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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Joyce

Morecambe 3–0 Burton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.70 fair 2.40
Draw 3.40 fair 4.19
Away 2.55 fair 2.91
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Morecambe Burton
22 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
11 Corners 7
6 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (470 league matches this season so far).
Result Morecambe to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
MorecambeDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Morecambe before this match, all matches
0.82points / match
1.21scored / match
2.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 47:79
Burton before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
1.23scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 48:60
Morecambe all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.23
2.03 Goals conceded 1.54
3.23 Total goals 2.77
11.31 Shots 13.33
3.64 Shots on target 4.15
15.18 Shots faced 13.59
4.18 Corners 5.69
6.31 Corners against 6.10
9.44 Fouls 12.00
1.46 Yellow cards 1.87
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

18% Wins 33%
28% Draws 21%
54% Losses 46%
95% Over 0.5 goals 97%
87% Over 1.5 goals 82%
56% Over 2.5 goals 51%
44% Over 3.5 goals 28%
23% Over 4.5 goals 13%
10% Over 5.5 goals 3%
62% Both teams scored 59%
13% Clean sheets 15%
31% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%
44% Draws 33%
38% Losses 49%
74% Over 0.5 goals 74%
49% Over 1.5 goals 36%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe all matches
Burton all matches
Morecambe before this match, at home
1.16points / match
1.42scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 27:32
Burton before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.85scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 17:36
Morecambe at home away Burton

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 0.85
1.68 Goals conceded 1.80
3.11 Total goals 2.65
12.21 Shots 11.80
3.84 Shots on target 3.55
13.53 Shots faced 15.50
4.63 Corners 4.75
5.68 Corners against 6.95
9.58 Fouls 12.60
1.26 Yellow cards 2.15
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

26% Wins 20%
37% Draws 20%
37% Losses 60%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
84% Over 1.5 goals 80%
47% Over 2.5 goals 50%
37% Over 3.5 goals 20%
21% Over 4.5 goals 10%
16% Over 5.5 goals 5%
63% Both teams scored 55%
21% Clean sheets 15%
21% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 10%
58% Draws 35%
32% Losses 55%
63% Over 0.5 goals 70%
42% Over 1.5 goals 35%
16% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.22 Wigan – Morecambe 4–1 (2–0) 1.404.758.00 1.95 1.90
15.03.22 Shrewsbury – Morecambe 5–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.50 2.40 1.53
12.03.22 Morecambe – Cheltenham 1–3 (0–1) 2.803.252.55 2.00 1.80
08.03.22 Bolton – Morecambe 1–1 (0–1) 1.664.004.75 1.85 2.00
05.03.22 Plymouth – Morecambe 2–0 (2–0) 1.613.905.75 1.66 2.15
26.02.22 Morecambe – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.90 2.02 1.83
22.02.22 Rotherham – Morecambe 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.759.50 1.72 2.07
12.02.22 Morecambe – Gillingham 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 1.95 1.90
08.02.22 Lincoln – Morecambe 2–1 (2–0) 1.723.804.75 1.83 2.02
05.02.22 Morecambe – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 2.13 1.75

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.22 Charlton – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
12.03.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.404.20 2.00 1.85
05.03.22 Oxford – Burton 4–1 (4–1) 1.704.004.75 1.72 2.07
01.03.22 Sheffield Weds – Burton 5–2 (2–1) 1.653.805.50 1.95 1.90
26.02.22 Burton – Shrewsbury 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.25 1.61
22.02.22 Sunderland – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.95 1.90
19.02.22 Ipswich – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
15.02.22 Burton – Bolton 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.98 1.88
12.02.22 Burton – Cambridge 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.603.80 1.95 1.90
08.02.22 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 1.903.404.33 2.05 1.75

