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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie B ·

Palermo 2–1 Carrarese

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 2.12
Draw 4.33 fair 3.96
Away 6.25 fair 3.62
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Palermo Carrarese
19 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 4
1.89 Expected goals (xG) 1.32
5 Corners 7
5 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (78 league matches this season so far).
Result Palermo to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
PalermoDrawCarrarese
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 10.6% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Palermo before this match, all matches
2.71points / match
2.29scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 16:7
Carrarese before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.86scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:7
Palermo all matches all matches Carrarese

Per match

2.29 Goals scored 0.86
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
3.29 Total goals 1.86
2.08 xG created 1.13
1.54 xG allowed 1.29
18.00 Shots 11.43
6.43 Shots on target 3.43
14.00 Shots faced 15.57
4.29 Corners 4.43
5.57 Corners against 5.43
13.00 Fouls 14.29
1.86 Yellow cards 2.14
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.14

How often Full Time

86% Wins 29%
14% Draws 14%
0% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 57%
57% Over 2.5 goals 29%
43% Over 3.5 goals 0%
29% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 43%
29% Clean sheets 14%
0% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 29%
57% Draws 57%
0% Losses 14%
57% Over 0.5 goals 43%
29% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo all matches
Carrarese all matches
Palermo before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:2
Carrarese before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:2
Palermo at home away Carrarese

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.67 Goals conceded 0.67
2.67 Total goals 1.67
1.76 xG created 1.24
1.30 xG allowed 1.63
17.33 Shots 13.00
6.33 Shots on target 3.00
15.67 Shots faced 17.00
5.00 Corners 5.00
7.33 Corners against 5.67
15.00 Fouls 13.67
2.67 Yellow cards 3.00
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 33%
0% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 0%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 33%
33% Draws 67%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 33%
67% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo at home
Carrarese away

Last 10 matches before this match

Palermo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Mantova – Palermo 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.302.10 1.75 2.05
10.10.26 Empoli – Palermo 2–4 (0–0) 3.703.501.86 1.80 2.00
19.09.26 Palermo – Padova 2–1 (1–1) 1.533.905.50 1.73 2.08
13.09.26 Avellino – Palermo 1–1 (0–0) 3.903.201.96 2.05 1.75
07.09.26 Palermo – Sampdoria 3–1 (2–0) 1.813.254.33 2.05 1.75
30.08.26 Arezzo – Palermo 2–3 (0–1) 3.503.202.05 2.35 1.57
23.08.26 Palermo – Juve Stabia 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.505.50 2.05 1.75
08.05.26 Venezia – Palermo 2–0 (0–0) 1.564.334.75 1.67 2.15
01.05.26 Palermo – Catanzaro 3–2 (1–2) 1.664.004.50 1.70 2.10
25.04.26 Reggiana – Palermo 1–1 (1–1) 5.753.801.56 1.90 1.90

Carrarese all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Carrarese – Modena 2–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.76 1.85 1.95
11.10.26 Padova – Carrarese 0–2 (0–1) 1.863.303.80 1.90 1.90
19.09.26 Carrarese – Benevento 0–1 (0–0) 2.853.302.35 1.90 1.90
12.09.26 Catanzaro – Carrarese 1–0 (0–0) 1.963.203.90 1.90 1.90
05.09.26 Carrarese – Empoli 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.102.85 2.15 1.67
29.08.26 Ascoli – Carrarese 1–1 (0–0) 1.863.204.10 2.35 1.57
22.08.26 Carrarese – Mantova 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.253.10 2.00 1.80
08.05.26 Virtus Entella – Carrarese 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.904.75 1.67 2.15
01.05.26 Carrarese – Cesena 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 1.75 2.05
25.04.26 Frosinone – Carrarese 3–0 (0–0) 1.574.204.75 1.57 2.35

