Exeter 1–0 Rotherham – England League Two, 3 Oct 2026

Match facts

Exeter Rotherham

16 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 0

2.09 Expected goals (xG) 0.47

8 Corners 2

8 Fouls 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (95 league matches this season so far).

Result Exeter to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.87

Expected goals 1.35 – 0.98

Home / Draw / Away

45% 28% 27%

ExeterDrawRotherham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

59% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

54% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.1% 1–1 12.9% 0–0 9.6%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Exeter before this match, all matches

0.75points / match

0.50scored / match

0.75conceded / match

1 3 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:6

Rotherham before this match, all matches

1.25points / match

1.38scored / match

1.38conceded / match

2 4 2

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:11

Exeter all matches all matches Rotherham

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.38

0.75 Goals conceded 1.38

1.25 Total goals 2.75

0.97 xG created 1.54

1.21 xG allowed 1.08

10.50 Shots 13.13

3.13 Shots on target 4.25

13.13 Shots faced 10.75

4.38 Corners 4.13

4.75 Corners against 4.50

12.13 Fouls 12.50

1.63 Yellow cards 2.00

0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

13% Wins 25%

38% Draws 50%

50% Losses 25%

75% Over 0.5 goals 100%

38% Over 1.5 goals 75%

13% Over 2.5 goals 50%

0% Over 3.5 goals 25%

0% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 13%

25% Both teams scored 75%

38% Clean sheets 13%

63% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 13%

63% Draws 50%

25% Losses 38%

38% Over 0.5 goals 88%

13% Over 1.5 goals 38%

0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter all matches

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

2

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

L

D

1

L

Rotherham all matches

1

D

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

1

W

2

D

1

L

3

D

1

W

1

D

Exeter before this match, at home

1.50points / match

0.75scored / match

0.25conceded / match

1 3

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:1

Rotherham before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.00scored / match

1.25conceded / match

1 1 2

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:5

Exeter at home away Rotherham

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.00

0.25 Goals conceded 1.25

1.00 Total goals 2.25

1.27 xG created 1.49

0.72 xG allowed 0.85

12.50 Shots 12.75

4.00 Shots on target 3.75

10.50 Shots faced 11.75

5.00 Corners 4.75

3.25 Corners against 5.50

14.50 Fouls 10.25

1.50 Yellow cards 2.00

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00

0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%

75% Draws 25%

0% Losses 50%

50% Over 0.5 goals 100%

50% Over 1.5 goals 50%

0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

0% Over 3.5 goals 25%

0% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

25% Both teams scored 50%

75% Clean sheets 25%

50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%

75% Draws 25%

0% Losses 75%

25% Over 0.5 goals 75%

25% Over 1.5 goals 0%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter at home

1

L

4

L

D

3

W

3

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

D

Rotherham away

5

L

3

L

1

L

3

L

2

W

2

3

L

1

2

L

2

D

1

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Exeter all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.09.26	Bristol Rvs – Exeter	1–0 (0–0)	1.68	3.70	4.50	1.83	2.03
19.09.26	Exeter – Tranmere	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.10	2.03	1.83
12.09.26	Port Vale – Exeter	1–0 (0–0)	1.96	3.40	3.60	2.03	1.83
05.09.26	Exeter – Walsall	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.65	1.80	2.00
01.09.26	Exeter – Barnet	1–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.60	1.86	1.67	2.15
29.08.26	York – Exeter	2–1 (1–0)	1.62	3.75	4.75	1.85	1.95
22.08.26	Exeter – Accrington	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	1.95	1.85
15.08.26	Grimsby – Exeter	1–0 (1–0)	1.76	3.60	4.20	1.85	1.95
02.05.26E2	Exeter – Bradford	1–2 (0–1)	3.25	3.60	2.01	1.93	1.93
25.04.26E2	Burton – Exeter	1–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.50	3.70	1.80	2.00

Rotherham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.09.26	Rotherham – Crewe	1–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.60	3.10	1.70	2.10
19.09.26	Northampton – Rotherham	0–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	2.82	2.08	1.73
12.09.26	Rotherham – Salford	3–3 (2–2)	2.75	3.40	2.30	1.75	2.05
05.09.26	Bristol Rvs – Rotherham	1–0 (1–0)	1.66	4.00	4.10	1.60	2.30
01.09.26	Tranmere – Rotherham	2–2 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.20	2.08	1.73
29.08.26	Rotherham – Chesterfield	2–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.25	1.95	1.85
22.08.26	Rotherham – York	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.20	2.70	1.95	1.85
15.08.26	Cheltenham – Rotherham	2–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.30	2.45	1.98	1.88
02.05.26E2	Wycombe – Rotherham	3–2 (2–2)	1.46	4.33	5.75	1.65	2.20
25.04.26E2	Rotherham – Reading	1–1 (1–0)	2.82	3.40	2.25	2.05	1.75

