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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 2 ·

Bastia 1–0 Ajaccio

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.29
Draw 3.10 fair 3.63
Away 3.10 fair 3.47
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.72
Over 2.5 2.88 fair 2.39

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bastia Ajaccio
4 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 0
3 Corners 3
19 Fouls 22
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (229 league matches this season so far).
Result Bastia to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
BastiaDrawAjaccio
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 12.6% 0–1 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bastia before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.14scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 25:28
Ajaccio before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 22:23
Bastia all matches all matches Ajaccio

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.00
1.27 Goals conceded 1.05
2.41 Total goals 2.05
10.27 Shots 8.82
3.45 Shots on target 3.00
11.91 Shots faced 8.27
4.45 Corners 2.77
5.36 Corners against 3.82
14.77 Fouls 13.45
1.77 Yellow cards 1.91
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

27% Wins 41%
27% Draws 27%
45% Losses 32%
77% Over 0.5 goals 86%
68% Over 1.5 goals 73%
50% Over 2.5 goals 36%
27% Over 3.5 goals 9%
18% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
41% Both teams scored 32%
36% Clean sheets 45%
45% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 23%
45% Draws 50%
27% Losses 27%
64% Over 0.5 goals 64%
27% Over 1.5 goals 36%
0% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia all matches
Ajaccio all matches
Bastia before this match, at home
1.64points / match
1.36scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:13
Ajaccio before this match, away
0.73points / match
0.55scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 6:17
Bastia at home away Ajaccio

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 0.55
1.18 Goals conceded 1.55
2.55 Total goals 2.09
10.73 Shots 7.27
3.45 Shots on target 2.45
10.18 Shots faced 9.73
4.73 Corners 2.91
4.45 Corners against 4.55
13.18 Fouls 14.27
1.55 Yellow cards 2.18
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

45% Wins 18%
27% Draws 18%
27% Losses 64%
73% Over 0.5 goals 82%
73% Over 1.5 goals 73%
64% Over 2.5 goals 45%
27% Over 3.5 goals 9%
18% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 18%
45% Clean sheets 36%
36% Failed to score 64%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%
36% Draws 36%
27% Losses 45%
64% Over 0.5 goals 73%
18% Over 1.5 goals 45%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia at home
Ajaccio away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bastia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Valenciennes – Bastia 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.002.75 2.40 1.53
23.01.24 Bastia – Caen 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.003.10 2.35 1.57
13.01.24 Bastia – Angers 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.002.20 2.60 1.48
19.12.23 St Etienne – Bastia 3–2 (2–0) 1.803.504.50 2.03 1.83
16.12.23 Bastia – Quevilly Rouen 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.60 2.35 1.57
05.12.23 Dunkerque – Bastia 0–5 (0–2) 2.303.103.40 2.25 1.62
02.12.23 Caen – Bastia 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.20 2.10 1.78
25.11.23 Bastia – Auxerre 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.601.70 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Paris FC – Bastia 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.60 2.08 1.73
04.11.23 Bastia – Bordeaux 3–1 (2–0) 3.503.302.05 2.05 1.75

Ajaccio all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Ajaccio – Concarneau 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.204.20 2.88 1.40
23.01.24 Dunkerque – Ajaccio 2–0 (1–0) 2.632.902.55 2.70 1.44
13.01.24 Troyes – Ajaccio 3–1 (1–1) 2.633.002.60 2.50 1.50
19.12.23 Ajaccio – Valenciennes 2–1 (2–1) 1.913.004.75 3.10 1.36
16.12.23 Auxerre – Ajaccio 2–0 (2–0) 1.653.505.00 2.15 1.67
05.12.23 Ajaccio – Laval 2–0 (0–0) 2.452.753.30 3.40 1.33
02.12.23 Ajaccio – Angers 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.003.00 2.60 1.48
25.11.23 Annecy – Ajaccio 2–0 (1–0) 2.882.902.50 2.60 1.48
11.11.23 Ajaccio – Troyes 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.254.33 2.30 1.60
04.11.23 Grenoble – Ajaccio 0–3 (0–2) 2.103.103.80 2.70 1.44

Bastia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.01.24 Bastia – Caen 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.003.10 2.35 1.57
13.01.24 Bastia – Angers 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.002.20 2.60 1.48
16.12.23 Bastia – Quevilly Rouen 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.60 2.35 1.57
25.11.23 Bastia – Auxerre 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.601.70 1.88 1.98
04.11.23 Bastia – Bordeaux 3–1 (2–0) 3.503.302.05 2.05 1.75
28.10.23 Bastia – Guingamp 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.202.50 2.15 1.67
07.10.23 Bastia – Annecy 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.15 1.67
26.09.23 Bastia – Pau FC 1–4 (0–1) 1.733.754.75 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Bastia – Laval 0–3 (0–1) 2.103.103.75 2.25 1.62
26.08.23 Bastia – Troyes 3–2 (0–2) 2.053.403.60 2.05 1.75

