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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: O Yates

Stevenage 4–1 Exeter

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.65 fair 2.28
Draw 3.60 fair 3.58
Away 5.50 fair 3.55
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.67
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.49

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stevenage Exeter
15 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 4
16 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (327 league matches this season so far).
Result Stevenage to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.30 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
StevenageDrawExeter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.2% 1–1 13% 0–0 10.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
0.88scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 23:24
Exeter before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.14scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 32:42
Stevenage all matches all matches Exeter

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.14
0.92 Goals conceded 1.50
1.81 Total goals 2.64
10.38 Shots 9.71
3.46 Shots on target 3.00
9.00 Shots faced 13.14
5.15 Corners 5.25
5.42 Corners against 5.11
13.42 Fouls 13.21
2.27 Yellow cards 1.96
0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

38% Wins 32%
27% Draws 18%
35% Losses 50%
77% Over 0.5 goals 93%
54% Over 1.5 goals 75%
35% Over 2.5 goals 50%
8% Over 3.5 goals 18%
8% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
27% Both teams scored 50%
54% Clean sheets 32%
42% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 29%
58% Draws 32%
23% Losses 39%
46% Over 0.5 goals 71%
15% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage all matches
Exeter all matches
Stevenage before this match, at home
1.64points / match
1.14scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:14
Exeter before this match, away
1.08points / match
0.85scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:16
Stevenage at home away Exeter

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 0.85
1.00 Goals conceded 1.23
2.14 Total goals 2.08
10.21 Shots 7.92
3.29 Shots on target 2.38
7.79 Shots faced 13.31
5.57 Corners 4.62
4.43 Corners against 5.15
14.29 Fouls 13.85
2.36 Yellow cards 2.54
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

50% Wins 31%
14% Draws 15%
36% Losses 54%
93% Over 0.5 goals 92%
64% Over 1.5 goals 77%
43% Over 2.5 goals 38%
7% Over 3.5 goals 0%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 38%
50% Clean sheets 31%
29% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 31%
57% Draws 31%
21% Losses 38%
50% Over 0.5 goals 77%
21% Over 1.5 goals 15%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stevenage at home
Exeter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.25 Wrexham – Stevenage 2–3 (0–2) 1.953.104.33 2.70 1.44
25.01.25 Barnsley – Stevenage 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 2.08 1.73
18.01.25 Stevenage – Wigan 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.103.20 2.50 1.50
04.01.25 Lincoln – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.103.90 2.50 1.50
01.01.25 Northampton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.00 2.35 1.57
29.12.24 Stevenage – Bristol Rvs 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.50 2.20 1.65
26.12.24 Stevenage – Wycombe 0–3 (0–2) 3.003.202.30 2.20 1.65
21.12.24 Blackpool – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.40 2.20 1.65
14.12.24 Stevenage – Stockport 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
03.12.24 Stevenage – Northampton 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.403.90 2.20 1.65

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.25 Exeter – Leyton Orient 2–6 (0–4) 3.203.252.20 2.15 1.67
25.01.25 Exeter – Blackpool 1–3 (0–3) 2.903.252.38 1.98 1.88
21.01.25 Peterboro – Exeter 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.503.80 1.67 2.10
18.01.25 Birmingham – Exeter 1–0 (1–0) 1.305.009.50 1.67 2.15
04.01.25 Exeter – Bolton 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.88 1.98
01.01.25 Wycombe – Exeter 2–1 (0–0) 1.574.205.00 1.85 2.00
29.12.24 Exeter – Crawley Town 4–4 (1–4) 1.704.104.33 1.85 2.00
26.12.24 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 3–1 (0–0) 1.803.604.33 2.05 1.75
21.12.24 Burton – Exeter 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.30 1.98 1.88
14.12.24 Exeter – Barnsley 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.502.15 1.80 2.00

