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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: S Simpson

Newport County 5–3 Morecambe

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.16
Draw 3.50 fair 4.41
Away 3.10 fair 3.23
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.76
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newport County Morecambe
19 Shots 23
9 Shots on target 7
8 Corners 5
12 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (432 league matches this season so far).
Result Newport County to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.83 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Newport County before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.42scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 51:55
Morecambe before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.47scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 53:57
Newport County all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.47
1.53 Goals conceded 1.58
2.94 Total goals 3.06
11.33 Shots 10.75
3.61 Shots on target 3.92
14.00 Shots faced 14.50
4.69 Corners 5.11
5.42 Corners against 5.42
10.78 Fouls 11.06
1.67 Yellow cards 2.42
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

39% Wins 42%
19% Draws 25%
42% Losses 33%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
83% Over 1.5 goals 81%
61% Over 2.5 goals 64%
28% Over 3.5 goals 39%
17% Over 4.5 goals 22%
8% Over 5.5 goals 3%
56% Both teams scored 61%
22% Clean sheets 19%
25% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 25%
42% Draws 36%
31% Losses 39%
69% Over 0.5 goals 78%
47% Over 1.5 goals 36%
19% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County all matches
Morecambe all matches
Newport County before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 30:24
Morecambe before this match, away
1.44points / match
1.61scored / match
2.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 29:38
Newport County at home away Morecambe

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.61
1.33 Goals conceded 2.11
3.00 Total goals 3.72
11.83 Shots 9.94
3.61 Shots on target 3.89
13.39 Shots faced 15.33
5.06 Corners 4.67
5.39 Corners against 5.50
10.33 Fouls 11.11
1.78 Yellow cards 2.44
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.11

How often Full Time

44% Wins 44%
33% Draws 11%
22% Losses 44%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 94%
61% Over 2.5 goals 83%
39% Over 3.5 goals 50%
17% Over 4.5 goals 39%
11% Over 5.5 goals 6%
72% Both teams scored 61%
22% Clean sheets 6%
11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 33%
44% Draws 11%
28% Losses 56%
61% Over 0.5 goals 94%
39% Over 1.5 goals 50%
22% Over 2.5 goals 28%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newport County at home
Morecambe away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newport County all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Stockport – Newport County 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.755.75 1.70 2.10
02.03.24 Newport County – Mansfield 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.73 2.08
27.02.24 Harrogate – Newport County 1–4 (0–2) 2.553.302.80 1.98 1.88
24.02.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Newport County 3–0 (3–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
17.02.24 Newport County – Gillingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 2.08 1.73
13.02.24 Newport County – Notts County 1–3 (0–2) 2.553.802.45 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Walsall – Newport County 0–3 (0–3) 1.913.603.80 1.88 1.98
03.02.24 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.753.50 1.65 2.20
20.01.24 Newport County – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 3.903.901.85 1.73 2.08
13.01.24 Doncaster – Newport County 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.75 2.05

Morecambe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Morecambe – Wrexham 1–3 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.08
05.03.24 Morecambe – Crawley Town 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.80 2.00
02.03.24 Crewe – Morecambe 2–3 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.83 2.03
24.02.24 Morecambe – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.80 2.00
20.02.24 Walsall – Morecambe 3–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 1.95 1.90
17.02.24 AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe 1–1 (0–0) 1.604.505.00 1.75 2.05
13.02.24 Tranmere – Morecambe 2–3 (2–1) 1.953.603.75 1.83 2.03
10.02.24 Morecambe – Sutton 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 2.00 1.85
03.02.24 Crawley Town – Morecambe 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.753.30 1.70 2.10
27.01.24 Morecambe – Colchester 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.75 2.05

Newport County at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Newport County – Mansfield 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.73 2.08
17.02.24 Newport County – Gillingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 2.08 1.73
13.02.24 Newport County – Notts County 1–3 (0–2) 2.553.802.45 1.57 2.35
03.02.24 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.753.50 1.65 2.20
20.01.24 Newport County – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 3.903.901.85 1.73 2.08
29.12.23 Newport County – Crewe 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.23 Newport County – Forest Green 4–2 (0–2) 2.053.603.50 1.83 2.03
16.12.23 Newport County – Grimsby 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.95 1.90
25.11.23 Newport County – Stockport 2–1 (1–0) 5.003.751.67 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Newport County – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.25 1.73 2.08

