Gillingham 1–0 Carlisle – England League Two, 25 Mar 2023

Match facts

Gillingham Carlisle

9 Shots 3

3 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 3

12 Fouls 17

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (440 league matches this season so far).

Result Carlisle to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.77

Expected goals 0.91 – 1.30

Home / Draw / Away

26% 28% 46%

GillinghamDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

62% 38%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

56% 44%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

11% 0

24% 1

27% 2

20% 3

11% 4

7% 5+

Most likely scores

0–1 14.2% 1–1 13% 0–0 10.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Gillingham before this match, all matches

1.11points / match

0.68scored / match

1.08conceded / match

10 11 16

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 25:40

Carlisle before this match, all matches

1.78points / match

1.57scored / match

0.95conceded / match

18 12 7

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 58:35

Gillingham all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

0.68 Goals scored 1.57

1.08 Goals conceded 0.95

1.76 Total goals 2.51

9.35 Shots 11.92

2.73 Shots on target 4.30

11.70 Shots faced 10.30

4.11 Corners 5.27

4.62 Corners against 4.00

11.76 Fouls 9.32

1.54 Yellow cards 1.51

0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.76

0.49 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

27% Wins 49%

30% Draws 32%

43% Losses 19%

84% Over 0.5 goals 84%

65% Over 1.5 goals 68%

19% Over 2.5 goals 46%

3% Over 3.5 goals 24%

3% Over 4.5 goals 16%

3% Over 5.5 goals 11%

24% Both teams scored 49%

35% Clean sheets 43%

57% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 41%

51% Draws 41%

32% Losses 19%

57% Over 0.5 goals 73%

19% Over 1.5 goals 32%

3% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Gillingham all matches

2

L

2

1

W

2

W

2

1

W

2

L

D

2

W

2

L

2

1

W

Carlisle all matches

5

1

W

1

L

D

4

L

1

W

5

2

W

2

W

2

1

W

D

Gillingham before this match, at home

1.56points / match

0.83scored / match

0.94conceded / match

8 4 6

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 15:17

Carlisle before this match, away

1.67points / match

1.67scored / match

1.06conceded / match

8 6 4

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 30:19

Gillingham at home away Carlisle

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 1.67

0.94 Goals conceded 1.06

1.78 Total goals 2.72

10.11 Shots 10.56

3.56 Shots on target 3.83

10.61 Shots faced 12.56

5.22 Corners 4.72

4.44 Corners against 4.61

10.44 Fouls 10.06

1.17 Yellow cards 1.72

0.22 1st-half goals scored 0.72

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

44% Wins 44%

22% Draws 33%

33% Losses 22%

89% Over 0.5 goals 83%

67% Over 1.5 goals 78%

22% Over 2.5 goals 56%

0% Over 3.5 goals 22%

0% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 11%

28% Both teams scored 61%

39% Clean sheets 33%

44% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 33%

50% Draws 39%

33% Losses 28%

56% Over 0.5 goals 72%

11% Over 1.5 goals 28%

0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Gillingham at home

2

L

3

L

1

L

2

W

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

2

W

2

1

W

Carlisle away

3

D

4

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

1

2

L

1

W

D

5

2

W

2

1

W

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Gillingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.03.23	Gillingham – Crewe	2–1 (0–0)	1.75	3.50	5.50	2.30	1.60
18.03.23	Walsall – Gillingham	2–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.10	3.40	2.70	1.44
11.03.23	Gillingham – Tranmere	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.60	1.48
07.03.23	Stockport – Gillingham	0–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.50	5.75	2.35	1.57
04.03.23	Harrogate – Gillingham	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.00	2.63	2.25	1.62
28.02.23	Gillingham – Bradford	0–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.00	2.80	2.25	1.62
25.02.23	Gillingham – AFC Wimbledon	2–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.10	3.30	2.50	1.50
18.02.23	Rochdale – Gillingham	0–2 (0–1)	3.20	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60
14.02.23	Gillingham – Grimsby	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.10	3.00	2.30	1.60
11.02.23	Mansfield – Gillingham	2–0 (2–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.30	1.60

