---
title: 'Holstein Kiel vs Dresden – Germany 2. Bundesliga'
url: 'https://www.betgps.com/germany-2-bundesliga/2026-10-25-holstein-kiel-vs-dresden'
markdown: 'https://www.betgps.com/germany-2-bundesliga/2026-10-25-holstein-kiel-vs-dresden.md'
date: '2026-10-25'
---

[Germany 2. Bundesliga](https://www.betgps.com/germany-2-bundesliga) · Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:30 

#  Holstein Kiel vs Dresden 

 Home 2.25 fair 2.13 

 Draw 3.60 fair 4.27 

 Away 2.80 fair 3.37 

 Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.47 

 Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.68 

Bet365 odds. Highlighted = our prediction. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

## Our prediction

 Result Holstein Kiel to win 

 Goals Over 2.5 

 Expected goals 1.74 – 1.34 

Home / Draw / Away

 47% 23% 30% 

Holstein KielDrawDresden

Under / Over 2.5 goals

 40% 60% 

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Total goals in the match

 5%  0 

 14%  1 

 22%  2 

 22%  3 

 17%  4 

 20%  5+ 

Most likely scores

 **1–1** 10.7% **2–1** 9.3% **1–0** 8% 

## Statistics 2026/2027

 **Holstein Kiel** this season, all matches 

0.63points / match

0.88scored / match

1.38conceded / match

 5 3 

 WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:11 

 **Dresden** this season, all matches 

1.00points / match

1.38scored / match

1.88conceded / match

 2 2 4 

 WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:15 

 Holstein Kiel all matches all matches Dresden 

### Per match

 0.88  Goals scored  1.38 

 1.38  Goals conceded  1.88 

 2.25  Total goals  3.25 

 1.36  xG created  1.21 

 1.59  xG allowed  1.67 

 13.25  Shots  12.13 

 3.25  Shots on target  4.38 

 14.25  Shots faced  16.50 

 5.50  Corners  6.63 

 5.00  Corners against  3.88 

 14.75  Fouls  10.25 

 2.88  Yellow cards  2.00 

 0.50  1st-half goals scored  0.88 

 0.50  1st-half goals conceded  0.75 

### How often

 0%  Wins  25% 

 63%  Over 1.5 goals  88% 

 38%  Over 2.5 goals  63% 

 38%  Over 3.5 goals  25% 

 50%  Both teams scored  63% 

 13%  Clean sheets  25% 

 50%  Failed to score  13% 

 25%  Leading at half-time  50% 

 25%  Trailing at half-time  25% 

### Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel all matches

***1***

***3***

 L 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***2***

 L 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***1***

 L 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***1***

 L 

 D 

Dresden all matches

***1***

***2***

 L 

***2***

***1***

 W 

***3***

 L 

***1***

 W 

***3***

***5***

 L 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***2***

 W 

 **Holstein Kiel** this season, at home 

1.00points / match

1.25scored / match

1.25conceded / match

 4 

 WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5 

 **Dresden** this season, away 

0.50points / match

1.50scored / match

2.75conceded / match

 2 2 

 WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:11 

 Holstein Kiel at home away Dresden 

### Per match

 1.25  Goals scored  1.50 

 1.25  Goals conceded  2.75 

 2.50  Total goals  4.25 

 1.35  xG created  1.08 

 1.94  xG allowed  2.03 

 14.25  Shots  12.75 

 4.00  Shots on target  4.25 

 15.25  Shots faced  16.75 

 6.50  Corners  7.25 

 5.25  Corners against  4.25 

 15.00  Fouls  10.25 

 2.75  Yellow cards  2.75 

 0.50  1st-half goals scored  0.75 

 0.75  1st-half goals conceded  0.75 

### How often

 0%  Wins  0% 

 75%  Over 1.5 goals  100% 

 50%  Over 2.5 goals  75% 

 50%  Over 3.5 goals  50% 

 75%  Both teams scored  75% 

 25%  Clean sheets  0% 

 25%  Failed to score  25% 

 25%  Leading at half-time  50% 

 25%  Trailing at half-time  25% 

### Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel at home

***1***

***1***

 D 

***2***

***3***

 L 

 D 

***3***

 W 

***2***

 W 

***1***

***3***

 L 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***1***

***1***

 D 

 D 

Dresden away

 D 

***3***

***3***

 D 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***2***

 W 

***1***

***3***

 L 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***3***

 L 

***3***

***5***

 L 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***1***

***1***

 D 

## Last 10 matches

### Holstein Kiel all matches

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.26 | Holstein Kiel – Hertha | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.90 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 2.88 |
| 09.10.26 | Braunschweig – Holstein Kiel | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.75 | 3.75 | 2.25 | 1.48 | 2.60 |
| 19.09.26 | Holstein Kiel – Osnabruck | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 13.09.26 | Heidenheim – Holstein Kiel | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 05.09.26 | Holstein Kiel – Nurnberg | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 30.08.26 | Magdeburg – Holstein Kiel | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 14.08.26 | Holstein Kiel – St Pauli | 2–2 (0–2) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 08.08.26 | Darmstadt – Holstein Kiel | 2–2 (0–2) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 17.05.26 | Dresden – Holstein Kiel | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 09.05.26 | Holstein Kiel – Magdeburg | 1–3 (0–2) | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 2.88 |

### Dresden all matches

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.26 | Dresden – Magdeburg | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 10.10.26 | Osnabruck – Dresden | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 19.09.26 | Dresden – Hertha | 1–2 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.70 | 2.30 | 1.44 | 2.70 |
