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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Sassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.88 fair 2.31
Draw 3.60 fair 4.54
Away ✓ 2.35 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 3.18
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sassuolo Fiorentina
7 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
0.87 Expected goals (xG) 2.54
5 Corners 3
12 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (98 league matches this season so far).
Result Sassuolo to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.46
Expected goals 1.87 – 1.66
Home / Draw / Away
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.1% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 7.5%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Sassuolo before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
1.56scored / match
2.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:22
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
0.56points / match
1.22scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:21
Sassuolo all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.22
2.44 Goals conceded 2.33
4.00 Total goals 3.56
1.44 xG created 1.46
1.72 xG allowed 1.52
14.00 Shots 15.22
5.11 Shots on target 4.89
15.67 Shots faced 13.33
4.00 Corners 5.11
5.67 Corners against 3.89
9.44 Fouls 11.22
1.33 Yellow cards 2.22
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.11

How often Full Time

22% Wins 11%
22% Draws 22%
56% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
78% Over 2.5 goals 89%
44% Over 3.5 goals 44%
33% Over 4.5 goals 11%
22% Over 5.5 goals 11%
89% Both teams scored 78%
0% Clean sheets 0%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 11%
56% Draws 22%
33% Losses 67%
56% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 44%
22% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Sassuolo before this match, at home
1.75points / match
2.00scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:10
Fiorentina before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.50scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:10
Sassuolo at home away Fiorentina

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.50
2.50 Goals conceded 2.50
4.50 Total goals 4.00
1.21 xG created 1.16
1.78 xG allowed 1.98
12.00 Shots 12.00
4.50 Shots on target 4.75
14.00 Shots faced 17.50
3.00 Corners 3.00
4.75 Corners against 3.25
10.00 Fouls 10.25
1.75 Yellow cards 2.25
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.25 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 0%
25% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 25%
25% Over 5.5 goals 25%
100% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 25%
75% Draws 25%
25% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sassuolo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.26 Sassuolo – Lazio 2–6 (2–4) 3.503.602.05 1.73 2.10
24.10.26 Como – Sassuolo 2–0 (0–0) 1.504.755.50 1.44 2.75
16.10.26 Frosinone – Sassuolo 4–2 (3–2) 2.303.902.75 1.40 3.00
11.10.26 Sassuolo – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.75 1.73 2.10
18.09.26 Monza – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
13.09.26 Sassuolo – Juventus 3–2 (0–0) 5.254.001.62 1.83 2.03
06.09.26 Bologna – Sassuolo 2–2 (0–1) 2.003.403.90 2.00 1.80
29.08.26 Sassuolo – Torino 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.03 1.83
23.08.26 Atalanta – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–0) 1.534.106.50 1.67 2.20
24.05.26 Parma – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.90 1.95

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.26 Fiorentina – Atalanta 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.62 2.30
25.10.26 Inter – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.44 2.75
18.10.26 Fiorentina – Como 1–3 (1–2) 3.503.602.05 1.67 2.20
10.10.26 Genoa – Fiorentina 2–1 (2–0) 3.303.252.25 2.10 1.73
20.09.26 Fiorentina – Napoli 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.88 1.98
11.09.26 Venezia – Fiorentina 2–4 (1–2) 2.753.302.55 1.73 2.10
05.09.26 Fiorentina – Torino 1–2 (0–0) 1.903.304.50 2.10 1.73
29.08.26 Fiorentina – Frosinone 0–3 (0–2) 1.624.105.25 1.80 2.00
24.08.26 Roma – Fiorentina 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.105.75 1.88 1.98
22.05.26 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.55 1.67 2.20

