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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 2 ·

Red Star 4–3 Bastia

Full time · half time 1–3 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.23
Draw 2.80 fair 3.33
Away 3.30 fair 3.99
Under 2.5 1.50 fair 1.48
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 3.09

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Red Star Bastia
18 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 7
4 Corners 2
5 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (265 league matches this season so far).
Result Red Star to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.19 – 0.81
Home / Draw / Away
Red StarDrawBastia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 16.1% 0–0 13.5% 1–1 13%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Red Star before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
1.14scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 32:27
Bastia before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.57scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 16:32
Red Star all matches all matches Bastia

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 0.57
0.96 Goals conceded 1.14
2.11 Total goals 1.71
11.68 Shots 11.75
3.64 Shots on target 3.64
9.68 Shots faced 9.39
4.75 Corners 4.36
3.57 Corners against 4.54
12.21 Fouls 15.11
1.75 Yellow cards 2.61
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

43% Wins 11%
32% Draws 43%
25% Losses 46%
86% Over 0.5 goals 79%
61% Over 1.5 goals 54%
46% Over 2.5 goals 18%
18% Over 3.5 goals 18%
0% Over 4.5 goals 4%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
39% Both teams scored 32%
46% Clean sheets 32%
29% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 14%
54% Draws 46%
18% Losses 39%
57% Over 0.5 goals 64%
25% Over 1.5 goals 32%
7% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Red Star all matches
Bastia all matches
Red Star before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:16
Bastia before this match, away
0.71points / match
0.57scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 8:14
Red Star at home away Bastia

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.57
1.14 Goals conceded 1.00
2.14 Total goals 1.57
13.21 Shots 9.93
3.36 Shots on target 3.36
8.86 Shots faced 9.86
5.50 Corners 3.86
2.93 Corners against 5.00
13.07 Fouls 14.00
1.79 Yellow cards 2.57
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

36% Wins 7%
43% Draws 50%
21% Losses 43%
79% Over 0.5 goals 79%
57% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 14%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 29%
43% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 64%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 7%
43% Draws 57%
21% Losses 36%
57% Over 0.5 goals 57%
21% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Red Star at home
Bastia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Red Star all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Red Star – Laval 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.304.75 2.10 1.70
20.03.26 Clermont – Red Star 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.45 2.15 1.67
14.03.26 Red Star – Dunkerque 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.102.88 2.15 1.67
07.03.26 St Etienne – Red Star 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.604.50 1.85 1.95
28.02.26 Red Star – Le Mans 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.002.88 2.35 1.57
20.02.26 Annecy – Red Star 2–1 (0–0) 2.302.903.10 2.50 1.50
13.02.26 Red Star – Nancy 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.304.10 2.15 1.67
06.02.26 Red Star – Pau FC 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.103.00 2.05 1.75
30.01.26 Rodez – Red Star 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.35 1.95 1.85
24.01.26 Red Star – Boulogne 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.254.20 2.20 1.65

Bastia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Bastia – Amiens 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.103.80 2.15 1.67
20.03.26 Rodez – Bastia 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.002.63 2.15 1.67
13.03.26 Bastia – Boulogne 0–1 (0–1) 1.952.884.00 2.88 1.40
06.03.26 Pau FC – Bastia 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.203.10 2.08 1.73
27.02.26 Bastia – Annecy 0–2 (0–2) 2.402.803.00 2.70 1.44
20.02.26 Dunkerque – Bastia 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.003.60 2.50 1.50
16.02.26 Bastia – Troyes 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.002.25 2.30 1.60
06.02.26 Reims – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.254.75 2.25 1.62
30.01.26 Bastia – Nancy 0–0 (0–0) 2.052.903.50 2.50 1.50
23.01.26 Bastia – Montpellier 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.002.40 2.40 1.53

Red Star at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.26 Red Star – Laval 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.304.75 2.10 1.70
14.03.26 Red Star – Dunkerque 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.102.88 2.15 1.67
28.02.26 Red Star – Le Mans 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.002.88 2.35 1.57
13.02.26 Red Star – Nancy 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.304.10 2.15 1.67
06.02.26 Red Star – Pau FC 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.103.00 2.05 1.75
24.01.26 Red Star – Boulogne 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.254.20 2.20 1.65
13.12.25 Red Star – Reims 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.35 2.10 1.70
22.11.25 Red Star – Clermont 2–2 (1–2) 1.673.304.75 2.00 1.80
01.11.25 Red Star – St Etienne 2–1 (2–0) 2.883.302.38 1.90 1.90
24.10.25 Red Star – Grenoble 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.75 2.00 1.80

