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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain Segunda Division ·

Malaga 3–2 Lugo

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.90 fair 2.52
Draw 3.30 fair 3.56
Away 4.50 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 1.60 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.43

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Malaga Lugo
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
6 Corners 5
11 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (116 league matches this season so far).
Result Malaga to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
MalagaDrawLugo
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 1–0 12.1% 0–1 10.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Malaga before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
0.60scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 6:14
Lugo before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.00scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:14
Malaga all matches all matches Lugo

Per match

0.60 Goals scored 1.00
1.40 Goals conceded 1.40
2.00 Total goals 2.40
11.80 Shots 10.70
3.80 Shots on target 2.90
11.00 Shots faced 16.30
3.40 Corners 3.00
4.10 Corners against 7.90
12.90 Fouls 14.10
2.80 Yellow cards 2.80
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

10% Wins 20%
30% Draws 30%
60% Losses 50%
80% Over 0.5 goals 90%
50% Over 1.5 goals 70%
40% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 70%
20% Clean sheets 20%
60% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 20%
70% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
50% Over 0.5 goals 70%
30% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Malaga all matches
Lugo all matches
Malaga before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 2:7
Lugo before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.40scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:9
Malaga at home away Lugo

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.40
1.75 Goals conceded 1.80
2.25 Total goals 3.20
13.25 Shots 11.20
5.00 Shots on target 2.80
9.75 Shots faced 15.20
3.00 Corners 3.60
4.25 Corners against 5.00
15.00 Fouls 12.40
2.75 Yellow cards 2.60
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.20
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 20%
50% Draws 40%
50% Losses 40%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 60%
25% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 20%
50% Losses 80%
75% Over 0.5 goals 80%
50% Over 1.5 goals 20%
25% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Malaga at home
Lugo away

Last 10 matches before this match

Malaga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.10.22 Leganes – Malaga 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.255.00 2.50 1.50
09.10.22 Malaga – Andorra 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.20 1.65
01.10.22 Santander – Malaga 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.35 1.57
24.09.22 Malaga – Villarreal B 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
19.09.22 Tenerife – Malaga 3–1 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.60
11.09.22 Huesca – Malaga 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.404.20 2.15 1.66
04.09.22 Malaga – Albacete 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.253.75 2.25 1.61
27.08.22 Mirandes – Malaga 1–3 (0–1) 2.403.103.20 2.25 1.61
22.08.22 Malaga – Las Palmas 0–4 (0–1) 2.623.102.87 2.40 1.53
14.08.22 Burgos – Malaga 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.103.10 2.60 1.47

Lugo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.10.22 Lugo – Las Palmas 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.002.15 2.15 1.66
08.10.22 Huesca – Lugo 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 2.15 1.66
02.10.22 Ibiza – Lugo 3–2 (2–1) 1.903.404.20 2.25 1.61
25.09.22 Lugo – Oviedo 0–0 (0–0) 3.302.902.37 2.50 1.50
17.09.22 Villarreal B – Lugo 3–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.75 2.07 1.72
10.09.22 Lugo – Alaves 1–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.30 1.60
04.09.22 Zaragoza – Lugo 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.25 1.61
27.08.22 Lugo – Leganes 1–0 (1–0) 3.102.902.60 2.60 1.47
21.08.22 Tenerife – Lugo 1–1 (1–0) 1.613.506.50 2.35 1.57
15.08.22 Lugo – Albacete 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.40 1.53

Malaga at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.10.22 Malaga – Andorra 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.20 1.65
24.09.22 Malaga – Villarreal B 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.10 1.70
04.09.22 Malaga – Albacete 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.253.75 2.25 1.61
22.08.22 Malaga – Las Palmas 0–4 (0–1) 2.623.102.87 2.40 1.53
21.05.22 Malaga – Burgos 0–1 (0–1) 1.723.505.50 2.35 1.57
07.05.22 Malaga – Oviedo 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.102.62 2.50 1.50
23.04.22 Malaga – Eibar 1–3 (1–1) 3.103.202.45 2.25 1.61
09.04.22 Malaga – Valladolid 2–2 (1–0) 4.003.302.00 2.10 1.70
27.03.22 Malaga – Huesca 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.002.90 2.60 1.47
12.03.22 Malaga – Ponferradina 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.003.20 2.60 1.47

