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Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: D Nicolson

Motherwell vs Hearts

Home 3.10 fair 2.53
Draw 3.60 fair 4.26
Away 2.10 fair 2.70
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.62
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds. Highlighted = our prediction. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Our prediction

Result Motherwell to win
Goals Over 2.5
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.57
Home / Draw / Away
MotherwellDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.2%

Statistics 2026/2027

Motherwell this season, all matches
0.89points / match
1.22scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:16
Hearts this season, all matches
1.78points / match
2.22scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:15
Motherwell all matches all matches Hearts

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 2.22
1.78 Goals conceded 1.67
3.00 Total goals 3.89
1.45 xG created 1.83
1.72 xG allowed 1.52
13.89 Shots 16.89
4.67 Shots on target 5.33
16.33 Shots faced 10.44
4.89 Corners 6.89
5.89 Corners against 3.56
9.89 Fouls 12.56
1.33 Yellow cards 1.44
0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.22
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often

22% Wins 56%
78% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 89%
33% Over 3.5 goals 44%
44% Both teams scored 78%
22% Clean sheets 22%
44% Failed to score 0%
22% Leading at half-time 56%
56% Trailing at half-time 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Motherwell all matches
Hearts all matches
Motherwell this season, at home
1.00points / match
0.75scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:6
Hearts this season, away
0.80points / match
1.40scored / match
2.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:13
Motherwell at home away Hearts

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.40
1.50 Goals conceded 2.60
2.25 Total goals 4.00
1.21 xG created 1.47
1.10 xG allowed 2.17
14.00 Shots 15.80
4.00 Shots on target 4.20
12.75 Shots faced 12.60
4.50 Corners 5.40
4.00 Corners against 4.40
8.75 Fouls 12.80
1.50 Yellow cards 1.60
0.25 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.40

How often

25% Wins 20%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 80%
25% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
75% Failed to score 0%
25% Leading at half-time 40%
50% Trailing at half-time 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Motherwell at home
Hearts away

Last 10 matches

Motherwell all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 3–2 (1–1) 3.253.752.01 1.62 2.30
11.10.26 Motherwell – Celtic 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.53 1.44 2.75
19.09.26 Dundee – Motherwell 2–1 (2–1) 3.003.402.25 1.73 2.10
15.09.26 Motherwell – Aberdeen 0–4 (0–1) 1.793.803.90 1.73 2.10
05.09.26 Rangers – Motherwell 1–0 (1–0) 1.414.337.00 1.62 2.30
02.09.26 Motherwell – Dundee United 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.753.60 1.73 2.10
30.08.26 St Mirren – Motherwell 3–3 (3–2) 2.453.302.70 2.00 1.85
09.08.26 Motherwell – Falkirk 0–0 (0–0) 1.793.754.10 1.73 2.10
02.08.26 Hibernian – Motherwell 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.10 1.85 2.00
16.05.26 Hibernian – Motherwell 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.57 1.91 1.91

Hearts all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.26 Celtic – Hearts 7–1 (5–1) 1.534.505.00 1.53 2.50
10.10.26 Hearts – St Mirren 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.005.75 1.53 2.50
19.09.26 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.101.61 1.57 2.38
15.09.26 Falkirk – Hearts 2–1 (1–1) 3.803.601.86 1.73 2.10
06.09.26 Hearts – Dundee 2–1 (0–1) 1.464.106.25 1.57 2.38
03.09.26 Hibernian – Hearts 1–3 (0–2) 2.453.502.65 1.88 1.98
29.08.26 Hearts – St Johnstone 2–1 (2–0) 1.683.754.50 1.73 2.10
09.08.26 Hearts – Dundee United 4–0 (2–0) 1.574.334.75 1.73 2.10
01.08.26 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
16.05.26 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.564.205.00 1.57 2.38

Motherwell at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.10.26 Motherwell – Celtic 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.53 1.44 2.75
15.09.26 Motherwell – Aberdeen 0–4 (0–1) 1.793.803.90 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 Motherwell – Dundee United 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.753.60 1.73 2.10
09.08.26 Motherwell – Falkirk 0–0 (0–0) 1.793.754.10 1.73 2.10
13.05.26 Motherwell – Celtic 2–3 (1–1) 4.334.101.66 1.57 2.38
09.05.26 Motherwell – Hearts 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.502.40 1.88 1.98
04.04.26 Motherwell – Falkirk 2–3 (1–2) 1.763.704.33 1.93 1.93
21.03.26 Motherwell – Hibernian 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.604.00 1.91 1.91
28.02.26 Motherwell – Dundee United 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.206.50 1.73 2.10
15.02.26 Motherwell – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 1.563.805.50 1.80 2.00