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.03.23	Bradford – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.10	3.20	2.25	1.62
18.03.23	Carlisle – Stevenage	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.10	2.25	1.62
11.03.23	Swindon – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75
04.03.23	Carlisle – Grimsby	2–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.75	5.00	2.20	1.65
25.02.23	Crawley Town – Carlisle	2–5 (0–4)	4.00	3.25	2.00	2.15	1.67
18.02.23	Carlisle – Colchester	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.30	1.60
14.02.23	Carlisle – Mansfield	0–4 (0–4)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.65
11.02.23	AFC Wimbledon – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.20	1.65
04.02.23	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.90	1.95
31.01.23	Carlisle – Barrow	5–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57

Gillingham at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.03.23	Gillingham – Crewe	2–1 (0–0)	1.75	3.50	5.50	2.30	1.60
11.03.23	Gillingham – Tranmere	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.60	1.48
28.02.23	Gillingham – Bradford	0–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.00	2.80	2.25	1.62
25.02.23	Gillingham – AFC Wimbledon	2–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.10	3.30	2.50	1.50
14.02.23	Gillingham – Grimsby	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.10	3.00	2.30	1.60
04.02.23	Gillingham – Crawley Town	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.33	2.25	1.62
14.01.23	Gillingham – Hartlepool	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.40	1.53
26.12.22	Gillingham – Colchester	0–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.10	3.25	2.50	1.50
03.12.22	Gillingham – Salford	0–3 (0–0)	3.40	3.30	2.15	2.40	1.53
12.11.22	Gillingham – Northampton	0–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.55	2.50	1.50

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.03.23	Bradford – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.10	3.20	2.25	1.62
11.03.23	Swindon – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75
25.02.23	Crawley Town – Carlisle	2–5 (0–4)	4.00	3.25	2.00	2.15	1.67
11.02.23	AFC Wimbledon – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.20	1.65
28.01.23	Rochdale – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	3.75	3.50	2.00	2.08	1.73
01.01.23	Doncaster – Carlisle	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	2.05	1.75
29.12.22	Crewe – Carlisle	0–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.20	2.10	1.70
20.12.22	Northampton – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.15	1.67
19.11.22	Salford – Carlisle	1–4 (0–1)	2.37	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
08.11.22	Harrogate – Carlisle	3–3 (1–1)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.07	1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Gillingham winsDrawsCarlisle wins

1matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.08.22E3	Carlisle – Gillingham	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.25	1.61

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	36	21	10	5	48	24	+24	73
2	Stevenage	36	19	10	7	50	31	+19	67
3	Carlisle	37	18	12	7	58	35	+23	66
4	Northampton	37	18	12	7	50	33	+17	66
5	Bradford	37	16	13	8	45	32	+13	61
6	Stockport	37	17	9	11	50	32	+18	60
7	Salford	37	17	8	12	57	42	+15	59
8	Mansfield	36	16	9	11	55	45	+10	57
9	Sutton	37	15	10	12	40	40	0	55
10	Barrow	37	15	7	15	38	42	-4	52
11	Swindon	36	13	12	11	49	42	+7	51
12	Doncaster	37	15	6	16	40	50	-10	51
13	Walsall	36	11	15	10	38	32	+6	48
14	Tranmere	37	13	9	15	36	38	-2	48
15	Grimsby	35	12	10	13	37	41	-4	46
16	AFC Wimbledon	37	10	13	14	38	43	-5	43
17	Newport County	37	10	13	14	38	43	-5	43
18	Crewe	37	9	15	13	34	47	-13	42
19	Gillingham	37	10	11	16	25	40	-15	41
20	Harrogate	37	9	11	17	42	54	-12	38
21	Colchester	37	9	9	19	33	45	-12	36
22	Crawley Town	36	8	9	19	39	59	-20	33
23	Hartlepool	37	6	13	18	40	66	-26	31
24	Rochdale	37	6	8	23	33	57	-24	26

