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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: R Lewis

Exeter 3–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.34
Draw 3.40 fair 4.02
Away 3.40 fair 3.08
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.17
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Exeter Swindon
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 3
16 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (407 league matches this season so far).
Result Exeter to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
ExeterDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 2–1 9% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Exeter before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.47scored / match
1.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 47:33
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.68scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 57:41
Exeter all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.68
1.03 Goals conceded 1.21
2.50 Total goals 2.88
13.63 Shots 13.74
5.22 Shots on target 5.24
10.75 Shots faced 11.62
5.63 Corners 5.32
4.97 Corners against 4.65
10.25 Fouls 10.29
1.09 Yellow cards 1.71
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

44% Wins 44%
38% Draws 29%
19% Losses 26%
84% Over 0.5 goals 91%
75% Over 1.5 goals 85%
53% Over 2.5 goals 62%
25% Over 3.5 goals 32%
6% Over 4.5 goals 12%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
59% Both teams scored 68%
34% Clean sheets 26%
22% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 18%
56% Draws 59%
28% Losses 24%
59% Over 0.5 goals 53%
31% Over 1.5 goals 29%
9% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter all matches
Swindon all matches
Exeter before this match, at home
1.93points / match
1.60scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:14
Swindon before this match, away
1.94points / match
1.76scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:22
Exeter at home away Swindon

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.76
0.93 Goals conceded 1.29
2.53 Total goals 3.06
14.20 Shots 12.82
4.53 Shots on target 5.35
11.07 Shots faced 10.53
5.73 Corners 5.06
4.40 Corners against 4.71
9.73 Fouls 10.88
1.13 Yellow cards 1.94
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

53% Wins 59%
33% Draws 18%
13% Losses 24%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 94%
53% Over 2.5 goals 65%
27% Over 3.5 goals 35%
13% Over 4.5 goals 12%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 71%
40% Clean sheets 18%
27% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 24%
60% Draws 59%
27% Losses 18%
47% Over 0.5 goals 53%
27% Over 1.5 goals 29%
20% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.22 Mansfield – Exeter 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.87 2.20 1.65
26.02.22 Bristol Rvs – Exeter 1–1 (1–1) 2.623.302.70 2.10 1.70
15.02.22 Exeter – Harrogate 4–3 (1–2) 1.703.805.00 1.93 1.93
12.02.22 Bradford – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.87 2.10 1.70
08.02.22 Exeter – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.254.33 2.15 1.66
05.02.22 Swindon – Exeter 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.05 1.75
29.01.22 Exeter – Hartlepool 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.505.00 2.02 1.83
22.01.22 Walsall – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 2.623.252.75 2.15 1.66
15.01.22 Exeter – Scunthorpe 2–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
04.01.22 Forest Green – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.03.22 Bradford – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.80 1.98 1.88
26.02.22 Swindon – Salford 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.15 1.66
22.02.22 Swindon – Walsall 5–0 (2–0) 2.003.304.00 2.05 1.75
19.02.22 Carlisle – Swindon 0–3 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 2.15 1.66
12.02.22 Swindon – Scunthorpe 3–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00
08.02.22 Tranmere – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.07 1.72
05.02.22 Swindon – Exeter 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.05 1.75
01.02.22 Swindon – Crawley Town 1–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.33 1.85 2.00
29.01.22 Colchester – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
22.01.22 Swindon – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–1) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.00

Exeter at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.22 Exeter – Harrogate 4–3 (1–2) 1.703.805.00 1.93 1.93
08.02.22 Exeter – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.254.33 2.15 1.66
29.01.22 Exeter – Hartlepool 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.505.00 2.02 1.83
15.01.22 Exeter – Scunthorpe 2–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
11.12.21 Exeter – Tranmere 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.253.75 2.25 1.61
07.12.21 Exeter – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.50 2.15 1.66
20.11.21 Exeter – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 1.754.004.33 1.98 1.88
13.11.21 Exeter – Oldham 2–1 (1–0) 1.723.755.00 1.88 1.98
23.10.21 Exeter – Mansfield 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.00 1.80
16.10.21 Exeter – Newport County 2–2 (1–2) 2.153.403.40 2.15 1.66