Exeter at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.09.26	Exeter – Tranmere	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.10	2.03	1.83
05.09.26	Exeter – Walsall	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.65	1.80	2.00
01.09.26	Exeter – Barnet	1–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.60	1.86	1.67	2.15
22.08.26	Exeter – Accrington	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	1.95	1.85
02.05.26E2	Exeter – Bradford	1–2 (0–1)	3.25	3.60	2.01	1.93	1.93
18.04.26E2	Exeter – Stockport	3–3 (1–2)	3.40	3.60	1.96	1.67	2.15
06.04.26E2	Exeter – Doncaster	3–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.30	2.25	1.88	1.98
28.03.26E2	Exeter – Leyton Orient	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	2.70	1.85	1.95
14.03.26E2	Exeter – Cardiff	0–4 (0–2)	4.20	3.60	1.76	1.80	2.00
10.03.26E2	Exeter – Lincoln	0–1 (0–1)	4.10	3.60	1.76	2.10	1.70

Rotherham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.09.26	Northampton – Rotherham	0–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	2.82	2.08	1.73
05.09.26	Bristol Rvs – Rotherham	1–0 (1–0)	1.66	4.00	4.10	1.60	2.30
01.09.26	Tranmere – Rotherham	2–2 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.20	2.08	1.73
15.08.26	Cheltenham – Rotherham	2–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.30	2.45	1.98	1.88
02.05.26E2	Wycombe – Rotherham	3–2 (2–2)	1.46	4.33	5.75	1.65	2.20
18.04.26E2	Leyton Orient – Rotherham	0–2 (0–1)	1.62	3.75	4.75	1.93	1.93
14.04.26E2	Wigan – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.71	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.70
07.04.26E2	Port Vale – Rotherham	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	2.70	2.15	1.67
21.03.26E2	Lincoln – Rotherham	3–0 (3–0)	1.35	4.75	7.00	1.70	2.10
17.03.26E2	Peterboro – Rotherham	5–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.60	2.55	1.67	2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 2

Exeter winsDrawsRotherham wins

4matches

2.00goals / match

25%over 2.5

25%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.01.26E2	Exeter – Rotherham	0–4 (0–1)	1.86	3.50	3.90	2.10	1.70
06.09.25E2	Rotherham – Exeter	1–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.75
15.03.25E2	Rotherham – Exeter	1–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.75	4.75	2.03	1.83
10.08.24E2	Exeter – Rotherham	1–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.25	1.98	1.88

England League Two table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Cheltenham	8	4	3	1	16	12	+4	15
3	Bristol Rvs	8	5	0	3	13	11	+2	15
4	York	8	4	2	2	16	10	+6	14
5	Walsall	8	3	5	0	11	5	+6	14
6	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Grimsby	8	3	4	1	12	8	+4	13
8	Salford	8	4	1	3	12	10	+2	13
9	Gillingham	8	3	3	2	11	9	+2	12
10	Crewe	8	2	6	0	8	6	+2	12
11	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	12	12	0	11
12	Swindon	8	3	2	3	9	12	-3	11
13	Rotherham	8	2	4	2	11	11	0	10
14	Fleetwood Town	8	2	4	2	9	9	0	10
15	Colchester	8	2	4	2	10	12	-2	10
16	Rochdale	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10
17	Newport County	8	2	3	3	12	12	0	9
18	Shrewsbury	8	2	2	4	7	13	-6	8
19	Accrington	8	1	4	3	11	14	-3	7
20	Oldham	8	2	1	5	9	13	-4	7
21	Exeter	8	1	3	4	4	6	-2	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4