Morecambe away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Crewe – Morecambe 2–3 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.83 2.03
20.02.24 Walsall – Morecambe 3–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 1.95 1.90
17.02.24 AFC Wimbledon – Morecambe 1–1 (0–0) 1.604.505.00 1.75 2.05
13.02.24 Tranmere – Morecambe 2–3 (2–1) 1.953.603.75 1.83 2.03
03.02.24 Crawley Town – Morecambe 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.753.30 1.70 2.10
20.01.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe 1–2 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.60 2.30
29.12.23 Notts County – Morecambe 5–0 (4–0) 1.574.005.75 1.60 2.30
26.12.23 Bradford – Morecambe 2–2 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.98 1.88
16.12.23 Doncaster – Morecambe 0–5 (0–2) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
25.11.23 Wrexham – Morecambe 6–0 (3–0) 1.404.758.00 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newport County winsDrawsMorecambe wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23E3 Morecambe – Newport County 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 1.85 1.95

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Mansfield 36 19 12 5 72 33 +39 69 WLWWLW
2 Stockport 35 19 9 7 67 37 +30 66 WLLDDW
3 Wrexham 36 19 9 8 67 46 +21 66 WDLDWW
4 Milton Keynes Dons 37 19 7 11 60 47 +13 64 WDWLWW
5 Crewe 36 17 10 9 64 51 +13 61 WWDWLL
6 Barrow 35 16 11 8 51 39 +12 59 WLLLWW
7 Gillingham 37 16 7 14 35 42 -7 55 LDWWLD
8 AFC Wimbledon 37 14 12 11 50 39 +11 54 DLLWDW
9 Walsall 36 15 9 12 55 50 +5 54 WWWWWL
10 Morecambe 36 15 9 12 53 57 -4 54 DLDWWL
11 Crawley Town 35 16 4 15 51 51 0 52 DWWWLW
12 Bradford 35 13 11 11 45 40 +5 50 DWWWDW
13 Newport County 36 14 7 15 51 55 -4 49 LWLWLL
14 Harrogate 36 14 7 15 43 55 -12 49 LDLLDL
15 Notts County 35 14 5 16 69 68 +1 47 LWLLLL
16 Accrington 36 13 7 16 47 51 -4 46 WDLLLL
17 Tranmere 37 13 5 19 55 53 +2 44 LWLLWD
18 Swindon 37 11 11 15 63 66 -3 44 DLDWDL
19 Doncaster 36 12 7 17 47 61 -14 43 DWWLDW
20 Salford 37 10 10 17 53 69 -16 40 DWLDLL
21 Grimsby 35 7 14 14 46 61 -15 35 LLDWDD
22 Colchester 35 8 8 19 45 64 -19 32 DLDDDL
23 Forest Green 36 7 9 20 36 62 -26 30 WLWDLW
24 Sutton 37 5 12 20 41 69 -28 27 LLDWLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Wrexham 17 13 2 2 48 22 +26 41 WWWLWW
2 Milton Keynes Dons 19 12 4 3 35 18 +17 40 WWWDWW
3 Stockport 19 11 5 3 36 15 +21 38 LWDLDW
4 Mansfield 18 10 6 2 36 15 +21 36 DWWWLW
5 Walsall 18 10 5 3 27 16 +11 35 DLWWWW
6 Crewe 18 10 4 4 33 25 +8 34 WWLWDL
7 Barrow 17 9 6 2 22 13 +9 33 WLWLWW
8 Tranmere 18 10 2 6 36 22 +14 32 WLDLWW
9 Swindon 18 9 4 5 35 24 +11 31 DWDLWD
10 Notts County 18 10 1 7 41 32 +9 31 WDLLLL
11 Newport County 18 8 6 4 30 24 +6 30 DWWLWL
12 Accrington 19 9 3 7 27 22 +5 30 WLDWLL
13 Gillingham 19 8 6 5 19 20 -1 30 DDDDWD
14 AFC Wimbledon 18 8 5 5 32 21 +11 29 WWDLWD
15 Doncaster 18 9 2 7 25 27 -2 29 WLLWWW
16 Crawley Town 17 9 1 7 29 22 +7 28 LWLLDW
17 Morecambe 18 7 7 4 24 19 +5 28 DLWDWL
18 Bradford 17 6 8 3 21 17 +4 26 LDDWWD
19 Grimsby 18 6 4 8 28 37 -9 22 LDLLLW
20 Harrogate 18 6 2 10 21 29 -8 20 LWWLLL
21 Salford 18 4 6 8 28 37 -9 18 DWDWDL
22 Sutton 19 3 8 8 24 27 -3 17 DLDLDD
23 Colchester 16 4 5 7 25 30 -5 17 LWLDDD
24 Forest Green 19 4 4 11 18 32 -14 16 LLLWDW
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Mansfield 18 9 6 3 36 18 +18 33 WDLWLW
2 Harrogate 18 8 5 5 22 26 -4 29 WWDLDD
3 Stockport 16 8 4 4 31 22 +9 28 DDWWLD
4 Crewe 18 7 6 5 31 26 +5 27 WWDWWL
5 Barrow 18 7 5 6 29 26 +3 26 WLDDLL
6 Morecambe 18 8 2 8 29 38 -9 26 WWWDLW
7 AFC Wimbledon 19 6 7 6 18 18 0 25 LLDLLW
8 Wrexham 19 6 7 6 19 24 -5 25 LWDLDW
9 Gillingham 18 8 1 9 16 22 -6 25 WLWLWL
10 Bradford 18 7 3 8 24 23 +1 24 WLDLWW
11 Milton Keynes Dons 18 7 3 8 25 29 -4 24 WLLWLW
12 Crawley Town 18 7 3 8 22 29 -7 24 WLWWLW
13 Salford 19 6 4 9 25 32 -7 22 WDWDLL
14 Walsall 18 5 4 9 28 34 -6 19 WLDDWL
15 Newport County 18 6 1 11 21 31 -10 19 DWWLWL
16 Notts County 17 4 4 9 28 36 -8 16 LLDLWL
17 Accrington 17 4 4 9 20 29 -9 16 DWLDLL
18 Colchester 19 4 3 12 20 34 -14 15 DWLDDL
19 Doncaster 18 3 5 10 22 34 -12 14 LDDWLD
20 Forest Green 17 3 5 9 18 30 -12 14 DDDWLL
21 Grimsby 17 1 10 6 18 24 -6 13 LWDDDD
22 Swindon 19 2 7 10 28 42 -14 13 LLLDDL
23 Tranmere 19 3 3 13 19 31 -12 12 LWLLLD
24 Sutton 18 2 4 12 17 42 -25 10 DDLLWL

