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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: A Haines

Port Vale 1–3 Swindon

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2021/2022

Home 2.25 fair 2.15
Draw 3.30 fair 4.10
Away ✓ 3.25 fair 3.44
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 2.20
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Port Vale Swindon
5 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 8
1 Corners 8
9 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (275 league matches this season so far).
Result Port Vale to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
Port ValeDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 9.3%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Port Vale before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 35:23
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
1.57scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 36:29
Port Vale all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.57
1.10 Goals conceded 1.26
2.76 Total goals 2.83
11.57 Shots 13.00
4.43 Shots on target 4.96
10.48 Shots faced 11.61
5.24 Corners 5.09
3.43 Corners against 5.17
11.62 Fouls 10.52
1.76 Yellow cards 1.91
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

48% Wins 43%
24% Draws 30%
29% Losses 26%
90% Over 0.5 goals 87%
76% Over 1.5 goals 78%
48% Over 2.5 goals 57%
29% Over 3.5 goals 39%
24% Over 4.5 goals 13%
5% Over 5.5 goals 4%
57% Both teams scored 70%
33% Clean sheets 26%
19% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 13%
29% Draws 61%
19% Losses 26%
86% Over 0.5 goals 48%
33% Over 1.5 goals 26%
5% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Port Vale all matches
Swindon all matches
Port Vale before this match, at home
1.80points / match
1.60scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:8
Swindon before this match, away
1.92points / match
1.75scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:16
Port Vale at home away Swindon

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.75
0.80 Goals conceded 1.33
2.40 Total goals 3.08
12.80 Shots 12.33
3.90 Shots on target 5.25
9.90 Shots faced 10.58
4.90 Corners 5.08
3.00 Corners against 5.17
11.80 Fouls 10.83
1.10 Yellow cards 1.92
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 58%
30% Draws 17%
20% Losses 25%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 92%
40% Over 2.5 goals 58%
30% Over 3.5 goals 42%
20% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 17%
30% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 17%
40% Draws 67%
20% Losses 17%
70% Over 0.5 goals 42%
20% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Port Vale at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Port Vale all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.21 Newport County – Port Vale 2–1 (0–1) 2.373.403.00 2.15 1.66
07.12.21 Bristol Rvs – Port Vale 1–2 (0–2) 2.873.302.50 2.00 1.85
27.11.21 Port Vale – Hartlepool 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 2.00 1.85
23.11.21 Port Vale – Walsall 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.404.00 2.30 1.60
20.11.21 Oldham – Port Vale 3–2 (1–1) 4.103.401.95 2.05 1.75
13.11.21 Port Vale – Bradford 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.02 1.83
30.10.21 Crawley Town – Port Vale 1–4 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.05 1.75
23.10.21 Port Vale – Colchester 3–0 (2–0) 1.723.505.25 2.15 1.66
19.10.21 Mansfield – Port Vale 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.30 2.20 1.65
16.10.21 Port Vale – Barrow 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.203.80 2.10 1.70

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.22 Mansfield – Swindon 3–2 (3–1) 2.303.602.90 1.70 2.10
01.01.22 Swindon – Northampton 5–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 1.98 1.88
29.12.21 Swindon – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 2.00 1.85
11.12.21 Barrow – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.15 1.66
07.12.21 Leyton Orient – Swindon 4–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
27.11.21 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 1.83 2.02
23.11.21 Swindon – Hartlepool 3–1 (0–0) 1.753.754.60 1.98 1.88
20.11.21 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.77
30.10.21 Oldham – Swindon 1–3 (0–1) 3.253.252.30 2.10 1.70
23.10.21 Swindon – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.303.00 2.10 1.70