Palermo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Palermo – Padova 2–1 (1–1) 1.533.905.50 1.73 2.08
07.09.26 Palermo – Sampdoria 3–1 (2–0) 1.813.254.33 2.05 1.75
23.08.26 Palermo – Juve Stabia 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.505.50 2.05 1.75
01.05.26 Palermo – Catanzaro 3–2 (1–2) 1.664.004.50 1.70 2.10
18.04.26 Palermo – Cesena 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.105.50 1.73 2.08
05.04.26 Palermo – Avellino 2–0 (1–0) 1.463.806.25 1.85 1.95
17.03.26 Palermo – Juve Stabia 2–2 (0–1) 1.623.306.00 2.20 1.65
04.03.26 Palermo – Mantova 2–1 (2–0) 1.533.905.75 1.80 2.00
21.02.26 Palermo – Sudtirol 3–0 (2–0) 1.683.604.75 2.05 1.75
14.02.26 Palermo – Virtus Entella 3–0 (2–0) 1.613.505.25 2.00 1.80

Carrarese away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.10.26 Padova – Carrarese 0–2 (0–1) 1.863.303.80 1.90 1.90
12.09.26 Catanzaro – Carrarese 1–0 (0–0) 1.963.203.90 1.90 1.90
29.08.26 Ascoli – Carrarese 1–1 (0–0) 1.863.204.10 2.35 1.57
08.05.26 Virtus Entella – Carrarese 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.904.75 1.67 2.15
25.04.26 Frosinone – Carrarese 3–0 (0–0) 1.574.204.75 1.57 2.35
12.04.26 Reggiana – Carrarese 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.202.20 2.15 1.67
22.03.26 Bari – Carrarese 0–3 (0–0) 3.002.852.57 2.10 1.70
14.03.26 Juve Stabia – Carrarese 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.30 1.60
01.03.26 Mantova – Carrarese 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.003.00 2.00 1.80
14.02.26 Modena – Carrarese 2–0 (1–0) 1.663.505.25 1.95 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Palermo winsDrawsCarrarese wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26I2 Carrarese – Palermo 0–1 (0–1) 3.253.252.20 2.00 1.80
29.11.25I2 Palermo – Carrarese 5–0 (2–0) 1.683.405.25 1.85 1.95
13.05.25I2 Palermo – Carrarese 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.105.50 1.67 2.15
07.12.24I2 Carrarese – Palermo 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.15 1.63

Italy Serie B table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Palermo 7 6 1 0 16 7 +9 19
2 Mantova 8 5 2 1 14 8 +6 17
3 Modena 8 5 1 2 15 8 +7 16
4 Ascoli 8 4 3 1 14 6 +8 15
5 Benevento 8 4 2 2 13 7 +6 14
6 Pisa 7 4 1 2 14 9 +5 13
7 Sudtirol 8 3 4 1 10 7 +3 13
8 Juve Stabia 8 3 3 2 9 8 +1 12
9 Avellino 8 3 2 3 12 9 +3 11
10 Padova 8 3 1 4 7 10 -3 10
11 Arezzo 8 3 1 4 8 17 -9 10
12 Virtus Entella 8 2 3 3 10 9 +1 9
13 Vicenza 8 2 3 3 11 15 -4 9
14 Verona 7 2 2 3 14 12 +2 8
15 Cesena 8 1 5 2 8 12 -4 8
16 Carrarese 7 2 1 4 6 7 -1 7
17 Empoli 8 2 1 5 7 13 -6 7
18 Cremonese 8 1 3 4 6 11 -5 6
19 Sampdoria 8 1 2 5 8 16 -8 5
20 Catanzaro 8 1 1 6 9 20 -11 4
  • Promotion to Serie A
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off preliminary round
  • Relegation play-out
  • Relegation to Serie C
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Modena 4 3 0 1 8 4 +4 9
2 Palermo 3 3 0 0 6 2 +4 9
3 Sudtirol 5 2 3 0 5 2 +3 9
4 Benevento 5 2 2 1 9 6 +3 8
5 Ascoli 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
6 Verona 4 2 1 1 10 5 +5 7
7 Avellino 5 2 1 2 9 5 +4 7
8 Mantova 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
10 Cesena 4 0 4 0 5 5 0 4
11 Juve Stabia 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
12 Vicenza 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4
13 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
14 Padova 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
15 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
16 Carrarese 4 1 0 3 3 5 -2 3
17 Empoli 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
18 Catanzaro 3 1 0 2 3 9 -6 3
19 Virtus Entella 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
20 Arezzo 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Palermo 4 3 1 0 10 5 +5 10
2 Mantova 4 3 1 0 7 3 +4 10
3 Arezzo 4 3 0 1 5 7 -2 9
4 Juve Stabia 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8
5 Pisa 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
6 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 8 3 +5 7
7 Modena 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
8 Virtus Entella 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
9 Benevento 3 2 0 1 4 1 +3 6
10 Padova 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
11 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7 9 -2 5
12 Carrarese 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
13 Sudtirol 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
14 Avellino 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
15 Empoli 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
16 Cesena 4 1 1 2 3 7 -4 4
17 Cremonese 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
18 Sampdoria 5 0 2 3 4 11 -7 2
19 Verona 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1
20 Catanzaro 5 0 1 4 6 11 -5 1