Hearts away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.26 Celtic – Hearts 7–1 (5–1) 1.534.505.00 1.53 2.50
19.09.26 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.101.61 1.57 2.38
15.09.26 Falkirk – Hearts 2–1 (1–1) 3.803.601.86 1.73 2.10
03.09.26 Hibernian – Hearts 1–3 (0–2) 2.453.502.65 1.88 1.98
01.08.26 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
16.05.26 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.564.205.00 1.57 2.38
09.05.26 Motherwell – Hearts 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.502.40 1.88 1.98
26.04.26 Hibernian – Hearts 1–2 (1–0) 2.823.302.40 1.93 1.93
05.04.26 Livingston – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 6.504.201.46 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 4.753.801.66 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022

Motherwell winsDrawsHearts wins
18matches
2.50goals / match
44%over 2.5
39%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.05.26SC0 Motherwell – Hearts 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.502.40 1.88 1.98
11.04.26SC0 Hearts – Motherwell 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 1.88 1.98
29.11.25SC0 Motherwell – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.01 1.80 2.00
23.08.25SC0 Hearts – Motherwell 3–3 (0–1) 1.623.905.25 1.93 1.93
10.05.25SC0 Hearts – Motherwell 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.206.25 1.80 2.00
12.04.25SC0 Motherwell – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.701.90 1.93 1.93
02.01.25SC0 Hearts – Motherwell 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.33 1.88 1.98
25.08.24SC0 Motherwell – Hearts 3–1 (1–0) 2.803.402.40 1.80 2.00
17.02.24SC0 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.705.00 2.03 1.83
11.11.23SC0 Motherwell – Hearts 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.40 1.98 1.88
03.09.23SC0 Hearts – Motherwell 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.75 1.90 1.95
19.02.23SC0 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.98 1.88
06.11.22SC0 Hearts – Motherwell 3–2 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
18.09.22SC0 Motherwell – Hearts 0–3 (0–1) 2.753.502.50 2.00 1.85
11.05.22SC0 Motherwell – Hearts 2–1 (1–1) 2.873.502.37 2.00 1.85
29.01.22SC0 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 (1–0) 1.663.805.25 2.10 1.72
20.11.21SC0 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.02 1.83
02.10.21SC0 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 (2–0) 1.573.806.00 2.00 1.80

Scotland Premiership table 2026/2027

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23 5 +18 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13 7 +6 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20 15 +5 16
4 Dundee 9 4 2 3 13 10 +3 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11 11 0 12
6 Dundee United 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10 10 0 11
8 St Mirren 9 3 1 5 9 17 -8 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9 12 -3 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11 16 -5 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10 20 -10 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9 14 -5 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hearts 4 4 0 0 13 2 +11 12
2 Celtic 5 4 0 1 13 3 +10 12
3 Rangers 4 3 0 1 6 3 +3 9
4 Dundee 5 2 2 1 8 6 +2 8
5 St Johnstone 5 2 2 1 8 7 +1 8
6 Aberdeen 5 2 1 2 5 4 +1 7
7 Dundee United 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
8 St Mirren 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
9 Motherwell 4 1 1 2 3 6 -3 4
10 Kilmarnock 5 1 1 3 5 13 -8 4
11 Falkirk 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3
12 Hibernian 5 0 1 4 4 9 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 10 2 +8 12
2 Rangers 5 3 2 0 7 4 +3 11
3 Dundee United 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
4 Dundee 4 2 0 2 5 4 +1 6
5 Falkirk 5 1 3 1 5 5 0 6
6 Hibernian 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
7 St Mirren 5 2 0 3 4 9 -5 6
8 Aberdeen 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
9 St Johnstone 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
10 Motherwell 5 1 1 3 8 10 -2 4
11 Kilmarnock 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
12 Hearts 5 1 1 3 7 13 -6 4

Motherwell   Hearts

Results and odds: football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 10:11