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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany 2. Bundesliga ·

Nurnberg 2–1 Paderborn

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 3.07
Draw 3.50 fair 4.03
Away 2.30 fair 2.34
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nurnberg Paderborn
19 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 3
10 Corners 6
11 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (150 league matches this season so far).
Result Paderborn to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
NurnbergDrawPaderborn
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–2 9% 0–1 8.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Nurnberg before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.88scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 14:24
Paderborn before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
2.13scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 34:20
Nurnberg all matches all matches Paderborn

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 2.13
1.50 Goals conceded 1.25
2.38 Total goals 3.38
13.19 Shots 16.63
4.31 Shots on target 6.19
13.13 Shots faced 11.81
4.81 Corners 4.88
5.38 Corners against 4.63
11.38 Fouls 9.75
2.38 Yellow cards 1.75
0.31 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

25% Wins 50%
25% Draws 13%
50% Losses 38%
81% Over 0.5 goals 94%
69% Over 1.5 goals 81%
44% Over 2.5 goals 75%
19% Over 3.5 goals 31%
19% Over 4.5 goals 25%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
38% Both teams scored 44%
38% Clean sheets 44%
44% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 31%
44% Draws 25%
38% Losses 44%
63% Over 0.5 goals 75%
19% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nurnberg all matches
Paderborn all matches
Nurnberg before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.86scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:10
Paderborn before this match, away
1.14points / match
1.14scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:9
Nurnberg at home away Paderborn

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.14
1.43 Goals conceded 1.29
2.29 Total goals 2.43
15.43 Shots 13.43
5.00 Shots on target 3.71
12.14 Shots faced 11.57
5.29 Corners 4.14
4.57 Corners against 5.86
11.29 Fouls 9.00
1.86 Yellow cards 2.29
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

29% Wins 29%
14% Draws 29%
57% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
43% Over 2.5 goals 71%
14% Over 3.5 goals 14%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 43%
43% Clean sheets 43%
43% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
43% Draws 29%
29% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 71%
0% Over 1.5 goals 14%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nurnberg at home
Paderborn away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nurnberg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.22 Hansa Rostock – Nurnberg 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.90 2.00 1.85
06.11.22 Nurnberg – Magdeburg 1–2 (0–0) 1.903.504.20 1.61 2.25
29.10.22 Kaiserslautern – Nurnberg 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.88 1.98
22.10.22 Nurnberg – Hannover 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.75 1.70 2.10
15.10.22 Fortuna Dusseldorf – Nurnberg 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.803.75 1.70 2.10
09.10.22 Nurnberg – Holstein Kiel 2–3 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.61 2.25
02.10.22 Karlsruhe – Nurnberg 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.70 2.10
17.09.22 Darmstadt – Nurnberg 2–0 (2–0) 1.654.204.75 1.57 2.35
09.09.22 Nurnberg – Bielefeld 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
02.09.22 Braunschweig – Nurnberg 4–2 (2–2) 2.873.502.45 1.72 2.07

Paderborn all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.22 Paderborn – Bielefeld 0–2 (0–2) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.40
05.11.22 Heidenheim – Paderborn 3–0 (1–0) 2.803.402.50 1.65 2.20
30.10.22 Paderborn – Hamburg 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.802.90 1.47 2.60
22.10.22 Braunschweig – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.801.90 1.57 2.35
16.10.22 Paderborn – Sandhausen 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.60 2.30
08.10.22 Hansa Rostock – Paderborn 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.752.00 1.66 2.15
30.09.22 Paderborn – Darmstadt 1–2 (1–2) 2.253.752.90 1.50 2.50
18.09.22 Greuther Furth – Paderborn 2–1 (1–0) 3.204.002.05 1.47 2.60
10.09.22 Paderborn – Regensburg 3–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.25 1.44 2.70
03.09.22 Paderborn – Magdeburg 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.25 4.00

Nurnberg at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.22 Nurnberg – Magdeburg 1–2 (0–0) 1.903.504.20 1.61 2.25
22.10.22 Nurnberg – Hannover 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.75 1.70 2.10
09.10.22 Nurnberg – Holstein Kiel 2–3 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.61 2.25
09.09.22 Nurnberg – Bielefeld 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
27.08.22 Nurnberg – Hamburg 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 1.61 2.25
12.08.22 Nurnberg – Heidenheim 0–3 (0–1) 2.153.753.20 1.80 2.00
23.07.22 Nurnberg – Greuther Furth 2–0 (1–0) 2.373.502.90 1.66 2.15
15.05.22 Nurnberg – Schalke 04 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.752.10 1.44 2.70
24.04.22 Nurnberg – Sandhausen 2–4 (1–1) 1.833.804.20 1.75 2.05
09.04.22 Nurnberg – Darmstadt 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.402.37 1.66 2.15