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	19	13	5	1	27	8	+19	44
2	Stevenage	18	14	1	3	33	11	+22	43
3	Sutton	19	11	4	4	24	15	+9	37
4	Carlisle	19	10	6	3	28	16	+12	36
5	Northampton	19	10	5	4	24	15	+9	35
6	Stockport	19	9	7	3	25	14	+11	34
7	Salford	19	9	5	5	26	19	+7	32
8	Walsall	19	8	7	4	23	14	+9	31
9	Doncaster	18	10	1	7	24	21	+3	31
10	Barrow	18	9	3	6	21	15	+6	30
11	Bradford	19	7	8	4	24	17	+7	29
12	Tranmere	19	8	5	6	23	18	+5	29
13	Gillingham	18	8	4	6	15	17	-2	28
14	Mansfield	17	7	6	4	29	25	+4	27
15	Crewe	19	7	6	6	22	23	-1	27
16	Swindon	17	7	5	5	26	17	+9	26
17	AFC Wimbledon	18	6	6	6	20	20	0	24
18	Crawley Town	17	7	3	7	26	28	-2	24
19	Harrogate	19	5	7	7	23	27	-4	22
20	Grimsby	17	4	8	5	17	19	-2	20
21	Colchester	18	4	7	7	16	19	-3	19
22	Newport County	18	4	6	8	17	23	-6	18
23	Hartlepool	18	3	8	7	20	30	-10	17
24	Rochdale	19	3	4	12	19	30	-11	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	18	9	5	4	21	15	+6	32
2	Northampton	18	8	7	3	26	18	+8	31
3	Carlisle	18	8	6	4	30	19	+11	30
4	Mansfield	19	9	3	7	26	20	+6	30
5	Leyton Orient	17	8	5	4	21	16	+5	29
6	Salford	18	8	3	7	31	23	+8	27
7	Stockport	18	8	2	8	25	18	+7	26
8	Grimsby	18	8	2	8	20	22	-2	26
9	Newport County	19	6	7	6	21	20	+1	25
10	Swindon	19	6	7	6	23	25	-2	25
11	Stevenage	18	5	9	4	17	20	-3	24
12	Barrow	19	6	4	9	17	27	-10	22
13	Doncaster	19	5	5	9	16	29	-13	20
14	AFC Wimbledon	19	4	7	8	18	23	-5	19
15	Tranmere	18	5	4	9	13	20	-7	19
16	Sutton	18	4	6	8	16	25	-9	18
17	Walsall	17	3	8	6	15	18	-3	17
18	Colchester	19	5	2	12	17	26	-9	17
19	Harrogate	18	4	4	10	19	27	-8	16
20	Crewe	18	2	9	7	12	24	-12	15
21	Hartlepool	19	3	5	11	20	36	-16	14
22	Rochdale	18	3	4	11	14	27	-13	13
23	Gillingham	19	2	7	10	10	23	-13	13
24	Crawley Town	19	1	6	12	13	31	-18	9

Gillingham Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Hartlepool	37	16	21	1.1	1.8	6	13	18	40	66	31
2	8	Mansfield	36	17	19	1.5	1.2	16	9	11	55	45	57
3	20	Harrogate	37	18	19	1.1	1.5	9	11	17	42	54	38
4	22	Crawley Town	36	17	19	1.1	1.6	8	9	19	39	59	33
5	3	Carlisle	37	20	17	1.6	0.9	18	12	7	58	35	66
6	7	Salford	37	20	17	1.5	1.1	17	8	12	57	42	59
7	11	Swindon	36	19	17	1.4	1.2	13	12	11	49	42	51
8	12	Doncaster	37	20	17	1.1	1.4	15	6	16	40	50	51
9	24	Rochdale	37	21	16	0.9	1.5	6	8	23	33	57	26
10	2	Stevenage	36	21	15	1.4	0.9	19	10	7	50	31	67
11	4	Northampton	37	22	15	1.4	0.9	18	12	7	50	33	66
12	6	Stockport	37	22	15	1.4	0.9	17	9	11	50	32	60
13	9	Sutton	37	22	15	1.1	1.1	15	10	12	40	40	55
14	15	Grimsby	35	20	15	1.1	1.2	12	10	13	37	41	46
15	16	AFC Wimbledon	37	22	15	1.0	1.2	10	13	14	38	43	43
16	18	Crewe	37	22	15	0.9	1.3	9	15	13	34	47	42
17	5	Bradford	37	23	14	1.2	0.9	16	13	8	45	32	61
18	21	Colchester	37	24	13	0.9	1.2	9	9	19	33	45	36
19	10	Barrow	37	25	12	1.0	1.1	15	7	15	38	42	52
20	13	Walsall	36	24	12	1.1	0.9	11	15	10	38	32	48
21	17	Newport County	37	25	12	1.0	1.2	10	13	14	38	43	43
22	14	Tranmere	37	26	11	1.0	1.0	13	9	15	36	38	48
23	1	Leyton Orient	36	26	10	1.3	0.7	21	10	5	48	24	73
24	19	Gillingham	37	30	7	0.7	1.1	10	11	16	25	40	41