Lugo away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Huesca – Lugo 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 2.15 1.66
02.10.22 Ibiza – Lugo 3–2 (2–1) 1.903.404.20 2.25 1.61
17.09.22 Villarreal B – Lugo 3–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.75 2.07 1.72
04.09.22 Zaragoza – Lugo 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.25 1.61
21.08.22 Tenerife – Lugo 1–1 (1–0) 1.613.506.50 2.35 1.57
20.05.22 Zaragoza – Lugo 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80
08.05.22 Ibiza – Lugo 1–1 (0–1) 2.003.403.80 2.07 1.72
17.04.22 Ponferradina – Lugo 3–1 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.20 1.65
02.04.22 Valladolid – Lugo 4–1 (1–0) 1.364.759.50 1.83 2.02
26.03.22 Eibar – Lugo 1–0 (0–0) 1.603.606.50 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Malaga winsDrawsLugo wins
2matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.05.22SP2 Lugo – Malaga 1–0 (0–0) 2.373.303.00 2.10 1.70
23.10.21SP2 Malaga – Lugo 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.50 2.50 1.50

Spain Segunda Division table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Las Palmas 11 6 5 0 15 4 +11 23
2 Alaves 11 6 4 1 14 10 +4 22
3 Albacete 11 5 4 2 12 9 +3 19
4 Burgos 10 4 6 0 6 0 +6 18
5 Eibar 10 5 3 2 14 9 +5 18
6 Granada 10 5 2 3 14 8 +6 17
7 Cartagena 10 5 2 3 14 11 +3 17
8 Huesca 11 4 4 3 11 8 +3 16
9 Levante 11 4 4 3 11 8 +3 16
10 Sp Gijon 10 4 3 3 14 14 0 15
11 Andorra 11 4 3 4 10 11 -1 15
12 Villarreal B 11 3 4 4 16 18 -2 13
13 Zaragoza 11 3 4 4 7 9 -2 13
14 Santander 11 3 3 5 5 8 -3 12
15 Ponferradina 11 3 3 5 13 17 -4 12
16 Tenerife 10 2 5 3 10 11 -1 11
17 Ibiza 10 3 2 5 9 14 -5 11
18 Leganes 11 3 1 7 8 12 -4 10
19 Oviedo 11 2 4 5 5 9 -4 10
20 Lugo 10 2 3 5 10 14 -4 9
21 Mirandes 10 1 4 5 9 15 -6 7
22 Malaga 10 1 3 6 6 14 -8 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Granada 5 4 1 0 12 1 +11 13
2 Eibar 5 4 1 0 9 2 +7 13
3 Burgos 5 3 2 0 5 0 +5 11
4 Las Palmas 5 3 2 0 5 0 +5 11
5 Huesca 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
6 Alaves 5 3 2 0 7 3 +4 11
7 Sp Gijon 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
8 Levante 6 3 1 2 8 4 +4 10
9 Villarreal B 5 2 3 0 10 5 +5 9
10 Andorra 5 3 0 2 6 3 +3 9
11 Tenerife 5 2 3 0 6 3 +3 9
12 Albacete 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
13 Zaragoza 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
14 Cartagena 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
15 Leganes 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
16 Ibiza 5 2 1 2 6 7 -1 7
17 Mirandes 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
18 Santander 5 1 2 2 1 3 -2 5
19 Ponferradina 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5
20 Lugo 5 1 1 3 3 5 -2 4
21 Oviedo 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4
22 Malaga 4 0 2 2 2 7 -5 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Las Palmas 6 3 3 0 10 4 +6 12
2 Alaves 6 3 2 1 7 7 0 11
3 Cartagena 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
4 Albacete 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
5 Burgos 5 1 4 0 1 0 +1 7
6 Ponferradina 5 2 1 2 7 8 -1 7
7 Santander 6 2 1 3 4 5 -1 7
8 Oviedo 5 1 3 1 2 2 0 6
9 Levante 5 1 3 1 3 4 -1 6
10 Andorra 6 1 3 2 4 8 -4 6
11 Huesca 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
12 Lugo 5 1 2 2 7 9 -2 5
13 Eibar 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
14 Sp Gijon 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
15 Malaga 6 1 1 4 4 7 -3 4
16 Zaragoza 5 1 1 3 2 5 -3 4
17 Ibiza 5 1 1 3 3 7 -4 4
18 Granada 5 1 1 3 2 7 -5 4
19 Villarreal B 6 1 1 4 6 13 -7 4
20 Leganes 6 1 0 5 3 7 -4 3
21 Tenerife 5 0 2 3 4 8 -4 2
22 Mirandes 4 0 1 3 1 6 -5 1

