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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: C Breakspear

Cardiff 2–1 Stevenage

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.71 fair 2.14
Draw 3.30 fair 3.91
Away 5.00 fair 3.62
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.95
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.05

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Stevenage
22 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 4
11 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (255 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawStevenage
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 11% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
2.10points / match
1.81scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 38:22
Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.20scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:15
Cardiff all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.20
1.05 Goals conceded 0.75
2.86 Total goals 1.95
14.14 Shots 9.00
5.14 Shots on target 3.25
13.43 Shots faced 10.00
4.71 Corners 4.55
5.19 Corners against 3.75
10.43 Fouls 12.65
1.81 Yellow cards 2.25
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

67% Wins 50%
10% Draws 30%
24% Losses 20%
95% Over 0.5 goals 85%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
57% Over 2.5 goals 30%
33% Over 3.5 goals 20%
14% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
48% Both teams scored 40%
43% Clean sheets 40%
14% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 25%
48% Draws 60%
24% Losses 15%
62% Over 0.5 goals 55%
19% Over 1.5 goals 20%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Stevenage all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
2.45points / match
2.45scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 27:14
Stevenage before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.18scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:10
Cardiff at home away Stevenage

Per match

2.45 Goals scored 1.18
1.27 Goals conceded 0.91
3.73 Total goals 2.09
15.73 Shots 8.55
6.82 Shots on target 3.45
12.27 Shots faced 10.73
5.18 Corners 5.00
4.91 Corners against 3.73
10.91 Fouls 13.55
2.27 Yellow cards 2.27
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

82% Wins 45%
0% Draws 27%
18% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
82% Over 1.5 goals 45%
82% Over 2.5 goals 36%
45% Over 3.5 goals 27%
27% Over 4.5 goals 18%
18% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 45%
36% Clean sheets 27%
9% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 27%
36% Draws 55%
27% Losses 18%
82% Over 0.5 goals 55%
36% Over 1.5 goals 18%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Stevenage away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 Cardiff – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 1.514.005.75 1.73 2.08
20.12.25 Lincoln – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.252.65 2.00 1.85
13.12.25 Cardiff – Doncaster 4–3 (2–2) 1.763.803.90 1.67 2.15
09.12.25 Stevenage – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.202.40 2.10 1.70
06.12.25 Cardiff – Huddersfield 3–2 (1–0) 2.053.603.20 1.67 2.15
29.11.25 Cardiff – Mansfield 3–0 (1–0) 1.793.604.10 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Northampton – Cardiff 1–3 (0–1) 3.403.502.01 2.03 1.83
08.11.25 Blackpool – Cardiff 3–1 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.60 1.67 2.15
18.10.25 Cardiff – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.005.25 1.70 2.10

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 AFC Wimbledon – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.822.752.65 2.88 1.40
20.12.25 Stevenage – Burton 2–2 (0–1) 1.793.304.33 2.20 1.65
13.12.25 Stockport – Stevenage 1–3 (0–1) 1.813.254.20 2.25 1.62
09.12.25 Stevenage – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.202.40 2.10 1.70
29.11.25 Wigan – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.152.953.40 2.50 1.50
25.11.25 Peterboro – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.052.85 2.15 1.67
22.11.25 Stevenage – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
06.11.25 Reading – Stevenage 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.252.45 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Stevenage – Bradford 1–1 (1–1) 2.323.252.85 2.10 1.70
18.10.25 Lincoln – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.252.95 2.30 1.60

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 Cardiff – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 1.514.005.75 1.73 2.08
13.12.25 Cardiff – Doncaster 4–3 (2–2) 1.763.803.90 1.67 2.15
06.12.25 Cardiff – Huddersfield 3–2 (1–0) 2.053.603.20 1.67 2.15
29.11.25 Cardiff – Mansfield 3–0 (1–0) 1.793.604.10 1.70 2.10
18.10.25 Cardiff – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.005.25 1.70 2.10
04.10.25 Cardiff – Leyton Orient 4–3 (1–1) 1.623.904.75 1.70 2.10
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10
20.09.25 Cardiff – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 1.793.504.20 1.85 2.00
30.08.25 Cardiff – Plymouth 4–0 (2–0) 1.494.505.50 1.83 2.03
16.08.25 Cardiff – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.754.75 1.93 1.93

