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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 3–1 Roma

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.49
Draw 3.25 fair 3.84
Away 3.20 fair 2.96
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Roma
7 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 4
15 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (309 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawRoma
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 9.9% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.60scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 48:35
Roma before this match, all matches
1.87points / match
1.40scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 42:26
Atalanta all matches all matches Roma

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.40
1.17 Goals conceded 0.87
2.77 Total goals 2.27
13.47 Shots 12.87
4.67 Shots on target 4.60
12.20 Shots faced 10.47
4.93 Corners 4.87
3.97 Corners against 3.80
12.20 Fouls 11.83
2.43 Yellow cards 2.13
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

47% Wins 57%
23% Draws 17%
30% Losses 27%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 63%
43% Over 2.5 goals 40%
23% Over 3.5 goals 13%
10% Over 4.5 goals 3%
7% Over 5.5 goals 3%
53% Both teams scored 40%
30% Clean sheets 43%
20% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 33%
33% Draws 40%
30% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 77%
23% Over 1.5 goals 27%
13% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Roma all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.71scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 24:18
Roma before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.27scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:17
Atalanta at home away Roma

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.27
1.29 Goals conceded 1.13
3.00 Total goals 2.40
16.07 Shots 11.27
5.57 Shots on target 3.73
10.14 Shots faced 11.07
5.86 Corners 3.93
3.21 Corners against 4.00
11.50 Fouls 11.40
2.21 Yellow cards 2.33
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

43% Wins 47%
21% Draws 27%
36% Losses 27%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 73%
50% Over 2.5 goals 47%
21% Over 3.5 goals 20%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 60%
21% Clean sheets 27%
21% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 27%
43% Draws 40%
29% Losses 33%
71% Over 0.5 goals 87%
29% Over 1.5 goals 27%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Roma away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.04.23 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.90 1.89 2.01
08.04.23 Atalanta – Bologna 0–2 (0–0) 1.653.805.50 2.02 1.88
01.04.23 Cremonese – Atalanta 1–3 (0–1) 5.503.801.67 1.84 2.06
17.03.23 Atalanta – Empoli 2–1 (0–1) 1.404.507.50 1.67 2.20
11.03.23 Napoli – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
04.03.23 Atalanta – Udinese 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.02.23 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
19.02.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.403.00 1.90 2.00
04.02.23 Sassuolo – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.91 1.57 2.38

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.23 Roma – Udinese 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.404.50 2.30 1.62
08.04.23 Torino – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.002.38 2.75 1.44
02.04.23 Roma – Sampdoria 3–0 (0–0) 1.444.209.00 2.08 1.82
19.03.23 Lazio – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.63 1.50
12.03.23 Roma – Sassuolo 3–4 (1–3) 1.673.605.50 2.08 1.85
05.03.23 Roma – Juventus 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.88 2.50 1.53
28.02.23 Cremonese – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 5.253.401.75 2.38 1.57
19.02.23 Roma – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.605.75 2.20 1.67
11.02.23 Lecce – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 4.333.251.95 2.50 1.53
04.02.23 Roma – Empoli 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.206.50 2.03 1.87

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23 Atalanta – Bologna 0–2 (0–0) 1.653.805.50 2.02 1.88
17.03.23 Atalanta – Empoli 2–1 (0–1) 1.404.507.50 1.67 2.20
04.03.23 Atalanta – Udinese 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
19.02.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
28.01.23 Atalanta – Sampdoria 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20
15.01.23 Atalanta – Salernitana 8–2 (5–1) 1.405.007.00 1.57 2.38
13.11.22 Atalanta – Inter 2–3 (1–1) 3.103.752.20 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (1–2) 3.303.602.15 1.66 2.20
23.10.22 Atalanta – Lazio 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 1.72 2.10
15.10.22 Atalanta – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.66 2.20

