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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany 2. Bundesliga ·

Holstein Kiel 2–0 Paderborn

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.75 fair 2.99
Draw 3.50 fair 3.85
Away 2.40 fair 2.46
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 1.70 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Holstein Kiel Paderborn
7 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 6
1 Corners 11
12 Fouls 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result Paderborn to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
Holstein KielDrawPaderborn
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 0–1 9.9% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Holstein Kiel before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.18scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:22
Paderborn before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.65scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:18
Holstein Kiel all matches all matches Paderborn

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.65
1.29 Goals conceded 1.06
2.47 Total goals 2.71
12.76 Shots 15.94
4.06 Shots on target 5.53
14.82 Shots faced 11.82
4.76 Corners 5.47
5.41 Corners against 4.88
13.71 Fouls 12.94
2.71 Yellow cards 2.18
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

29% Wins 59%
29% Draws 18%
41% Losses 24%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
76% Over 1.5 goals 82%
41% Over 2.5 goals 59%
12% Over 3.5 goals 18%
12% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
59% Both teams scored 59%
24% Clean sheets 35%
18% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 35%
41% Draws 35%
29% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 76%
35% Over 1.5 goals 35%
12% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel all matches
Paderborn all matches
Holstein Kiel before this match, at home
1.38points / match
1.13scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:8
Paderborn before this match, away
2.13points / match
1.63scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:5
Holstein Kiel at home away Paderborn

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded 0.63
2.13 Total goals 2.25
13.75 Shots 15.38
4.63 Shots on target 5.25
12.88 Shots faced 10.25
5.75 Corners 4.50
5.13 Corners against 5.00
11.88 Fouls 12.38
1.50 Yellow cards 2.38
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

38% Wins 63%
25% Draws 25%
38% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
38% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 50%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
63% Draws 50%
13% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel at home
Paderborn away

Last 10 matches before this match

Holstein Kiel all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Holstein Kiel – Dresden 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15
13.12.25 Magdeburg – Holstein Kiel 3–3 (2–1) 2.253.403.00 1.57 2.35
07.12.25 Braunschweig – Holstein Kiel 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.802.30 1.70 2.10
29.11.25 Holstein Kiel – Hertha 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.502.63 1.75 2.05
23.11.25 Kaiserslautern – Holstein Kiel 4–1 (4–1) 2.253.503.00 1.70 2.10
09.11.25 Holstein Kiel – Fortuna Dusseldorf 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.703.70 1.67 2.15
31.10.25 Preußen Münster – Holstein Kiel 2–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.08
25.10.25 Holstein Kiel – Bochum 1–1 (0–0) 1.914.103.40 1.57 2.35
19.10.25 Nurnberg – Holstein Kiel 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.252.70 1.73 2.08
04.10.25 Holstein Kiel – Darmstadt 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.502.75 1.70 2.10

Paderborn all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.12.25 Paderborn – Darmstadt 2–2 (0–2) 2.103.503.25 1.70 2.10
13.12.25 Karlsruhe – Paderborn 0–4 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.65 2.20
06.12.25 Paderborn – Elversberg 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.15
28.11.25 Schalke 04 – Paderborn 2–1 (1–1) 2.602.903.00 2.05 1.75
22.11.25 Paderborn – Hannover 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.603.10 1.62 2.25
09.11.25 Magdeburg – Paderborn 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.702.00 1.53 2.40
02.11.25 Paderborn – Greuther Furth 2–1 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.44 2.70
25.10.25 Dresden – Paderborn 1–2 (1–1) 3.203.902.05 1.60 2.30
18.10.25 Paderborn – Bielefeld 4–3 (1–2) 1.753.604.50 1.62 2.25
03.10.25 Braunschweig – Paderborn 1–2 (0–1) 4.003.701.85 1.75 2.05

Holstein Kiel at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Holstein Kiel – Dresden 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15
29.11.25 Holstein Kiel – Hertha 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.502.63 1.75 2.05
09.11.25 Holstein Kiel – Fortuna Dusseldorf 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.703.70 1.67 2.15
25.10.25 Holstein Kiel – Bochum 1–1 (0–0) 1.914.103.40 1.57 2.35
04.10.25 Holstein Kiel – Darmstadt 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.502.75 1.70 2.10
21.09.25 Holstein Kiel – Karlsruhe 3–0 (2–0) 1.953.603.60 1.70 2.10
30.08.25 Holstein Kiel – Hannover 1–2 (1–0) 2.553.702.45 1.67 2.15
10.08.25 Holstein Kiel – Bielefeld 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.603.10 1.62 2.25
10.05.25D1 Holstein Kiel – Freiburg 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.50
26.04.25D1 Holstein Kiel – M'gladbach 4–3 (2–0) 3.103.802.15 1.50 2.63