Palermo   Carrarese

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Modena 8 2 6 1.9 1.0 5 1 2 15 8 16
2 6 Pisa 7 1 6 2.0 1.3 4 1 2 14 9 13
3 11 Arezzo 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 3 1 4 8 17 10
4 13 Vicenza 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 2 3 3 11 15 9
5 14 Verona 7 1 6 2.0 1.7 2 2 3 14 12 8
6 20 Catanzaro 8 2 6 1.1 2.5 1 1 6 9 20 4
7 19 Sampdoria 8 3 5 1.0 2.0 1 2 5 8 16 5
8 1 Palermo 7 3 4 2.3 1.0 6 1 0 16 7 19
9 2 Mantova 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 5 2 1 14 8 17
10 5 Benevento 8 4 4 1.6 0.9 4 2 2 13 7 14
11 9 Avellino 8 4 4 1.5 1.1 3 2 3 12 9 11
12 12 Virtus Entella 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 3 3 10 9 9
13 18 Cremonese 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 1 3 4 6 11 6
14 4 Ascoli 8 5 3 1.8 0.8 4 3 1 14 6 15
15 8 Juve Stabia 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 3 2 9 8 12
16 10 Padova 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 3 1 4 7 10 10
17 15 Cesena 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 1 5 2 8 12 8
18 17 Empoli 8 5 3 0.9 1.6 2 1 5 7 13 7
19 7 Sudtirol 8 6 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 1 10 7 13
20 16 Carrarese 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 1 4 6 7 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Verona 4 0 4 2.5 1.2 2 1 1 10 5 7
2 3 Modena 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 1 8 4 9
3 5 Benevento 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 1 9 6 8
4 6 Pisa 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
5 9 Avellino 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 2 9 5 7
6 11 Arezzo 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
7 19 Sampdoria 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
8 1 Palermo 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 3 0 0 6 2 9
9 2 Mantova 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
10 8 Juve Stabia 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
11 12 Virtus Entella 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
12 13 Vicenza 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4
13 16 Carrarese 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 0 3 3 5 3
14 18 Cremonese 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
15 20 Catanzaro 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 1 0 2 3 9 3
16 4 Ascoli 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
17 10 Padova 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
18 15 Cesena 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 0 4 0 5 5 4
19 17 Empoli 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3
20 7 Sudtirol 5 5 0 1.0 0.4 2 3 0 5 2 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Vicenza 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 1 2 2 7 9 5
2 20 Catanzaro 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 0 1 4 6 11 1
3 3 Modena 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
4 6 Pisa 3 0 3 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7
5 11 Arezzo 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 3 0 1 5 7 9
6 1 Palermo 4 2 2 2.5 1.2 3 1 0 10 5 10
7 2 Mantova 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 0 7 3 10
8 4 Ascoli 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 2 1 1 8 3 7
9 7 Sudtirol 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
10 10 Padova 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
11 12 Virtus Entella 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
12 14 Verona 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1
13 15 Cesena 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 1 2 3 7 4
14 17 Empoli 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
15 18 Cremonese 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
16 19 Sampdoria 5 3 2 0.8 2.2 0 2 3 4 11 2
17 5 Benevento 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 0 1 4 1 6
18 8 Juve Stabia 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8
19 9 Avellino 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
20 16 Carrarese 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44