Stevenage away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 AFC Wimbledon – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.822.752.65 2.88 1.40
13.12.25 Stockport – Stevenage 1–3 (0–1) 1.813.254.20 2.25 1.62
29.11.25 Wigan – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.152.953.40 2.50 1.50
25.11.25 Peterboro – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.052.85 2.15 1.67
06.11.25 Reading – Stevenage 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.252.45 2.15 1.67
18.10.25 Lincoln – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.252.95 2.30 1.60
27.09.25 Leyton Orient – Stevenage 2–3 (1–1) 2.503.202.65 2.20 1.65
13.09.25 Mansfield – Stevenage 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.252.75 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Huddersfield – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.303.90 2.20 1.65
19.08.25 Port Vale – Stevenage 1–2 (1–0) 2.453.003.00 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsStevenage wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.25E2 Stevenage – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.202.40 2.10 1.70

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 21 14 2 5 38 22 +16 44
2 Lincoln 22 12 5 5 32 23 +9 41
3 Bradford 21 11 7 3 31 21 +10 40
4 Bolton 21 10 7 4 30 20 +10 37
5 Stevenage 20 10 6 4 24 15 +9 36
6 Stockport 21 10 5 6 29 27 +2 35
7 Huddersfield 22 10 4 8 40 31 +9 34
8 Luton 22 9 5 8 30 28 +2 32
9 Barnsley 19 8 4 7 32 30 +2 28
10 Wycombe 22 7 7 8 28 26 +2 28
11 Reading 21 7 7 7 28 27 +1 28
12 Leyton Orient 22 8 4 10 34 35 -1 28
13 Peterboro 21 9 1 11 25 27 -2 28
14 AFC Wimbledon 21 8 4 9 24 29 -5 28
15 Burton 21 7 6 8 23 27 -4 27
16 Northampton 21 8 3 10 22 26 -4 27
17 Mansfield 21 7 5 9 27 28 -1 26
18 Wigan 21 6 8 7 23 25 -2 26
19 Blackpool 22 7 5 10 25 30 -5 26
20 Plymouth 22 8 1 13 27 37 -10 25
21 Rotherham 22 6 6 10 22 29 -7 24
22 Exeter 21 7 2 12 21 21 0 23
23 Doncaster 22 6 4 12 21 36 -15 22
24 Port Vale 21 3 6 12 13 29 -16 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 11 8 3 0 22 6 +16 27
2 Cardiff 11 9 0 2 27 14 +13 27
3 Lincoln 11 8 2 1 20 10 +10 26
4 Bradford 11 8 2 1 19 10 +9 26
5 Huddersfield 11 6 3 2 23 11 +12 21
6 Wycombe 11 6 2 3 21 12 +9 20
7 Leyton Orient 11 5 4 2 18 11 +7 19
8 Stevenage 9 5 3 1 11 5 +6 18
9 Luton 11 5 3 3 14 10 +4 18
10 Reading 11 5 3 3 13 12 +1 18
11 Exeter 10 5 2 3 16 8 +8 17
12 Wigan 10 5 2 3 11 7 +4 17
13 Northampton 11 5 2 4 13 10 +3 17
14 Barnsley 9 5 1 3 20 14 +6 16
15 Peterboro 11 5 1 5 15 12 +3 16
16 Rotherham 11 4 4 3 15 15 0 16
17 Blackpool 11 4 4 3 16 17 -1 16
18 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 3 3 10 7 +3 15
19 Stockport 11 4 3 4 12 14 -2 15
20 Mansfield 10 4 2 4 15 12 +3 14
21 Doncaster 11 4 2 5 13 17 -4 14
22 Burton 11 4 2 5 11 15 -4 14
23 Plymouth 11 3 1 7 10 18 -8 10
24 Port Vale 10 1 3 6 5 12 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 10 6 2 2 17 13 +4 20
2 Stevenage 11 5 3 3 13 10 +3 18
3 Cardiff 10 5 2 3 11 8 +3 17
4 Lincoln 11 4 3 4 12 13 -1 15
5 Plymouth 11 5 0 6 17 19 -2 15
6 Bradford 10 3 5 2 12 11 +1 14
7 Luton 11 4 2 5 16 18 -2 14
8 Burton 10 3 4 3 12 12 0 13
9 Huddersfield 11 4 1 6 17 20 -3 13
10 AFC Wimbledon 11 4 1 6 14 22 -8 13
11 Barnsley 10 3 3 4 12 16 -4 12
12 Mansfield 11 3 3 5 12 16 -4 12
13 Peterboro 10 4 0 6 10 15 -5 12
14 Reading 10 2 4 4 15 15 0 10
15 Blackpool 11 3 1 7 9 13 -4 10
16 Bolton 10 2 4 4 8 14 -6 10
17 Northampton 10 3 1 6 9 16 -7 10
18 Wigan 11 1 6 4 12 18 -6 9
19 Leyton Orient 11 3 0 8 16 24 -8 9
20 Port Vale 11 2 3 6 8 17 -9 9
21 Rotherham 11 2 2 7 7 14 -7 8
22 Wycombe 11 1 5 5 7 14 -7 8
23 Doncaster 11 2 2 7 8 19 -11 8
24 Exeter 11 2 0 9 5 13 -8 6

