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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Coy

Burton 3–2 Morecambe

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.90 fair 2.32
Draw 3.60 fair 4.04
Away 4.00 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.20
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Morecambe
22 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 8
8 Fouls 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawMorecambe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
0.92scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:14
Morecambe before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.82scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 20:18
Burton all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.82
1.17 Goals conceded 1.64
2.08 Total goals 3.45
14.17 Shots 9.18
3.92 Shots on target 3.27
13.42 Shots faced 14.45
5.08 Corners 4.27
6.58 Corners against 7.27
13.00 Fouls 10.09
1.83 Yellow cards 1.55
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

33% Wins 36%
33% Draws 18%
33% Losses 45%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 73%
42% Over 2.5 goals 55%
0% Over 3.5 goals 45%
0% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 27%
58% Both teams scored 55%
25% Clean sheets 27%
25% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 36%
42% Draws 55%
42% Losses 9%
67% Over 0.5 goals 64%
17% Over 1.5 goals 45%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Morecambe all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.83points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:6
Morecambe before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.80scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:10
Burton at home away Morecambe

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.80
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.33 Total goals 3.80
15.33 Shots 10.80
4.17 Shots on target 3.80
12.83 Shots faced 13.00
6.00 Corners 3.40
5.50 Corners against 6.60
12.83 Fouls 9.40
1.83 Yellow cards 1.40
0.33 1st-half goals scored 1.20
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%
33% Draws 20%
17% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 80%
0% Over 3.5 goals 60%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
83% Both teams scored 80%
17% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 60%
33% Draws 40%
50% Losses 0%
83% Over 0.5 goals 80%
17% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 6 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Morecambe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.10.21 Plymouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 1.95 1.85
02.10.21 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.25 1.95 1.85
28.09.21 Burton – Portsmouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.87 2.15 1.66
25.09.21 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75
18.09.21 Crewe – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.65
11.09.21 Burton – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.70
06.09.21 Bolton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.95 1.85
27.08.21 Burton – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.15 1.66
21.08.21 Cambridge – Burton 3–0 (0–0) 3.103.252.37 1.95 1.85
17.08.21 Burton – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.15 2.10 1.70

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.21 Wycombe – Morecambe 4–3 (0–2) 1.614.005.50 1.85 1.95
28.09.21 Morecambe – Lincoln 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.45 1.95 1.85
25.09.21 Morecambe – Accrington 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 2.05 1.75
21.09.21 Crewe – Morecambe 1–3 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
18.09.21 Doncaster – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
11.09.21 Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon 3–4 (0–1) 2.753.202.55 2.07 1.72
28.08.21 Morecambe – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 4.503.401.90 2.05 1.75
21.08.21 Gillingham – Morecambe 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.403.60 2.00 1.80
17.08.21 Morecambe – Rotherham 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.402.00 1.85 1.95
14.08.21 Morecambe – Shrewsbury 2–0 (2–0) 2.903.302.45 2.10 1.70

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.21 Burton – Portsmouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.87 2.15 1.66
25.09.21 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75
11.09.21 Burton – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.70
27.08.21 Burton – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.15 1.66
17.08.21 Burton – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.15 2.10 1.70
14.08.21 Burton – Ipswich 2–1 (1–1) 2.873.252.50 2.15 1.66