Stevenage at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Stevenage – Wigan 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.103.20 2.50 1.50
29.12.24 Stevenage – Bristol Rvs 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.50 2.20 1.65
26.12.24 Stevenage – Wycombe 0–3 (0–2) 3.003.202.30 2.20 1.65
14.12.24 Stevenage – Stockport 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
03.12.24 Stevenage – Northampton 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.403.90 2.20 1.65
23.11.24 Stevenage – Leyton Orient 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.202.70 2.40 1.53
09.11.24 Stevenage – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.30 2.05 1.75
29.10.24 Stevenage – Bolton 1–4 (0–2) 3.253.202.25 2.05 1.80
22.10.24 Stevenage – Cambridge 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.755.00 2.20 1.65
01.10.24 Stevenage – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.35 1.57

Exeter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.25 Peterboro – Exeter 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.503.80 1.67 2.10
18.01.25 Birmingham – Exeter 1–0 (1–0) 1.305.009.50 1.67 2.15
01.01.25 Wycombe – Exeter 2–1 (0–0) 1.574.205.00 1.85 2.00
21.12.24 Burton – Exeter 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.30 1.98 1.88
07.12.24 Stockport – Exeter 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.90 1.95
23.11.24 Wrexham – Exeter 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.754.10 1.98 1.88
26.10.24 Huddersfield – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.754.75 1.93 1.93
17.10.24 Shrewsbury – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.602.30 2.00 1.85
01.10.24 Leyton Orient – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.603.70 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Wigan – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stevenage winsDrawsExeter wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24E2 Exeter – Stevenage 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.70 2.15 1.67
06.04.24E2 Exeter – Stevenage 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.10 2.15 1.67
16.12.23E2 Stevenage – Exeter 1–1 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.00 1.85
26.03.22E3 Exeter – Stevenage 2–1 (2–1) 1.723.754.75 2.13 1.75
09.10.21E3 Stevenage – Exeter 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.252.60 2.30 1.60

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 26 18 6 2 44 18 +26 60