Cardiff   Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Huddersfield 22 7 15 1.8 1.4 10 4 8 40 31 34
2 12 Leyton Orient 22 9 13 1.5 1.6 8 4 10 34 35 28
3 1 Cardiff 21 9 12 1.8 1.0 14 2 5 38 22 44
4 3 Bradford 21 9 12 1.5 1.0 11 7 3 31 21 40
5 6 Stockport 21 9 12 1.4 1.3 10 5 6 29 27 35
6 9 Barnsley 19 7 12 1.7 1.6 8 4 7 32 30 28
7 13 Peterboro 21 9 12 1.2 1.3 9 1 11 25 27 28
8 21 Rotherham 22 10 12 1.0 1.3 6 6 10 22 29 24
9 2 Lincoln 22 11 11 1.5 1.0 12 5 5 32 23 41
10 8 Luton 22 11 11 1.4 1.3 9 5 8 30 28 32
11 10 Wycombe 22 11 11 1.3 1.2 7 7 8 28 26 28
12 14 AFC Wimbledon 21 10 11 1.1 1.4 8 4 9 24 29 28
13 15 Burton 21 10 11 1.1 1.3 7 6 8 23 27 27
14 17 Mansfield 21 10 11 1.3 1.3 7 5 9 27 28 26
15 20 Plymouth 22 11 11 1.2 1.7 8 1 13 27 37 25
16 23 Doncaster 22 11 11 1.0 1.6 6 4 12 21 36 22
17 4 Bolton 21 12 9 1.4 1.0 10 7 4 30 20 37
18 11 Reading 21 12 9 1.3 1.3 7 7 7 28 27 28
19 16 Northampton 21 12 9 1.0 1.2 8 3 10 22 26 27
20 19 Blackpool 22 13 9 1.1 1.4 7 5 10 25 30 26
21 24 Port Vale 21 13 8 0.6 1.4 3 6 12 13 29 15
22 18 Wigan 21 14 7 1.1 1.2 6 8 7 23 25 26
23 22 Exeter 21 14 7 1.0 1.0 7 2 12 21 21 23
24 5 Stevenage 20 14 6 1.2 0.8 10 6 4 24 15 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 11 2 9 2.5 1.3 9 0 2 27 14 27
2 3 Bradford 11 4 7 1.7 0.9 8 2 1 19 10 26
3 7 Huddersfield 11 4 7 2.1 1.0 6 3 2 23 11 21
4 10 Wycombe 11 4 7 1.9 1.1 6 2 3 21 12 20
5 21 Rotherham 11 4 7 1.4 1.4 4 4 3 15 15 16
6 2 Lincoln 11 5 6 1.8 0.9 8 2 1 20 10 26
7 4 Bolton 11 5 6 2.0 0.5 8 3 0 22 6 27
8 9 Barnsley 9 3 6 2.2 1.6 5 1 3 20 14 16
9 13 Peterboro 11 5 6 1.4 1.1 5 1 5 15 12 16
10 15 Burton 11 5 6 1.0 1.4 4 2 5 11 15 14
11 19 Blackpool 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 4 4 3 16 17 16
12 23 Doncaster 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 4 2 5 13 17 14
13 6 Stockport 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 4 3 4 12 14 15
14 12 Leyton Orient 11 6 5 1.6 1.0 5 4 2 18 11 19