Roma away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23 Torino – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.002.38 2.75 1.44
19.03.23 Lazio – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.63 1.50
28.02.23 Cremonese – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 5.253.401.75 2.38 1.57
11.02.23 Lecce – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 4.333.251.95 2.50 1.53
29.01.23 Napoli – Roma 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.605.25 2.04 1.86
22.01.23 Spezia – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.501.83 2.06 1.84
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
09.11.22 Sassuolo – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.83 2.07
31.10.22 Verona – Roma 1–3 (1–1) 4.333.601.83 1.98 1.92
17.10.22 Sampdoria – Roma 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.72 1.99 1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsRoma wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.22I1 Roma – Atalanta 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.50 1.87 2.03
05.03.22I1 Roma – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.72 2.10
18.12.21I1 Atalanta – Roma 1–4 (1–2) 1.704.334.33 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 31 25 3 3 67 21 +46 78
2 Lazio 31 18 7 6 49 21 +28 61
3 Juventus 31 18 5 8 47 26 +21 59
4 Roma 30 17 5 8 42 26 +16 56
5 Milan 31 16 8 7 51 37 +14 56
6 Inter 31 17 3 11 51 34 +17 54
7 Atalanta 30 14 7 9 48 35 +13 49
8 Bologna 31 12 8 11 40 39 +1 44
9 Udinese 31 10 12 9 42 39 +3 42
10 Fiorentina 31 11 9 11 37 36 +1 42
11 Torino 31 11 9 11 32 36 -4 42
12 Monza 31 11 8 12 38 43 -5 41
13 Sassuolo 31 11 7 13 38 46 -8 40
14 Salernitana 31 7 12 12 37 50 -13 33
15 Empoli 31 7 11 13 25 40 -15 32
16 Lecce 31 6 10 15 26 38 -12 28
17 Spezia 31 5 12 14 26 49 -23 27
18 Verona 31 6 8 17 26 44 -18 26
19 Cremonese 31 3 10 18 27 57 -30 19
20 Sampdoria 31 3 8 20 20 52 -32 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 16 11 3 2 34 13 +21 36
2 Napoli 15 11 2 2 33 13 +20 35
3 Inter 16 11 0 5 27 9 +18 33
4 Milan 15 10 3 2 30 17 +13 33
5 Roma 15 10 1 4 23 9 +14 31
6 Lazio 16 9 3 4 25 14 +11 30
7 Bologna 16 7 6 3 21 11 +10 27
8 Sassuolo 15 7 3 5 19 16 +3 24
9 Fiorentina 16 6 6 4 21 21 0 24
10 Udinese 15 5 8 2 27 17 +10 23
11 Monza 16 6 4 6 22 20 +2 22
12 Atalanta 14 6 3 5 24 18 +6 21
13 Salernitana 16 5 5 6 23 21 +2 20
14 Torino 15 5 5 5 12 14 -2 20
15 Verona 16 6 2 8 19 24 -5 20
16 Empoli 15 5 4 6 13 18 -5 19
17 Spezia 16 3 8 5 16 24 -8 17
18 Lecce 15 2 7 6 15 20 -5 13
19 Cremonese 15 2 3 10 9 25 -16 9
20 Sampdoria 16 1 5 10 9 23 -14 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 16 14 1 1 34 8 +26 43
2 Lazio 15 9 4 2 24 7 +17 31
3 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 24 17 +7 28
4 Roma 15 7 4 4 19 17 +2 25
5 Milan 16 6 5 5 21 20 +1 23
6 Juventus 15 7 2 6 13 13 0 23
7 Torino 16 6 4 6 20 22 -2 22
8 Inter 15 6 3 6 24 25 -1 21
9 Monza 15 5 4 6 16 23 -7 19
10 Udinese 16 5 4 7 15 22 -7 19
11 Fiorentina 15 5 3 7 16 15 +1 18
12 Bologna 15 5 2 8 19 28 -9 17
13 Sassuolo 16 4 4 8 19 30 -11 16
14 Lecce 16 4 3 9 11 18 -7 15
15 Empoli 16 2 7 7 12 22 -10 13
16 Salernitana 15 2 7 6 14 29 -15 13
17 Cremonese 16 1 7 8 18 32 -14 10
18 Spezia 15 2 4 9 10 25 -15 10
19 Sampdoria 15 2 3 10 11 29 -18 9
20 Verona 15 0 6 9 7 20 -13 6

