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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Greece Super League ·

AEK 4–0 Panathinaikos

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.96 fair 2.05
Draw 3.40 fair 3.96
Away 3.70 fair 3.85
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.04

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AEK Panathinaikos
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 3
17 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (114 league matches this season so far).
Result AEK to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
AEKDrawPanathinaikos
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 11.2% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

AEK before this match, all matches
2.38points / match
1.69scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:12
Panathinaikos before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.60scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:17
AEK all matches all matches Panathinaikos

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 1.60
0.75 Goals conceded 1.13
2.44 Total goals 2.73
15.81 Shots 13.07
5.00 Shots on target 4.60
8.69 Shots faced 8.20
5.31 Corners 5.20
2.75 Corners against 3.00
16.31 Fouls 15.07
2.63 Yellow cards 2.60
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.87
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

75% Wins 47%
13% Draws 27%
13% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 87%
31% Over 2.5 goals 53%
25% Over 3.5 goals 20%
25% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 60%
50% Clean sheets 27%
13% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 47%
44% Draws 27%
25% Losses 27%
63% Over 0.5 goals 87%
31% Over 1.5 goals 40%
6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AEK all matches
Panathinaikos all matches
AEK before this match, at home
2.63points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:4
Panathinaikos before this match, away
1.14points / match
1.43scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:10
AEK at home away Panathinaikos

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.43
0.50 Goals conceded 1.43
2.00 Total goals 2.86
18.00 Shots 12.57
5.38 Shots on target 4.57
6.50 Shots faced 10.43
6.13 Corners 4.86
1.75 Corners against 3.00
15.75 Fouls 13.71
2.63 Yellow cards 2.57
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

88% Wins 29%
0% Draws 29%
13% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 86%
25% Over 2.5 goals 57%
13% Over 3.5 goals 29%
13% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 57%
63% Clean sheets 14%
13% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 29%
38% Draws 29%
25% Losses 43%
63% Over 0.5 goals 100%
13% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AEK at home
Panathinaikos away

Last 10 matches before this match

AEK all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.26 Aris – AEK 1–1 (1–1) 5.253.701.62 2.10 1.70
21.12.25 AEK – OFI Crete 2–1 (0–1) 1.117.5015.00 1.50 2.50
14.12.25 Panetolikos – AEK 0–5 (0–2) 7.004.331.41 1.98 1.83
07.12.25 AEK – Atromitos 4–1 (1–0) 1.245.2513.00 1.73 2.08
30.11.25 Panathinaikos – AEK 2–3 (0–2) 2.573.052.70 2.10 1.70
23.11.25 AEK – Aris 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.337.00 1.98 1.83
09.11.25 OFI Crete – AEK 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.501.45 1.70 2.10
02.11.25 AEK – Panetolikos 1–0 (0–0) 1.177.0011.00 1.62 2.25
26.10.25 Olympiakos – AEK 2–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.98 1.83
19.10.25 AEK – PAOK 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.253.05 2.05 1.75

Panathinaikos all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.26 Panathinaikos – Panserraikos 3–0 (3–0) 1.119.0015.00 1.44 2.70
21.12.25 PAOK – Panathinaikos 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.80 2.08 1.73
14.12.25 Panathinaikos – Volos NFC 2–1 (2–1) 1.275.0011.00 1.73 2.08
07.12.25 Larisa – Panathinaikos 2–2 (1–1) 7.504.201.41 1.83 1.98
30.11.25 Panathinaikos – AEK 2–3 (0–2) 2.573.052.70 2.10 1.70
23.11.25 Panserraikos – Panathinaikos 0–3 (0–1) 9.504.751.33 1.70 2.10
09.11.25 Panathinaikos – PAOK 2–1 (2–0) 2.323.302.95 2.05 1.75
01.11.25 Volos NFC – Panathinaikos 1–0 (1–0) 5.503.601.61 1.90 1.90
26.10.25 Panathinaikos – Asteras Tripolis 2–0 (1–0) 1.196.0012.00 1.53 2.40
19.10.25 Aris – Panathinaikos 1–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.15 1.67

AEK at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 AEK – OFI Crete 2–1 (0–1) 1.117.5015.00 1.50 2.50
07.12.25 AEK – Atromitos 4–1 (1–0) 1.245.2513.00 1.73 2.08
23.11.25 AEK – Aris 1–0 (0–0) 1.424.337.00 1.98 1.83
02.11.25 AEK – Panetolikos 1–0 (0–0) 1.177.0011.00 1.62 2.25
19.10.25 AEK – PAOK 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.253.05 2.05 1.75
28.09.25 AEK – Volos NFC 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.5010.00 1.67 2.15
31.08.25 AEK – Asteras Tripolis 1–0 (1–0) 1.226.0010.00 1.70 2.10
24.08.25 AEK – Panserraikos 2–0 (2–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.60 2.30
04.05.25 AEK – Panathinaikos 1–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.75 2.05 1.75
27.04.25 AEK – Olympiakos 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.003.50 2.35 1.57

