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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Harrington

Leeds 4–3 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.72 fair 1.68
Draw 3.80 fair 4.76
Away 4.75 fair 5.14
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.52
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Bournemouth
18 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
13 Corners 3
16 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (126 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 2.04 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.7% 2–0 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:19
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.92scored / match
2.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:28
Leeds all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.92
1.58 Goals conceded 2.15
2.83 Total goals 3.08
12.92 Shots 7.46
4.17 Shots on target 2.77
13.00 Shots faced 16.00
5.17 Corners 3.69
5.00 Corners against 6.69
13.00 Fouls 10.46
1.83 Yellow cards 1.54
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 1.23

How often Full Time

25% Wins 23%
25% Draws 31%
50% Losses 46%
92% Over 0.5 goals 85%
75% Over 1.5 goals 77%
58% Over 2.5 goals 54%
25% Over 3.5 goals 38%
17% Over 4.5 goals 23%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
58% Both teams scored 38%
17% Clean sheets 23%
33% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 23%
58% Draws 23%
33% Losses 54%
75% Over 0.5 goals 77%
58% Over 1.5 goals 38%
8% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:6
Bournemouth before this match, away
0.83points / match
1.00scored / match
3.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:20
Leeds at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 3.33
2.33 Total goals 4.33
12.83 Shots 6.83
4.17 Shots on target 3.00
12.50 Shots faced 18.00
5.17 Corners 2.50
5.00 Corners against 6.83
14.00 Fouls 9.50
1.50 Yellow cards 1.50
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 2.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
17% Over 3.5 goals 67%
17% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
50% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
50% Draws 17%
33% Losses 67%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Liverpool – Leeds 1–2 (1–1) 1.306.009.00 1.36 3.20
23.10.22 Leeds – Fulham 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.72 2.10
20.10.22 Leicester – Leeds 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.72 2.10
16.10.22 Leeds – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.201.55 1.61 2.30
09.10.22 Crystal Palace – Leeds 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.86 2.04
02.10.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00
03.09.22 Brentford – Leeds 5–2 (2–1) 2.103.503.40 1.72 2.10
30.08.22 Leeds – Everton 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.30 1.87 2.03
27.08.22 Brighton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.88 2.02
21.08.22 Leeds – Chelsea 3–0 (2–0) 5.754.501.53 1.66 2.20

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Bournemouth – Tottenham 2–3 (1–0) 5.003.801.70 1.96 1.94
24.10.22 West Ham – Bournemouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.00 2.01 1.89
19.10.22 Bournemouth – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.623.302.62 2.00 1.80
15.10.22 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.853.754.00 1.96 1.94
08.10.22 Bournemouth – Leicester 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.402.05 1.80 2.00
01.10.22 Bournemouth – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 2.02 1.88
17.09.22 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.407.50 1.87 2.03
03.09.22 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.72
31.08.22 Bournemouth – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.15 2.10 1.72
27.08.22 Liverpool – Bournemouth 9–0 (5–0) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.22 Leeds – Fulham 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.72 2.10
16.10.22 Leeds – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.201.55 1.61 2.30
02.10.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00
30.08.22 Leeds – Everton 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.30 1.87 2.03
21.08.22 Leeds – Chelsea 3–0 (2–0) 5.754.501.53 1.66 2.20
06.08.22 Leeds – Wolves 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 2.05 1.85
15.05.22 Leeds – Brighton 1–1 (0–1) 2.623.502.62 1.84 2.06
11.05.22 Leeds – Chelsea 0–3 (0–1) 4.754.201.65 1.61 2.30
30.04.22 Leeds – Man City 0–4 (0–1) 8.506.001.30 1.50 2.62
02.04.22 Leeds – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 2.373.752.75 1.61 2.30