Sassuolo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.26 Sassuolo – Lazio 2–6 (2–4) 3.503.602.05 1.73 2.10
11.10.26 Sassuolo – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.75 1.73 2.10
13.09.26 Sassuolo – Juventus 3–2 (0–0) 5.254.001.62 1.83 2.03
29.08.26 Sassuolo – Torino 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.03 1.83
17.05.26 Sassuolo – Lecce 2–3 (1–2) 2.703.202.63 2.00 1.80
03.05.26 Sassuolo – Milan 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.101.73 1.73 2.10
17.04.26 Sassuolo – Como 2–1 (2–1) 5.754.331.53 1.67 2.20
04.04.26 Sassuolo – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
15.03.26 Sassuolo – Bologna 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
01.03.26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.26 Inter – Fiorentina 2–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.44 2.75
10.10.26 Genoa – Fiorentina 2–1 (2–0) 3.303.252.25 2.10 1.73
11.09.26 Venezia – Fiorentina 2–4 (1–2) 2.753.302.55 1.73 2.10
24.08.26 Roma – Fiorentina 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.105.75 1.88 1.98
17.05.26 Juventus – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 1.335.008.50 1.62 2.30
04.05.26 Roma – Fiorentina 4–0 (3–0) 1.624.205.00 1.90 1.95
20.04.26 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
04.04.26 Verona – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 2.20 1.67
16.03.26 Cremonese – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–2) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
02.03.26 Udinese – Fiorentina 3–0 (1–0) 3.253.202.35 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sassuolo winsDrawsFiorentina wins
8matches
3.12goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26I1 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 1.88 1.98
06.12.25I1 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 3–1 (2–1) 2.883.252.50 2.10 1.73
28.04.24I1 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 5–1 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
06.01.24I1 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.08
02.06.23I1 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.44 2.75
07.01.23I1 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
26.02.22I1 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.602.45 1.61 2.30
19.12.21I1 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–2 (0–2) 1.853.803.90 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24 8 +16 28 WWWWWW
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26 13 +13 25 DWWWWL
3 Roma 10 7 3 0 28 10 +18 24 DDWDWW
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18 8 +10 23 LDWWWW
5 Milan 10 6 3 1 21 12 +9 21 WDWWLW
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24 14 +10 20 WLWDWW
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13 10 +3 17 WDLWLW
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17 13 +4 14 DWLDWL
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14 13 +1 14 DWLWWW
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13 DWWWLL
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10 14 -4 13 LWLWWW
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9 15 -6 13 WDLLLL
13 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16 17 -1 11 LLWLDD
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11 21 -10 9 LLWLLL
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14 22 -8 8 WLDLLL
16 Monza 10 2 1 7 17 24 -7 7 WLWLLL
17 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11 21 -10 5 WDLLLD
18 Parma 9 1 2 6 5 15 -10 5 LWLLLD
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11 23 -12 5 LLLLDL
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6 20 -14 3 LLWLLL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation to Serie B

Coppa Italia winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Inter 5 5 0 0 17 7 +10 15 WWWWW
2 Frosinone 6 5 0 1 16 6 +10 15 LWWWWW
3 Roma 5 4 1 0 14 5 +9 13 WWDWW
4 Lazio 5 4 1 0 10 5 +5 13 WDWWW
5 Milan 5 4 0 1 13 7 +6 12 WWWLW
6 Como 4 3 1 0 5 1 +4 10 WDWW
7 Atalanta 5 3 1 1 11 8 +3 10 WWLWD
8 Juventus 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10 WDWLW
9 Genoa 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10 LLDWWW
10 Napoli 4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7 LWWD
11 Sassuolo 4 2 1 1 8 10 -2 7 WWDL
12 Monza 4 2 0 2 9 8 +1 6 LWWL
13 Torino 5 2 0 3 7 10 -3 6 LLWWL
14 Bologna 5 1 2 2 6 8 -2 5 LDDLW
15 Parma 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 5 LDWLD
16 Cagliari 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4 LWDL
17 Lecce 5 1 0 4 5 12 -7 3 LWLLL
18 Venezia 5 1 0 4 3 10 -7 3 LLLWL
19 Fiorentina 5 0 2 3 5 11 -6 2 LLDLD
20 Udinese 6 0 1 5 4 14 -10 1 DLLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lazio 5 5 0 0 14 3 +11 15 WWWWW
2 Como 6 4 1 1 13 7 +6 13 DWWLWW
3 Roma 5 3 2 0 14 5 +9 11 WWDDW
4 Inter 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10 WDWWL
5 Bologna 5 3 0 2 8 5 +3 9 LLWWW
6 Milan 5 2 3 0 8 5 +3 9 WDDDW
7 Cagliari 6 3 0 3 7 11 -4 9 WWWLLL
8 Napoli 6 2 1 3 9 8 +1 7 WLDLWL
9 Torino 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7 LWDWL
10 Juventus 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7 WLDWL
11 Lecce 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 6 WLLWL
12 Frosinone 4 1 2 1 8 8 0 5 WDLD
13 Udinese 4 1 1 2 7 9 -2 4 WLLD
14 Genoa 4 1 0 3 3 6 -3 3 LLLW
15 Fiorentina 4 1 0 3 6 10 -4 3 LWLL
16 Atalanta 4 0 1 3 5 9 -4 1 LLLD
17 Sassuolo 5 0 1 4 6 12 -6 1 LDLLL
18 Monza 6 0 1 5 8 16 -8 1 LDLLLL
19 Venezia 5 0 0 5 3 10 -7 0 LLLLL
20 Parma 4 0 0 4 2 9 -7 0 LLLL