Morecambe at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.22 Morecambe – Cheltenham 1–3 (0–1) 2.803.252.55 2.00 1.80
26.02.22 Morecambe – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.90 2.02 1.83
12.02.22 Morecambe – Gillingham 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 1.95 1.90
05.02.22 Morecambe – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 2.13 1.75
22.01.22 Morecambe – Wycombe 3–2 (1–1) 4.203.751.85 1.80 2.00
18.01.22 Morecambe – Wigan 1–2 (1–1) 5.504.001.61 1.83 2.02
02.01.22 Morecambe – Doncaster 4–3 (0–3) 2.053.503.60 2.00 1.85
29.12.21 Morecambe – Crewe 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.603.00 2.00 1.85
18.12.21 Morecambe – Fleetwood Town 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.402.70 1.80 2.00
27.11.21 Morecambe – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–2) 3.603.602.00 1.85 2.00

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.22 Charlton – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
05.03.22 Oxford – Burton 4–1 (4–1) 1.704.004.75 1.72 2.07
01.03.22 Sheffield Weds – Burton 5–2 (2–1) 1.653.805.50 1.95 1.90
22.02.22 Sunderland – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.95 1.90
19.02.22 Ipswich – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
08.02.22 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 1.903.404.33 2.05 1.75
29.01.22 Lincoln – Burton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
15.01.22 Gillingham – Burton 1–3 (1–0) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83
08.01.22 Cheltenham – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.252.90 2.15 1.66
11.12.21 Rotherham – Burton 3–1 (1–1) 1.454.756.50 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Morecambe winsDrawsBurton wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.21E2 Burton – Morecambe 3–2 (2–1) 1.903.604.00 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rotherham 39 24 8 7 64 25 +39 80
2 Wigan 38 24 8 6 67 35 +32 80
3 Milton Keynes Dons 39 22 10 7 64 38 +26 76
4 Plymouth 40 22 8 10 66 40 +26 74
5 Oxford 39 20 9 10 74 49 +25 69
6 Sheffield Weds 39 19 12 8 64 42 +22 69
7 Sunderland 39 19 10 10 66 48 +18 67
8 Wycombe 39 18 12 9 62 47 +15 66
9 Ipswich 40 17 13 10 59 40 +19 64
10 Portsmouth 38 16 11 11 53 39 +14 59
11 Bolton 40 17 8 15 61 50 +11 59
12 Cheltenham 40 12 14 14 56 67 -11 50
13 Accrington 39 14 8 17 48 65 -17 50
14 Charlton 39 14 7 18 46 49 -3 49
15 Shrewsbury 40 12 12 16 41 37 +4 48
16 Cambridge 39 12 12 15 47 59 -12 48
17 Burton 39 13 8 18 48 60 -12 47
18 Lincoln 39 11 9 19 43 52 -9 42
19 Gillingham 40 8 13 19 31 60 -29 37
20 Fleetwood Town 38 7 13 18 50 67 -17 34
21 AFC Wimbledon 39 6 15 18 40 62 -22 33
22 Morecambe 39 7 11 21 47 79 -32 32
23 Doncaster 40 8 6 26 28 74 -46 30
24 Crewe 39 6 7 26 30 71 -41 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 20 13 5 2 41 16 +25 44
2 Rotherham 20 13 3 4 40 20 +20 42
3 Plymouth 20 13 3 4 31 14 +17 42
4 Sunderland 19 13 2 4 39 15 +24 41
5 Oxford 20 12 5 3 44 24 +20 41
6 Wigan 20 12 4 4 31 19 +12 40
7 Ipswich 20 10 8 2 32 19 +13 38
8 Wycombe 20 11 5 4 34 26 +8 38
9 Accrington 20 11 4 5 35 28 +7 37
10 Bolton 19 10 5 4 36 21 +15 35
11 Portsmouth 19 10 5 4 34 20 +14 35
12 Milton Keynes Dons 19 10 5 4 26 17 +9 35
13 Cheltenham 20 9 6 5 29 26 +3 33
14 Shrewsbury 20 9 5 6 26 18 +8 32
15 Burton 19 9 4 6 31 24 +7 31
16 Charlton 20 9 4 7 27 23 +4 31
17 Cambridge 19 7 7 5 23 20 +3 28
18 Morecambe 19 5 7 7 27 32 -5 22
19 Fleetwood Town 18 5 6 7 26 27 -1 21
20 Lincoln 20 5 5 10 19 25 -6 20
21 Doncaster 20 5 3 12 15 30 -15 18
22 Gillingham 20 4 6 10 12 33 -21 18
23 AFC Wimbledon 19 2 11 6 21 27 -6 17
24 Crewe 20 4 4 12 17 35 -18 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 20 12 5 3 38 21 +17 41
2 Wigan 18 12 4 2 36 16 +20 40
3 Rotherham 19 11 5 3 24 5 +19 38
4 Plymouth 20 9 5 6 35 26 +9 32
5 Wycombe 19 7 7 5 28 21 +7 28
6 Oxford 19 8 4 7 30 25 +5 28
7 Ipswich 20 7 5 8 27 21 +6 26
8 Sunderland 20 6 8 6 27 33 -6 26
9 Sheffield Weds 19 6 7 6 23 26 -3 25
10 Portsmouth 19 6 6 7 19 19 0 24
11 Bolton 21 7 3 11 25 29 -4 24
12 Lincoln 19 6 4 9 24 27 -3 22
13 Cambridge 20 5 5 10 24 39 -15 20
14 Gillingham 20 4 7 9 19 27 -8 19
15 Charlton 19 5 3 11 19 26 -7 18
16 Cheltenham 20 3 8 9 27 41 -14 17
17 Shrewsbury 20 3 7 10 15 19 -4 16
18 AFC Wimbledon 20 4 4 12 19 35 -16 16
19 Burton 20 4 4 12 17 36 -19 16
20 Fleetwood Town 20 2 7 11 24 40 -16 13
21 Accrington 19 3 4 12 13 37 -24 13
22 Doncaster 20 3 3 14 13 44 -31 12
23 Morecambe 20 2 4 14 20 47 -27 10
24 Crewe 19 2 3 14 13 36 -23 9