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.22 West Ham – Bournemouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.00 2.01 1.89
15.10.22 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.853.754.00 1.96 1.94
17.09.22 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.407.50 1.87 2.03
03.09.22 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.72
27.08.22 Liverpool – Bournemouth 9–0 (5–0) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
13.08.22 Man City – Bournemouth 4–0 (3–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.33 3.40
30.04.22E1 Blackburn – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 2.873.302.50 1.95 1.90
26.04.22E1 Swansea – Bournemouth 3–3 (2–0) 4.003.501.90 1.95 1.90
18.04.22E1 Coventry – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–2) 3.003.252.45 1.98 1.88
09.04.22E1 Sheffield United – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.77

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 12 10 1 1 30 11 +19 31
2 Man City 12 9 2 1 37 11 +26 29
3 Tottenham 13 8 2 3 26 16 +10 26
4 Newcastle 13 6 6 1 24 10 +14 24
5 Man United 12 7 2 3 17 16 +1 23
6 Chelsea 12 6 3 3 17 15 +2 21
7 Fulham 13 5 4 4 22 22 0 19
8 Brighton 12 5 3 4 19 15 +4 18
9 Liverpool 12 4 4 4 23 15 +8 16
10 Crystal Palace 12 4 4 4 13 16 -3 16
11 Brentford 13 3 6 4 19 22 -3 15
12 Everton 13 3 5 5 11 12 -1 14
13 West Ham 13 4 2 7 11 13 -2 14
14 Bournemouth 13 3 4 6 12 28 -16 13
15 Leeds 12 3 3 6 15 19 -4 12
16 Aston Villa 13 3 3 7 11 20 -9 12
17 Southampton 13 3 3 7 11 20 -9 12
18 Leicester 13 3 2 8 21 25 -4 11
19 Wolves 13 2 4 7 6 19 -13 10
20 Nott'm Forest 13 2 3 8 8 28 -20 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 6 6 0 0 27 6 +21 18
2 Arsenal 6 6 0 0 19 7 +12 18
3 Newcastle 7 4 3 0 16 5 +11 15
4 Tottenham 6 5 0 1 16 6 +10 15
5 Liverpool 7 4 2 1 18 7 +11 14
6 Man United 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 13
7 Crystal Palace 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13
8 Brentford 7 3 3 1 13 7 +6 12
9 Fulham 7 3 3 1 13 11 +2 12
10 Brighton 6 3 2 1 10 4 +6 11
11 Chelsea 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
12 Aston Villa 6 3 1 2 8 5 +3 10
13 West Ham 6 3 1 2 8 6 +2 10
14 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 6 +3 8
15 Leeds 6 2 2 2 8 6 +2 8
16 Everton 6 2 2 2 6 4 +2 8
17 Bournemouth 7 2 2 3 6 8 -2 8
18 Wolves 6 2 2 2 3 8 -5 8
19 Nott'm Forest 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 7
20 Southampton 6 1 3 2 7 8 -1 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
2 Man City 6 3 2 1 10 5 +5 11
3 Tottenham 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11
4 Chelsea 7 3 1 3 7 10 -3 10
5 Man United 6 3 1 2 8 12 -4 10
6 Newcastle 6 2 3 1 8 5 +3 9
7 Brighton 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7
8 Fulham 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7
9 Everton 7 1 3 3 5 8 -3 6
10 Southampton 7 2 0 5 4 12 -8 6
11 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 6 20 -14 5
12 West Ham 7 1 1 5 3 7 -4 4
13 Leeds 6 1 1 4 7 13 -6 4
14 Crystal Palace 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
15 Leicester 6 1 0 5 12 19 -7 3
16 Brentford 6 0 3 3 6 15 -9 3
17 Liverpool 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2
18 Wolves 7 0 2 5 3 11 -8 2
19 Aston Villa 7 0 2 5 3 15 -12 2
20 Nott'm Forest 7 0 2 5 1 19 -18 2