Atalanta   Roma

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Milan 31 13 18 1.6 1.2 16 8 7 51 37 56
2 9 Udinese 31 13 18 1.4 1.3 10 12 9 42 39 42
3 1 Napoli 31 14 17 2.2 0.7 25 3 3 67 21 78
4 6 Inter 31 14 17 1.6 1.1 17 3 11 51 34 54
5 13 Sassuolo 31 14 17 1.2 1.5 11 7 13 38 46 40
6 14 Salernitana 31 14 17 1.2 1.6 7 12 12 37 50 33
7 8 Bologna 31 15 16 1.3 1.3 12 8 11 40 39 44
8 19 Cremonese 31 15 16 0.9 1.8 3 10 18 27 57 19
9 12 Monza 31 16 15 1.2 1.4 11 8 12 38 43 41
10 17 Spezia 31 16 15 0.8 1.6 5 12 14 26 49 27
11 2 Lazio 31 18 13 1.6 0.7 18 7 6 49 21 61
12 7 Atalanta 30 17 13 1.6 1.2 14 7 9 48 35 49
13 20 Sampdoria 31 18 13 0.6 1.7 3 8 20 20 52 17
14 4 Roma 30 18 12 1.4 0.9 17 5 8 42 26 56
15 10 Fiorentina 31 19 12 1.2 1.2 11 9 11 37 36 42
16 18 Verona 31 19 12 0.8 1.4 6 8 17 26 44 26
17 3 Juventus 31 20 11 1.5 0.8 18 5 8 47 26 59
18 11 Torino 31 20 11 1.0 1.2 11 9 11 32 36 42
19 15 Empoli 31 21 10 0.8 1.3 7 11 13 25 40 32
20 16 Lecce 31 22 9 0.8 1.2 6 10 15 26 38 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Udinese 15 5 10 1.8 1.1 5 8 2 27 17 23
2 14 Salernitana 16 6 10 1.4 1.3 5 5 6 23 21 20
3 1 Napoli 15 6 9 2.2 0.9 11 2 2 33 13 35
4 17 Spezia 16 7 9 1.0 1.5 3 8 5 16 24 17
5 18 Verona 16 7 9 1.2 1.5 6 2 8 19 24 20
6 2 Lazio 16 8 8 1.6 0.9 9 3 4 25 14 30
7 3 Juventus 16 8 8 2.1 0.8 11 3 2 34 13 36
8 5 Milan 15 7 8 2.0 1.1 10 3 2 30 17 33
9 12 Monza 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 22 20 22
10 7 Atalanta 14 7 7 1.7 1.3 6 3 5 24 18 21
11 10 Fiorentina 16 9 7 1.3 1.3 6 6 4 21 21 24
12 19 Cremonese 15 8 7 0.6 1.7 2 3 10 9 25 9
13 6 Inter 16 10 6 1.7 0.6 11 0 5 27 9 33
14 13 Sassuolo 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 7 3 5 19 16 24
15 16 Lecce 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 2 7 6 15 20 13
16 4 Roma 15 10 5 1.5 0.6 10 1 4 23 9 31
17 8 Bologna 16 11 5 1.3 0.7 7 6 3 21 11 27
18 15 Empoli 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 5 4 6 13 18 19
19 20 Sampdoria 16 11 5 0.6 1.4 1 5 10 9 23 8
20 11 Torino 15 12 3 0.8 0.9 5 5 5 12 14 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Inter 15 4 11 1.6 1.7 6 3 6 24 25 21
2 8 Bologna 15 4 11 1.3 1.9 5 2 8 19 28 17
3 13 Sassuolo 16 5 11 1.2 1.9 4 4 8 19 30 16
4 5 Milan 16 6 10 1.3 1.2 6 5 5 21 20 23
5 19 Cremonese 16 7 9 1.1 2.0 1 7 8 18 32 10
6 1 Napoli 16 8 8 2.1 0.5 14 1 1 34 8 43
7 9 Udinese 16 8 8 0.9 1.4 5 4 7 15 22 19
8 11 Torino 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 6 20 22 22
9 20 Sampdoria 15 7 8 0.7 1.9 2 3 10 11 29 9
10 4 Roma 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 7 4 4 19 17 25
11 12 Monza 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 16 23 19
12 14 Salernitana 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 2 7 6 14 29 13
13 7 Atalanta 16 10 6 1.5 1.1 8 4 4 24 17 28
14 17 Spezia 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 2 4 9 10 25 10
15 2 Lazio 15 10 5 1.6 0.5 9 4 2 24 7 31
16 10 Fiorentina 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 5 3 7 16 15 18
17 15 Empoli 16 11 5 0.8 1.4 2 7 7 12 22 13
18 3 Juventus 15 12 3 0.9 0.9 7 2 6 13 13 23
19 16 Lecce 16 13 3 0.7 1.1 4 3 9 11 18 15
20 18 Verona 15 12 3 0.5 1.3 0 6 9 7 20 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51