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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Swansea 4–0 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.70
Draw 3.30 fair 3.73
Away 3.25 fair 2.77
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.16

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swansea Watford
15 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 2
14 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (294 league matches this season so far).
Result Swansea to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.27 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
SwanseaDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 1–0 10.2% 0–1 10%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Swansea before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.29scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 31:34
Watford before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.25scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 30:24
Swansea all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.25
1.42 Goals conceded 1.00
2.71 Total goals 2.25
12.54 Shots 11.17
4.71 Shots on target 3.79
9.58 Shots faced 11.71
6.00 Corners 5.21
4.67 Corners against 5.63
8.46 Fouls 11.08
2.25 Yellow cards 1.88
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

33% Wins 42%
33% Draws 29%
33% Losses 29%
96% Over 0.5 goals 88%
75% Over 1.5 goals 71%
54% Over 2.5 goals 42%
29% Over 3.5 goals 21%
13% Over 4.5 goals 4%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 42%
21% Clean sheets 42%
29% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 25%
21% Draws 54%
50% Losses 21%
83% Over 0.5 goals 71%
33% Over 1.5 goals 42%
17% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea all matches
Watford all matches
Swansea before this match, at home
1.55points / match
1.36scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:14
Watford before this match, away
1.42points / match
1.08scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:12
Swansea at home away Watford

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.08
1.27 Goals conceded 1.00
2.64 Total goals 2.08
13.36 Shots 10.92
4.91 Shots on target 3.33
7.64 Shots faced 12.25
6.36 Corners 5.67
3.55 Corners against 5.75
7.18 Fouls 10.33
1.91 Yellow cards 1.75
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

45% Wins 33%
18% Draws 42%
36% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
73% Over 1.5 goals 75%
55% Over 2.5 goals 33%
27% Over 3.5 goals 17%
9% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 42%
27% Clean sheets 42%
36% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 8%
18% Draws 67%
45% Losses 25%
82% Over 0.5 goals 67%
36% Over 1.5 goals 42%
18% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.22 Reading – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Coventry – Swansea 3–3 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.05 1.80
10.12.22 Swansea – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.88 1.90 1.95
12.11.22 Huddersfield – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.37 2.10 1.72
08.11.22 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Swansea – Wigan 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.33 2.10 1.72
01.11.22 Preston – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Bristol City – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.93 1.93
23.10.22 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.02 1.83
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22 Watford – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.67
17.12.22 Huddersfield – Watford 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.302.10 2.20 1.67
11.12.22 Watford – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.50 2.00 1.85
12.11.22 Bristol City – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.37 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 Watford – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.10 1.72
05.11.22 Watford – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.33 1.93 1.93
02.11.22 Cardiff – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.72
29.10.22 Wigan – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.37 2.20 1.66
23.10.22 Watford – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 Millwall – Watford 3–0 (3–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.66

Swansea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Swansea – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.88 1.90 1.95
05.11.22 Swansea – Wigan 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.33 2.10 1.72
23.10.22 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.02 1.83
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Swansea – Sunderland 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
17.09.22 Swansea – Hull 3–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 1.93 1.93
13.09.22 Swansea – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.402.15 2.00 1.85
03.09.22 Swansea – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.373.303.00 2.00 1.85
20.08.22 Swansea – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Swansea – Millwall 2–2 (2–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.22 Huddersfield – Watford 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.302.10 2.20 1.67
12.11.22 Bristol City – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.37 2.00 1.85
02.11.22 Cardiff – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.72
29.10.22 Wigan – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.37 2.20 1.66
19.10.22 Millwall – Watford 3–0 (3–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.66
08.10.22 Blackpool – Watford 3–1 (1–1) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.72
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
13.09.22 Blackburn – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.50 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Rotherham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Preston – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.80 2.30 1.61

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swansea winsDrawsWatford wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.22E1 Watford – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.404.20 2.02 1.83