15 17 Mansfield 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 4 2 4 15 12 14
16 20 Plymouth 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 3 1 7 10 18 10
17 8 Luton 11 7 4 1.3 0.9 5 3 3 14 10 18
18 11 Reading 11 7 4 1.2 1.1 5 3 3 13 12 18
19 16 Northampton 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 5 2 4 13 10 17
20 22 Exeter 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 2 3 16 8 17
21 24 Port Vale 10 6 4 0.5 1.2 1 3 6 5 12 6
22 14 AFC Wimbledon 10 7 3 1.0 0.7 4 3 3 10 7 15
23 5 Stevenage 9 7 2 1.2 0.6 5 3 1 11 5 18
24 18 Wigan 10 8 2 1.1 0.7 5 2 3 11 7 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Huddersfield 11 3 8 1.5 1.8 4 1 6 17 20 13
2 12 Leyton Orient 11 3 8 1.5 2.2 3 0 8 16 24 9
3 14 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 8 1.3 2.0 4 1 6 14 22 13
4 6 Stockport 10 3 7 1.7 1.3 6 2 2 17 13 20
5 8 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 4 2 5 16 18 14
6 9 Barnsley 10 4 6 1.2 1.6 3 3 4 12 16 12
7 13 Peterboro 10 4 6 1.0 1.5 4 0 6 10 15 12
8 17 Mansfield 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 5 12 16 12
9 20 Plymouth 11 5 6 1.5 1.7 5 0 6 17 19 15
10 2 Lincoln 11 6 5 1.1 1.2 4 3 4 12 13 15
11 3 Bradford 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 3 5 2 12 11 14
12 11 Reading 10 5 5 1.5 1.5 2 4 4 15 15 10
13 15 Burton 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 3 4 3 12 12 13
14 16 Northampton 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 3 1 6 9 16 10
15 18 Wigan 11 6 5 1.1 1.6 1 6 4 12 18 9
16 21 Rotherham 11 6 5 0.6 1.3 2 2 7 7 14 8
17 23 Doncaster 11 6 5 0.7 1.7 2 2 7 8 19 8
18 5 Stevenage 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 5 3 3 13 10 18
19 10 Wycombe 11 7 4 0.6 1.3 1 5 5 7 14 8
20 24 Port Vale 11 7 4 0.7 1.5 2 3 6 8 17 9
21 1 Cardiff 10 7 3 1.1 0.8 5 2 3 11 8 17
22 4 Bolton 10 7 3 0.8 1.4 2 4 4 8 14 10
23 19 Blackpool 11 8 3 0.8 1.2 3 1 7 9 13 10
24 22 Exeter 11 8 3 0.5 1.2 2 0 9 5 13 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51