Paderborn away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Karlsruhe – Paderborn 0–4 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.65 2.20
28.11.25 Schalke 04 – Paderborn 2–1 (1–1) 2.602.903.00 2.05 1.75
09.11.25 Magdeburg – Paderborn 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.702.00 1.53 2.40
25.10.25 Dresden – Paderborn 1–2 (1–1) 3.203.902.05 1.60 2.30
03.10.25 Braunschweig – Paderborn 1–2 (0–1) 4.003.701.85 1.75 2.05
20.09.25 Hertha – Paderborn 0–2 (0–1) 2.553.602.45 1.67 2.15
29.08.25 Nurnberg – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.752.15 1.67 2.15
08.08.25 Preußen Münster – Paderborn 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.202.25 1.85 1.95
18.05.25 Karlsruhe – Paderborn 3–0 (0–0) 4.204.501.65 1.40 2.88
02.05.25 Schalke 04 – Paderborn 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.751.85 1.47 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Holstein Kiel winsDrawsPaderborn wins
7matches
4.43goals / match
86%over 2.5
86%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.08.25D2 Paderborn – Holstein Kiel 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.803.00 1.53 2.40
17.02.24D2 Paderborn – Holstein Kiel 0–4 (0–2) 2.383.752.75 1.57 2.35
02.09.23D2 Holstein Kiel – Paderborn 2–1 (1–1) 2.304.002.70 1.48 2.60
25.02.23D2 Holstein Kiel – Paderborn 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.802.30 1.53 2.40
20.08.22D2 Paderborn – Holstein Kiel 7–2 (5–2) 1.724.204.33 1.40 2.87
04.03.22D2 Holstein Kiel – Paderborn 3–4 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.61 2.25
25.09.21D2 Paderborn – Holstein Kiel 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.603.60 1.57 2.35

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Schalke 04 18 12 2 4 22 10 +12 38
2 Elversberg 18 10 4 4 33 18 +15 34
3 Darmstadt 17 9 6 2 29 17 +12 33
4 Paderborn 17 10 3 4 28 18 +10 33
5 Hannover 17 8 5 4 30 22 +8 29
6 Hertha 18 8 5 5 21 16 +5 29
7 Kaiserslautern 17 8 3 6 29 21 +8 27
8 Nurnberg 18 7 4 7 22 25 -3 25
9 Karlsruhe 18 7 4 7 27 33 -6 25
10 Bochum 17 6 3 8 23 22 +1 21
11 Holstein Kiel 17 5 5 7 20 22 -2 20
12 Magdeburg 18 6 2 10 24 29 -5 20
13 Preußen Münster 18 5 5 8 22 28 -6 20
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 6 2 10 16 27 -11 20
15 Braunschweig 18 6 2 10 20 32 -12 20
16 Bielefeld 18 5 4 9 27 25 +2 19
17 Dresden 18 4 4 10 26 34 -8 16
18 Greuther Furth 18 4 3 11 26 46 -20 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Darmstadt 9 6 3 0 18 8 +10 21
2 Schalke 04 8 7 0 1 10 4 +6 21
3 Kaiserslautern 9 6 1 2 21 11 +10 19
4 Elversberg 8 5 3 0 15 5 +10 18
5 Nurnberg 10 5 3 2 14 12 +2 18
6 Paderborn 9 5 1 3 15 13 +2 16
7 Karlsruhe 8 5 0 3 14 14 0 15
8 Hertha 10 4 3 3 7 8 -1 15
9 Preußen Münster 10 3 5 2 14 13 +1 14
10 Bielefeld 9 4 1 4 17 10 +7 13
11 Bochum 8 4 1 3 12 9 +3 13
12 Hannover 8 4 1 3 12 11 +1 13
13 Holstein Kiel 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 3 2 5 9 15 -6 11
15 Braunschweig 10 3 2 5 11 19 -8 11
16 Dresden 9 2 2 5 14 16 -2 8
17 Greuther Furth 8 2 2 4 10 19 -9 8
18 Magdeburg 8 2 1 5 12 16 -4 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paderborn 8 5 2 1 13 5 +8 17
2 Schalke 04 10 5 2 3 12 6 +6 17
3 Hannover 9 4 4 1 18 11 +7 16
4 Elversberg 10 5 1 4 18 13 +5 16
5 Hertha 8 4 2 2 14 8 +6 14
6 Magdeburg 10 4 1 5 12 13 -1 13
7 Darmstadt 8 3 3 2 11 9 +2 12
8 Karlsruhe 10 2 4 4 13 19 -6 10
9 Holstein Kiel 9 2 3 4 11 14 -3 9
10 Braunschweig 8 3 0 5 9 13 -4 9
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 3 0 5 7 12 -5 9
12 Bochum 9 2 2 5 11 13 -2 8
13 Kaiserslautern 8 2 2 4 8 10 -2 8
14 Dresden 9 2 2 5 12 18 -6 8
15 Nurnberg 8 2 1 5 8 13 -5 7
16 Greuther Furth 10 2 1 7 16 27 -11 7
17 Bielefeld 9 1 3 5 10 15 -5 6
18 Preußen Münster 8 2 0 6 8 15 -7 6