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Burnley 24 14 8 2 49 24 +25 50 WLWWWW
2 Sheffield United 25 15 5 5 43 22 +21 50 LWWWWW
3 Blackburn 25 13 0 12 29 30 -1 39 WLLWLL
4 Sunderland 25 10 7 8 37 28 +9 37 WWLDWW
5 Watford 24 10 7 7 30 24 +6 37 LWDDWL
6 Middlesbrough 25 10 6 9 38 32 +6 36 WWWLWW
7 Luton 24 9 9 6 29 25 +4 36 WLDLWW
8 Millwall 24 10 6 8 29 26 +3 36 DWLDWD
9 West Brom 25 9 8 8 33 26 +7 35 WWWLWW
10 Norwich 24 10 5 9 31 27 +4 35 DWLWLL
11 QPR 25 10 5 10 27 30 -3 35 LLLWDL
12 Reading 24 11 2 11 28 34 -6 35 LLWWLW
13 Coventry 24 9 7 8 26 25 +1 34 WLDWLD
14 Preston 25 9 7 9 23 26 -3 34 WLWLLL
15 Birmingham 24 8 8 8 26 25 +1 32 WDLDWL
16 Swansea 24 8 8 8 31 34 -3 32 DDDLDL
17 Stoke 24 8 6 10 28 32 -4 30 LWLDWD
18 Bristol City 25 7 7 11 31 34 -3 28 DDWLLD
19 Cardiff 25 7 7 11 20 28 -8 28 LLDDDD
20 Rotherham 25 6 9 10 28 36 -8 27 WDLLDL
21 Hull 24 7 6 11 27 41 -14 27 DWLDDD
22 Huddersfield 24 7 4 13 23 30 -7 25 WDLLWW
23 Blackpool 25 6 7 12 27 37 -10 25 LLDDDL
24 Wigan 25 6 6 13 25 42 -17 24 LWDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Burnley 13 9 4 0 29 11 +18 31 WWWWWW
2 Reading 12 8 1 3 18 12 +6 25 DLWLWW
3 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 26 12 +14 24 DDWLWW
4 Millwall 12 7 3 2 17 8 +9 24 WWWDDD
5 Blackburn 12 8 0 4 19 13 +6 24 WWWWLL
6 Coventry 12 6 3 3 14 9 +5 21 WWWDWD
7 Middlesbrough 12 5 5 2 17 12 +5 20 WLDDWW
8 Watford 12 6 2 4 17 12 +5 20 WWLWDL
9 West Brom 13 5 4 4 19 14 +5 19 LLWWWW
10 Norwich 12 5 3 4 18 14 +4 18 LLWDLL
11 Birmingham 12 4 5 3 16 12 +4 17 DWDDLW
12 Swansea 11 5 2 4 15 14 +1 17 WWWWDL
13 Huddersfield 13 5 2 6 12 12 0 17 LWLDLW
14 QPR 12 5 2 5 15 16 -1 17 WWLLLL
15 Rotherham 12 4 4 4 20 17 +3 16 DWLLLD
16 Luton 12 3 7 2 16 13 +3 16 DWDDDW
17 Sunderland 12 4 4 4 16 13 +3 16 WLLWLW
18 Cardiff 13 4 4 5 10 11 -1 16 WLLLDD
19 Bristol City 13 4 3 6 14 14 0 15 LDLDLL
20 Hull 13 4 2 7 13 22 -9 14 LLLLDD
21 Preston 13 3 4 6 8 14 -6 13 LWWLLL
22 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12 WLLLWD
23 Blackpool 12 3 2 7 13 18 -5 11 LWLLDL
24 Wigan 13 2 3 8 10 24 -14 9 LLLWLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sheffield United 13 8 2 3 17 10 +7 26 LWWWWW
2 Sunderland 13 6 3 4 21 15 +6 21 LDWWDW
3 Preston 12 6 3 3 15 12 +3 21 LWLWWL
4 Luton 12 6 2 4 13 12 +1 20 WLWLLW
5 Burnley 11 5 4 2 20 13 +7 19 DWDWLW
6 Stoke 13 5 3 5 15 16 -1 18 WLWLWD
7 QPR 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18 LLDLWD
8 Watford 12 4 5 3 13 12 +1 17 LLWWDW
9 Norwich 12 5 2 5 13 13 0 17 LDLWWL
10 West Brom 12 4 4 4 14 12 +2 16 WLWWLW
11 Middlesbrough 13 5 1 7 21 20 +1 16 LWWWLW
12 Wigan 12 4 3 5 15 18 -3 15 LLDLDL
13 Birmingham 12 4 3 5 10 13 -3 15 LWLWDL
14 Swansea 13 3 6 4 16 20 -4 15 DLDDDL
15 Blackburn 13 5 0 8 10 17 -7 15 WWLLWL
16 Blackpool 13 3 5 5 14 19 -5 14 DWLLDD
17 Bristol City 12 3 4 5 17 20 -3 13 LWLDWD
18 Coventry 12 3 4 5 12 16 -4 13 DWWWLL
19 Hull 11 3 4 4 14 19 -5 13 LWWDWD
20 Millwall 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12 WLDWLW
21 Cardiff 12 3 3 6 10 17 -7 12 WLLWDD
22 Rotherham 13 2 5 6 8 19 -11 11 LLWDLL
23 Reading 12 3 1 8 10 22 -12 10 LLDLWL
24 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 11 18 -7 8 LDLWLW

