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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Robinson

Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 2.65 fair 2.50
Draw 3.60 fair 4.11
Away 2.40 fair 2.80
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.38 fair 2.34
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Birmingham
16 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
2.97 Expected goals (xG) 1.04
3 Corners 3
10 Fouls 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (136 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.64scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:17
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.82points / match
1.82scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 20:11
Cardiff all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.82
1.55 Goals conceded 1.00
3.18 Total goals 2.82
1.84 xG created 1.76
1.73 xG allowed 1.23
17.18 Shots 13.73
6.09 Shots on target 4.82
15.09 Shots faced 11.73
7.18 Corners 5.73
5.18 Corners against 4.55
10.09 Fouls 12.18
1.82 Yellow cards 2.09
1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.91 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

18% Wins 45%
45% Draws 45%
36% Losses 9%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
91% Over 1.5 goals 82%
64% Over 2.5 goals 73%
45% Over 3.5 goals 36%
9% Over 4.5 goals 0%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
82% Both teams scored 64%
0% Clean sheets 36%
18% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 36%
18% Draws 36%
45% Losses 27%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
55% Over 1.5 goals 45%
36% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Birmingham all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.80points / match
2.40scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 12:6
Birmingham before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.20scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:4
Cardiff at home away Birmingham

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 1.20
1.20 Goals conceded 0.80
3.60 Total goals 2.00
2.52 xG created 1.95
1.38 xG allowed 0.98
22.80 Shots 13.40
7.60 Shots on target 5.00
11.20 Shots faced 11.80
8.20 Corners 6.80
3.60 Corners against 5.60
9.60 Fouls 11.80
1.80 Yellow cards 2.20
1.60 1st-half goals scored 0.60
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 60%
60% Draws 20%
0% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
60% Over 3.5 goals 0%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
20% Draws 40%
40% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 40%
60% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–2 (0–2) 1.494.505.50 1.40 3.00
13.10.26 Cardiff – Watford 5–1 (4–0) 1.574.105.00 1.50 2.63
10.10.26 Blackburn – Cardiff 2–1 (2–0) 2.653.502.40 1.62 2.30
19.09.26 Cardiff – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 1.793.804.00 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.573.402.50 1.62 2.30
08.09.26 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.62 2.30
05.09.26 Portsmouth – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.323.402.85 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Cardiff – Sheffield United 2–2 (2–2) 2.553.502.50 1.73 2.10
22.08.26 Derby – Cardiff 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.503.75 2.03 1.83

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Birmingham – QPR 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.91 1.91
13.10.26 Birmingham – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.205.75 1.73 2.10
10.10.26 West Brom – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.303.00 2.00 1.80
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Norwich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 1.863.503.90 1.80 2.00
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
28.08.26 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.10.26 Cardiff – Watford 5–1 (4–0) 1.574.105.00 1.50 2.63
19.09.26 Cardiff – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 1.793.804.00 1.67 2.20
08.09.26 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.62 2.30
29.08.26 Cardiff – Sheffield United 2–2 (2–2) 2.553.502.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.26 Cardiff – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.502.82 1.73 2.10
25.04.26E2 Cardiff – Northampton 5–1 (3–0) 1.117.5015.00 1.36 3.10
22.04.26E2 Cardiff – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.257.00 1.53 2.40
11.04.26E2 Cardiff – Bolton 2–0 (0–0) 1.714.004.00 1.50 2.50
21.03.26E2 Cardiff – Blackpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.334.757.50 1.57 2.35
17.03.26E2 Cardiff – Wycombe 0–2 (0–0) 1.623.804.75 1.70 2.10

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 West Brom – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.303.00 2.00 1.80
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Norwich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 1.863.503.90 1.80 2.00
28.08.26 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
15.08.26 Sheffield United – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.03 1.83
02.05.26 Portsmouth – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.353.502.70 1.80 2.00
18.04.26 Hull – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.502.70 1.85 2.00
06.04.26 Ipswich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Charlton – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.05 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsBirmingham wins
6matches
1.83goals / match
17%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.24E1 Birmingham – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 2.10 1.73
13.12.23E1 Cardiff – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
14.02.23E1 Birmingham – Cardiff 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
13.08.22E1 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
30.04.22E1 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.80
11.12.21E1 Birmingham – Cardiff 2–2 (2–0) 2.373.303.10 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 12 7 4 1 27 17 +10 25
2 Swansea 11 7 2 2 16 8 +8 23
3 West Ham 11 6 4 1 30 12 +18 22
4 Southampton 11 6 3 2 21 10 +11 21
5 Birmingham 11 5 5 1 20 11 +9 20
6 West Brom 11 6 2 3 15 12 +3 20
7 Stoke 11 6 1 4 18 16 +2 19
8 Wolves 11 5 3 3 19 16 +3 18
9 Portsmouth 12 5 3 4 16 15 +1 18
10 QPR 11 4 5 2 15 12 +3 17
11 Sheffield United 12 4 4 4 16 15 +1 16
12 Blackburn 11 4 3 4 17 16 +1 15
13 Millwall 12 4 3 5 19 20 -1 15
14 Wrexham 11 3 5 3 15 16 -1 14
15 Bristol City 11 4 2 5 12 15 -3 14
16 Bolton 12 4 2 6 16 23 -7 14
17 Charlton 12 3 5 4 11 18 -7 14
18 Norwich 12 4 0 8 20 22 -2 12
19 Lincoln 11 3 3 5 9 19 -10 12
20 Cardiff 11 2 5 4 18 17 +1 11
21 Watford 11 3 2 6 10 19 -9 11
22 Burnley 11 1 5 5 16 21 -5 8
23 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 21 -11 7
24 Preston 11 1 1 9 9 24 -15 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 6 5 1 0 16 4 +12 16
2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 14 9 +5 14
3 Swansea 6 3 2 1 7 3 +4 11
4 West Brom 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
5 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
6 Birmingham 6 2 4 0 14 7 +7 10
7 Portsmouth 6 3 1 2 10 10 0 10
8 Watford 6 3 1 2 8 9 -1 10
9 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 12 6 +6 9
10 Stoke 5 3 0 2 10 6 +4 9
11 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
12 Charlton 6 2 3 1 5 5 0 9
13 Millwall 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8
14 QPR 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
15 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 10 8 +2 8
16 Wolves 5 2 2 1 9 7 +2 8
17 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
18 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 10 0 6
19 Bristol City 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6
20 Bolton 6 2 0 4 7 12 -5 6
21 Burnley 6 0 4 2 8 10 -2 4
22 Preston 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Derby 6 0 2 4 4 10 -6 2
24 Lincoln 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Ham 6 3 3 0 15 7 +8 12
2 Swansea 5 4 0 1 9 5 +4 12
3 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 13 8 +5 11
4 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
5 Wolves 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
6 Lincoln 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10
7 Stoke 6 3 1 2 8 10 -2 10
8 QPR 6 2 3 1 7 7 0 9
9 West Brom 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
10 Portsmouth 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8
11 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
12 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
13 Bolton 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8
14 Millwall 6 2 1 3 8 12 -4 7
15 Blackburn 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
16 Norwich 6 2 0 4 10 12 -2 6
17 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
18 Southampton 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
19 Derby 6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5
20 Charlton 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5
21 Burnley 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
22 Cardiff 6 0 2 4 6 11 -5 2
23 Watford 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1
24 Preston 6 0 1 5 5 15 -10 1

