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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie B ·

Palermo 1–0 Padova

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.46 fair 1.89
Draw 3.80 fair 3.85
Away 6.50 fair 4.73
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 1.95 fair 2.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Palermo Padova
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 8
12 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (178 league matches this season so far).
Result Palermo to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.52 – 0.85
Home / Draw / Away
PalermoDrawPadova
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.2% 1–1 12.1% 2–0 10.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Palermo before this match, all matches
1.76points / match
1.59scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 27:13
Padova before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.00scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:19
Palermo all matches all matches Padova

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.00
0.76 Goals conceded 1.12
2.35 Total goals 2.12
14.47 Shots 10.41
4.53 Shots on target 3.76
12.06 Shots faced 14.88
5.00 Corners 3.82
4.35 Corners against 5.82
15.53 Fouls 14.41
2.24 Yellow cards 2.82
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.35
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

47% Wins 29%
35% Draws 41%
18% Losses 29%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
71% Over 1.5 goals 65%
41% Over 2.5 goals 35%
24% Over 3.5 goals 18%
12% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
41% Both teams scored 59%
41% Clean sheets 24%
29% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 12%
18% Draws 47%
35% Losses 41%
82% Over 0.5 goals 65%
12% Over 1.5 goals 18%
0% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo all matches
Padova all matches
Palermo before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.78scored / match
0.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:5
Padova before this match, away
1.56points / match
0.89scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:8
Palermo at home away Padova

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 0.89
0.56 Goals conceded 0.89
2.33 Total goals 1.78
16.11 Shots 10.33
6.00 Shots on target 3.78
10.22 Shots faced 15.67
5.33 Corners 3.89
3.78 Corners against 6.67
13.22 Fouls 16.22
1.56 Yellow cards 3.33
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.11 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

56% Wins 44%
33% Draws 22%
11% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 89%
67% Over 1.5 goals 44%
44% Over 2.5 goals 33%
22% Over 3.5 goals 11%
22% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
22% Both teams scored 44%
67% Clean sheets 44%
33% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 22%
33% Draws 56%
11% Losses 22%
67% Over 0.5 goals 44%
11% Over 1.5 goals 11%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Palermo at home
Padova away

Last 10 matches before this match

Palermo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Avellino – Palermo 2–2 (1–0) 4.333.601.76 2.00 1.80
12.12.25 Palermo – Sampdoria 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.25 2.05 1.75
07.12.25 Empoli – Palermo 1–3 (0–2) 3.053.202.32 2.15 1.67
29.11.25 Palermo – Carrarese 5–0 (2–0) 1.683.405.25 1.85 1.95
22.11.25 Virtus Entella – Palermo 1–1 (1–0) 2.853.052.50 2.20 1.65
08.11.25 Juve Stabia – Palermo 1–0 (1–0) 2.953.052.32 2.35 1.57
01.11.25 Palermo – Pescara 5–0 (1–0) 1.454.755.75 1.70 2.10
28.10.25 Palermo – Monza 0–3 (0–1) 2.252.853.40 2.20 1.65
25.10.25 Catanzaro – Palermo 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.202.15 2.15 1.67
19.10.25 Palermo – Modena 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.203.60 2.10 1.70

Padova all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Padova – Sampdoria 1–1 (0–1) 2.702.952.70 2.40 1.53
13.12.25 Reggiana – Padova 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.053.30 2.40 1.53
08.12.25 Padova – Cesena 1–1 (0–0) 3.252.822.40 2.50 1.50
29.11.25 Pescara – Padova 0–1 (0–0) 2.822.952.57 2.08 1.73
22.11.25 Padova – Venezia 0–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.79 2.15 1.67
08.11.25 Mantova – Padova 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.25 2.05 1.75
01.11.25 Padova – Sudtirol 1–1 (0–1) 2.402.953.05 2.35 1.57
29.10.25 Spezia – Padova 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.304.50 2.25 1.62
26.10.25 Padova – Juve Stabia 2–2 (1–1) 2.572.952.85 2.50 1.50
19.10.25 Catanzaro – Padova 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.40 2.40 1.53

Palermo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.12.25 Palermo – Sampdoria 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.25 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Palermo – Carrarese 5–0 (2–0) 1.683.405.25 1.85 1.95
01.11.25 Palermo – Pescara 5–0 (1–0) 1.454.755.75 1.70 2.10
28.10.25 Palermo – Monza 0–3 (0–1) 2.252.853.40 2.20 1.65
19.10.25 Palermo – Modena 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.203.60 2.10 1.70
30.09.25 Palermo – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.00 1.80
19.09.25 Palermo – Bari 2–0 (0–0) 1.623.505.75 2.00 1.80
30.08.25 Palermo – Frosinone 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.255.00 2.00 1.80
23.08.25 Palermo – Reggiana 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 2.05 1.75
13.05.25 Palermo – Carrarese 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.105.50 1.67 2.15