Swansea   Watford

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Middlesbrough 25 9 16 1.5 1.3 10 6 9 38 32 36 OOOOOO
2 4 Sunderland 25 11 14 1.5 1.1 10 7 8 37 28 37 OOOUOO
3 12 Reading 24 10 14 1.2 1.4 11 2 11 28 34 35 OUOUOO
4 3 Blackburn 25 12 13 1.2 1.2 13 0 12 29 30 39 UOOUOO
5 16 Swansea 24 11 13 1.3 1.4 8 8 8 31 34 32 OOUUOO
6 21 Hull 24 11 13 1.1 1.7 7 6 11 27 41 27 UOOUUU
7 24 Wigan 25 12 13 1.0 1.7 6 6 13 25 42 24 UOUOOO
8 1 Burnley 24 12 12 2.0 1.0 14 8 2 49 24 50 OOOOOO
9 10 Norwich 24 12 12 1.3 1.1 10 5 9 31 27 35 UOOUUO
10 11 QPR 25 13 12 1.1 1.2 10 5 10 27 30 35 OUOUUO
11 18 Bristol City 25 13 12 1.2 1.4 7 7 11 31 34 28 UUOOUU
12 20 Rotherham 25 13 12 1.1 1.4 6 9 10 28 36 27 UUOOOU
13 23 Blackpool 25 13 12 1.1 1.5 6 7 12 27 37 25 OOUUUO
14 2 Sheffield United 25 14 11 1.7 0.9 15 5 5 43 22 50 UUUOOO
15 17 Stoke 24 13 11 1.2 1.3 8 6 10 28 32 30 OUUOOO
16 5 Watford 24 14 10 1.2 1.0 10 7 7 30 24 37 UUUUUU
17 15 Birmingham 24 14 10 1.1 1.0 8 8 8 26 25 32 OOOUOO
18 22 Huddersfield 24 14 10 1.0 1.2 7 4 13 23 30 25 OUUUOU
19 7 Luton 24 15 9 1.2 1.0 9 9 6 29 25 36 UUUOOO
20 8 Millwall 24 15 9 1.2 1.1 10 6 8 29 26 36 UOOUUU
21 9 West Brom 25 17 8 1.3 1.0 9 8 8 33 26 35 UOOUUU
22 13 Coventry 24 16 8 1.1 1.0 9 7 8 26 25 34 UUOUOU
23 14 Preston 25 17 8 0.9 1.0 9 7 9 23 26 34 OOOUOU
24 19 Cardiff 25 17 8 0.8 1.1 7 7 11 20 28 28 OUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Burnley 13 5 8 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 29 11 31 UOOOOO
2 11 QPR 12 4 8 1.2 1.3 5 2 5 15 16 17 OOUOOO
3 2 Sheffield United 12 5 7 2.2 1.0 7 3 2 26 12 24 OOOUUO
4 3 Blackburn 12 5 7 1.6 1.1 8 0 4 19 13 24 OUOUOO
5 4 Sunderland 12 5 7 1.3 1.1 4 4 4 16 13 16 OOUOOO
6 12 Reading 12 5 7 1.5 1.0 8 1 3 18 12 25 UUUOUO
7 20 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.7 1.4 4 4 4 20 17 16 UOOOOO
8 21 Hull 13 6 7 1.0 1.7 4 2 7 13 22 14 UUOOUU
9 5 Watford 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 6 2 4 17 12 20 OOUUUU
10 6 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 5 5 2 17 12 20 UOUUOO
11 10 Norwich 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 5 3 4 18 14 18 OUOUOU
12 15 Birmingham 12 6 6 1.3 1.0 4 5 3 16 12 17 UUUOOO
13 16 Swansea 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 4 15 14 17 OOOUOU
14 23 Blackpool 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 7 13 18 11 OOUOUO
15 24 Wigan 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 8 10 24 9 OUUOOO
16 7 Luton 12 7 5 1.3 1.1 3 7 2 16 13 16 OOUUUO