Sassuolo   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 16 Monza 10 1 9 1.7 2.4 2 1 7 17 24 7 OOOOOO
2 2 Inter 10 2 8 2.6 1.3 8 1 1 26 13 25 OOOOUO
3 17 Fiorentina 9 1 8 1.2 2.3 1 2 6 11 21 5 OUOOOO
4 1 Lazio 10 3 7 2.4 0.8 9 1 0 24 8 28 UOOOOO
5 3 Roma 10 3 7 2.8 1.0 7 3 0 28 10 24 OUUOOO
6 10 Torino 10 3 7 1.4 1.6 4 1 5 14 16 13 UOOOOU
7 13 Atalanta 9 2 7 1.8 1.9 3 2 4 16 17 11 OUOOOO
8 14 Lecce 10 3 7 1.1 2.1 3 0 7 11 21 9 OOOUOO
9 15 Sassuolo 9 2 7 1.6 2.4 2 2 5 14 22 8 OOUOUO
10 5 Milan 10 4 6 2.1 1.2 6 3 1 21 12 21 OUOUOO
11 6 Frosinone 10 4 6 2.4 1.4 6 2 2 24 14 20 UOOOOU
12 19 Udinese 10 4 6 1.1 2.3 1 2 7 11 23 5 UOOUUO
13 4 Como 10 5 5 1.8 0.8 7 2 1 18 8 23 UUOUOU
14 8 Napoli 10 5 5 1.7 1.3 4 2 4 17 13 14 UOUOOU
15 9 Bologna 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 4 2 4 14 13 14 UOOUOO
16 18 Parma 9 4 5 0.6 1.7 1 2 6 5 15 5 OOOOOU
17 11 Genoa 10 6 4 1.0 1.4 4 1 5 10 14 13 OOUUUO
18 12 Cagliari 10 6 4 0.9 1.5 4 1 5 9 15 13 UUOUOO
19 20 Venezia 10 7 3 0.6 2.0 1 0 9 6 20 3 UOUUUU
20 7 Juventus 10 8 2 1.3 1.0 5 2 3 13 10 17 UUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Inter 5 0 5 3.4 1.4 5 0 0 17 7 15 OOOOO
2 1 Lazio 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 4 1 0 10 5 13 UOOOO
3 3 Roma 5 1 4 2.8 1.0 4 1 0 14 5 13 OOOUO
4 5 Milan 5 1 4 2.6 1.4 4 0 1 13 7 12 UOOOO
5 10 Torino 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 2 0 3 7 10 6 OUOOO
6 13 Atalanta 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 3 1 1 11 8 10 OUOOO
7 14 Lecce 5 1 4 1.0 2.4 1 0 4 5 12 3 OOOUO
8 16 Monza 4 0 4 2.2 2.0 2 0 2 9 8 6 OOOO
9 17 Fiorentina 5 1 4 1.0 2.2 0 2 3 5 11 2 OOUOO
10 6 Frosinone 6 3 3 2.7 1.0 5 0 1 16 6 15 UOUOOU
11 8 Napoli 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 2 1 1 8 5 7 OUOO
12 9 Bologna 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 1 2 2 6 8 5 UOUOO
13 15 Sassuolo 4 1 3 2.0 2.5 2 1 1 8 10 7 OOUO
14 19 Udinese 6 3 3 0.7 2.3 0 1 5 4 14 1 UOUOUO
15 11 Genoa 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10 UOUOUU
16 18 Parma 5 3 2 0.6 1.2 1 2 2 3 6 5 UUOOU
17 4 Como 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 3 1 0 5 1 10 OUUU
18 7 Juventus 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10 UUUOU
19 20 Venezia 5 4 1 0.6 2.0 1 0 4 3 10 3 UOUUU
20 12 Cagliari 4 4 0 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4 UUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 16 Monza 6 1 5 1.3 2.7 0 1 5 8 16 1 OUOOOO
2 4 Como 6 2 4 2.2 1.2 4 1 1 13 7 13 UOOUOO
3 12 Cagliari 6 2 4 1.2 1.8 3 0 3 7 11 9 UOUOOO
4 15 Sassuolo 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 1 4 6 12 1 OOOOU
5 17 Fiorentina 4 0 4 1.5 2.5 1 0 3 6 10 3 OOOO
6 1 Lazio 5 2 3 2.8 0.6 5 0 0 14 3 15 UOUOO
7 2 Inter 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10 UOOUO
8 3 Roma 5 2 3 2.8 1.0 3 2 0 14 5 11 OUUOO
9 6 Frosinone 4 1 3 2.0 2.0 1 2 1 8 8 5 OUOO
10 10 Torino 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7 OOUOU
11 13 Atalanta 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 0 1 3 5 9 1 OUOO
12 14 Lecce 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 2 0 3 6 9 6 UUOOO
13 18 Parma 4 1 3 0.5 2.2 0 0 4 2 9 0 UOOO
14 19 Udinese 4 1 3 1.8 2.2 1 1 2 7 9 4 OOOU
15 5 Milan 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 3 0 8 5 9 OUOUU
16 8 Napoli 6 4 2 1.5 1.3 2 1 3 9 8 7 UOUUOU
17 9 Bologna 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 3 0 2 8 5 9 UUOUO
18 11 Genoa 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 1 0 3 3 6 3 UOUO
19 20 Venezia 5 3 2 0.6 2.0 0 0 5 3 10 0 UOOUU
20 7 Juventus 5 4 1 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7 UOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10