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.03.22 Bradford – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.80 1.98 1.88
19.02.22 Carlisle – Swindon 0–3 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 2.15 1.66
08.02.22 Tranmere – Swindon 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.07 1.72
29.01.22 Colchester – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
15.01.22 Port Vale – Swindon 1–3 (1–2) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.70
11.01.22 Mansfield – Swindon 3–2 (3–1) 2.303.602.90 1.70 2.10
11.12.21 Barrow – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.15 1.66
07.12.21 Leyton Orient – Swindon 4–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
20.11.21 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.77
30.10.21 Oldham – Swindon 1–3 (0–1) 3.253.252.30 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Exeter winsDrawsSwindon wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.02.22E3 Swindon – Exeter 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.05 1.75

England League Two table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forest Green 34 19 11 4 64 29 +35 68
2 Northampton 35 17 9 9 42 29 +13 60
3 Sutton 34 16 9 9 53 39 +14 57
4 Newport County 35 15 11 9 56 45 +11 56
5 Mansfield 32 16 8 8 44 34 +10 56
6 Tranmere 35 16 8 11 38 30 +8 56
7 Swindon 34 15 10 9 57 41 +16 55
8 Exeter 32 14 12 6 47 33 +14 54
9 Bristol Rvs 34 14 9 11 46 41 +5 51
10 Port Vale 33 13 11 9 46 33 +13 50
11 Salford 33 13 9 11 38 31 +7 48
12 Hartlepool 34 13 8 13 36 44 -8 47
13 Crawley Town 33 12 9 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Harrogate 34 11 10 13 52 52 0 43
15 Bradford 35 9 13 13 38 45 -7 40
16 Walsall 35 10 10 15 37 47 -10 40
17 Rochdale 33 8 14 11 39 45 -6 38
18 Carlisle 34 9 10 15 28 46 -18 37
19 Colchester 35 8 12 15 33 49 -16 36
20 Leyton Orient 33 7 14 12 42 36 +6 35
21 Stevenage 35 7 13 15 32 54 -22 34
22 Barrow 34 7 12 15 31 41 -10 33
23 Oldham 33 7 10 16 34 51 -17 31
24 Scunthorpe 35 4 12 19 24 59 -35 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 18 12 3 3 31 19 +12 39
2 Sutton 18 11 4 3 31 15 +16 37
3 Tranmere 17 12 1 4 24 11 +13 37
4 Northampton 18 11 3 4 26 13 +13 36
5 Forest Green 16 11 2 3 27 11 +16 35
6 Newport County 18 9 6 3 36 21 +15 33
7 Hartlepool 16 9 5 2 22 14 +8 32
8 Bristol Rvs 17 9 3 5 24 19 +5 30
9 Exeter 15 8 5 2 24 14 +10 29
10 Port Vale 16 7 5 4 21 13 +8 26
11 Salford 16 6 7 3 18 13 +5 25
12 Stevenage 17 6 6 5 21 23 -2 24
13 Leyton Orient 18 6 5 7 26 16 +10 23
14 Walsall 17 6 5 6 24 23 +1 23
15 Swindon 17 5 7 5 27 19 +8 22
16 Harrogate 17 5 6 6 26 24 +2 21
17 Crawley Town 17 5 6 6 21 24 -3 21
18 Rochdale 15 4 8 3 19 16 +3 20
19 Bradford 18 4 8 6 23 25 -2 20
20 Colchester 18 4 8 6 19 23 -4 20
21 Carlisle 17 4 7 6 12 18 -6 19
22 Barrow 18 3 9 6 17 21 -4 18
23 Oldham 16 4 3 9 21 28 -7 15
24 Scunthorpe 17 3 5 9 12 23 -11 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forest Green 18 8 9 1 37 18 +19 33
2 Swindon 17 10 3 4 30 22 +8 33
3 Exeter 17 6 7 4 23 19 +4 25
4 Port Vale 17 6 6 5 25 20 +5 24
5 Crawley Town 16 7 3 6 20 20 0 24
6 Northampton 17 6 6 5 16 16 0 24
7 Salford 17 7 2 8 20 18 +2 23
8 Newport County 17 6 5 6 20 24 -4 23
9 Harrogate 17 6 4 7 26 28 -2 22
10 Bristol Rvs 17 5 6 6 22 22 0 21
11 Sutton 16 5 5 6 22 24 -2 20
12 Bradford 17 5 5 7 15 20 -5 20
13 Tranmere 18 4 7 7 14 19 -5 19
14 Rochdale 18 4 6 8 20 29 -9 18
15 Carlisle 17 5 3 9 16 28 -12 18
16 Mansfield 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
17 Walsall 18 4 5 9 13 24 -11 17
18 Oldham 17 3 7 7 13 23 -10 16
19 Colchester 17 4 4 9 14 26 -12 16
20 Barrow 16 4 3 9 14 20 -6 15
21 Hartlepool 18 4 3 11 14 30 -16 15
22 Leyton Orient 15 1 9 5 16 20 -4 12
23 Stevenage 18 1 7 10 11 31 -20 10
24 Scunthorpe 18 1 7 10 12 36 -24 10