Morecambe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.21 Wycombe – Morecambe 4–3 (0–2) 1.614.005.50 1.85 1.95
21.09.21 Crewe – Morecambe 1–3 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
18.09.21 Doncaster – Morecambe 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
21.08.21 Gillingham – Morecambe 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.403.60 2.00 1.80
07.08.21 Ipswich – Morecambe 2–2 (0–1) 1.614.005.00 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Plymouth 12 6 5 1 19 11 +8 23 WDWDDW
2 Wycombe 11 7 2 2 18 12 +6 23 DWLWWW
3 Wigan 10 7 1 2 17 7 +10 22 WWWWLW
4 Sunderland 10 7 1 2 18 11 +7 22 WWDWWL
5 Rotherham 11 6 2 3 16 9 +7 20 LDWDWW
6 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 4 2 21 15 +6 19 DWWWDL
7 Oxford 11 5 3 3 17 12 +5 18 LDLDWW
8 Bolton 12 5 3 4 20 16 +4 18 WLLWWL
9 Sheffield Weds 11 5 3 3 11 9 +2 18 LDDWLW
10 Burton 12 4 4 4 11 14 -3 16 DLLWDL
11 Accrington 11 5 1 5 14 20 -6 16 WLLDLW
12 Portsmouth 11 4 3 4 14 10 +4 15 LLDDLW
13 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 20 18 +2 14 LLWDWL
14 Ipswich 11 3 4 4 21 19 +2 13 LWDWLW
15 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 4 4 17 19 -2 13 WWLLLD
16 Cambridge 10 3 4 3 14 16 -2 13 WLWDLD
17 Lincoln 11 3 3 5 14 15 -1 12 WDLWLD
18 Cheltenham 11 3 3 5 11 20 -9 12 DWWLLL
19 Gillingham 12 2 5 5 11 17 -6 11 LDDWLL
20 Fleetwood Town 10 2 4 4 17 18 -1 10 DWDDDL
21 Charlton 11 2 3 6 12 18 -6 9 LLDDLW
22 Crewe 11 1 5 5 9 15 -6 8 DWLDDD
23 Shrewsbury 12 2 2 8 9 18 -9 8 DDWLLL
24 Doncaster 10 2 1 7 6 18 -12 7 LLWLLW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sunderland 6 6 0 0 14 3 +11 18 WWWWWW
2 Plymouth 7 4 3 0 11 5 +6 15 DDWWDW
3 Wycombe 5 5 0 0 11 5 +6 15 WWWWW
4 Oxford 6 4 2 0 12 4 +8 14 WWWDDW
5 Milton Keynes Dons 6 4 1 1 10 6 +4 13 LWWWWD
6 Wigan 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13 WDWWWL
7 Accrington 5 4 0 1 7 6 +1 12 WWWLW
8 Burton 6 3 2 1 8 6 +2 11 WWDDLW
9 Portsmouth 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10 WWLDW
10 Ipswich 7 2 4 1 17 13 +4 10 DDLDWW
11 Morecambe 6 3 1 2 11 8 +3 10 WLWLDW
12 Rotherham 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10 WLWLDW
13 Sheffield Weds 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10 WWDLW
14 Bolton 5 2 2 1 7 7 0 8 DWDLW
15 Cambridge 6 2 2 2 8 10 -2 8 DWWLDL
16 Doncaster 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7 LDWW
17 Cheltenham 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7 LWDWL
18 Shrewsbury 6 2 1 3 6 9 -3 7 LLWDWL
19 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 3 1 8 7 +1 6 DDWLD
20 Crewe 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5 DLWLD
21 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 WLDLD
22 Charlton 6 1 2 3 6 10 -4 5 DLWLDL
23 Gillingham 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5 DWLDL
24 Fleetwood Town 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4 LWDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bolton 7 3 1 3 13 9 +4 10 WLWLWL
2 Rotherham 5 3 1 1 6 2 +4 10 LWDWW
3 Wigan 4 3 0 1 9 3 +6 9 LWWW
4 Plymouth 5 2 2 1 8 6 +2 8 LWWDD
5 Wycombe 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8 WDLDLW
6 Sheffield Weds 6 2 2 2 5 6 -1 8 DWLLDW
7 Lincoln 6 2 1 3 9 9 0 7 DLLWWL
8 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7 WLDWLL
9 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 3 1 11 9 +2 6 DDDWL
10 Fleetwood Town 6 1 3 2 11 11 0 6 LLDWDD
11 Gillingham 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6 DLDDWL
12 Cambridge 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5 LDWD
13 Portsmouth 6 1 2 3 4 6 -2 5 WDLLDL
14 Burton 6 1 2 3 3 8 -5 5 WLDLDL
15 Cheltenham 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5 DLDWLL
16 Morecambe 5 1 1 3 9 10 -1 4 DLLWL
17 Charlton 5 1 1 3 6 8 -2 4 LLLDW
18 Oxford 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4 DLLLW
19 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4 WLDL
20 Accrington 6 1 1 4 7 14 -7 4 LWLLDL
21 Ipswich 4 1 0 3 4 6 -2 3 LLWL
22 Crewe 6 0 3 3 3 8 -5 3 LLLDDD
23 Shrewsbury 6 0 1 5 3 9 -6 1 LLLDLL
24 Doncaster 6 0 0 6 2 15 -13 0 LLLLLL