Padova away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Reggiana – Padova 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.053.30 2.40 1.53
29.11.25 Pescara – Padova 0–1 (0–0) 2.822.952.57 2.08 1.73
08.11.25 Mantova – Padova 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.25 2.05 1.75
29.10.25 Spezia – Padova 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.304.50 2.25 1.62
19.10.25 Catanzaro – Padova 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.40 2.40 1.53
04.10.25 Bari – Padova 2–1 (0–0) 2.103.203.50 2.25 1.62
27.09.25 Monza – Padova 0–1 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.25 1.62
31.08.25 Carrarese – Padova 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.50 2.30 1.60
23.08.25 Empoli – Padova 3–1 (2–1) 1.903.703.80 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Italy Serie B table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Frosinone 18 11 5 2 34 16 +18 38
2 Monza 18 11 4 3 27 14 +13 37
3 Venezia 18 10 5 3 31 14 +17 35
4 Catanzaro 18 8 7 3 26 19 +7 31
5 Cesena 18 9 4 5 25 20 +5 31
6 Palermo 17 8 6 3 27 13 +14 30
7 Modena 18 8 5 5 26 15 +11 29
8 Juve Stabia 18 6 8 4 19 20 -1 26
9 Empoli 18 6 6 6 25 24 +1 24
10 Padova 17 5 7 5 17 19 -2 22
11 Avellino 17 5 6 6 20 29 -9 21
12 Reggiana 18 5 5 8 22 25 -3 20
13 Carrarese 18 4 8 6 24 29 -5 20
14 Sampdoria 18 4 5 9 18 25 -7 17
15 Spezia 18 4 5 9 17 25 -8 17
16 Sudtirol 18 2 10 6 16 21 -5 16
17 Virtus Entella 18 3 7 8 16 26 -10 16
18 Bari 17 3 7 7 15 27 -12 16
19 Mantova 18 4 3 11 15 27 -12 15
20 Pescara 18 2 7 9 23 35 -12 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Venezia 9 8 0 1 20 4 +16 24
2 Monza 9 7 1 1 14 5 +9 22
3 Juve Stabia 9 5 4 0 10 3 +7 19
4 Catanzaro 10 5 4 1 16 11 +5 19
5 Palermo 9 5 3 1 16 5 +11 18
6 Frosinone 8 5 2 1 18 7 +11 17
7 Modena 10 5 2 3 16 9 +7 17
8 Empoli 10 3 6 1 17 11 +6 15
9 Cesena 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
10 Virtus Entella 9 3 5 1 11 8 +3 14
11 Sampdoria 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
12 Carrarese 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
13 Reggiana 8 3 3 2 11 8 +3 12
14 Bari 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
15 Avellino 8 3 3 2 11 14 -3 12
16 Pescara 10 2 4 4 14 15 -1 10
17 Mantova 9 3 1 5 11 16 -5 10
18 Spezia 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
19 Sudtirol 8 2 2 4 8 9 -1 8
20 Padova 8 1 5 2 9 11 -2 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Frosinone 10 6 3 1 16 9 +7 21
2 Cesena 10 5 1 4 12 12 0 16
3 Monza 9 4 3 2 13 9 +4 15
4 Padova 9 4 2 3 8 8 0 14
5 Modena 8 3 3 2 10 6 +4 12
6 Palermo 8 3 3 2 11 8 +3 12
7 Catanzaro 8 3 3 2 10 8 +2 12
8 Venezia 9 2 5 2 11 10 +1 11
9 Empoli 8 3 0 5 8 13 -5 9
10 Avellino 9 2 3 4 9 15 -6 9
11 Spezia 8 2 2 4 9 11 -2 8
12 Sudtirol 10 0 8 2 8 12 -4 8
13 Reggiana 10 2 2 6 11 17 -6 8
14 Carrarese 9 1 4 4 12 20 -8 7
15 Juve Stabia 9 1 4 4 9 17 -8 7
16 Mantova 9 1 2 6 4 11 -7 5
17 Bari 9 0 4 5 5 18 -13 4
18 Sampdoria 9 0 3 6 6 15 -9 3
19 Pescara 8 0 3 5 9 20 -11 3
20 Virtus Entella 9 0 2 7 5 18 -13 2