Morecambe   Burton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Sunderland 39 15 24 1.7 1.2 19 10 10 66 48 67
2 5 Oxford 39 16 23 1.9 1.3 20 9 10 74 49 69
3 12 Cheltenham 40 18 22 1.4 1.7 12 14 14 56 67 50
4 20 Fleetwood Town 38 16 22 1.3 1.8 7 13 18 50 67 34
5 22 Morecambe 39 17 22 1.2 2.0 7 11 21 47 79 32
6 13 Accrington 39 18 21 1.2 1.7 14 8 17 48 65 50
7 3 Milton Keynes Dons 39 19 20 1.6 1.0 22 10 7 64 38 76
8 8 Wycombe 39 19 20 1.6 1.2 18 12 9 62 47 66
9 10 Portsmouth 38 18 20 1.4 1.0 16 11 11 53 39 59
10 11 Bolton 40 20 20 1.5 1.2 17 8 15 61 50 59
11 17 Burton 39 19 20 1.2 1.5 13 8 18 48 60 47
12 23 Doncaster 40 20 20 0.7 1.9 8 6 26 28 74 30
13 2 Wigan 38 19 19 1.8 0.9 24 8 6 67 35 80
14 4 Plymouth 40 21 19 1.6 1.0 22 8 10 66 40 74
15 9 Ipswich 40 22 18 1.5 1.0 17 13 10 59 40 64
16 14 Charlton 39 21 18 1.2 1.3 14 7 18 46 49 49
17 16 Cambridge 39 21 18 1.2 1.5 12 12 15 47 59 48
18 18 Lincoln 39 21 18 1.1 1.3 11 9 19 43 52 42
19 21 AFC Wimbledon 39 21 18 1.0 1.6 6 15 18 40 62 33
20 6 Sheffield Weds 39 22 17 1.6 1.1 19 12 8 64 42 69
21 24 Crewe 39 23 16 0.8 1.8 6 7 26 30 71 25
22 15 Shrewsbury 40 25 15 1.0 0.9 12 12 16 41 37 48
23 1 Rotherham 39 26 13 1.6 0.6 24 8 7 64 25 80
24 19 Gillingham 40 27 13 0.8 1.5 8 13 19 31 60 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Oxford 20 7 13 2.2 1.2 12 5 3 44 24 41
2 10 Portsmouth 19 7 12 1.8 1.1 10 5 4 34 20 35
3 13 Accrington 20 8 12 1.8 1.4 11 4 5 35 28 37
4 1 Rotherham 20 9 11 2.0 1.0 13 3 4 40 20 42
5 7 Sunderland 19 8 11 2.1 0.8 13 2 4 39 15 41
6 8 Wycombe 20 9 11 1.7 1.3 11 5 4 34 26 38
7 11 Bolton 19 8 11 1.9 1.1 10 5 4 36 21 35
8 12 Cheltenham 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 9 6 5 29 26 33
9 20 Fleetwood Town 18 7 11 1.4 1.5 5 6 7 26 27 21
10 9 Ipswich 20 10 10 1.6 0.9 10 8 2 32 19 38
11 17 Burton 19 9 10 1.6 1.3 9 4 6 31 24 31
12 2 Wigan 20 11 9 1.6 0.9 12 4 4 31 19 40