2 Wycombe 28 17 7 4 54 29 +25 58
3 Wrexham 28 15 7 6 41 24 +17 52
4 Huddersfield 27 14 6 7 39 23 +16 48
5 Stockport 28 13 8 7 43 28 +15 47
6 Leyton Orient 27 13 5 9 40 24 +16 44
7 Bolton 28 13 5 10 43 42 +1 44
8 Charlton 27 12 7 8 34 26 +8 43
9 Barnsley 28 12 6 10 41 39 +2 42
10 Reading 27 12 5 10 42 41 +1 41
11 Lincoln 28 10 8 10 34 33 +1 38
12 Mansfield 26 11 4 11 34 32 +2 37
13 Blackpool 27 9 10 8 39 38 +1 37
14 Rotherham 27 10 7 10 32 31 +1 37
15 Stevenage 26 10 7 9 23 24 -1 37
16 Wigan 27 9 6 12 26 27 -1 33
17 Exeter 28 9 5 14 32 42 -10 32
18 Peterboro 28 8 6 14 44 52 -8 30
19 Bristol Rvs 27 8 4 15 25 43 -18 28
20 Northampton 28 6 9 13 25 43 -18 27
21 Burton 28 5 9 14 30 44 -14 24
22 Crawley Town 26 6 6 14 26 46 -20 24
23 Cambridge 27 5 6 16 28 49 -21 21
24 Shrewsbury 27 5 5 17 26 47 -21 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 16 12 3 1 31 12 +19 39
2 Birmingham 12 9 3 0 20 6 +14 30
3 Stockport 15 9 3 3 25 15 +10 30
4 Wycombe 14 8 4 2 20 10 +10 28
5 Reading 12 9 0 3 24 12 +12 27
6 Rotherham 14 8 3 3 23 14 +9 27
7 Huddersfield 15 8 3 4 18 13 +5 27
8 Charlton 14 7 5 2 17 10 +7 26
9 Leyton Orient 14 7 3 4 19 9 +10 24
10 Bolton 15 7 3 5 25 22 +3 24
11 Stevenage 14 7 2 5 16 14 +2 23
12 Peterboro 16 6 4 6 28 26 +2 22
13 Lincoln 14 6 3 5 21 16 +5 21
14 Mansfield 13 5 3 5 16 15 +1 18
15 Bristol Rvs 12 5 3 4 15 16 -1 18
16 Exeter 15 5 3 7 21 26 -5 18
17 Barnsley 14 4 5 5 20 21 -1 17
18 Wigan 13 4 3 6 12 14 -2 15
19 Cambridge 13 4 3 6 17 21 -4 15
20 Northampton 12 4 3 5 11 16 -5 15
21 Shrewsbury 13 4 2 7 14 22 -8 14
22 Blackpool 11 2 7 2 14 14 0 13
23 Crawley Town 11 3 3 5 13 18 -5 12
24 Burton 15 3 3 9 18 25 -7 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wycombe 14 9 3 2 34 19 +15 30
2 Birmingham 14 9 3 2 24 12 +12 30
3 Barnsley 14 8 1 5 21 18 +3 25
4 Blackpool 16 7 3 6 25 24 +1 24
5 Huddersfield 12 6 3 3 21 10 +11 21
6 Leyton Orient 13 6 2 5 21 15 +6 20
7 Bolton 13 6 2 5 18 20 -2 20
8 Mansfield 13 6 1 6 18 17 +1 19
9 Wigan 14 5 3 6 14 13 +1 18
10 Stockport 13 4 5 4 18 13 +5 17
11 Charlton 13 5 2 6 17 16 +1 17
12 Lincoln 14 4 5 5 13 17 -4 17
13 Stevenage 12 3 5 4 7 10 -3 14
14 Exeter 13 4 2 7 11 16 -5 14
15 Reading 15 3 5 7 18 29 -11 14
16 Wrexham 12 3 4 5 10 12 -2 13
17 Burton 13 2 6 5 12 19 -7 12
18 Northampton 16 2 6 8 14 27 -13 12
19 Crawley Town 15 3 3 9 13 28 -15 12
20 Rotherham 13 2 4 7 9 17 -8 10
21 Bristol Rvs 15 3 1 11 10 27 -17 10
22 Peterboro 12 2 2 8 16 26 -10 8
23 Shrewsbury 14 1 3 10 12 25 -13 6
24 Cambridge 14 1 3 10 11 28 -17 6

