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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Birmingham 3–0 Millwall

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.86 fair 1.94
Draw 3.60 fair 4.48
Away 3.70 fair 3.85
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.63
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Millwall
19 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 2
1.35 Expected goals (xG) 1.42
6 Corners 2
12 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (163 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.90 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
1.77scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 23:13
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.77scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 23:21
Birmingham all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 1.77
1.00 Goals conceded 1.62
2.77 Total goals 3.38
1.73 xG created 1.92
1.40 xG allowed 1.32
13.46 Shots 14.46
4.77 Shots on target 4.31
12.08 Shots faced 13.00
5.31 Corners 5.62
4.31 Corners against 5.85
12.46 Fouls 12.31
2.08 Yellow cards 2.08
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

46% Wins 38%
38% Draws 23%
15% Losses 38%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 85%
69% Over 2.5 goals 77%
38% Over 3.5 goals 54%
0% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
62% Both teams scored 54%
31% Clean sheets 31%
15% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 46%
31% Draws 23%
31% Losses 31%
92% Over 0.5 goals 85%
38% Over 1.5 goals 46%
15% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Millwall all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.67points / match
2.33scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:7
Millwall before this match, away
1.17points / match
1.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:12
Birmingham at home away Millwall

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 1.33
1.17 Goals conceded 2.00
3.50 Total goals 3.33
1.61 xG created 1.63
1.45 xG allowed 1.31
14.00 Shots 14.50
4.67 Shots on target 3.00
11.67 Shots faced 14.67
4.83 Corners 4.83
3.67 Corners against 7.17
12.50 Fouls 12.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.83
1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
67% Draws 17%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 83%
83% Over 2.5 goals 67%
67% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.26 Lincoln – Birmingham 1–3 (0–1) 3.203.502.10 1.91 1.91
24.10.26 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.653.602.40 1.57 2.38
17.10.26 Birmingham – QPR 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.91 1.91
13.10.26 Birmingham – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.205.75 1.73 2.10
10.10.26 West Brom – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.303.00 2.00 1.80
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Norwich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 1.863.503.90 1.80 2.00
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.26 Millwall – Derby 4–1 (3–0) 1.623.805.00 1.85 2.00
24.10.26 Portsmouth – Millwall 2–1 (1–1) 2.403.252.75 2.03 1.83
17.10.26 Millwall – Lincoln 2–2 (0–2) 1.613.805.00 1.80 2.00
13.10.26 Millwall – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 2.323.502.75 1.88 1.98
10.10.26 Preston – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.302.35 1.80 2.00
19.09.26 Millwall – West Ham 2–2 (2–0) 4.103.901.76 1.62 2.30
15.09.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 2–2 (0–2) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