Paderborn away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Heidenheim – Paderborn 3–0 (1–0) 2.803.402.50 1.65 2.20
22.10.22 Braunschweig – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.801.90 1.57 2.35
08.10.22 Hansa Rostock – Paderborn 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.752.00 1.66 2.15
18.09.22 Greuther Furth – Paderborn 2–1 (1–0) 3.204.002.05 1.47 2.60
27.08.22 St Pauli – Paderborn 2–2 (0–1) 2.704.002.30 1.40 2.87
12.08.22 Kaiserslautern – Paderborn 0–1 (0–0) 2.873.502.40 1.61 2.25
22.07.22 Fortuna Dusseldorf – Paderborn 2–1 (2–1) 2.403.602.75 1.65 2.20
15.05.22 Darmstadt – Paderborn 3–0 (3–0) 1.444.756.00 1.30 3.50
30.04.22 Hansa Rostock – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.70 2.10
17.04.22 Ingolstadt – Paderborn 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.502.20 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nurnberg winsDrawsPaderborn wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.22D2 Nurnberg – Paderborn 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.503.00 1.70 2.10
30.07.21D2 Paderborn – Nurnberg 2–2 (1–0) 2.453.502.75 1.90 1.95

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Darmstadt 16 10 5 1 26 14 +12 35
2 Hamburg 17 11 1 5 29 19 +10 34
3 Heidenheim 17 9 6 2 33 20 +13 33
4 Kaiserslautern 17 7 8 2 29 23 +6 29
5 Hannover 17 8 4 5 25 18 +7 28
6 Paderborn 16 8 2 6 34 20 +14 26
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 8 2 7 26 20 +6 26
8 Holstein Kiel 17 6 7 4 30 28 +2 25
9 Hansa Rostock 17 6 3 8 17 23 -6 21
10 Greuther Furth 16 4 7 5 21 25 -4 19
11 Regensburg 17 5 4 8 20 30 -10 19
12 Karlsruhe 17 5 3 9 26 30 -4 18
13 Braunschweig 17 4 6 7 18 26 -8 18
14 St Pauli 17 3 8 6 23 25 -2 17
15 Magdeburg 16 5 2 9 19 30 -11 17
16 Sandhausen 17 4 4 9 21 29 -8 16
17 Nurnberg 16 4 4 8 14 24 -10 16
18 Bielefeld 16 4 2 10 20 27 -7 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Heidenheim 8 6 2 0 21 10 +11 20
2 Paderborn 9 6 0 3 26 11 +15 18
3 Darmstadt 8 5 3 0 14 5 +9 18
4 Hannover 8 5 2 1 12 6 +6 17
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 5 1 2 17 8 +9 16
6 Hamburg 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
7 St Pauli 8 3 5 0 13 6 +7 14
8 Greuther Furth 9 3 5 1 13 12 +1 14
9 Kaiserslautern 9 3 4 2 14 14 0 13
10 Regensburg 9 3 4 2 9 13 -4 13
11 Holstein Kiel 8 3 3 2 14 10 +4 12
12 Sandhausen 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
13 Karlsruhe 9 3 2 4 16 17 -1 11
14 Braunschweig 9 3 2 4 10 11 -1 11
15 Hansa Rostock 9 3 1 5 8 11 -3 10
16 Bielefeld 7 3 0 4 13 13 0 9
17 Nurnberg 7 2 1 4 6 10 -4 7
18 Magdeburg 8 2 1 5 6 13 -7 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hamburg 8 6 0 2 14 9 +5 18
2 Darmstadt 8 5 2 1 12 9 +3 17
3 Kaiserslautern 8 4 4 0 15 9 +6 16
4 Heidenheim 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
5 Holstein Kiel 9 3 4 2 16 18 -2 13
6 Hannover 9 3 2 4 13 12 +1 11
7 Hansa Rostock 8 3 2 3 9 12 -3 11
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 3 1 5 9 12 -3 10
9 Magdeburg 8 3 1 4 13 17 -4 10
10 Nurnberg 9 2 3 4 8 14 -6 9
11 Paderborn 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8
12 Karlsruhe 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7
13 Braunschweig 8 1 4 3 8 15 -7 7
14 Regensburg 8 2 0 6 11 17 -6 6
15 Greuther Furth 7 1 2 4 8 13 -5 5
16 Bielefeld 9 1 2 6 7 14 -7 5
17 Sandhausen 9 1 2 6 9 17 -8 5
18 St Pauli 9 0 3 6 10 19 -9 3