Port Vale at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.11.21 Port Vale – Hartlepool 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 2.00 1.85
23.11.21 Port Vale – Walsall 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.404.00 2.30 1.60
13.11.21 Port Vale – Bradford 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.40 2.02 1.83
23.10.21 Port Vale – Colchester 3–0 (2–0) 1.723.505.25 2.15 1.66
16.10.21 Port Vale – Barrow 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.203.80 2.10 1.70
02.10.21 Port Vale – Leyton Orient 3–2 (1–0) 2.303.103.40 2.25 1.61
18.09.21 Port Vale – Harrogate 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.05 1.75
04.09.21 Port Vale – Rochdale 2–3 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.70
17.08.21 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.25 1.61
14.08.21 Port Vale – Tranmere 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.15 1.66

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.22 Mansfield – Swindon 3–2 (3–1) 2.303.602.90 1.70 2.10
11.12.21 Barrow – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.15 1.66
07.12.21 Leyton Orient – Swindon 4–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
20.11.21 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.77
30.10.21 Oldham – Swindon 1–3 (0–1) 3.253.252.30 2.10 1.70
19.10.21 Sutton – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.303.303.20 2.07 1.72
09.10.21 Forest Green – Swindon 0–2 (0–0) 1.833.754.20 2.05 1.75
02.10.21 Bristol Rvs – Swindon 1–3 (1–0) 2.373.303.10 2.15 1.66
18.09.21 Northampton – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 2.07 1.72
04.09.21 Stevenage – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.30 1.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Port Vale winsDrawsSwindon wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.09.21E3 Swindon – Port Vale 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.103.10 2.35 1.57

England League Two table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forest Green 23 15 6 2 47 20 +27 51
2 Tranmere 24 12 6 6 25 15 +10 42
3 Northampton 23 12 4 7 31 23 +8 40
4 Sutton 23 12 3 8 35 28 +7 39
5 Newport County 25 10 8 7 42 34 +8 38
6 Swindon 23 10 7 6 36 29 +7 37
7 Port Vale 21 10 5 6 35 23 +12 35
8 Mansfield 23 10 5 8 30 30 0 35
9 Exeter 23 8 10 5 33 26 +7 34
10 Leyton Orient 22 7 10 5 37 21 +16 31
11 Salford 23 8 7 8 27 22 +5 31
12 Crawley Town 22 9 4 9 27 31 -4 31
13 Harrogate 23 8 6 9 35 35 0 30
14 Bradford 23 6 11 6 29 28 +1 29
15 Walsall 23 7 8 8 29 30 -1 29
16 Hartlepool 23 8 4 11 24 34 -10 28
17 Rochdale 22 6 9 7 30 30 0 27
18 Bristol Rvs 21 7 5 9 27 33 -6 26
19 Carlisle 23 6 7 10 18 29 -11 25
20 Barrow 23 5 8 10 23 28 -5 23
21 Stevenage 24 5 8 11 19 37 -18 23
22 Colchester 22 5 7 10 17 30 -13 22
23 Scunthorpe 24 3 10 11 19 42 -23 19
24 Oldham 24 4 6 14 22 39 -17 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tranmere 12 9 0 3 17 6 +11 27
2 Mansfield 14 8 3 3 23 17 +6 27
3 Forest Green 12 8 2 2 20 9 +11 26
4 Sutton 11 8 0 3 19 10 +9 24
5 Hartlepool 12 7 3 2 16 11 +5 24
6 Northampton 11 7 1 3 16 8 +8 22
7 Leyton Orient 11 6 3 2 24 7 +17 21
8 Newport County 12 6 3 3 24 13 +11 21
9 Salford 13 5 6 2 15 8 +7 21
10 Exeter 11 5 4 2 17 11 +6 19
11 Port Vale 10 5 3 2 16 8 +8 18
12 Walsall 12 4 5 3 19 17 +2 17
13 Stevenage 12 4 5 3 13 14 -1 17
14 Bradford 11 3 7 1 17 13 +4 16
15 Bristol Rvs 11 5 1 5 17 18 -1 16
16 Crawley Town 11 4 3 4 15 17 -2 15
17 Swindon 11 3 5 3 15 13 +2 14
18 Rochdale 11 3 5 3 14 12 +2 14
19 Barrow 12 3 5 4 14 14 0 14
20 Carlisle 11 3 5 3 8 9 -1 14
21 Harrogate 11 3 4 4 18 18 0 13
22 Colchester 10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
23 Scunthorpe 11 2 4 5 8 16 -8 10
24 Oldham 12 2 2 8 16 25 -9 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forest Green 11 7 4 0 27 11 +16 25
2 Swindon 12 7 2 3 21 16 +5 23
3 Northampton 12 5 3 4 15 15 0 18
4 Port Vale 11 5 2 4 19 15 +4 17
5 Harrogate 12 5 2 5 17 17 0 17
6 Newport County 13 4 5 4 18 21 -3 17
7 Crawley Town 11 5 1 5 12 14 -2 16
8 Exeter 12 3 6 3 16 15 +1 15
9 Tranmere 12 3 6 3 8 9 -1 15
10 Sutton 12 4 3 5 16 18 -2 15
11 Rochdale 11 3 4 4 16 18 -2 13
12 Bradford 12 3 4 5 12 15 -3 13
13 Walsall 11 3 3 5 10 13 -3 12
14 Carlisle 12 3 2 7 10 20 -10 11
15 Leyton Orient 11 1 7 3 13 14 -1 10
16 Salford 10 3 1 6 12 14 -2 10
17 Bristol Rvs 10 2 4 4 10 15 -5 10
18 Oldham 12 2 4 6 6 14 -8 10
19 Colchester 12 2 4 6 7 18 -11 10
20 Barrow 11 2 3 6 9 14 -5 9
21 Scunthorpe 13 1 6 6 11 26 -15 9
22 Mansfield 9 2 2 5 7 13 -6 8
23 Stevenage 12 1 3 8 6 23 -17 6
24 Hartlepool 11 1 1 9 8 23 -15 4