Malaga   Lugo

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Villarreal B 11 3 8 1.5 1.6 3 4 4 16 18 13
2 15 Ponferradina 11 4 7 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 17 12
3 5 Eibar 10 4 6 1.4 0.9 5 3 2 14 9 18
4 2 Alaves 11 6 5 1.3 0.9 6 4 1 14 10 22
5 3 Albacete 11 6 5 1.1 0.8 5 4 2 12 9 19
6 7 Cartagena 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 5 2 3 14 11 17
7 10 Sp Gijon 10 5 5 1.4 1.4 4 3 3 14 14 15
8 17 Ibiza 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 3 2 5 9 14 11
9 18 Leganes 11 6 5 0.7 1.1 3 1 7 8 12 10
10 20 Lugo 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 2 3 5 10 14 9
11 6 Granada 10 6 4 1.4 0.8 5 2 3 14 8 17
12 8 Huesca 11 7 4 1.0 0.7 4 4 3 11 8 16
13 21 Mirandes 10 6 4 0.9 1.5 1 4 5 9 15 7
14 22 Malaga 10 6 4 0.6 1.4 1 3 6 6 14 6
15 9 Levante 11 8 3 1.0 0.7 4 4 3 11 8 16
16 13 Zaragoza 11 8 3 0.6 0.8 3 4 4 7 9 13
17 16 Tenerife 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 2 5 3 10 11 11
18 1 Las Palmas 11 9 2 1.4 0.4 6 5 0 15 4 23
19 11 Andorra 11 9 2 0.9 1.0 4 3 4 10 11 15
20 4 Burgos 10 9 1 0.6 0.0 4 6 0 6 0 18
21 14 Santander 11 10 1 0.5 0.7 3 3 5 5 8 12
22 19 Oviedo 11 10 1 0.5 0.8 2 4 5 5 9 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Villarreal B 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 2 3 0 10 5 9
2 15 Ponferradina 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5
3 5 Eibar 5 2 3 1.8 0.4 4 1 0 9 2 13
4 6 Granada 5 2 3 2.4 0.2 4 1 0 12 1 13
5 7 Cartagena 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 2 1 2 7 7 7
6 10 Sp Gijon 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
7 18 Leganes 5 2 3 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
8 2 Alaves 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 2 0 7 3 11
9 8 Huesca 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
10 9 Levante 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 3 1 2 8 4 10
11 13 Zaragoza 6 4 2 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
12 17 Ibiza 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 1 2 6 7 7
13 20 Lugo 5 3 2 0.6 1.0 1 1 3 3 5 4
14 21 Mirandes 6 4 2 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6
15 22 Malaga 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 0 2 2 2 7 2
16 3 Albacete 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
17 4 Burgos 5 4 1 1.0 0.0 3 2 0 5 0 11
18 11 Andorra 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 0 2 6 3 9
19 16 Tenerife 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 3 0 6 3 9
20 19 Oviedo 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4
21 1 Las Palmas 5 5 0 1.0 0.0 3 2 0 5 0 11
22 14 Santander 5 5 0 0.2 0.6 1 2 2 1 3 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Albacete 5 1 4 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
2 12 Villarreal B 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 1 4 6 13 4
3 2 Alaves 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 3 2 1 7 7 11
4 5 Eibar 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
5 15 Ponferradina 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 2 1 2 7 8 7
6 17 Ibiza 5 2 3 0.6 1.4 1 1 3 3 7 4
7 20 Lugo 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 1 2 2 7 9 5
8 1 Las Palmas 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 3 3 0 10 4 12
9 7 Cartagena 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
10 8 Huesca 5 3 2 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
11 10 Sp Gijon 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
12 16 Tenerife 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 0 2 3 4 8 2
13 18 Leganes 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 0 5 3 7 3
14 21 Mirandes 4 2 2 0.2 1.5 0 1 3 1 6 1
15 22 Malaga 6 4 2 0.7 1.2 1 1 4 4 7 4
16 6 Granada 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 1 1 3 2 7 4
17 9 Levante 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 1 3 1 3 4 6
18 11 Andorra 6 5 1 0.7 1.3 1 3 2 4 8 6
19 13 Zaragoza 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 1 1 3 2 5 4
20 14 Santander 6 5 1 0.7 0.8 2 1 3 4 5 7
21 4 Burgos 5 5 0 0.2 0.0 1 4 0 1 0 7
22 19 Oviedo 5 5 0 0.4 0.4 1 3 1 2 2 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40