Nurnberg   Paderborn

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Paderborn 16 4 12 2.1 1.2 8 2 6 34 20 26
2 3 Heidenheim 17 6 11 1.9 1.2 9 6 2 33 20 33
3 8 Holstein Kiel 17 6 11 1.8 1.6 6 7 4 30 28 25
4 4 Kaiserslautern 17 7 10 1.7 1.4 7 8 2 29 23 29
5 7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 7 10 1.5 1.2 8 2 7 26 20 26
6 10 Greuther Furth 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 4 7 5 21 25 19
7 11 Regensburg 17 7 10 1.2 1.8 5 4 8 20 30 19
8 12 Karlsruhe 17 7 10 1.5 1.8 5 3 9 26 30 18
9 15 Magdeburg 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 5 2 9 19 30 17
10 16 Sandhausen 17 7 10 1.2 1.7 4 4 9 21 29 16
11 14 St Pauli 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 3 8 6 23 25 17
12 2 Hamburg 17 9 8 1.7 1.1 11 1 5 29 19 34
13 5 Hannover 17 9 8 1.5 1.1 8 4 5 25 18 28
14 13 Braunschweig 17 9 8 1.1 1.5 4 6 7 18 26 18
15 18 Bielefeld 16 8 8 1.2 1.7 4 2 10 20 27 14
16 1 Darmstadt 16 9 7 1.6 0.9 10 5 1 26 14 35
17 9 Hansa Rostock 17 10 7 1.0 1.4 6 3 8 17 23 21
18 17 Nurnberg 16 9 7 0.9 1.5 4 4 8 14 24 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Heidenheim 8 1 7 2.6 1.2 6 2 0 21 10 20
2 6 Paderborn 9 2 7 2.9 1.2 6 0 3 26 11 18
3 7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 2 6 2.1 1.0 5 1 2 17 8 16
4 12 Karlsruhe 9 3 6 1.8 1.9 3 2 4 16 17 11
5 4 Kaiserslautern 9 4 5 1.6 1.6 3 4 2 14 14 13
6 8 Holstein Kiel 8 3 5 1.8 1.2 3 3 2 14 10 12
7 10 Greuther Furth 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 3 5 1 13 12 14
8 16 Sandhausen 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
9 18 Bielefeld 7 2 5 1.9 1.9 3 0 4 13 13 9
10 2 Hamburg 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
11 11 Regensburg 9 5 4 1.0 1.4 3 4 2 9 13 13
12 13 Braunschweig 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 3 2 4 10 11 11
13 14 St Pauli 8 4 4 1.6 0.8 3 5 0 13 6 14
14 15 Magdeburg 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 2 1 5 6 13 7
15 1 Darmstadt 8 5 3 1.8 0.6 5 3 0 14 5 18
16 5 Hannover 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 2 1 12 6 17
17 9 Hansa Rostock 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 3 1 5 8 11 10
18 17 Nurnberg 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 1 4 6 10 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Holstein Kiel 9 3 6 1.8 2.0 3 4 2 16 18 13
2 11 Regensburg 8 2 6 1.4 2.1 2 0 6 11 17 6
3 15 Magdeburg 8 2 6 1.6 2.1 3 1 4 13 17 10
4 4 Kaiserslautern 8 3 5 1.9 1.1 4 4 0 15 9 16
5 5 Hannover 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 3 2 4 13 12 11
6 6 Paderborn 7 2 5 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8
7 10 Greuther Furth 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 1 2 4 8 13 5
8 14 St Pauli 9 4 5 1.1 2.1 0 3 6 10 19 3
9 16 Sandhausen 9 4 5 1.0 1.9 1 2 6 9 17 5
10 1 Darmstadt 8 4 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 1 12 9 17
11 2 Hamburg 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 6 0 2 14 9 18
12 3 Heidenheim 9 5 4 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
13 7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 5 4 1.0 1.3 3 1 5 9 12 10
14 9 Hansa Rostock 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 3 2 3 9 12 11
15 12 Karlsruhe 8 4 4 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7
16 13 Braunschweig 8 4 4 1.0 1.9 1 4 3 8 15 7
17 17 Nurnberg 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 3 4 8 14 9
18 18 Bielefeld 9 6 3 0.8 1.6 1 2 6 7 14 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51