Port Vale   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Newport County 25 7 18 1.7 1.4 10 8 7 42 34 38
2 9 Exeter 23 9 14 1.4 1.1 8 10 5 33 26 34
3 24 Oldham 24 10 14 0.9 1.6 4 6 14 22 39 18
4 6 Swindon 23 10 13 1.6 1.3 10 7 6 36 29 37
5 13 Harrogate 23 10 13 1.5 1.5 8 6 9 35 35 30
6 4 Sutton 23 11 12 1.5 1.2 12 3 8 35 28 39
7 8 Mansfield 23 11 12 1.3 1.3 10 5 8 30 30 35
8 12 Crawley Town 22 10 12 1.2 1.4 9 4 9 27 31 31
9 15 Walsall 23 11 12 1.3 1.3 7 8 8 29 30 29
10 17 Rochdale 22 10 12 1.4 1.4 6 9 7 30 30 27
11 18 Bristol Rvs 21 9 12 1.3 1.6 7 5 9 27 33 26
12 16 Hartlepool 23 12 11 1.0 1.5 8 4 11 24 34 28
13 3 Northampton 23 13 10 1.3 1.0 12 4 7 31 23 40
14 7 Port Vale 21 11 10 1.7 1.1 10 5 6 35 23 35
15 10 Leyton Orient 22 12 10 1.7 1.0 7 10 5 37 21 31
16 14 Bradford 23 13 10 1.3 1.2 6 11 6 29 28 29
17 19 Carlisle 23 13 10 0.8 1.3 6 7 10 18 29 25
18 21 Stevenage 24 14 10 0.8 1.5 5 8 11 19 37 23
19 23 Scunthorpe 24 14 10 0.8 1.8 3 10 11 19 42 19
20 1 Forest Green 23 14 9 2.0 0.9 15 6 2 47 20 51
21 20 Barrow 23 14 9 1.0 1.2 5 8 10 23 28 23
22 11 Salford 23 15 8 1.2 1.0 8 7 8 27 22 31
23 22 Colchester 22 14 8 0.8 1.4 5 7 10 17 30 22
24 2 Tranmere 24 19 5 1.0 0.6 12 6 6 25 15 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Newport County 12 3 9 2.0 1.1 6 3 3 24 13 21
2 24 Oldham 12 3 9 1.3 2.1 2 2 8 16 25 8
3 8 Mansfield 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 8 3 3 23 17 27
4 12 Crawley Town 11 3 8 1.4 1.5 4 3 4 15 17 15
5 15 Walsall 12 4 8 1.6 1.4 4 5 3 19 17 17
6 18 Bristol Rvs 11 3 8 1.5 1.6 5 1 5 17 18 16
7 9 Exeter 11 4 7 1.5 1.0 5 4 2 17 11 19
8 13 Harrogate 11 4 7 1.6 1.6 3 4 4 18 18 13
9 4 Sutton 11 5 6 1.7 0.9 8 0 3 19 10 24
10 6 Swindon 11 5 6 1.4 1.2 3 5 3 15 13 14
11 10 Leyton Orient 11 5 6 2.2 0.6 6 3 2 24 7 21
12 16 Hartlepool 12 6 6 1.3 0.9 7 3 2 16 11 24
13 14 Bradford 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 3 7 1 17 13 16
14 17 Rochdale 11 6 5 1.3 1.1 3 5 3 14 12 14