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Mansfield	17	7	10	1.7	1.5	7	6	4	29	25	27
2	20	Harrogate	19	9	10	1.2	1.4	5	7	7	23	27	22
3	22	Crawley Town	17	7	10	1.5	1.6	7	3	7	26	28	24
4	23	Hartlepool	18	8	10	1.1	1.7	3	8	7	20	30	17
5	2	Stevenage	18	9	9	1.8	0.6	14	1	3	33	11	43
6	4	Northampton	19	10	9	1.3	0.8	10	5	4	24	15	35
7	11	Swindon	17	8	9	1.5	1.0	7	5	5	26	17	26
8	24	Rochdale	19	10	9	1.0	1.6	3	4	12	19	30	13
9	7	Salford	19	11	8	1.4	1.0	9	5	5	26	19	32
10	12	Doncaster	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	10	1	7	24	21	31
11	18	Crewe	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	7	6	6	22	23	27
12	3	Carlisle	19	12	7	1.5	0.8	10	6	3	28	16	36
13	5	Bradford	19	12	7	1.3	0.9	7	8	4	24	17	29
14	9	Sutton	19	12	7	1.3	0.8	11	4	4	24	15	37
15	14	Tranmere	19	12	7	1.2	0.9	8	5	6	23	18	29
16	15	Grimsby	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	4	8	5	17	19	20
17	6	Stockport	19	13	6	1.3	0.7	9	7	3	25	14	34
18	10	Barrow	18	12	6	1.2	0.8	9	3	6	21	15	30
19	13	Walsall	19	13	6	1.2	0.7	8	7	4	23	14	31
20	16	AFC Wimbledon	18	12	6	1.1	1.1	6	6	6	20	20	24
21	17	Newport County	18	12	6	0.9	1.3	4	6	8	17	23	18
22	1	Leyton Orient	19	14	5	1.4	0.4	13	5	1	27	8	44
23	21	Colchester	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	4	7	7	16	19	19
24	19	Gillingham	18	14	4	0.8	0.9	8	4	6	15	17	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Hartlepool	19	8	11	1.1	1.9	3	5	11	20	36	14
2	3	Carlisle	18	8	10	1.7	1.1	8	6	4	30	19	30
3	6	Stockport	18	9	9	1.4	1.0	8	2	8	25	18	26
4	7	Salford	18	9	9	1.7	1.3	8	3	7	31	23	27
5	8	Mansfield	19	10	9	1.4	1.1	9	3	7	26	20	30
6	12	Doncaster	19	10	9	0.8	1.5	5	5	9	16	29	20
7	16	AFC Wimbledon	19	10	9	0.9	1.2	4	7	8	18	23	19
8	20	Harrogate	18	9	9	1.1	1.5	4	4	10	19	27	16
9	22	Crawley Town	19	10	9	0.7	1.6	1	6	12	13	31	9
10	9	Sutton	18	10	8	0.9	1.4	4	6	8	16	25	18
11	11	Swindon	19	11	8	1.2	1.3	6	7	6	23	25	25
12	15	Grimsby	18	10	8	1.1	1.2	8	2	8	20	22	26
13	21	Colchester	19	11	8	0.9	1.4	5	2	12	17	26	17
14	5	Bradford	18	11	7	1.2	0.8	9	5	4	21	15	32
15	18	Crewe	18	11	7	0.7	1.3	2	9	7	12	24	15
16	24	Rochdale	18	11	7	0.8	1.5	3	4	11	14	27	13
17	2	Stevenage	18	12	6	0.9	1.1	5	9	4	17	20	24
18	4	Northampton	18	12	6	1.4	1.0	8	7	3	26	18	31
19	10	Barrow	19	13	6	0.9	1.4	6	4	9	17	27	22
20	13	Walsall	17	11	6	0.9	1.1	3	8	6	15	18	17
21	17	Newport County	19	13	6	1.1	1.1	6	7	6	21	20	25
22	1	Leyton Orient	17	12	5	1.2	0.9	8	5	4	21	16	29
23	14	Tranmere	18	14	4	0.7	1.1	5	4	9	13	20	19
24	19	Gillingham	19	16	3	0.5	1.2	2	7	10	10	23	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.