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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Roma 1–1 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.10 fair 2.03
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.25
Away 3.50 fair 3.68
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 2.34
Over 2.5 2.15 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Roma Fiorentina
4 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 8
1 Corners 6
14 Fouls 14
5 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (147 league matches this season so far).
Result Roma to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.74 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
RomaDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Roma before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.93scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:16
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.64scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 23:17
Roma all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 1.64
1.14 Goals conceded 1.21
3.07 Total goals 2.86
13.07 Shots 14.07
4.29 Shots on target 4.64
9.71 Shots faced 10.57
5.43 Corners 5.14
3.50 Corners against 3.57
11.79 Fouls 12.57
2.21 Yellow cards 1.79
0.64 1st-half goals scored 1.07
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
21% Draws 14%
29% Losses 36%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 79%
64% Over 2.5 goals 57%
36% Over 3.5 goals 36%
21% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 43%
29% Clean sheets 21%
14% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 50%
43% Draws 21%
29% Losses 29%
64% Over 0.5 goals 93%
36% Over 1.5 goals 50%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Roma before this match, at home
2.29points / match
2.57scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 18:6
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.43scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:9
Roma at home away Fiorentina

Per match

2.57 Goals scored 1.43
0.86 Goals conceded 1.29
3.43 Total goals 2.71
14.14 Shots 11.57
4.71 Shots on target 3.86
8.57 Shots faced 13.14
5.86 Corners 5.29
3.29 Corners against 4.43
12.86 Fouls 12.57
1.57 Yellow cards 2.43
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

71% Wins 43%
14% Draws 14%
14% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 71%
71% Over 2.5 goals 43%
43% Over 3.5 goals 43%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 43%
43% Clean sheets 14%
0% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 43%
43% Draws 29%
14% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23 Sassuolo – Roma 1–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
26.11.23 Roma – Udinese 3–1 (1–0) 1.623.805.75 2.05 1.75
12.11.23 Lazio – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.002.63 2.35 1.57
05.11.23 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (0–0) 1.573.806.50 2.10 1.70
29.10.23 Inter – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 2.03 1.87
22.10.23 Roma – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.95 1.95
08.10.23 Cagliari – Roma 1–4 (0–2) 4.753.301.83 2.25 1.62
01.10.23 Roma – Frosinone 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.208.00 1.94 1.96
28.09.23 Genoa – Roma 4–1 (2–1) 3.803.252.05 2.30 1.62
24.09.23 Torino – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 3.102.902.60 2.63 1.50

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23 Fiorentina – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.757.00 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
12.11.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.403.80 2.05 1.85
05.11.23 Fiorentina – Juventus 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.55 2.06 1.84
30.10.23 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 1.99 1.91
23.10.23 Fiorentina – Empoli 0–2 (0–1) 1.444.338.00 1.62 2.25
08.10.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
02.10.23 Fiorentina – Cagliari 3–0 (2–0) 1.504.207.00 1.88 2.02
28.09.23 Frosinone – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.87 2.03
24.09.23 Udinese – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.25 1.99 1.91