Newport County   Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 Swindon 37 11 26 1.7 1.8 11 11 15 63 66 44 OOUOUO
2 15 Notts County 35 10 25 2.0 1.9 14 5 16 69 68 47 OOUOOU
3 4 Milton Keynes Dons 37 14 23 1.6 1.3 19 7 11 60 47 64 OUOUOO
4 10 Morecambe 36 13 23 1.5 1.6 15 9 12 53 57 54 UOUOUO
5 19 Doncaster 36 13 23 1.3 1.7 12 7 17 47 61 43 OOUOUU
6 20 Salford 37 14 23 1.4 1.9 10 10 17 53 69 40 OOOUUO
7 13 Newport County 36 14 22 1.4 1.5 14 7 15 51 55 49 OUOOUU
8 17 Tranmere 37 15 22 1.5 1.4 13 5 19 55 53 44 OOUOUU
9 5 Crewe 36 15 21 1.8 1.4 17 10 9 64 51 61 UOUOOU
10 9 Walsall 36 15 21 1.5 1.4 15 9 12 55 50 54 OOUOOU
11 16 Accrington 36 16 20 1.3 1.4 13 7 16 47 51 46 UUUOOO
12 1 Mansfield 36 17 19 2.0 0.9 19 12 5 72 33 69 OOOUOO
13 2 Stockport 35 16 19 1.9 1.1 19 9 7 67 37 66 OOOUUU
14 11 Crawley Town 35 16 19 1.5 1.5 16 4 15 51 51 52 UUUUUO
15 22 Colchester 35 16 19 1.3 1.8 8 8 19 45 64 32 OUUUUU
16 3 Wrexham 36 18 18 1.9 1.3 19 9 8 67 46 66 UUUUOO
17 14 Harrogate 36 18 18 1.2 1.5 14 7 15 43 55 49 OUUOUO
18 21 Grimsby 35 17 18 1.3 1.7 7 14 14 46 61 35 OOUUUU
19 23 Forest Green 36 18 18 1.0 1.7 7 9 20 36 62 30 OUUUUU
20 24 Sutton 37 20 17 1.1 1.9 5 12 20 41 69 27 OUUOUU
21 6 Barrow 35 20 15 1.5 1.1 16 11 8 51 39 59 UUOOUU
22 12 Bradford 35 20 15 1.3 1.1 13 11 11 45 40 50 UUOUUO
23 8 AFC Wimbledon 37 23 14 1.4 1.1 14 12 11 50 39 54 UUUUUU
24 7 Gillingham 37 25 12 0.9 1.1 16 7 14 35 42 55 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 15 Notts County 18 3 15 2.3 1.8 10 1 7 41 32 31 OUOOOU
2 17 Tranmere 18 4 14 2.0 1.2 10 2 6 36 22 32 OOUOOU
3 20 Salford 18 5 13 1.6 2.1 4 6 8 28 37 18 OOOOUU
4 3 Wrexham 17 5 12 2.8 1.3 13 2 2 48 22 41 UOUUUO
5 4 Milton Keynes Dons 19 8 11 1.8 0.9 12 4 3 35 18 40 OOOUOO
6 5 Crewe 18 7 11 1.8 1.4 10 4 4 33 25 34 UOOUUO
7 11 Crawley Town 17 6 11 1.7 1.3 9 1 7 29 22 28 OOUOUU
8 13 Newport County 18 7 11 1.7 1.3 8 6 4 30 24 30 UUOOUU
9 16 Accrington 19 8 11 1.4 1.2 9 3 7 27 22 30 OOUUUO
10 18 Swindon 18 7 11 1.9 1.3 9 4 5 35 24 31 OUUOOU
11 19 Doncaster 18 7 11 1.4 1.5 9 2 7 25 27 29 OUOOUU
12 21 Grimsby 18 7 11 1.6 2.1 6 4 8 28 37 22 OOOOOU
13 23 Forest Green 19 9 10 0.9 1.7 4 4 11 18 32 16 UUOUUU