Leeds   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Fulham 13 2 11 1.7 1.7 5 4 4 22 22 19
2 1 Arsenal 12 3 9 2.5 0.9 10 1 1 30 11 31
3 18 Leicester 13 4 9 1.6 1.9 3 2 8 21 25 11
4 2 Man City 12 4 8 3.1 0.9 9 2 1 37 11 29
5 6 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.4 1.2 6 3 3 17 15 21
6 3 Tottenham 13 6 7 2.0 1.2 8 2 3 26 16 26
7 9 Liverpool 12 5 7 1.9 1.2 4 4 4 23 15 16
8 11 Brentford 13 6 7 1.5 1.7 3 6 4 19 22 15
9 14 Bournemouth 13 6 7 0.9 2.2 3 4 6 12 28 13
10 15 Leeds 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 3 3 6 15 19 12
11 4 Newcastle 13 7 6 1.8 0.8 6 6 1 24 10 24
12 5 Man United 12 6 6 1.4 1.3 7 2 3 17 16 23
13 8 Brighton 12 6 6 1.6 1.2 5 3 4 19 15 18
14 10 Crystal Palace 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 4 4 4 13 16 16
15 16 Aston Villa 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 3 3 7 11 20 12
16 17 Southampton 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 3 3 7 11 20 12
17 19 Wolves 13 8 5 0.5 1.5 2 4 7 6 19 10
18 20 Nott'm Forest 13 8 5 0.6 2.2 2 3 8 8 28 9
19 12 Everton 13 9 4 0.8 0.9 3 5 5 11 12 14
20 13 West Ham 13 11 2 0.8 1.0 4 2 7 11 13 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 6 0 6 3.2 1.2 6 0 0 19 7 18
2 2 Man City 6 0 6 4.5 1.0 6 0 0 27 6 18
3 7 Fulham 7 1 6 1.9 1.6 3 3 1 13 11 12
4 3 Tottenham 6 2 4 2.7 1.0 5 0 1 16 6 15
5 6 Chelsea 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
6 9 Liverpool 7 3 4 2.6 1.0 4 2 1 18 7 14
7 10 Crystal Palace 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13
8 4 Newcastle 7 4 3 2.3 0.7 4 3 0 16 5 15
9 5 Man United 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 4 1 1 9 4 13
10 11 Brentford 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 3 3 1 13 7 12
11 14 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.1 2 2 3 6 8 8
12 15 Leeds 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 2 2 2 8 6 8
13 17 Southampton 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 3 2 7 8 6
14 18 Leicester 7 4 3 1.3 0.9 2 2 3 9 6 8
15 8 Brighton 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 3 2 1 10 4 11
16 12 Everton 6 4 2 1.0 0.7 2 2 2 6 4 8
17 16 Aston Villa 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 3 1 2 8 5 10
18 19 Wolves 6 4 2 0.5 1.3 2 2 2 3 8 8
19 20 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 1 3 7 9 7
20 13 West Ham 6 5 1 1.3 1.0 3 1 2 8 6 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Leicester 6 0 6 2.0 3.2 1 0 5 12 19 3
2 7 Fulham 6 1 5 1.5 1.8 2 1 3 9 11 7
3 6 Chelsea 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 3 1 3 7 10 10
4 8 Brighton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 2 1 3 9 11 7
5 11 Brentford 6 2 4 1.0 2.5 0 3 3 6 15 3
6 14 Bournemouth 6 2 4 1.0 3.3 1 2 3 6 20 5
7 15 Leeds 6 2 4 1.2 2.2 1 1 4 7 13 4
8 16 Aston Villa 7 3 4 0.4 2.1 0 2 5 3 15 2
9 1 Arsenal 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
10 3 Tottenham 7 4 3 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11
11 4 Newcastle 6 3 3 1.3 0.8 2 3 1 8 5 9
12 5 Man United 6 3 3 1.3 2.0 3 1 2 8 12 10
13 9 Liverpool 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2
14 17 Southampton 7 4 3 0.6 1.7 2 0 5 4 12 6
15 19 Wolves 7 4 3 0.4 1.6 0 2 5 3 11 2
16 20 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 0.1 2.7 0 2 5 1 19 2
17 2 Man City 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 3 2 1 10 5 11
18 10 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
19 12 Everton 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 1 3 3 5 8 6
20 13 West Ham 7 6 1 0.4 1.0 1 1 5 3 7 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51