Roma at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23 Roma – Udinese 3–1 (1–0) 1.623.805.75 2.05 1.75
05.11.23 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (0–0) 1.573.806.50 2.10 1.70
22.10.23 Roma – Monza 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.95 1.95
01.10.23 Roma – Frosinone 2–0 (1–0) 1.444.208.00 1.94 1.96
17.09.23 Roma – Empoli 7–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.95 1.95
01.09.23 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
20.08.23 Roma – Salernitana 2–2 (1–1) 1.534.006.50 2.10 1.73
04.06.23 Roma – Spezia 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.80 2.01 1.92
22.05.23 Roma – Salernitana 2–2 (0–1) 1.454.207.50 2.01 1.89
06.05.23 Roma – Inter 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
30.10.23 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 1.99 1.91
08.10.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
28.09.23 Frosinone – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.87 2.03
24.09.23 Udinese – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.25 1.99 1.91
03.09.23 Inter – Fiorentina 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 1.80 2.00
19.08.23 Genoa – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–3) 3.403.252.20 2.10 1.73
02.06.23 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.44 2.75
21.05.23 Torino – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67
07.05.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Roma winsDrawsFiorentina wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.05.23I1 Fiorentina – Roma 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.67
15.01.23I1 Roma – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80
09.05.22I1 Fiorentina – Roma 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.303.00 1.91 1.99
22.08.21I1 Roma – Fiorentina 3–1 (1–0) 1.723.804.75 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 12 2 1 37 7 +30 38
2 Juventus 15 11 3 1 23 9 +14 36
3 Milan 15 9 2 4 26 18 +8 29
4 Bologna 15 6 7 2 18 12 +6 25
5 Roma 14 7 3 4 27 16 +11 24
6 Napoli 15 7 3 5 26 18 +8 24
7 Atalanta 15 7 2 6 24 18 +6 23
8 Fiorentina 14 7 2 5 23 17 +6 23
9 Monza 15 5 6 4 16 14 +2 21
10 Lazio 15 6 3 6 16 16 0 21
11 Torino 15 5 5 5 13 16 -3 20
12 Frosinone 15 5 4 6 20 24 -4 19
13 Lecce 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
14 Sassuolo 14 4 3 7 21 26 -5 15
15 Genoa 15 4 3 8 15 20 -5 15
16 Udinese 15 1 9 5 12 25 -13 12
17 Verona 15 2 5 8 13 22 -9 11
18 Empoli 14 3 2 9 9 26 -17 11
19 Cagliari 14 2 4 8 13 26 -13 10
20 Salernitana 15 1 5 9 11 30 -19 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
2 Inter 8 6 1 1 21 5 +16 19
3 Frosinone 8 5 2 1 14 10 +4 17
4 Roma 7 5 1 1 18 6 +12 16
5 Bologna 7 5 1 1 10 4 +6 16
6 Milan 7 5 0 2 11 4 +7 15
7 Lazio 7 4 2 1 8 4 +4 14
8 Atalanta 7 4 1 2 12 6 +6 13
9 Fiorentina 7 4 1 2 13 8 +5 13
10 Monza 8 3 4 1 10 5 +5 13
11 Torino 7 3 3 1 7 5 +2 12
12 Lecce 8 3 3 2 9 10 -1 12
13 Genoa 7 3 2 2 10 9 +1 11
14 Sassuolo 8 2 2 4 11 13 -2 8
15 Cagliari 7 2 2 3 9 14 -5 8
16 Napoli 7 2 1 4 10 12 -2 7
17 Verona 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
18 Salernitana 8 1 3 4 7 16 -9 6
19 Udinese 7 0 5 2 7 12 -5 5
20 Empoli 7 1 1 5 4 11 -7 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 7 6 1 0 16 2 +14 19
2 Napoli 8 5 2 1 16 6 +10 17
3 Juventus 7 5 1 1 11 5 +6 16
4 Milan 8 4 2 2 15 14 +1 14
5 Fiorentina 7 3 1 3 10 9 +1 10
6 Atalanta 8 3 1 4 12 12 0 10
7 Bologna 8 1 6 1 8 8 0 9
8 Roma 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
9 Monza 7 2 2 3 6 9 -3 8
10 Torino 8 2 2 4 6 11 -5 8
11 Sassuolo 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
12 Lazio 8 2 1 5 8 12 -4 7
13 Udinese 8 1 4 3 5 13 -8 7
14 Empoli 7 2 1 4 5 15 -10 7
15 Verona 8 1 2 5 6 11 -5 5
16 Lecce 6 0 4 2 7 9 -2 4
17 Genoa 8 1 1 6 5 11 -6 4
18 Frosinone 7 0 2 5 6 14 -8 2
19 Cagliari 7 0 2 5 4 12 -8 2
20 Salernitana 7 0 2 5 4 14 -10 2