Stevenage   Exeter

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Barnsley 28 8 20 1.5 1.4 12 6 10 41 39 42
2 2 Wycombe 28 9 19 1.9 1.0 17 7 4 54 29 58
3 18 Peterboro 28 9 19 1.6 1.9 8 6 14 44 52 30
4 7 Bolton 28 10 18 1.5 1.5 13 5 10 43 42 44
5 10 Reading 27 10 17 1.6 1.5 12 5 10 42 41 41
6 13 Blackpool 27 10 17 1.4 1.4 9 10 8 39 38 37
7 21 Burton 28 13 15 1.1 1.6 5 9 14 30 44 24
8 3 Wrexham 28 14 14 1.5 0.9 15 7 6 41 24 52
9 12 Mansfield 26 12 14 1.3 1.2 11 4 11 34 32 37
10 17 Exeter 28 14 14 1.1 1.5 9 5 14 32 42 32
11 20 Northampton 28 14 14 0.9 1.5 6 9 13 25 43 27
12 6 Leyton Orient 27 14 13 1.5 0.9 13 5 9 40 24 44
13 11 Lincoln 28 15 13 1.2 1.2 10 8 10 34 33 38
14 22 Crawley Town 26 13 13 1.0 1.8 6 6 14 26 46 24
15 23 Cambridge 27 14 13 1.0 1.8 5 6 16 28 49 21
16 4 Huddersfield 27 15 12 1.4 0.9 14 6 7 39 23 48
17 19 Bristol Rvs 27 15 12 0.9 1.6 8 4 15 25 43 28
18 24 Shrewsbury 27 15 12 1.0 1.7 5 5 17 26 47 20
19 5 Stockport 28 17 11 1.5 1.0 13 8 7 43 28 47
20 8 Charlton 27 16 11 1.3 1.0 12 7 8 34 26 43
21 16 Wigan 27 16 11 1.0 1.0 9 6 12 26 27 33
22 14 Rotherham 27 17 10 1.2 1.1 10 7 10 32 31 37
23 1 Birmingham 26 17 9 1.7 0.7 18 6 2 44 18 60
24 15 Stevenage 26 17 9 0.9 0.9 10 7 9 23 24 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bolton 15 4 11 1.7 1.5 7 3 5 25 22 24
2 3 Wrexham 16 6 10 1.9 0.8 12 3 1 31 12 39
3 9 Barnsley 14 4 10 1.4 1.5 4 5 5 20 21 17
4 17 Exeter 15 6 9 1.4 1.7 5 3 7 21 26 18
5 18 Peterboro 16 7 9 1.8 1.6 6 4 6 28 26 22
6 21 Burton 15 6 9 1.2 1.7 3 3 9 18 25 12
7 10 Reading 12 4 8 2.0 1.0 9 0 3 24 12 27
8 11 Lincoln 14 6 8 1.5 1.1 6 3 5 21 16 21
9 14 Rotherham 14 6 8 1.6 1.0 8 3 3 23 14 27
10 13 Blackpool 11 4 7 1.3 1.3 2 7 2 14 14 13
11 2 Wycombe 14 8 6 1.4 0.7 8 4 2 20 10 28
12 5 Stockport 15 9 6 1.7 1.0 9 3 3 25 15 30
13 6 Leyton Orient 14 8 6 1.4 0.6 7 3 4 19 9 24
14 12 Mansfield 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 16 15 18
15 15 Stevenage 14 8 6 1.1 1.0 7 2 5 16 14 23
16 16 Wigan 13 7 6 0.9 1.1 4 3 6 12 14 15
17 20 Northampton 12 6 6 0.9 1.3 4 3 5 11 16 15
18 24 Shrewsbury 13 7 6 1.1 1.7 4 2 7 14 22 14
19 4 Huddersfield 15 10 5 1.2 0.9 8 3 4 18 13 27
20 8 Charlton 14 9 5 1.2 0.7 7 5 2 17 10 26
21 19 Bristol Rvs 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 5 3 4 15 16 18
22 22 Crawley Town 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 3 3 5 13 18 12
23 23 Cambridge 13 8 5 1.3 1.6 4 3 6 17 21 15
24 1 Birmingham 12 9 3 1.7 0.5 9 3 0 20 6 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Wycombe 14 1 13 2.4 1.4 9 3 2 34 19 30
2 9 Barnsley 14 4 10 1.5 1.3 8 1 5 21 18 25
3 13 Blackpool 16 6 10 1.6 1.5 7 3 6 25 24 24
4 18 Peterboro 12 2 10 1.3 2.2 2 2 8 16 26 8
5 10 Reading 15 6 9 1.2 1.9 3 5 7 18 29 14
6 12 Mansfield 13 5 8 1.4 1.3 6 1 6 18 17 19
7 20 Northampton 16 8 8 0.9 1.7 2 6 8 14 27 12
8 22 Crawley Town 15 7 8 0.9 1.9 3 3 9 13 28 12
9 23 Cambridge 14 6 8 0.8 2.0 1 3 10 11 28 6
10 4 Huddersfield 12 5 7 1.8 0.8 6 3 3 21 10 21
11 6 Leyton Orient 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 2 5 21 15 20
12 7 Bolton 13 6 7 1.4 1.5 6 2 5 18 20 20
13 19 Bristol Rvs 15 8 7 0.7 1.8 3 1 11 10 27 10
14 1 Birmingham 14 8 6 1.7 0.9 9 3 2 24 12 30
15 8 Charlton 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 5 2 6 17 16 17
16 21 Burton 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 6 5 12 19 12
17 24 Shrewsbury 14 8 6 0.9 1.8 1 3 10 12 25 6
18 5 Stockport 13 8 5 1.4 1.0 4 5 4 18 13 17
19 11 Lincoln 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 4 5 5 13 17 17
20 16 Wigan 14 9 5 1.0 0.9 5 3 6 14 13 18
21 17 Exeter 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 4 2 7 11 16 14
22 3 Wrexham 12 8 4 0.8 1.0 3 4 5 10 12 13
23 15 Stevenage 12 9 3 0.6 0.8 3 5 4 7 10 14
24 14 Rotherham 13 11 2 0.7 1.3 2 4 7 9 17 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40