Promotion to League One
Promotion play-offs
Relegation to National League

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	York	4	4	0	0	12	3	+9	12
2	Bristol Rvs	4	4	0	0	9	3	+6	12
3	Barnet	4	3	1	0	10	5	+5	10
4	Swindon	4	3	1	0	9	4	+5	10
5	Grimsby	4	3	1	0	7	2	+5	10
6	Cheltenham	4	3	1	0	9	6	+3	10
7	Salford	4	3	0	1	4	2	+2	9
8	Newport County	4	2	2	0	8	4	+4	8
9	Tranmere	4	2	2	0	7	3	+4	8
10	Chesterfield	5	2	2	1	10	7	+3	8
11	Walsall	4	2	2	0	5	2	+3	8
12	Colchester	4	2	2	0	5	3	+2	8
13	Gillingham	4	2	1	1	6	4	+2	7
14	Shrewsbury	4	2	1	1	6	5	+1	7
15	Exeter	4	1	3	0	3	1	+2	6
16	Accrington	4	1	3	0	7	6	+1	6
17	Oldham	4	2	0	2	7	6	+1	6
18	Rochdale	4	2	0	2	7	6	+1	6
19	Rotherham	4	1	3	0	7	6	+1	6
20	Crewe	4	1	3	0	5	4	+1	6
21	Fleetwood Town	4	1	2	1	4	3	+1	5
22	Port Vale	3	1	2	0	2	1	+1	5
23	Northampton	4	1	2	1	2	2	0	5
24	Crawley Town	3	0	0	3	1	6	-5	0

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	4	1	3	0	6	3	+3	6
2	Crewe	4	1	3	0	3	2	+1	6
3	Chesterfield	4	2	0	2	5	5	0	6
4	Barnet	3	1	2	0	7	5	+2	5
5	Cheltenham	4	1	2	1	7	6	+1	5
6	Gillingham	4	1	2	1	5	5	0	5
7	Fleetwood Town	4	1	2	1	5	6	-1	5
8	Salford	4	1	1	2	8	8	0	4
9	Rotherham	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4
10	Crawley Town	4	1	1	2	5	7	-2	4
11	Rochdale	4	1	1	2	2	5	-3	4
12	Grimsby	4	0	3	1	5	6	-1	3
13	Tranmere	5	0	3	2	5	9	-4	3
14	Bristol Rvs	4	1	0	3	4	8	-4	3
15	York	4	0	2	2	4	7	-3	2
16	Colchester	4	0	2	2	5	9	-4	2
17	Northampton	3	0	1	2	1	4	-3	1
18	Accrington	4	0	1	3	4	8	-4	1
19	Newport County	4	0	1	3	4	8	-4	1
20	Oldham	4	0	1	3	2	7	-5	1
21	Shrewsbury	4	0	1	3	1	8	-7	1
22	Swindon	4	0	1	3	0	8	-8	1
23	Exeter	4	0	0	4	1	5	-4	0
24	Port Vale	4	0	0	4	1	8	-7	0

Exeter Rotherham

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Cheltenham	8	1	7	2.0	1.5	4	3	1	16	12	15
2	1	Barnet	7	1	6	2.4	1.4	4	3	0	17	10	15
3	4	York	8	3	5	2.0	1.2	4	2	2	16	10	14
4	6	Chesterfield	9	4	5	1.7	1.3	4	2	3	15	12	14
5	12	Swindon	8	3	5	1.1	1.5	3	2	3	9	12	11
6	16	Rochdale	8	3	5	1.1	1.4	3	1	4	9	11	10
7	17	Newport County	8	3	5	1.5	1.5	2	3	3	12	12	9
8	19	Accrington	8	3	5	1.4	1.8	1	4	3	11	14	7
9	7	Grimsby	8	4	4	1.5	1.0	3	4	1	12	8	13
10	8	Salford	8	4	4	1.5	1.2	4	1	3	12	10	13
11	9	Gillingham	8	4	4	1.4	1.1	3	3	2	11	9	12
12	13	Rotherham	8	4	4	1.4	1.4	2	4	2	11	11	10
13	15	Colchester	8	4	4	1.2	1.5	2	4	2	10	12	10
14	20	Oldham	8	4	4	1.1	1.6	2	1	5	9	13	7
15	3	Bristol Rvs	8	5	3	1.6	1.4	5	0	3	13	11	15
16	5	Walsall	8	5	3	1.4	0.6	3	5	0	11	5	14
17	11	Tranmere	9	6	3	1.3	1.3	2	5	2	12	12	11
18	14	Fleetwood Town	8	5	3	1.1	1.1	2	4	2	9	9	10
19	18	Shrewsbury	8	5	3	0.9	1.6	2	2	4	7	13	8
20	24	Crawley Town	7	4	3	0.9	1.9	1	1	5	6	13	4
21	10	Crewe	8	7	1	1.0	0.8	2	6	0	8	6	12
22	21	Exeter	8	7	1	0.5	0.8	1	3	4	4	6	6
23	23	Port Vale	7	6	1	0.4	1.3	1	2	4	3	9	5
24	22	Northampton	7	7	0	0.4	0.9	1	3	3	3	6	6