Roma   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Napoli 15 5 10 1.7 1.2 7 3 5 26 18 24
2 1 Inter 15 6 9 2.5 0.5 12 2 1 37 7 38
3 5 Roma 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 7 3 4 27 16 24
4 7 Atalanta 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 7 2 6 24 18 23
5 12 Frosinone 15 6 9 1.3 1.6 5 4 6 20 24 19
6 20 Salernitana 15 6 9 0.7 2.0 1 5 9 11 30 8
7 3 Milan 15 7 8 1.7 1.2 9 2 4 26 18 29
8 8 Fiorentina 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 7 2 5 23 17 23
9 14 Sassuolo 14 6 8 1.5 1.9 4 3 7 21 26 15
10 19 Cagliari 14 6 8 0.9 1.9 2 4 8 13 26 10
11 17 Verona 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 2 5 8 13 22 11
12 4 Bologna 15 9 6 1.2 0.8 6 7 2 18 12 25
13 13 Lecce 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 3 7 4 16 19 16
14 15 Genoa 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 4 3 8 15 20 15
15 16 Udinese 15 9 6 0.8 1.7 1 9 5 12 25 12
16 2 Juventus 15 10 5 1.5 0.6 11 3 1 23 9 36
17 10 Lazio 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 16 21
18 11 Torino 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 5 5 13 16 20
19 18 Empoli 14 9 5 0.6 1.9 3 2 9 9 26 11
20 9 Monza 15 11 4 1.1 0.9 5 6 4 16 14 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Frosinone 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 2 1 14 10 17
2 1 Inter 8 3 5 2.6 0.6 6 1 1 21 5 19
3 5 Roma 7 2 5 2.6 0.9 5 1 1 18 6 16
4 6 Napoli 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 2 1 4 10 12 7
5 8 Fiorentina 7 2 5 1.9 1.1 4 1 2 13 8 13
6 20 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 1 3 4 7 16 6
7 7 Atalanta 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 4 1 2 12 6 13
8 14 Sassuolo 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 2 2 4 11 13 8
9 17 Verona 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
10 19 Cagliari 7 3 4 1.3 2.0 2 2 3 9 14 8
11 4 Bologna 7 4 3 1.4 0.6 5 1 1 10 4 16
12 11 Torino 7 4 3 1.0 0.7 3 3 1 7 5 12
13 13 Lecce 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 3 3 2 9 10 12
14 15 Genoa 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 3 2 2 10 9 11
15 16 Udinese 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 0 5 2 7 12 5
16 2 Juventus 8 6 2 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
17 3 Milan 7 5 2 1.6 0.6 5 0 2 11 4 15
18 9 Monza 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 3 4 1 10 5 13
19 18 Empoli 7 5 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 5 4 11 4
20 10 Lazio 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 1 8 4 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 4 2 2 15 14 14
2 6 Napoli 8 3 5 2.0 0.8 5 2 1 16 6 17
3 7 Atalanta 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 3 1 4 12 12 10
4 1 Inter 7 3 4 2.3 0.3 6 1 0 16 2 19
5 5 Roma 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
6 10 Lazio 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 1 5 8 12 7
7 14 Sassuolo 6 2 4 1.7 2.2 2 1 3 10 13 7
8 19 Cagliari 7 3 4 0.6 1.7 0 2 5 4 12 2
9 20 Salernitana 7 3 4 0.6 2.0 0 2 5 4 14 2
10 2 Juventus 7 4 3 1.6 0.7 5 1 1 11 5 16
11 4 Bologna 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 1 6 1 8 8 9
12 8 Fiorentina 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 3 1 3 10 9 10
13 12 Frosinone 7 4 3 0.9 2.0 0 2 5 6 14 2
14 13 Lecce 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 0 4 2 7 9 4
15 15 Genoa 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 1 1 6 5 11 4
16 16 Udinese 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 4 3 5 13 7
17 17 Verona 8 5 3 0.8 1.4 1 2 5 6 11 5
18 18 Empoli 7 4 3 0.7 2.1 2 1 4 5 15 7
19 9 Monza 7 5 2 0.9 1.3 2 2 3 6 9 8
20 11 Torino 8 6 2 0.8 1.4 2 2 4 6 11 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44