14 9 Walsall 18 9 9 1.5 0.9 10 5 3 27 16 35 UOOOOO
15 14 Harrogate 18 9 9 1.2 1.6 6 2 10 21 29 20 UOUUOO
16 22 Colchester 16 7 9 1.6 1.9 4 5 7 25 30 17 OOUUOU
17 1 Mansfield 18 10 8 2.0 0.8 10 6 2 36 15 36 UUOOOO
18 8 AFC Wimbledon 18 10 8 1.8 1.2 8 5 5 32 21 29 OUUUUU
19 10 Morecambe 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 7 7 4 24 19 28 UUUUUO
20 24 Sutton 19 11 8 1.3 1.4 3 8 8 24 27 17 OOUOUU
21 2 Stockport 19 12 7 1.9 0.8 11 5 3 36 15 38 UOUOUU
22 7 Gillingham 19 13 6 1.0 1.1 8 6 5 19 20 30 UUOUUU
23 12 Bradford 17 11 6 1.2 1.0 6 8 3 21 17 26 OUUOUU
24 6 Barrow 17 12 5 1.3 0.8 9 6 2 22 13 33 UOUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 10 Morecambe 18 3 15 1.6 2.1 8 2 8 29 38 26 OOOUOO
2 18 Swindon 19 4 15 1.5 2.2 2 7 10 28 42 13 OOOOUO
3 2 Stockport 16 4 12 1.9 1.4 8 4 4 31 22 28 OUOOOU
4 4 Milton Keynes Dons 18 6 12 1.4 1.6 7 3 8 25 29 24 OUOOUO
5 9 Walsall 18 6 12 1.6 1.9 5 4 9 28 34 19 OOUUUU
6 19 Doncaster 18 6 12 1.2 1.9 3 5 10 22 34 14 OUOOOU
7 1 Mansfield 18 7 11 2.0 1.0 9 6 3 36 18 33 UUOOOU
8 13 Newport County 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 6 1 11 21 31 19 UUOOOU
9 5 Crewe 18 8 10 1.7 1.4 7 6 5 31 26 27 UOUOOU
10 6 Barrow 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 7 5 6 29 26 26 OOOUUO
11 15 Notts County 17 7 10 1.6 2.1 4 4 9 28 36 16 OOOUOU
12 20 Salford 19 9 10 1.3 1.7 6 4 9 25 32 22 UUOUOO
13 22 Colchester 19 9 10 1.1 1.8 4 3 12 20 34 15 OUUUUU
14 12 Bradford 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 7 3 8 24 23 24 OUUUUO
15 14 Harrogate 18 9 9 1.2 1.4 8 5 5 22 26 29 UOUOUU
16 16 Accrington 17 8 9 1.2 1.7 4 4 9 20 29 16 UUOUOO
17 24 Sutton 18 9 9 0.9 2.3 2 4 12 17 42 10 UUUUOU
18 11 Crawley Town 18 10 8 1.2 1.6 7 3 8 22 29 24 OUUUUO
19 17 Tranmere 19 11 8 1.0 1.6 3 3 13 19 31 12 UOOUOU
20 23 Forest Green 17 9 8 1.1 1.8 3 5 9 18 30 14 OUOOUU
21 21 Grimsby 17 10 7 1.1 1.4 1 10 6 18 24 13 UOUUUU
22 3 Wrexham 19 13 6 1.0 1.3 6 7 6 19 24 25 OOUUUO
23 7 Gillingham 18 12 6 0.9 1.2 8 1 9 16 22 25 OOOUUU
24 8 AFC Wimbledon 19 13 6 0.9 0.9 6 7 6 18 18 25 UOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11