--- title: 'Prediction results' url: 'https://www.betgps.com/predictions' markdown: 'https://www.betgps.com/predictions.md' date: '2026-11-06' description: 'How our football predictions would have done with a flat 1-point stake on every match: profit, ROI and win rate by bet type, league and season.' --- # Prediction results How would our predictions have done if you had backed every one of them? Each played match counts as three bets of 1 point each – our Home / Draw / Away pick, our Under / Over 2.5 goals pick and our Both-teams-to-score pick – at Bet365 odds. Choose a period, a league or a bet type below. 31 Jul 2026 – 4 Nov 2026 · All leagues · All bets · 2,238 matches Bets 6,714 6,714 points staked Won 54.2% 3,639 won · 3,075 lost Average odds 1.86 break-even win rate 53.8% Profit −201.24 pts returned 6,512.76 of 6,714 ROI −3.0% profit per point staked ## Profit over time cumulative, in points - 1X2 - U/O 2.5 - BTTS - Total ## By bet type Results by bet type | Bet | Bets | Won | Lost | Win % | Avg odds | Profit | ROI | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | 1X2 (Home / Draw / Away) | 2,238 | 1,141 | 1,097 | 51.0% | 2.07 | −36.06 | −1.6% | | Home | 1,564 | 805 | 759 | 51.5% | 2.01 | −55.58 | −3.6% | | Draw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 3.40 | −1.00 | −100.0% | | Away | 673 | 336 | 337 | 49.9% | 2.22 | +20.52 | +3.0% | | Under / Over 2.5 goals | 2,238 | 1,261 | 977 | 56.3% | 1.74 | −88.87 | −4.0% | | Over 2.5 | 1,349 | 817 | 532 | 60.6% | 1.66 | −14.57 | −1.1% | | Under 2.5 | 889 | 444 | 445 | 49.9% | 1.87 | −74.30 | −8.4% | | Both teams to score | 2,238 | 1,237 | 1,001 | 55.3% | 1.76 | −76.31 | −3.4% | | BTTS Yes | 1,696 | 975 | 721 | 57.5% | 1.72 | −26.28 | −1.5% | | BTTS No | 542 | 262 | 280 | 48.3% | 1.89 | −50.03 | −9.2% | | Total | 6,714 | 3,639 | 3,075 | 54.2% | 1.86 | −201.24 | −3.0% | ## By league click a heading to sort Results by league | | | | | | | | | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | [England National League](https://www.betgps.com/england-national-league) | 567 | 343 | 224 | 60.5% | 1.80 | +35.53 | +6.3% | | [Scotland Championship](https://www.betgps.com/scotland-championship) | 192 | 116 | 76 | 60.4% | 1.90 | +26.13 | +13.6% | | [Italy Serie A](https://www.betgps.com/italy-serie-a) | 300 | 175 | 125 | 58.3% | 1.88 | +18.24 | +6.1% | | [France Ligue 1](https://www.betgps.com/france-ligue-1) | 243 | 145 | 98 | 59.7% | 1.86 | +13.21 | +5.4% | | [Scotland League Two](https://www.betgps.com/scotland-league-two) | 180 | 103 | 77 | 57.2% | 1.85 | +7.43 | +4.1% | | [Spain La Liga](https://www.betgps.com/spain-la-liga) | 327 | 193 | 134 | 59.0% | 1.82 | +6.22 | +1.9% | | [Netherlands Eredivisie](https://www.betgps.com/netherlands-eredivisie) | 297 | 193 | 104 | 65.0% | 1.58 | −0.02 | −0.0% | | [Scotland Premiership](https://www.betgps.com/scotland-premiership) | 207 | 114 | 93 | 55.1% | 1.83 | −3.13 | −1.5% | | [Greece Super League](https://www.betgps.com/greece-super-league) | 186 | 100 | 86 | 53.8% | 1.90 | −3.43 | −1.8% | | [Germany Bundesliga](https://www.betgps.com/germany-bundesliga) | 216 | 129 | 87 | 59.7% | 1.65 | −10.22 | −4.7% | | [Turkey Super Lig](https://www.betgps.com/turkey-super-lig) | 270 | 148 | 122 | 54.8% | 1.81 | −11.36 | −4.2% | | [Scotland League One](https://www.betgps.com/scotland-league-one) | 192 | 102 | 90 | 53.1% | 1.85 | −12.19 | −6.3% | | [England League Two](https://www.betgps.com/england-league-two) | 492 | 252 | 240 | 51.2% | 1.94 | −14.24 | −2.9% | | [Portugal Primeira Liga](https://www.betgps.com/portugal-primeira-liga) | 270 | 145 | 125 | 53.7% | 1.84 | −14.85 | −5.5% | | [France Ligue 2](https://www.betgps.com/france-ligue-2) | 294 | 144 | 150 | 49.0% | 1.98 | −19.43 | −6.6% | | [Italy Serie B](https://www.betgps.com/italy-serie-b) | 300 | 147 | 153 | 49.0% | 1.95 | −20.20 | −6.7% | | [Germany 2. Bundesliga](https://www.betgps.com/germany-2-bundesliga) | 270 | 143 | 127 | 53.0% | 1.80 | −21.41 | −7.9% | | [Belgium Pro League](https://www.betgps.com/belgium-pro-league) | 270 | 142 | 128 | 52.6% | 1.81 | −22.89 | −8.5% | | [England League One](https://www.betgps.com/england-league-one) | 474 | 246 | 228 | 51.9% | 1.90 | −26.53 | −5.6% | | [England Premier League](https://www.betgps.com/england-premier-league) | 270 | 128 | 142 | 47.4% | 1.93 | −34.77 | −12.9% | | [Spain Segunda Division](https://www.betgps.com/spain-segunda-division) | 393 | 190 | 203 | 48.3% | 1.92 | −35.39 | −9.0% | | [England Championship](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship) | 504 | 241 | 263 | 47.8% | 1.94 | −57.94 | −11.5% | ## How this is counted - Every played match gets three bets of 1 point each, one per prediction: Home / Draw / Away, Under / Over 2.5 goals and Both teams to score. - The predictions are the ones shown on each match page, made only from matches played before kick-off – nothing that happened later is used. Past matches show what today's model would have predicted before each of them. - The model's settings were chosen using seasons 2021/22 to 2023/24, so results for those seasons flatter it a little; from 2024/25 on they are a fair test. - Odds are Bet365's pre-match odds from football-data.co.uk. There are no BTTS odds in the data, so BTTS Yes is priced at the Over 2.5 odds and BTTS No at the Under 2.5 odds. - A won bet earns the odds minus the stake (odds 2.10 = +1.10 points); a lost bet costs 1 point. 3 bets without odds are left out. Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 6 Nov 2026, 22:11 --- ## Navigation - Previous: [contact](https://www.betgps.com/contact.md) - Next: [Leagues](https://www.betgps.com/leagues.md)