Ajaccio away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.01.24 Dunkerque – Ajaccio 2–0 (1–0) 2.632.902.55 2.70 1.44
13.01.24 Troyes – Ajaccio 3–1 (1–1) 2.633.002.60 2.50 1.50
16.12.23 Auxerre – Ajaccio 2–0 (2–0) 1.653.505.00 2.15 1.67
25.11.23 Annecy – Ajaccio 2–0 (1–0) 2.882.902.50 2.60 1.48
04.11.23 Grenoble – Ajaccio 0–3 (0–2) 2.103.103.80 2.70 1.44
28.10.23 Concarneau – Ajaccio 2–1 (0–0) 2.903.102.50 2.35 1.57
07.10.23 St Etienne – Ajaccio 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.65
26.09.23 Amiens – Ajaccio 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.35 1.57
18.09.23 Guingamp – Ajaccio 3–0 (2–0) 2.303.103.30 2.25 1.62
26.08.23 Caen – Ajaccio 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.255.25 2.40 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bastia winsDrawsAjaccio wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.23F2 Ajaccio – Bastia 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.30 2.40 1.53
12.03.22F2 Ajaccio – Bastia 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.253.60 3.10 1.36
25.09.21F2 Bastia – Ajaccio 2–0 (0–0) 2.623.002.62 2.35 1.57

France Ligue 2 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Angers 23 14 4 5 38 22 +16 46
2 Auxerre 23 12 8 3 47 25 +22 44
3 Grenoble 23 10 10 3 34 22 +12 40
4 Laval 23 11 6 6 26 23 +3 39
5 Amiens 23 9 8 6 20 21 -1 35
6 Pau FC 23 8 9 6 36 35 +1 33
7 Caen 23 9 6 8 31 31 0 33
8 Ajaccio 22 9 6 7 22 23 -1 33
9 Guingamp 23 8 8 7 30 25 +5 32
10 Paris FC 23 9 5 9 28 27 +1 32
11 St Etienne 23 9 5 9 21 22 -1 32
12 Rodez 23 8 7 8 37 36 +1 31
13 Bordeaux 23 8 5 10 26 31 -5 29
14 Concarneau 23 8 4 11 20 28 -8 28
15 Troyes 23 6 9 8 26 27 -1 27
16 Bastia 22 6 6 10 25 28 -3 24
17 Annecy 23 5 8 10 26 31 -5 23
18 Dunkerque 23 6 5 12 20 35 -15 23
19 Quevilly Rouen 23 4 9 10 32 36 -4 21
20 Valenciennes 23 2 8 13 15 32 -17 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Angers 12 10 2 0 22 5 +17 32
2 Ajaccio 11 7 4 0 16 6 +10 25
3 Grenoble 12 6 5 1 20 12 +8 23
4 Auxerre 11 6 3 2 23 11 +12 21
5 Rodez 11 6 3 2 21 13 +8 21
6 Amiens 13 5 6 2 13 10 +3 21
7 Pau FC 12 5 5 2 22 17 +5 20
8 Caen 11 5 3 3 14 9 +5 18
9 Bordeaux 11 5 3 3 15 11 +4 18
10 Bastia 11 5 3 3 15 13 +2 18
11 Laval 12 5 3 4 13 16 -3 18
12 Paris FC 12 5 2 5 17 14 +3 17
13 Troyes 11 5 2 4 16 14 +2 17
14 St Etienne 12 4 3 5 11 11 0 15
15 Concarneau 11 4 2 5 11 15 -4 14
16 Guingamp 11 3 4 4 17 15 +2 13
17 Annecy 11 2 5 4 13 15 -2 11
18 Quevilly Rouen 11 2 4 5 12 14 -2 10
19 Dunkerque 12 2 2 8 7 19 -12 8
20 Valenciennes 11 1 4 6 8 14 -6 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Auxerre 12 6 5 1 24 14 +10 23
2 Laval 11 6 3 2 13 7 +6 21
3 Guingamp 12 5 4 3 13 10 +3 19
4 Grenoble 11 4 5 2 14 10 +4 17
5 St Etienne 11 5 2 4 10 11 -1 17
6 Paris FC 11 4 3 4 11 13 -2 15
7 Dunkerque 11 4 3 4 13 16 -3 15
8 Caen 12 4 3 5 17 22 -5 15
9 Angers 11 4 2 5 16 17 -1 14
10 Concarneau 12 4 2 6 9 13 -4 14
11 Amiens 10 4 2 4 7 11 -4 14
12 Pau FC 11 3 4 4 14 18 -4 13
13 Annecy 12 3 3 6 13 16 -3 12
14 Quevilly Rouen 12 2 5 5 20 22 -2 11
15 Bordeaux 12 3 2 7 11 20 -9 11
16 Troyes 12 1 7 4 10 13 -3 10
17 Rodez 12 2 4 6 16 23 -7 10
18 Ajaccio 11 2 2 7 6 17 -11 8
19 Valenciennes 12 1 4 7 7 18 -11 7
20 Bastia 11 1 3 7 10 15 -5 6