Cardiff   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 12 3 9 2.2 1.4 7 4 1 27 17 25
2 12 Blackburn 11 2 9 1.5 1.5 4 3 4 17 16 15
3 13 Millwall 12 3 9 1.6 1.7 4 3 5 19 20 15
4 18 Norwich 12 3 9 1.7 1.8 4 0 8 20 22 12
5 3 West Ham 11 3 8 2.7 1.1 6 4 1 30 12 22
6 5 Birmingham 11 3 8 1.8 1.0 5 5 1 20 11 20
7 7 Stoke 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 6 1 4 18 16 19
8 16 Bolton 12 4 8 1.3 1.9 4 2 6 16 23 14
9 22 Burnley 11 3 8 1.5 1.9 1 5 5 16 21 8
10 24 Preston 11 3 8 0.8 2.2 1 1 9 9 24 4
11 8 Wolves 11 4 7 1.7 1.5 5 3 3 19 16 18
12 11 Sheffield United 12 5 7 1.3 1.2 4 4 4 16 15 16
13 20 Cardiff 11 4 7 1.6 1.5 2 5 4 18 17 11
14 2 Swansea 11 5 6 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 16 8 23
15 4 Southampton 11 5 6 1.9 0.9 6 3 2 21 10 21
16 9 Portsmouth 12 6 6 1.3 1.2 5 3 4 16 15 18
17 10 QPR 11 5 6 1.4 1.1 4 5 2 15 12 17
18 14 Wrexham 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 5 3 15 16 14
19 17 Charlton 12 6 6 0.9 1.5 3 5 4 11 18 14
20 19 Lincoln 11 5 6 0.8 1.7 3 3 5 9 19 12
21 23 Derby 12 6 6 0.8 1.8 1 4 7 10 21 7
22 6 West Brom 11 6 5 1.4 1.1 6 2 3 15 12 20
23 15 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 4 2 5 12 15 14
24 21 Watford 11 6 5 0.9 1.7 3 2 6 10 19 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 4 2 0 14 9 14
2 5 Birmingham 6 1 5 2.3 1.2 2 4 0 14 7 10
3 12 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
4 13 Millwall 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8
5 3 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
6 4 Southampton 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 1 0 16 4 16
7 7 Stoke 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 2 10 6 9
8 9 Portsmouth 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 3 1 2 10 10 10
9 14 Wrexham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 2 2 2 10 8 8
10 16 Bolton 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 2 0 4 7 12 6
11 18 Norwich 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 0 4 10 10 6
12 21 Watford 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 1 2 8 9 10
13 22 Burnley 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 0 4 2 8 10 4
14 8 Wolves 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 2 2 1 9 7 8
15 10 QPR 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
16 11 Sheffield United 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
17 19 Lincoln 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
18 20 Cardiff 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 2 3 0 12 6 9
19 23 Derby 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 0 2 4 4 10 2
20 24 Preston 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
21 2 Swansea 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 3 2 1 7 3 11
22 6 West Brom 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
23 17 Charlton 6 4 2 0.8 0.8 2 3 1 5 5 9
24 15 Bristol City 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Norwich 6 1 5 1.7 2.0 2 0 4 10 12 6
2 24 Preston 6 1 5 0.8 2.5 0 1 5 5 15 1
3 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 2.2 1.3 3 2 1 13 8 11
4 2 Swansea 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 4 0 1 9 5 12
5 3 West Ham 6 2 4 2.5 1.2 3 3 0 15 7 12
6 7 Stoke 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 3 1 2 8 10 10
7 8 Wolves 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
8 11 Sheffield United 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
9 12 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6
10 13 Millwall 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 2 1 3 8 12 7
11 15 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
12 16 Bolton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8
13 17 Charlton 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5
14 20 Cardiff 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 0 2 4 6 11 2
15 22 Burnley 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
16 5 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
17 6 West Brom 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
18 10 QPR 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 3 1 7 7 9
19 19 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10
20 23 Derby 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 1 2 3 6 11 5
21 4 Southampton 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
22 9 Portsmouth 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8
23 14 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
24 21 Watford 5 4 1 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06