13 4 Plymouth 20 11 9 1.6 0.7 13 3 4 31 14 42
14 15 Shrewsbury 20 11 9 1.3 0.9 9 5 6 26 18 32
15 22 Morecambe 19 10 9 1.4 1.7 5 7 7 27 32 22
16 23 Doncaster 20 11 9 0.8 1.5 5 3 12 15 30 18
17 3 Milton Keynes Dons 19 11 8 1.4 0.9 10 5 4 26 17 35
18 6 Sheffield Weds 20 12 8 2.0 0.8 13 5 2 41 16 44
19 18 Lincoln 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 5 5 10 19 25 20
20 24 Crewe 20 12 8 0.8 1.8 4 4 12 17 35 16
21 14 Charlton 20 13 7 1.4 1.1 9 4 7 27 23 31
22 16 Cambridge 19 12 7 1.2 1.1 7 7 5 23 20 28
23 19 Gillingham 20 13 7 0.6 1.6 4 6 10 12 33 18
24 21 AFC Wimbledon 19 12 7 1.1 1.4 2 11 6 21 27 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Sunderland 20 7 13 1.4 1.6 6 8 6 27 33 26
2 22 Morecambe 20 7 13 1.0 2.4 2 4 14 20 47 10
3 3 Milton Keynes Dons 20 8 12 1.9 1.1 12 5 3 38 21 41
4 12 Cheltenham 20 9 11 1.4 2.0 3 8 9 27 41 17
5 14 Charlton 19 8 11 1.0 1.4 5 3 11 19 26 18
6 16 Cambridge 20 9 11 1.2 1.9 5 5 10 24 39 20
7 20 Fleetwood Town 20 9 11 1.2 2.0 2 7 11 24 40 13
8 21 AFC Wimbledon 20 9 11 0.9 1.8 4 4 12 19 35 16
9 23 Doncaster 20 9 11 0.7 2.2 3 3 14 13 44 12
10 2 Wigan 18 8 10 2.0 0.9 12 4 2 36 16 40
11 4 Plymouth 20 10 10 1.8 1.3 9 5 6 35 26 32
12 5 Oxford 19 9 10 1.6 1.3 8 4 7 30 25 28
13 17 Burton 20 10 10 0.8 1.8 4 4 12 17 36 16
14 18 Lincoln 19 9 10 1.3 1.4 6 4 9 24 27 22
15 6 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 1.2 1.4 6 7 6 23 26 25
16 8 Wycombe 19 10 9 1.5 1.1 7 7 5 28 21 28
17 11 Bolton 21 12 9 1.2 1.4 7 3 11 25 29 24
18 13 Accrington 19 10 9 0.7 1.9 3 4 12 13 37 13
19 9 Ipswich 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 7 5 8 27 21 26
20 10 Portsmouth 19 11 8 1.0 1.0 6 6 7 19 19 24
21 24 Crewe 19 11 8 0.7 1.9 2 3 14 13 36 9
22 15 Shrewsbury 20 14 6 0.8 0.9 3 7 10 15 19 16
23 19 Gillingham 20 14 6 0.9 1.4 4 7 9 19 27 19
24 1 Rotherham 19 17 2 1.3 0.3 11 5 3 24 5 38

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51