Burton   Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 14 Ipswich 11 2 9 1.9 1.7 3 4 4 21 19 13 OUUOOO
2 4 Sunderland 10 3 7 1.8 1.1 7 1 2 18 11 22 OOOUOO
3 6 Milton Keynes Dons 11 4 7 1.9 1.4 5 4 2 21 15 19 UUOUOO
4 11 Accrington 11 4 7 1.3 1.8 5 1 5 14 20 16 UOOOOO
5 15 AFC Wimbledon 11 4 7 1.5 1.7 3 4 4 17 19 13 OOUOOU
6 20 Fleetwood Town 10 3 7 1.7 1.8 2 4 4 17 18 10 UOOOOO
7 21 Charlton 11 4 7 1.1 1.6 2 3 6 12 18 9 OOUOOO
8 1 Plymouth 12 6 6 1.6 0.9 6 5 1 19 11 23 UOOUOO
9 2 Wycombe 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 7 2 2 18 12 23 UOUOOU
10 7 Oxford 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 5 3 3 17 12 18 OUUUOO
11 8 Bolton 12 6 6 1.7 1.3 5 3 4 20 16 18 OUUOOU
12 13 Morecambe 11 5 6 1.8 1.6 4 2 5 20 18 14 OUOOUO
13 16 Cambridge 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 3 4 3 14 16 13 UOOOUO
14 23 Shrewsbury 12 6 6 0.8 1.5 2 2 8 9 18 8 UUOOOO
15 10 Burton 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 4 4 4 11 14 16 UUOOUO
16 12 Portsmouth 11 6 5 1.3 0.9 4 3 4 14 10 15 UOOOOO
17 17 Lincoln 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 5 14 15 12 OUUOUO
18 18 Cheltenham 11 6 5 1.0 1.8 3 3 5 11 20 12 UOUUOU
19 24 Doncaster 10 5 5 0.6 1.8 2 1 7 6 18 7 UOUOOO
20 3 Wigan 10 6 4 1.7 0.7 7 1 2 17 7 22 UOOUOU
21 9 Sheffield Weds 11 8 3 1.0 0.8 5 3 3 11 9 18 OUUOOU
22 19 Gillingham 12 9 3 0.9 1.4 2 5 5 11 17 11 OUUUUU
23 5 Rotherham 11 9 2 1.5 0.8 6 2 3 16 9 20 OUUUOU
24 22 Crewe 11 9 2 0.8 1.4 1 5 5 9 15 8 UUOUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 14 Ipswich 7 1 6 2.4 1.9 2 4 1 17 13 10 OOOUOO
2 4 Sunderland 6 2 4 2.3 0.5 6 0 0 14 3 18 OUOOUO
3 23 Shrewsbury 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 2 1 3 6 9 7 UOOUOO
4 1 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.6 0.7 4 3 0 11 5 15 UUOOUO
5 2 Wycombe 5 2 3 2.2 1.0 5 0 0 11 5 15 OUOOU
6 6 Milton Keynes Dons 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 4 1 1 10 6 13 OOUUUO
7 7 Oxford 6 3 3 2.0 0.7 4 2 0 12 4 14 OUOUUO
8 8 Bolton 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 2 2 1 7 7 8 OOUUO
9 10 Burton 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 3 2 1 8 6 11 OUUUOO
10 11 Accrington 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 4 0 1 7 6 12 OUUOO
11 12 Portsmouth 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10 UUOOO
12 16 Cambridge 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 2 2 2 8 10 8 UOUOOU
13 20 Fleetwood Town 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4 UOOO
14 21 Charlton 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 2 3 6 10 5 UUUOOO
15 3 Wigan 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13 UUUOUO
16 5 Rotherham 6 4 2 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10 UUUOUO
17 13 Morecambe 6 4 2 1.8 1.3 3 1 2 11 8 10 UUUOOU
18 15 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 1 3 1 8 7 6 OUOUU
19 17 Lincoln 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 OUUUO
20 18 Cheltenham 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7 OOUUU
21 19 Gillingham 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5 UOOUU
22 22 Crewe 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5 UUUOO
23 24 Doncaster 4 2 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7 OUUO
24 9 Sheffield Weds 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10 UUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 15 AFC Wimbledon 6 1 5 1.5 2.0 2 1 3 9 12 7 OUOOOO
2 6 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 4 2.2 1.8 1 3 1 11 9 6 OOUOO
3 11 Accrington 6 2 4 1.2 2.3 1 1 4 7 14 4 OUUOOO
4 13 Morecambe 5 1 4 1.8 2.0 1 1 3 9 10 4 OOUOO
5 20 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 1.8 1.8 1 3 2 11 11 6 OUUOOO
6 21 Charlton 5 1 4 1.2 1.6 1 1 3 6 8 4 OOOUO
7 1 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 2 1 8 6 8 UOUOO
8 2 Wycombe 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8 OUOUUO
9 4 Sunderland 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4 OUOO
10 7 Oxford 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4 UOOUO
11 8 Bolton 7 4 3 1.9 1.3 3 1 3 13 9 10 UUOUOU
12 14 Ipswich 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 1 0 3 4 6 3 OOUO
13 16 Cambridge 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5 OUOO
14 17 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 2 1 3 9 9 7 UUOOOU
15 18 Cheltenham 6 3 3 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5 UOUOUO
16 24 Doncaster 6 3 3 0.3 2.5 0 0 6 2 15 0 UUUOOO
17 3 Wigan 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 3 0 1 9 3 9 OUOU
18 9 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 2 2 5 6 8 UUUOUO
19 10 Burton 6 4 2 0.5 1.3 1 2 3 3 8 5 UOUUUO
20 12 Portsmouth 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 1 2 3 4 6 5 UUUUOO
21 23 Shrewsbury 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 0 1 5 3 9 1 UUUUOO
22 19 Gillingham 7 6 1 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6 UOUUUU
23 5 Rotherham 5 5 0 1.2 0.4 3 1 1 6 2 10 UUUUU
24 22 Crewe 6 6 0 0.5 1.3 0 3 3 3 8 3 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47