Exeter   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Newport County 35 14 21 1.6 1.3 15 11 9 56 45 56
2 7 Swindon 34 13 21 1.7 1.2 15 10 9 57 41 55
3 14 Harrogate 34 14 20 1.5 1.5 11 10 13 52 52 43
4 23 Oldham 33 14 19 1.0 1.5 7 10 16 34 51 31
5 13 Crawley Town 33 15 18 1.2 1.3 12 9 12 41 44 45
6 8 Exeter 32 15 17 1.5 1.0 14 12 6 47 33 54
7 3 Sutton 34 18 16 1.6 1.1 16 9 9 53 39 57
8 17 Rochdale 33 17 16 1.2 1.4 8 14 11 39 45 38
9 18 Carlisle 34 18 16 0.8 1.4 9 10 15 28 46 37
10 21 Stevenage 35 19 16 0.9 1.5 7 13 15 32 54 34
11 5 Mansfield 32 17 15 1.4 1.1 16 8 8 44 34 56
12 9 Bristol Rvs 34 19 15 1.4 1.2 14 9 11 46 41 51
13 12 Hartlepool 34 19 15 1.1 1.3 13 8 13 36 44 47
14 15 Bradford 35 20 15 1.1 1.3 9 13 13 38 45 40
15 16 Walsall 35 20 15 1.1 1.3 10 10 15 37 47 40
16 19 Colchester 35 20 15 0.9 1.4 8 12 15 33 49 36
17 24 Scunthorpe 35 21 14 0.7 1.7 4 12 19 24 59 24
18 1 Forest Green 34 21 13 1.9 0.9 19 11 4 64 29 68
19 2 Northampton 35 23 12 1.2 0.8 17 9 9 42 29 60
20 10 Port Vale 33 21 12 1.4 1.0 13 11 9 46 33 50
21 11 Salford 33 21 12 1.2 0.9 13 9 11 38 31 48
22 20 Leyton Orient 33 21 12 1.3 1.1 7 14 12 42 36 35
23 22 Barrow 34 22 12 0.9 1.2 7 12 15 31 41 33
24 6 Tranmere 35 26 9 1.1 0.9 16 8 11 38 30 56
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Newport County 18 6 12 2.0 1.2 9 6 3 36 21 33
2 13 Crawley Town 17 6 11 1.2 1.4 5 6 6 21 24 21
3 23 Oldham 16 5 11 1.3 1.8 4 3 9 21 28 15
4 5 Mansfield 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 12 3 3 31 19 39
5 7 Swindon 17 7 10 1.6 1.1 5 7 5 27 19 22
6 14 Harrogate 17 7 10 1.5 1.4 5 6 6 26 24 21
7 16 Walsall 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 6 5 6 24 23 23
8 3 Sutton 18 9 9 1.7 0.8 11 4 3 31 15 37
9 15 Bradford 18 9 9 1.3 1.4 4 8 6 23 25 20
10 8 Exeter 15 7 8 1.6 0.9 8 5 2 24 14 29
11 9 Bristol Rvs 17 9 8 1.4 1.1 9 3 5 24 19 30
12 21 Stevenage 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 6 5 21 23 24