Bastia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.03.26 Rodez – Bastia 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.002.63 2.15 1.67
06.03.26 Pau FC – Bastia 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.203.10 2.08 1.73
20.02.26 Dunkerque – Bastia 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.003.60 2.50 1.50
06.02.26 Reims – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.254.75 2.25 1.62
16.01.26 Laval – Bastia 0–2 (0–0) 2.352.753.00 2.88 1.40
13.12.25 St Etienne – Bastia 2–2 (1–2) 1.673.404.75 1.90 1.90
21.11.25 Annecy – Bastia 1–0 (1–0) 2.252.803.40 2.88 1.40
28.10.25 Nancy – Bastia 2–0 (1–0) 2.402.903.10 2.50 1.50
17.10.25 Troyes – Bastia 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.504.50 2.10 1.70
26.09.25 Grenoble – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.102.45 2.25 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Red Star winsDrawsBastia wins
2matches
0.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.25F2 Bastia – Red Star 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.50 2.10 1.70
06.12.24F2 Red Star – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.35 2.50 1.50

France Ligue 2 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Troyes 29 17 7 5 51 30 +21 58
2 St Etienne 29 16 6 7 51 30 +21 54
3 Le Mans 29 14 11 4 45 29 +16 53
4 Reims 30 12 12 6 43 28 +15 48
5 Red Star 28 12 9 7 32 27 +5 45
6 Rodez 29 11 12 6 36 34 +2 45
7 Montpellier 30 12 8 10 35 27 +8 44
8 Annecy 30 12 7 11 36 34 +2 43
9 Pau FC 30 11 9 10 41 48 -7 42
10 Dunkerque 29 10 10 9 44 35 +9 40
11 Guingamp 30 10 10 10 39 42 -3 40
12 Boulogne 29 9 8 12 30 38 -8 35
13 Grenoble 30 6 14 10 29 36 -7 32
14 Clermont 30 7 9 14 34 41 -7 30
15 Nancy 30 7 9 14 27 43 -16 30
16 Laval 30 4 13 13 26 43 -17 25
17 Amiens 30 6 6 18 34 52 -18 24
18 Bastia 28 3 12 13 16 32 -16 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Troyes 15 12 1 2 35 17 +18 37
2 St Etienne 14 9 2 3 32 14 +18 29
3 Le Mans 15 8 5 2 18 7 +11 29
4 Reims 14 7 4 3 19 10 +9 25
5 Montpellier 15 7 4 4 24 17 +7 25
6 Annecy 15 6 6 3 20 13 +7 24
7 Guingamp 16 6 5 5 19 21 -2 23
8 Dunkerque 15 5 7 3 24 16 +8 22
9 Rodez 14 5 7 2 15 12 +3 22
10 Grenoble 15 4 9 2 12 13 -1 21
11 Red Star 14 5 6 3 14 16 -2 21
12 Clermont 15 4 5 6 17 17 0 17
13 Pau FC 15 4 5 6 19 24 -5 17
14 Nancy 15 4 3 8 12 22 -10 15
15 Boulogne 14 4 2 8 17 25 -8 14
16 Bastia 14 2 5 7 8 18 -10 11
17 Laval 15 1 7 7 15 24 -9 10
18 Amiens 15 2 3 10 16 27 -11 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 St Etienne 15 7 4 4 19 16 +3 25
2 Pau FC 15 7 4 4 22 24 -2 25
3 Red Star 14 7 3 4 18 11 +7 24
4 Le Mans 14 6 6 2 27 22 +5 24
5 Reims 16 5 8 3 24 18 +6 23
6 Rodez 15 6 5 4 21 22 -1 23
7 Troyes 14 5 6 3 16 13 +3 21
8 Boulogne 15 5 6 4 13 13 0 21
9 Montpellier 15 5 4 6 11 10 +1 19
10 Annecy 15 6 1 8 16 21 -5 19
11 Dunkerque 14 5 3 6 20 19 +1 18
12 Guingamp 14 4 5 5 20 21 -1 17
13 Nancy 15 3 6 6 15 21 -6 15
14 Amiens 15 4 3 8 18 25 -7 15
15 Laval 15 3 6 6 11 19 -8 15
16 Clermont 15 3 4 8 17 24 -7 13
17 Grenoble 15 2 5 8 17 23 -6 11
18 Bastia 14 1 7 6 8 14 -6 10