17 17 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12 OUUOUO
18 18 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.1 1.1 4 3 6 14 14 15 OUUUOU
19 8 Millwall 12 8 4 1.4 0.7 7 3 2 17 8 24 UOOUUU
20 9 West Brom 13 9 4 1.5 1.1 5 4 4 19 14 19 UUUUOU
21 13 Coventry 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 6 3 3 14 9 21 UUUOUU
22 14 Preston 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 4 6 8 14 13 UOUOUO
23 19 Cardiff 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 4 5 10 11 16 UOOUUU
24 22 Huddersfield 13 10 3 0.9 0.9 5 2 6 12 12 17 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Middlesbrough 13 3 10 1.6 1.5 5 1 7 21 20 16 OOOOOO
2 4 Sunderland 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 3 4 21 15 21 UUUOUO
3 12 Reading 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 3 1 8 10 22 10 OOUUOO
4 16 Swansea 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 16 20 15 UUOUOO
5 18 Bristol City 12 5 7 1.4 1.7 3 4 5 17 20 13 OUUUOU
6 22 Huddersfield 11 4 7 1.0 1.6 2 2 7 11 18 8 OUUOUO
7 24 Wigan 12 5 7 1.2 1.5 4 3 5 15 18 15 OOOUUO
8 3 Blackburn 13 7 6 0.8 1.3 5 0 8 10 17 15 OUUOUO
9 10 Norwich 12 6 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 5 13 13 17 OOUOUO
10 17 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 15 16 18 UOUUOO
11 21 Hull 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 4 4 14 19 13 UOOUOU
12 23 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 19 14 OOUOUU
13 8 Millwall 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 3 6 12 18 12 OUUOOU
14 13 Coventry 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 3 4 5 12 16 13 UUUUUO
15 14 Preston 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 6 3 3 15 12 21 OUOOOU
16 19 Cardiff 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 3 3 6 10 17 12 OOUUOU
17 20 Rotherham 13 8 5 0.6 1.5 2 5 6 8 19 11 UOUUOU
18 1 Burnley 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 5 4 2 20 13 19 UUUOOO
19 2 Sheffield United 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 8 2 3 17 10 26 UUUUOO
20 5 Watford 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 3 13 12 17 OOUOUU
21 7 Luton 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 6 2 4 13 12 20 UOUUOO
22 9 West Brom 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 4 14 12 16 UOUOUU
23 11 QPR 13 9 4 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18 OUUUUU
24 15 Birmingham 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 4 3 5 10 13 15 UUOOUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11