13 12 Hartlepool 16 9 7 1.4 0.9 9 5 2 22 14 32
14 20 Leyton Orient 18 11 7 1.4 0.9 6 5 7 26 16 23
15 2 Northampton 18 12 6 1.4 0.7 11 3 4 26 13 36
16 17 Rochdale 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 4 8 3 19 16 20
17 19 Colchester 18 12 6 1.1 1.3 4 8 6 19 23 20
18 22 Barrow 18 12 6 0.9 1.2 3 9 6 17 21 18
19 1 Forest Green 16 11 5 1.7 0.7 11 2 3 27 11 35
20 6 Tranmere 17 12 5 1.4 0.6 12 1 4 24 11 37
21 10 Port Vale 16 11 5 1.3 0.8 7 5 4 21 13 26
22 11 Salford 16 11 5 1.1 0.8 6 7 3 18 13 25
23 24 Scunthorpe 17 12 5 0.7 1.4 3 5 9 12 23 14
24 18 Carlisle 17 13 4 0.7 1.1 4 7 6 12 18 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Carlisle 17 5 12 0.9 1.6 5 3 9 16 28 18
2 7 Swindon 17 6 11 1.8 1.3 10 3 4 30 22 33
3 14 Harrogate 17 7 10 1.5 1.6 6 4 7 26 28 22
4 17 Rochdale 18 8 10 1.1 1.6 4 6 8 20 29 18
5 4 Newport County 17 8 9 1.2 1.4 6 5 6 20 24 23
6 8 Exeter 17 8 9 1.4 1.1 6 7 4 23 19 25
7 19 Colchester 17 8 9 0.8 1.5 4 4 9 14 26 16
8 24 Scunthorpe 18 9 9 0.7 2.0 1 7 10 12 36 10
9 1 Forest Green 18 10 8 2.1 1.0 8 9 1 37 18 33
10 12 Hartlepool 18 10 8 0.8 1.7 4 3 11 14 30 15
11 21 Stevenage 18 10 8 0.6 1.7 1 7 10 11 31 10
12 23 Oldham 17 9 8 0.8 1.4 3 7 7 13 23 16
13 3 Sutton 16 9 7 1.4 1.5 5 5 6 22 24 20
14 9 Bristol Rvs 17 10 7 1.3 1.3 5 6 6 22 22 21
15 10 Port Vale 17 10 7 1.5 1.2 6 6 5 25 20 24
16 11 Salford 17 10 7 1.2 1.1 7 2 8 20 18 23
17 13 Crawley Town 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 3 6 20 20 24
18 2 Northampton 17 11 6 0.9 0.9 6 6 5 16 16 24
19 15 Bradford 17 11 6 0.9 1.2 5 5 7 15 20 20
20 22 Barrow 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 4 3 9 14 20 15
21 5 Mansfield 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 4 5 5 13 15 17
22 16 Walsall 18 13 5 0.7 1.3 4 5 9 13 24 17
23 20 Leyton Orient 15 10 5 1.1 1.3 1 9 5 16 20 12
24 6 Tranmere 18 14 4 0.8 1.1 4 7 7 14 19 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51