Holstein Kiel   Paderborn

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Dresden 18 4 14 1.4 1.9 4 4 10 26 34 16
2 18 Greuther Furth 18 4 14 1.4 2.6 4 3 11 26 46 15
3 5 Hannover 17 4 13 1.8 1.3 8 5 4 30 22 29
4 9 Karlsruhe 18 5 13 1.5 1.8 7 4 7 27 33 25
5 8 Nurnberg 18 7 11 1.2 1.4 7 4 7 22 25 25
6 13 Preußen Münster 18 7 11 1.2 1.6 5 5 8 22 28 20
7 15 Braunschweig 18 7 11 1.1 1.8 6 2 10 20 32 20
8 4 Paderborn 17 7 10 1.6 1.1 10 3 4 28 18 33
9 2 Elversberg 18 9 9 1.8 1.0 10 4 4 33 18 34
10 3 Darmstadt 17 8 9 1.7 1.0 9 6 2 29 17 33
11 7 Kaiserslautern 17 8 9 1.7 1.2 8 3 6 29 21 27
12 10 Bochum 17 8 9 1.4 1.3 6 3 8 23 22 21
13 12 Magdeburg 18 9 9 1.3 1.6 6 2 10 24 29 20
14 14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 9 9 0.9 1.5 6 2 10 16 27 20
15 16 Bielefeld 18 9 9 1.5 1.4 5 4 9 27 25 19
16 1 Schalke 04 18 11 7 1.2 0.6 12 2 4 22 10 38
17 11 Holstein Kiel 17 10 7 1.2 1.3 5 5 7 20 22 20
18 6 Hertha 18 12 6 1.2 0.9 8 5 5 21 16 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Dresden 9 2 7 1.6 1.8 2 2 5 14 16 8
2 4 Paderborn 9 3 6 1.7 1.4 5 1 3 15 13 16
3 5 Hannover 8 2 6 1.5 1.4 4 1 3 12 11 13
4 7 Kaiserslautern 9 3 6 2.3 1.2 6 1 2 21 11 19
5 8 Nurnberg 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 5 3 2 14 12 18
6 9 Karlsruhe 8 2 6 1.8 1.8 5 0 3 14 14 15
7 13 Preußen Münster 10 4 6 1.4 1.3 3 5 2 14 13 14
8 15 Braunschweig 10 4 6 1.1 1.9 3 2 5 11 19 11
9 16 Bielefeld 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 1 4 17 10 13
10 18 Greuther Furth 8 2 6 1.2 2.4 2 2 4 10 19 8
11 3 Darmstadt 9 4 5 2.0 0.9 6 3 0 18 8 21
12 14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 5 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 5 9 15 11
13 2 Elversberg 8 4 4 1.9 0.6 5 3 0 15 5 18
14 10 Bochum 8 4 4 1.5 1.1 4 1 3 12 9 13
15 12 Magdeburg 8 4 4 1.5 2.0 2 1 5 12 16 7
16 1 Schalke 04 8 5 3 1.2 0.5 7 0 1 10 4 21
17 11 Holstein Kiel 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
18 6 Hertha 10 9 1 0.7 0.8 4 3 3 7 8 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Greuther Furth 10 2 8 1.6 2.7 2 1 7 16 27 7
2 5 Hannover 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 4 4 1 18 11 16
3 9 Karlsruhe 10 3 7 1.3 1.9 2 4 4 13 19 10
4 17 Dresden 9 2 7 1.3 2.0 2 2 5 12 18 8
5 2 Elversberg 10 5 5 1.8 1.3 5 1 4 18 13 16
6 6 Hertha 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 4 2 2 14 8 14
7 8 Nurnberg 8 3 5 1.0 1.6 2 1 5 8 13 7
8 10 Bochum 9 4 5 1.2 1.4 2 2 5 11 13 8
9 12 Magdeburg 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 4 1 5 12 13 13
10 13 Preußen Münster 8 3 5 1.0 1.9 2 0 6 8 15 6
11 15 Braunschweig 8 3 5 1.1 1.6 3 0 5 9 13 9
12 1 Schalke 04 10 6 4 1.2 0.6 5 2 3 12 6 17
13 3 Darmstadt 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 3 3 2 11 9 12
14 4 Paderborn 8 4 4 1.6 0.6 5 2 1 13 5 17
15 11 Holstein Kiel 9 5 4 1.2 1.6 2 3 4 11 14 9
16 14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 3 0 5 7 12 9
17 7 Kaiserslautern 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 2 2 4 8 10 8
18 16 Bielefeld 9 6 3 1.1 1.7 1 3 5 10 15 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06