Panathinaikos away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 PAOK – Panathinaikos 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.80 2.08 1.73
07.12.25 Larisa – Panathinaikos 2–2 (1–1) 7.504.201.41 1.83 1.98
23.11.25 Panserraikos – Panathinaikos 0–3 (0–1) 9.504.751.33 1.70 2.10
01.11.25 Volos NFC – Panathinaikos 1–0 (1–0) 5.503.601.61 1.90 1.90
19.10.25 Aris – Panathinaikos 1–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.15 1.67
28.09.25 Panetolikos – Panathinaikos 1–2 (1–0) 8.004.331.41 2.15 1.67
14.09.25 Kifisia – Panathinaikos 3–2 (1–1) 10.004.751.30 1.75 2.05
04.05.25 AEK – Panathinaikos 1–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.75 2.05 1.75
27.04.25 PAOK – Panathinaikos 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.404.00 1.98 1.88
30.03.25 Olympiakos – Panathinaikos 4–2 (2–1) 1.693.505.25 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AEK winsDrawsPanathinaikos wins
17matches
2.24goals / match
53%over 2.5
47%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25G1 Panathinaikos – AEK 2–3 (0–2) 2.573.052.70 2.10 1.70
04.05.25G1 AEK – Panathinaikos 1–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.75 2.05 1.75
06.04.25G1 Panathinaikos – AEK 3–1 (1–0) 2.883.002.70 2.30 1.60
19.01.25G1 Panathinaikos – AEK 1–0 (1–0) 2.803.102.70 2.15 1.67
29.09.24G1 AEK – Panathinaikos 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.33 1.83 2.03
24.04.24G1 AEK – Panathinaikos 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.304.33 1.95 1.90
03.04.24G1 Panathinaikos – AEK 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.252.50 2.05 1.75
14.01.24G1 AEK – Panathinaikos 2–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.15 1.67
25.09.23G1 Panathinaikos – AEK 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.203.30 2.35 1.57
30.04.23G1 Panathinaikos – AEK 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.40 1.53
19.03.23G1 AEK – Panathinaikos 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.204.75 2.50 1.50
08.01.23G1 AEK – Panathinaikos 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.50 2.40 1.53
11.09.22G1 Panathinaikos – AEK 2–1 (2–1) 2.253.203.40 2.40 1.53
08.05.22G1 AEK – Panathinaikos 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.003.60 2.35 1.57
13.03.22G1 Panathinaikos – AEK 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.65
27.02.22G1 Panathinaikos – AEK 3–0 (3–0) 2.603.202.80 2.15 1.66
05.12.21G1 AEK – Panathinaikos 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.205.00 2.30 1.60

Greece Super League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PAOK 17 13 2 2 37 12 +25 41
2 Olympiakos 16 12 3 1 33 8 +25 39
3 AEK 16 12 2 2 27 12 +15 38
4 Levadeiakos 16 9 4 3 39 18 +21 31
5 Panathinaikos 15 7 4 4 24 17 +7 25
6 Volos NFC 16 8 1 7 19 21 -2 25
7 Aris 17 5 6 6 14 18 -4 21
8 Kifisia 17 4 7 6 24 26 -2 19
9 OFI Crete 16 5 0 11 19 30 -11 15
10 Panetolikos 16 4 3 9 14 27 -13 15
11 Asteras Tripolis 16 2 7 7 15 23 -8 13
12 Atromitos 16 3 4 9 14 22 -8 13
13 Larisa 17 2 7 8 15 28 -13 13
14 Panserraikos 17 2 2 13 9 41 -32 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PAOK 9 8 1 0 18 2 +16 25
2 Olympiakos 8 7 1 0 21 4 +17 22
3 AEK 8 7 0 1 12 4 +8 21
4 Levadeiakos 9 6 1 2 27 10 +17 19
5 Panathinaikos 8 5 2 1 14 7 +7 17
6 Volos NFC 7 4 1 2 8 7 +1 13
7 Aris 8 2 5 1 7 6 +1 11
8 OFI Crete 8 3 0 5 13 10 +3 9
9 Kifisia 8 2 3 3 11 11 0 9
10 Asteras Tripolis 7 1 5 1 12 10 +2 8
11 Larisa 9 1 4 4 8 15 -7 7
12 Panserraikos 9 2 1 6 5 17 -12 7
13 Panetolikos 8 2 0 6 9 17 -8 6
14 Atromitos 8 1 2 5 7 11 -4 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Olympiakos 8 5 2 1 12 4 +8 17
2 AEK 8 5 2 1 15 8 +7 17
3 PAOK 8 5 1 2 19 10 +9 16
4 Levadeiakos 7 3 3 1 12 8 +4 12
5 Volos NFC 9 4 0 5 11 14 -3 12
6 Kifisia 9 2 4 3 13 15 -2 10
7 Aris 9 3 1 5 7 12 -5 10
8 Panetolikos 8 2 3 3 5 10 -5 9
9 Panathinaikos 7 2 2 3 10 10 0 8
10 Atromitos 8 2 2 4 7 11 -4 8
11 Larisa 8 1 3 4 7 13 -6 6
12 OFI Crete 8 2 0 6 6 20 -14 6
13 Asteras Tripolis 9 1 2 6 3 13 -10 5
14 Panserraikos 8 0 1 7 4 24 -20 1