12.09.26 Blackburn – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.57 1.90 1.95
05.09.26 Millwall – Bolton 4–0 (1–0) 1.863.404.00 2.00 1.80
02.09.26 Millwall – Wrexham 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.25 1.91 1.91

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Birmingham – QPR 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.91 1.91
13.10.26 Birmingham – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.205.75 1.73 2.10
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–1 (2–0) 1.683.804.75 1.80 2.00
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.26 Birmingham – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 Birmingham – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.20 1.67

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Portsmouth – Millwall 2–1 (1–1) 2.403.252.75 2.03 1.83
10.10.26 Preston – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.302.35 1.80 2.00
15.09.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 2–2 (0–2) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
12.09.26 Blackburn – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.57 1.90 1.95
29.08.26 Southampton – Millwall 5–1 (2–1) 1.913.603.60 1.83 2.03
15.08.26 Bristol City – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.402.65 1.98 1.88
24.04.26 Leicester – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 4.104.001.71 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Stoke – Millwall 1–3 (0–1) 3.703.701.86 1.67 2.20
10.04.26 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.20 2.10 1.73
03.04.26 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.904.50 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsMillwall wins
8matches
2.38goals / match
50%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.26E1 Millwall – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 2.403.302.82 2.10 1.73
04.11.25E1 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67
09.03.24E1 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
02.09.23E1 Birmingham – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.25 2.38 1.57
18.04.23E1 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
02.11.22E1 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
23.04.22E1 Birmingham – Millwall 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.66
04.12.21E1 Millwall – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.203.60 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Middlesbrough 13 8 4 1 30 17 +13 28 DWWDWW
2 Southampton 13 8 3 2 28 13 +15 27 LWWDWW
3 Stoke 14 8 2 4 22 17 +5 26 WLWDWW
4 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21 16 +5 26 WWLLWL
5 Wolves 13 7 3 3 23 16 +7 24 LLWDWW
6 West Brom 13 7 3 3 19 14 +5 24 LLWWDW
7 Birmingham 13 6 5 2 23 13 +10 23 DWWWLW
8 West Ham 13 6 4 3 33 18 +15 22 DDWWLL
9 Sheffield United 14 6 4 4 20 17 +3 22 WLWDWW
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19 16 +3 22 WWDWDW
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22 17 +5 21 DWLWLD
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27 24 +3 18 LLLWWW
13 Millwall 13 5 3 5 23 21 +2 18 DWLDLW
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20 22 -2 18 WWLWLL
15 Bristol City 13 5 3 5 15 17 -2 18 WDLLDW
16 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19 26 -7 17 LWDLLW
17 Lincoln 14 4 3 7 14 24 -10 15 LLDWLL
18 Cardiff 13 3 5 5 19 20 -1 14 WLWDWL
19 Wrexham 13 3 5 5 15 19 -4 14 WDLWLL
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13 23 -10 14 LLWLLW
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11 22 -11 14 DDLLLL