Bastia   Ajaccio

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Rodez 23 7 16 1.6 1.6 8 7 8 37 36 31
2 2 Auxerre 23 9 14 2.0 1.1 12 8 3 47 25 44
3 6 Pau FC 23 9 14 1.6 1.5 8 9 6 36 35 33
4 19 Quevilly Rouen 23 9 14 1.4 1.6 4 9 10 32 36 21
5 17 Annecy 23 10 13 1.1 1.3 5 8 10 26 31 23
6 7 Caen 23 11 12 1.3 1.3 9 6 8 31 31 33
7 3 Grenoble 23 12 11 1.5 1.0 10 10 3 34 22 40
8 9 Guingamp 23 12 11 1.3 1.1 8 8 7 30 25 32
9 13 Bordeaux 23 12 11 1.1 1.3 8 5 10 26 31 29
10 15 Troyes 23 12 11 1.1 1.2 6 9 8 26 27 27
11 16 Bastia 22 11 11 1.1 1.3 6 6 10 25 28 24
12 10 Paris FC 23 13 10 1.2 1.2 9 5 9 28 27 32
13 4 Laval 23 14 9 1.1 1.0 11 6 6 26 23 39
14 18 Dunkerque 23 14 9 0.9 1.5 6 5 12 20 35 23
15 20 Valenciennes 23 14 9 0.7 1.4 2 8 13 15 32 14
16 1 Angers 23 15 8 1.7 1.0 14 4 5 38 22 46
17 8 Ajaccio 22 14 8 1.0 1.0 9 6 7 22 23 33
18 14 Concarneau 23 15 8 0.9 1.2 8 4 11 20 28 28
19 11 St Etienne 23 16 7 0.9 1.0 9 5 9 21 22 32
20 5 Amiens 23 17 6 0.9 0.9 9 8 6 20 21 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Pau FC 12 5 7 1.8 1.4 5 5 2 22 17 20
2 9 Guingamp 11 4 7 1.5 1.4 3 4 4 17 15 13
3 10 Paris FC 12 5 7 1.4 1.2 5 2 5 17 14 17
4 12 Rodez 11 4 7 1.9 1.2 6 3 2 21 13 21
5 15 Troyes 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 5 2 4 16 14 17
6 16 Bastia 11 4 7 1.4 1.2 5 3 3 15 13 18
7 2 Auxerre 11 5 6 2.1 1.0 6 3 2 23 11 21
8 3 Grenoble 12 6 6 1.7 1.0 6 5 1 20 12 23
9 17 Annecy 11 5 6 1.2 1.4 2 5 4 13 15 11
10 4 Laval 12 7 5 1.1 1.3 5 3 4 13 16 18
11 14 Concarneau 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 4 2 5 11 15 14
12 19 Quevilly Rouen 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 2 4 5 12 14 10
13 1 Angers 12 8 4 1.8 0.4 10 2 0 22 5 32
14 5 Amiens 13 9 4 1.0 0.8 5 6 2 13 10 21
15 7 Caen 11 7 4 1.3 0.8 5 3 3 14 9 18
16 11 St Etienne 12 8 4 0.9 0.9 4 3 5 11 11 15
17 13 Bordeaux 11 7 4 1.4 1.0 5 3 3 15 11 18
18 18 Dunkerque 12 8 4 0.6 1.6 2 2 8 7 19 8
19 20 Valenciennes 11 7 4 0.7 1.3 1 4 6 8 14 7
20 8 Ajaccio 11 8 3 1.5 0.5 7 4 0 16 6 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Rodez 12 3 9 1.3 1.9 2 4 6 16 23 10
2 19 Quevilly Rouen 12 3 9 1.7 1.8 2 5 5 20 22 11
3 2 Auxerre 12 4 8 2.0 1.2 6 5 1 24 14 23
4 7 Caen 12 4 8 1.4 1.8 4 3 5 17 22 15
5 6 Pau FC 11 4 7 1.3 1.6 3 4 4 14 18 13
6 13 Bordeaux 12 5 7 0.9 1.7 3 2 7 11 20 11
7 17 Annecy 12 5 7 1.1 1.3 3 3 6 13 16 12
8 3 Grenoble 11 6 5 1.3 0.9 4 5 2 14 10 17
9 8 Ajaccio 11 6 5 0.5 1.5 2 2 7 6 17 8
10 18 Dunkerque 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 4 3 4 13 16 15
11 20 Valenciennes 12 7 5 0.6 1.5 1 4 7 7 18 7
12 1 Angers 11 7 4 1.5 1.5 4 2 5 16 17 14
13 4 Laval 11 7 4 1.2 0.6 6 3 2 13 7 21
14 9 Guingamp 12 8 4 1.1 0.8 5 4 3 13 10 19
15 15 Troyes 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 1 7 4 10 13 10
16 16 Bastia 11 7 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 7 10 15 6
17 10 Paris FC 11 8 3 1.0 1.2 4 3 4 11 13 15
18 11 St Etienne 11 8 3 0.9 1.0 5 2 4 10 11 17
19 14 Concarneau 12 9 3 0.8 1.1 4 2 6 9 13 14
20 5 Amiens 10 8 2 0.7 1.1 4 2 4 7 11 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51