AEK   Panathinaikos

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 OFI Crete 16 3 13 1.2 1.9 5 0 11 19 30 15
2 1 PAOK 17 6 11 2.2 0.7 13 2 2 37 12 41
3 4 Levadeiakos 16 6 10 2.4 1.1 9 4 3 39 18 31
4 8 Kifisia 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 4 7 6 24 26 19
5 14 Panserraikos 17 7 10 0.5 2.4 2 2 13 9 41 8
6 5 Panathinaikos 15 7 8 1.6 1.1 7 4 4 24 17 25
7 6 Volos NFC 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 8 1 7 19 21 25
8 2 Olympiakos 16 9 7 2.1 0.5 12 3 1 33 8 39
9 10 Panetolikos 16 9 7 0.9 1.7 4 3 9 14 27 15
10 11 Asteras Tripolis 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 2 7 7 15 23 13
11 13 Larisa 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 2 7 8 15 28 13
12 12 Atromitos 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 3 4 9 14 22 13
13 3 AEK 16 11 5 1.7 0.8 12 2 2 27 12 38
14 7 Aris 17 12 5 0.8 1.1 5 6 6 14 18 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Levadeiakos 9 2 7 3.0 1.1 6 1 2 27 10 19
2 9 OFI Crete 8 2 6 1.6 1.2 3 0 5 13 10 9
3 10 Panetolikos 8 2 6 1.1 2.1 2 0 6 9 17 6
4 1 PAOK 9 4 5 2.0 0.2 8 1 0 18 2 25
5 2 Olympiakos 8 3 5 2.6 0.5 7 1 0 21 4 22
6 5 Panathinaikos 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 5 2 1 14 7 17
7 8 Kifisia 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 2 3 3 11 11 9
8 11 Asteras Tripolis 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 1 5 1 12 10 8
9 14 Panserraikos 9 5 4 0.6 1.9 2 1 6 5 17 7
10 6 Volos NFC 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 4 1 2 8 7 13
11 12 Atromitos 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 1 2 5 7 11 5
12 13 Larisa 9 6 3 0.9 1.7 1 4 4 8 15 7
13 3 AEK 8 6 2 1.5 0.5 7 0 1 12 4 21
14 7 Aris 8 7 1 0.9 0.8 2 5 1 7 6 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 OFI Crete 8 1 7 0.8 2.5 2 0 6 6 20 6
2 1 PAOK 8 2 6 2.4 1.2 5 1 2 19 10 16
3 8 Kifisia 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 2 4 3 13 15 10
4 14 Panserraikos 8 2 6 0.5 3.0 0 1 7 4 24 1
5 6 Volos NFC 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 4 0 5 11 14 12
6 5 Panathinaikos 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 2 3 10 10 8
7 7 Aris 9 5 4 0.8 1.3 3 1 5 7 12 10
8 13 Larisa 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 1 3 4 7 13 6
9 3 AEK 8 5 3 1.9 1.0 5 2 1 15 8 17
10 4 Levadeiakos 7 4 3 1.7 1.1 3 3 1 12 8 12
11 11 Asteras Tripolis 9 6 3 0.3 1.4 1 2 6 3 13 5
12 12 Atromitos 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 4 7 11 8
13 2 Olympiakos 8 6 2 1.5 0.5 5 2 1 12 4 17
14 10 Panetolikos 8 7 1 0.6 1.2 2 3 3 5 10 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51