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18 26 -8 10 WDLLDD
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11 29 -18 7 DLLDLL
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12 30 -18 5 LLLDLL
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Southampton 7 6 1 0 20 5 +15 19 WWWWDW
2 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 0 17 9 +8 17 WWDWDW
3 Swansea 7 4 2 1 11 3 +8 14 WDWWLW
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 13 7 +6 14 WWLDWW
5 Stoke 7 4 1 2 12 6 +6 13 WWWLDW
6 Portsmouth 7 4 1 2 13 11 +2 13 LWDWWW
7 Watford 7 4 1 2 9 9 0 13 DWLLWW
8 QPR 7 3 3 1 14 6 +8 12 WLDWWD
9 Cardiff 6 3 3 0 13 6 +7 12 DDDWWW
10 Blackburn 7 4 0 3 12 9 +3 12 LLWWWL
11 Millwall 7 3 2 2 15 9 +6 11 LWDLDW
12 West Brom 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11 WDWDLW
13 Sheffield United 7 3 2 2 9 7 +2 11 WLLWDW
14 West Ham 7 3 1 3 18 11 +7 10 WWWDLL
15 Birmingham 6 2 4 0 14 7 +7 10 DDDDWW
16 Norwich 7 3 0 4 13 12 +1 9 WWLLLW
17 Charlton 7 2 3 2 5 6 -1 9 WDDDLL
18 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 10 8 +2 8 DLDWLW
19 Bristol City 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6 LWLWLL
20 Bolton 7 2 0 5 9 15 -6 6 LLWLLL
21 Burnley 7 0 5 2 8 10 -2 5 DLDDLD
22 Lincoln 7 1 2 4 8 16 -8 5 DDLLWL
23 Preston 7 1 1 5 7 13 -6 4 LWLLDL
24 Derby 7 0 2 5 4 14 -10 2 LLLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Birmingham 7 4 1 2 9 6 +3 13 WLWWLW
2 West Brom 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13 LWLWDW
3 Stoke 7 4 1 2 10 11 -1 13 LDWWWW
4 West Ham 6 3 3 0 15 7 +8 12 DDWDWW
5 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 12 11 +1 12 WWLDDW
6 Swansea 7 4 0 3 10 13 -3 12 WLWWLL
7 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 13 8 +5 11 LDWDWW
8 Sheffield United 7 3 2 2 11 10 +1 11 DWLLWW
9 Bolton 7 3 2 2 10 11 -1 11 LLWWDW
10 Wolves 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10 WLDWLW
11 Lincoln 7 3 1 3 6 8 -2 10 WWWLDL
12 Norwich 7 3 0 4 14 12 +2 9 LWLLWW
13 Portsmouth 7 2 3 2 6 5 +1 9 LDLWDD
14 QPR 7 2 3 2 8 11 -3 9 WDDDLL
15 Southampton 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8 LDDLWW
16 Millwall 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7 WLLDWL
17 Blackburn 7 1 3 3 8 13 -5 6 DLDWLL
18 Wrexham 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6 WDLDLL
19 Burnley 7 1 2 4 10 16 -6 5 LDLWLD
20 Derby 7 1 2 4 7 15 -8 5 WLDLDL
21 Charlton 7 1 2 4 6 16 -10 5 DLLDLL
22 Cardiff 7 0 2 5 6 14 -8 2 LLLLDL
23 Watford 7 0 1 6 4 14 -10 1 LLLLLL
24 Preston 7 0 1 6 5 17 -12 1 LLDLLL

Birmingham   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 12 Norwich 14 3 11 1.9 1.7 6 0 8 27 24 18 OUUOOO
2 14 Blackburn 14 3 11 1.4 1.6 5 3 6 20 22 18 OUOUOO
3 1 Middlesbrough 13 3 10 2.3 1.3 8 4 1 30 17 28 OUOOOO
4 8 West Ham 13 3 10 2.5 1.4 6 4 3 33 18 22 OUOUOO
5 13 Millwall 13 3 10 1.8 1.6 5 3 5 23 21 18 OUUOOO
6 3 Stoke 14 5 9 1.6 1.2 8 2 4 22 17 26 OOUUUO
7 4 Swansea 14 5 9 1.5 1.1 8 2 4 21 16 26 OUUOOO
8 7 Birmingham 13 4 9 1.8 1.0 6 5 2 23 13 23 OUOOUO
9 16 Bolton 14 5 9 1.4 1.9 5 2 7 19 26 17 OOUOOU
10 22 Burnley 14 5 9 1.3 1.9 1 7 6 18 26 10 OOOOUU
11 24 Preston 14 5 9 0.9 2.1 1 2 11 12 30 5 UOOUUO
12 2 Southampton 13 5 8 2.2 1.0 8 3 2 28 13 27 OUUUOO
13 5 Wolves 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 7 3 3 23 16 24 UOOUUO
14 9 Sheffield United 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 4 20 17 22 OOUUUO
15 11 QPR 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 5 6 3 22 17 21 UOOOOU
16 17 Lincoln 14 6 8 1.0 1.7 4 3 7 14 24 15 OOOOOU
17 18 Cardiff 13 5 8 1.5 1.5 3 5 5 19 20 14 OOOOUO
18 23 Derby 14 6 8 0.8 2.1 1 4 9 11 29 7 UOUUOO