Red Star   Bastia

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Pau FC 30 11 19 1.4 1.6 11 9 10 41 48 42
2 11 Guingamp 30 13 17 1.3 1.4 10 10 10 39 42 40
3 1 Troyes 29 13 16 1.8 1.0 17 7 5 51 30 58
4 2 St Etienne 29 13 16 1.8 1.0 16 6 7 51 30 54
5 17 Amiens 30 14 16 1.1 1.7 6 6 18 34 52 24
6 8 Annecy 30 15 15 1.2 1.1 12 7 11 36 34 43
7 10 Dunkerque 29 14 15 1.5 1.2 10 10 9 44 35 40
8 14 Clermont 30 15 15 1.1 1.4 7 9 14 34 41 30
9 15 Nancy 30 15 15 0.9 1.4 7 9 14 27 43 30
10 4 Reims 30 17 13 1.4 0.9 12 12 6 43 28 48
11 5 Red Star 28 15 13 1.1 1.0 12 9 7 32 27 45
12 6 Rodez 29 16 13 1.2 1.2 11 12 6 36 34 45
13 12 Boulogne 29 16 13 1.0 1.3 9 8 12 30 38 35
14 3 Le Mans 29 17 12 1.6 1.0 14 11 4 45 29 53
15 13 Grenoble 30 18 12 1.0 1.2 6 14 10 29 36 32
16 16 Laval 30 19 11 0.9 1.4 4 13 13 26 43 25
17 7 Montpellier 30 22 8 1.2 0.9 12 8 10 35 27 44
18 18 Bastia 28 23 5 0.6 1.1 3 12 13 16 32 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Troyes 15 5 10 2.3 1.1 12 1 2 35 17 37
2 9 Pau FC 15 5 10 1.3 1.6 4 5 6 19 24 17
3 2 St Etienne 14 5 9 2.3 1.0 9 2 3 32 14 29
4 12 Boulogne 14 5 9 1.2 1.8 4 2 8 17 25 14
5 11 Guingamp 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 6 5 5 19 21 23
6 17 Amiens 15 7 8 1.1 1.8 2 3 10 16 27 9
7 5 Red Star 14 7 7 1.0 1.1 5 6 3 14 16 21
8 8 Annecy 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 6 6 3 20 13 24
9 14 Clermont 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 4 5 6 17 17 17
10 16 Laval 15 8 7 1.0 1.6 1 7 7 15 24 10
11 4 Reims 14 8 6 1.4 0.7 7 4 3 19 10 25
12 7 Montpellier 15 9 6 1.6 1.1 7 4 4 24 17 25
13 10 Dunkerque 15 9 6 1.6 1.1 5 7 3 24 16 22
14 15 Nancy 15 9 6 0.8 1.5 4 3 8 12 22 15
15 13 Grenoble 15 10 5 0.8 0.9 4 9 2 12 13 21
16 3 Le Mans 15 11 4 1.2 0.5 8 5 2 18 7 29
17 6 Rodez 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 5 7 2 15 12 22
18 18 Bastia 14 11 3 0.6 1.3 2 5 7 8 18 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Rodez 15 6 9 1.4 1.5 6 5 4 21 22 23
2 9 Pau FC 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 7 4 4 22 24 25
3 10 Dunkerque 14 5 9 1.4 1.4 5 3 6 20 19 18
4 11 Guingamp 14 5 9 1.4 1.5 4 5 5 20 21 17
5 15 Nancy 15 6 9 1.0 1.4 3 6 6 15 21 15
6 3 Le Mans 14 6 8 1.9 1.6 6 6 2 27 22 24
7 8 Annecy 15 7 8 1.1 1.4 6 1 8 16 21 19
8 14 Clermont 15 7 8 1.1 1.6 3 4 8 17 24 13
9 17 Amiens 15 7 8 1.2 1.7 4 3 8 18 25 15
10 2 St Etienne 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 7 4 4 19 16 25
11 4 Reims 16 9 7 1.5 1.1 5 8 3 24 18 23
12 13 Grenoble 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 2 5 8 17 23 11
13 1 Troyes 14 8 6 1.1 0.9 5 6 3 16 13 21
14 5 Red Star 14 8 6 1.3 0.8 7 3 4 18 11 24
15 12 Boulogne 15 11 4 0.9 0.9 5 6 4 13 13 21
16 16 Laval 15 11 4 0.7 1.3 3 6 6 11 19 15
17 7 Montpellier 15 13 2 0.7 0.7 5 4 6 11 10 19
18 18 Bastia 14 12 2 0.6 1.0 1 7 6 8 14 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51