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Barnet	4	0	4	2.5	1.2	3	1	0	10	5	10
2	2	Cheltenham	4	0	4	2.2	1.5	3	1	0	9	6	10
3	4	York	4	0	4	3.0	0.8	4	0	0	12	3	12
4	12	Swindon	4	1	3	2.2	1.0	3	1	0	9	4	10
5	16	Rochdale	4	1	3	1.8	1.5	2	0	2	7	6	6
6	17	Newport County	4	1	3	2.0	1.0	2	2	0	8	4	8
7	19	Accrington	4	1	3	1.8	1.5	1	3	0	7	6	6
8	20	Oldham	4	1	3	1.8	1.5	2	0	2	7	6	6
9	6	Chesterfield	5	3	2	2.0	1.4	2	2	1	10	7	8
10	9	Gillingham	4	2	2	1.5	1.0	2	1	1	6	4	7
11	13	Rotherham	4	2	2	1.8	1.5	1	3	0	7	6	6
12	18	Shrewsbury	4	2	2	1.5	1.2	2	1	1	6	5	7
13	3	Bristol Rvs	4	3	1	2.2	0.8	4	0	0	9	3	12
14	5	Walsall	4	3	1	1.2	0.5	2	2	0	5	2	8
15	7	Grimsby	4	3	1	1.8	0.5	3	1	0	7	2	10
16	8	Salford	4	3	1	1.0	0.5	3	0	1	4	2	9
17	10	Crewe	4	3	1	1.2	1.0	1	3	0	5	4	6
18	11	Tranmere	4	3	1	1.8	0.8	2	2	0	7	3	8
19	14	Fleetwood Town	4	3	1	1.0	0.8	1	2	1	4	3	5
20	15	Colchester	4	3	1	1.2	0.8	2	2	0	5	3	8
21	24	Crawley Town	3	2	1	0.3	2.0	0	0	3	1	6	0
22	21	Exeter	4	4	0	0.8	0.2	1	3	0	3	1	6
23	22	Northampton	4	4	0	0.5	0.5	1	2	1	2	2	5
24	23	Port Vale	3	3	0	0.7	0.3	1	2	0	2	1	5

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Cheltenham	4	1	3	1.8	1.5	1	2	1	7	6	5
2	6	Chesterfield	4	1	3	1.2	1.2	2	0	2	5	5	6
3	7	Grimsby	4	1	3	1.2	1.5	0	3	1	5	6	3
4	8	Salford	4	1	3	2.0	2.0	1	1	2	8	8	4
5	15	Colchester	4	1	3	1.2	2.2	0	2	2	5	9	2
6	1	Barnet	3	1	2	2.3	1.7	1	2	0	7	5	5
7	3	Bristol Rvs	4	2	2	1.0	2.0	1	0	3	4	8	3
8	5	Walsall	4	2	2	1.5	0.8	1	3	0	6	3	6
9	9	Gillingham	4	2	2	1.2	1.2	1	2	1	5	5	5
10	11	Tranmere	5	3	2	1.0	1.8	0	3	2	5	9	3
11	12	Swindon	4	2	2	0.0	2.0	0	1	3	0	8	1
12	13	Rotherham	4	2	2	1.0	1.2	1	1	2	4	5	4
13	14	Fleetwood Town	4	2	2	1.2	1.5	1	2	1	5	6	5
14	16	Rochdale	4	2	2	0.5	1.2	1	1	2	2	5	4
15	17	Newport County	4	2	2	1.0	2.0	0	1	3	4	8	1
16	19	Accrington	4	2	2	1.0	2.0	0	1	3	4	8	1
17	24	Crawley Town	4	2	2	1.2	1.8	1	1	2	5	7	4
18	4	York	4	3	1	1.0	1.8	0	2	2	4	7	2
19	18	Shrewsbury	4	3	1	0.2	2.0	0	1	3	1	8	1
20	20	Oldham	4	3	1	0.5	1.8	0	1	3	2	7	1
21	21	Exeter	4	3	1	0.2	1.2	0	0	4	1	5	0
22	23	Port Vale	4	3	1	0.2	2.0	0	0	4	1	8	0
23	10	Crewe	4	4	0	0.8	0.5	1	3	0	3	2	6
24	22	Northampton	3	3	0	0.3	1.3	0	1	2	1	4	1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.