19 10 Portsmouth 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 6 4 4 19 16 22 OUUOUO
20 21 Charlton 14 7 7 0.8 1.6 3 5 6 11 22 14 UOUOOU
21 6 West Brom 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 7 3 3 19 14 24 UUOOUO
22 15 Bristol City 13 7 6 1.2 1.3 5 3 5 15 17 18 UUUUUO
23 19 Wrexham 13 7 6 1.2 1.5 3 5 5 15 19 14 OUOOUU
24 20 Watford 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 4 2 8 13 23 14 OOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Middlesbrough 7 1 6 2.4 1.3 5 2 0 17 9 17 OOOUOO
2 8 West Ham 7 1 6 2.6 1.6 3 1 3 18 11 10 OOOUOO
3 13 Millwall 7 1 6 2.1 1.3 3 2 2 15 9 11 OOOUOO
4 14 Blackburn 7 1 6 1.7 1.3 4 0 3 12 9 12 OOOOUO
5 2 Southampton 7 2 5 2.9 0.7 6 1 0 20 5 19 OOOUUO
6 7 Birmingham 6 1 5 2.3 1.2 2 4 0 14 7 10 OUOOOO
7 10 Portsmouth 7 2 5 1.9 1.6 4 1 2 13 11 13 UUOOOO
8 12 Norwich 7 2 5 1.9 1.7 3 0 4 13 12 9 OOOUUO
9 16 Bolton 7 2 5 1.3 2.1 2 0 5 9 15 6 UOUOOO
10 17 Lincoln 7 2 5 1.1 2.3 1 2 4 8 16 5 UUOOOO
11 3 Stoke 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 4 1 2 12 6 13 UOOOUU
12 5 Wolves 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 4 2 1 13 7 14 OUOUUO
13 11 QPR 7 3 4 2.0 0.9 3 3 1 14 6 12 OUOOOU
14 19 Wrexham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 2 2 2 10 8 8 UOUOOO
15 20 Watford 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 4 1 2 9 9 13 UOOOUU
16 22 Burnley 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 0 5 2 8 10 5 UOUOOU
17 23 Derby 7 3 4 0.6 2.0 0 2 5 4 14 2 OUOUUO
18 24 Preston 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 1 1 5 7 13 4 OOUUUO
19 4 Swansea 7 4 3 1.6 0.4 4 2 1 11 3 14 UUOOUO
20 9 Sheffield United 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 2 2 9 7 11 OOUOUU
21 18 Cardiff 6 3 3 2.2 1.0 3 3 0 13 6 12 UOUOOU
22 6 West Brom 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11 OUUUUO
23 21 Charlton 7 5 2 0.7 0.9 2 3 2 5 6 9 UUUUOU
24 15 Bristol City 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Swansea 7 1 6 1.4 1.9 4 0 3 10 13 12 OOOUOO
2 12 Norwich 7 1 6 2.0 1.7 3 0 4 14 12 9 UOOOOO
3 3 Stoke 7 2 5 1.4 1.6 4 1 2 10 11 13 OUOOUO
4 9 Sheffield United 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 3 2 2 11 10 11 OOOOUO
5 14 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 1 3 3 8 13 6 UOOUOO
6 15 Bristol City 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 3 1 12 11 12 OOOUUO
7 18 Cardiff 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 5 6 14 2 OUUOOO
8 21 Charlton 7 2 5 0.9 2.3 1 2 4 6 16 5 UOOOUO
9 22 Burnley 7 2 5 1.4 2.3 1 2 4 10 16 5 OUOOOU
10 24 Preston 7 2 5 0.7 2.4 0 1 6 5 17 1 UOOOOU
11 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 2.2 1.3 3 2 1 13 8 11 OUUOOO
12 5 Wolves 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10 OOOUUO
13 6 West Brom 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13 OUUOUO
14 7 Birmingham 7 3 4 1.3 0.9 4 1 2 9 6 13 OOOUUO
15 8 West Ham 6 2 4 2.5 1.2 3 3 0 15 7 12 OUOOOU
16 11 QPR 7 3 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 2 8 11 9 OUUUOO
17 13 Millwall 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7 UOOOUO
18 16 Bolton 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 3 2 2 10 11 11 OOOOUU
19 23 Derby 7 3 4 1.0 2.1 1 2 4 7 15 5 UOUOUO
20 2 Southampton 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8 OUUOUO
21 17 Lincoln 7 4 3 0.9 1.1 3 1 3 6 8 10 UUUOOU
22 10 Portsmouth 7 5 2 0.9 0.7 2 3 2 6 5 9 OUUUUU
23 19 Wrexham 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6 OUOUUU
24 20 Watford 7 5 2 0.6 2.0 0 1 6 4 14 1 UUUOUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 6 Nov 2026, 21:44