4	13	17	43	10
18	9	Crawley Town	18	10	8	1.2	1.6	7	3	8	22	29	24
19	16	Tranmere	19	11	8	1.0	1.6	3	3	13	19	31	12
20	22	Forest Green	18	10	8	1.1	1.7	4	5	9	20	30	17
21	21	Grimsby	17	10	7	1.1	1.4	1	10	6	18	24	13
22	3	Wrexham	19	13	6	1.0	1.3	6	7	6	19	24	25
23	7	AFC Wimbledon	19	13	6	0.9	0.9	6	7	6	18	18	25
24	10	Gillingham	19	13	6	0.8	1.3	8	1	10	16	24	25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.