| 12.09.26 | Braunschweig – Dresden | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 05.09.26 | Dresden – Bochum | 1–2 (1–2) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 29.08.26 | Heidenheim – Dresden | 5–3 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 16.08.26 | Dresden – Darmstadt | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 09.08.26 | Nurnberg – Dresden | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 17.05.26 | Dresden – Holstein Kiel | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 09.05.26 | Braunschweig – Dresden | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.75 | 2.05 |

### Holstein Kiel at home

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.26 | Holstein Kiel – Hertha | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 3.90 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 2.88 |
| 19.09.26 | Holstein Kiel – Osnabruck | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 05.09.26 | Holstein Kiel – Nurnberg | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 14.08.26 | Holstein Kiel – St Pauli | 2–2 (0–2) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 09.05.26 | Holstein Kiel – Magdeburg | 1–3 (0–2) | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 2.88 |
| 02.05.26 | Holstein Kiel – Braunschweig | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 17.04.26 | Holstein Kiel – Kaiserslautern | 3–0 (3–0) | 2.15 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 05.04.26 | Holstein Kiel – Preußen Münster | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 14.03.26 | Holstein Kiel – Nurnberg | 2–3 (2–2) | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.88 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 28.02.26 | Holstein Kiel – Elversberg | 1–1 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 2.10 |

### Dresden away

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.26 | Osnabruck – Dresden | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 12.09.26 | Braunschweig – Dresden | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 29.08.26 | Heidenheim – Dresden | 5–3 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 09.08.26 | Nurnberg – Dresden | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 09.05.26 | Braunschweig – Dresden | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 24.04.26 | Fortuna Dusseldorf – Dresden | 3–1 (2–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 11.04.26 | Nurnberg – Dresden | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 21.03.26 | Paderborn – Dresden | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 08.03.26 | Karlsruhe – Dresden | 3–3 (1–3) | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 22.02.26 | Hannover – Dresden | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.53 | 4.10 | 6.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 |

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

## Head-to-head since 2021/2022

 2 1 1 

Holstein Kiel winsDrawsDresden wins

4matches

2.25goals / match

75%over 2.5

75%both scored

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.05.26D2 | Dresden – Holstein Kiel | **2–1** (2–0) | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 20.12.25D2 | Holstein Kiel – Dresden | **2–1** (1–1) | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 16.04.22D2 | Dresden – Holstein Kiel | **0–0** (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 1.83 | 2.02 |
| 05.11.21D2 | Holstein Kiel – Dresden | **2–1** (0–1) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.85 | 1.95 |

## Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2026/2027

 All matches – league table
| \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 18 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Heidenheim | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Magdeburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | St Pauli | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Dresden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Osnabruck | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Karlsruhe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Hannover | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Bochum | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Darmstadt | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |

 Home – league table
| \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nurnberg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 | Kaiserslautern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Hertha | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 | Magdeburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 8 |
| 7 | Bielefeld | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 | Darmstadt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 | St Pauli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Dresden | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Karlsruhe | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 5 |
| 13 | Hannover | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Greuther Furth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Osnabruck | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Bochum | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |

 Away – league table
| \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | Bochum | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Greuther Furth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 7 | St Pauli | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Magdeburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Osnabruck | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Heidenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Bielefeld | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Hannover | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Karlsruhe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Dresden | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Darmstadt | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 |

 Holstein Kiel  Dresden

Results and odds: football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 10:11

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