Palermo   Padova

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Pescara 18 6 12 1.3 1.9 2 7 9 23 35 13
2 12 Reggiana 18 7 11 1.2 1.4 5 5 8 22 25 20
3 1 Frosinone 18 8 10 1.9 0.9 11 5 2 34 16 38
4 3 Venezia 18 8 10 1.7 0.8 10 5 3 31 14 35
5 13 Carrarese 18 8 10 1.3 1.6 4 8 6 24 29 20
6 4 Catanzaro 18 9 9 1.4 1.1 8 7 3 26 19 31
7 5 Cesena 18 9 9 1.4 1.1 9 4 5 25 20 31
8 7 Modena 18 9 9 1.4 0.8 8 5 5 26 15 29
9 9 Empoli 18 9 9 1.4 1.3 6 6 6 25 24 24
10 8 Juve Stabia 18 10 8 1.1 1.1 6 8 4 19 20 26
11 11 Avellino 17 9 8 1.2 1.7 5 6 6 20 29 21
12 18 Bari 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 3 7 7 15 27 16
13 19 Mantova 18 10 8 0.8 1.5 4 3 11 15 27 15
14 2 Monza 18 11 7 1.5 0.8 11 4 3 27 14 37
15 6 Palermo 17 10 7 1.6 0.8 8 6 3 27 13 30
16 14 Sampdoria 18 11 7 1.0 1.4 4 5 9 18 25 17
17 15 Spezia 18 11 7 0.9 1.4 4 5 9 17 25 17
18 10 Padova 17 11 6 1.0 1.1 5 7 5 17 19 22
19 17 Virtus Entella 18 12 6 0.9 1.4 3 7 8 16 26 16
20 16 Sudtirol 18 13 5 0.9 1.2 2 10 6 16 21 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Modena 10 3 7 1.6 0.9 5 2 3 16 9 17
2 1 Frosinone 8 2 6 2.2 0.9 5 2 1 18 7 17
3 3 Venezia 9 3 6 2.2 0.4 8 0 1 20 4 24
4 20 Pescara 10 4 6 1.4 1.5 2 4 4 14 15 10
5 11 Avellino 8 3 5 1.4 1.8 3 3 2 11 14 12
6 19 Mantova 9 4 5 1.2 1.8 3 1 5 11 16 10
7 4 Catanzaro 10 6 4 1.6 1.1 5 4 1 16 11 19
8 5 Cesena 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
9 6 Palermo 9 5 4 1.8 0.6 5 3 1 16 5 18
10 9 Empoli 10 6 4 1.7 1.1 3 6 1 17 11 15
11 12 Reggiana 8 4 4 1.4 1.0 3 3 2 11 8 12
12 13 Carrarese 9 5 4 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
13 14 Sampdoria 9 5 4 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
14 15 Spezia 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
15 2 Monza 9 6 3 1.6 0.6 7 1 1 14 5 22
16 10 Padova 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 1 5 2 9 11 8
17 16 Sudtirol 8 5 3 1.0 1.1 2 2 4 8 9 8
18 18 Bari 8 5 3 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
19 8 Juve Stabia 9 7 2 1.1 0.3 5 4 0 10 3 19
20 17 Virtus Entella 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 3 5 1 11 8 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Reggiana 10 3 7 1.1 1.7 2 2 6 11 17 8
2 8 Juve Stabia 9 3 6 1.0 1.9 1 4 4 9 17 7
3 13 Carrarese 9 3 6 1.3 2.2 1 4 4 12 20 7
4 20 Pescara 8 2 6 1.1 2.5 0 3 5 9 20 3
5 4 Catanzaro 8 3 5 1.2 1.0 3 3 2 10 8 12
6 5 Cesena 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 5 1 4 12 12 16
7 9 Empoli 8 3 5 1.0 1.6 3 0 5 8 13 9
8 18 Bari 9 4 5 0.6 2.0 0 4 5 5 18 4
9 1 Frosinone 10 6 4 1.6 0.9 6 3 1 16 9 21
10 2 Monza 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 3 2 13 9 15
11 3 Venezia 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 2 5 2 11 10 11
12 17 Virtus Entella 9 5 4 0.6 2.0 0 2 7 5 18 2
13 6 Palermo 8 5 3 1.4 1.0 3 3 2 11 8 12
14 10 Padova 9 6 3 0.9 0.9 4 2 3 8 8 14
15 11 Avellino 9 6 3 1.0 1.7 2 3 4 9 15 9
16 14 Sampdoria 9 6 3 0.7 1.7 0 3 6 6 15 3
17 15 Spezia 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 2 2 4 9 11 8
18 19 Mantova 9 6 3 0.4 1.2 1 2 6 4 11 5
19 7 Modena 8 6 2 1.2 0.8 3 3 2 10 6 12
20 16 Sudtirol 10 8 2 0.8 1.2 0 8 2 8 12 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38