15 20 Barrow 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 14 14 14
16 3 Northampton 11 7 4 1.5 0.7 7 1 3 16 8 22
17 7 Port Vale 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 3 2 16 8 18
18 21 Stevenage 12 8 4 1.1 1.2 4 5 3 13 14 17
19 1 Forest Green 12 9 3 1.7 0.8 8 2 2 20 9 26
20 2 Tranmere 12 9 3 1.4 0.5 9 0 3 17 6 27
21 11 Salford 13 10 3 1.2 0.6 5 6 2 15 8 21
22 22 Colchester 10 7 3 1.0 1.2 3 3 4 10 12 12
23 23 Scunthorpe 11 8 3 0.7 1.5 2 4 5 8 16 10
24 19 Carlisle 11 9 2 0.7 0.8 3 5 3 8 9 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Newport County 13 4 9 1.4 1.6 4 5 4 18 21 17
2 19 Carlisle 12 4 8 0.8 1.7 3 2 7 10 20 11
3 6 Swindon 12 5 7 1.8 1.3 7 2 3 21 16 23
4 9 Exeter 12 5 7 1.3 1.2 3 6 3 16 15 15
5 17 Rochdale 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 3 4 4 16 18 13
6 23 Scunthorpe 13 6 7 0.8 2.0 1 6 6 11 26 9
7 1 Forest Green 11 5 6 2.5 1.0 7 4 0 27 11 25
8 3 Northampton 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 5 3 4 15 15 18
9 4 Sutton 12 6 6 1.3 1.5 4 3 5 16 18 15
10 7 Port Vale 11 5 6 1.7 1.4 5 2 4 19 15 17
11 13 Harrogate 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 5 2 5 17 17 17
12 21 Stevenage 12 6 6 0.5 1.9 1 3 8 6 23 6
13 11 Salford 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 3 1 6 12 14 10
14 14 Bradford 12 7 5 1.0 1.2 3 4 5 12 15 13
15 16 Hartlepool 11 6 5 0.7 2.1 1 1 9 8 23 4
16 22 Colchester 12 7 5 0.6 1.5 2 4 6 7 18 10
17 24 Oldham 12 7 5 0.5 1.2 2 4 6 6 14 10
18 8 Mansfield 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 2 2 5 7 13 8
19 10 Leyton Orient 11 7 4 1.2 1.3 1 7 3 13 14 10
20 12 Crawley Town 11 7 4 1.1 1.3 5 1 5 12 14 16
21 15 Walsall 11 7 4 0.9 1.2 3 3 5 10 13 12
22 18 Bristol Rvs 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 2 4 4 10 15 10
23 20 Barrow 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 2 3 6 9 14 9
24 2 Tranmere 12 10 2 0.7 0.8 3 6 3 8 9 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51