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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Corlett

Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 Reading

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 2.65 fair 2.65
Draw 3.50 fair 3.99
Away ✓ 2.40 fair 2.69
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Reading
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
0.77 Expected goals (xG) 3.64
2 Corners 5
13 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (92 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawReading
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 2–1 8.4% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
1.14scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:10
Reading before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
2.13scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 17:10
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Reading

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 2.13
1.43 Goals conceded 1.25
2.57 Total goals 3.38
1.47 xG created 1.85
1.58 xG allowed 1.00
14.43 Shots 17.00
3.29 Shots on target 5.25
16.43 Shots faced 11.00
5.43 Corners 5.75
6.43 Corners against 4.00
12.43 Fouls 12.13
1.57 Yellow cards 1.63
0.43 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

0% Wins 38%
86% Draws 38%
14% Losses 25%
71% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 88%
43% Over 2.5 goals 63%
43% Over 3.5 goals 50%
14% Over 4.5 goals 25%
14% Over 5.5 goals 13%
71% Both teams scored 63%
29% Clean sheets 38%
29% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 50%
29% Draws 38%
43% Losses 13%
71% Over 0.5 goals 63%
29% Over 1.5 goals 25%
14% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Reading all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:2
Reading before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:4
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Reading

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.00
0.67 Goals conceded 1.33
1.33 Total goals 2.33
1.01 xG created 1.19
1.80 xG allowed 1.01
12.00 Shots 17.33
2.00 Shots on target 4.67
19.67 Shots faced 10.67
4.33 Corners 5.67
7.33 Corners against 6.33
8.67 Fouls 13.67
1.00 Yellow cards 2.33
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 67%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 67%
33% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 33%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Reading away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.26 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 1.85 1.95
12.09.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 1.963.753.30 1.53 2.40
05.09.26 Wycombe – Milton Keynes Dons 3–3 (2–0) 2.253.402.82 1.75 2.05
02.09.26 Wigan – Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.252.85 2.03 1.83
29.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.35 1.75 2.05
22.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 2.573.302.50 1.90 1.95
15.08.26 Oxford – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.303.30 2.10 1.70
02.05.26E3 Fleetwood Town – Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.801.79 1.93 1.93
25.04.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 3–0 (2–0) 1.374.507.50 1.73 2.08
18.04.26E3 Crewe – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (0–2) 3.603.401.96 1.85 1.95

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.26 Reading – Bradford 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.10 2.00 1.85
26.09.26 Wycombe – Reading 2–2 (0–0) 2.453.602.50 1.67 2.15
19.09.26 Reading – Notts County 2–0 (0–0) 1.763.704.00 1.83 2.03
12.09.26 Cambridge – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.102.65 2.00 1.85
05.09.26 Reading – Blackpool 3–1 (1–0) 1.913.403.75 1.75 2.05
02.09.26 Reading – Mansfield 5–0 (3–0) 1.963.503.40 1.75 2.05
22.08.26 AFC Wimbledon – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.57 2.05 1.75
15.08.26 Reading – Luton 3–4 (3–1) 3.303.402.05 1.93 1.93
02.05.26 Reading – Blackpool 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.00 1.85 2.00
25.04.26 Rotherham – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 2.823.402.25 2.05 1.75

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Peterboro 1–1 (1–0) 1.963.753.30 1.53 2.40
29.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.35 1.75 2.05
22.08.26 Milton Keynes Dons – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 2.573.302.50 1.90 1.95
25.04.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Tranmere 3–0 (2–0) 1.374.507.50 1.73 2.08
11.04.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Bromley 2–1 (2–0) 1.713.504.75 1.90 1.90
03.04.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Barrow 0–0 (0–0) 1.374.507.50 1.70 2.10
21.03.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Barnet 1–3 (1–1) 1.863.403.90 1.90 1.95
18.03.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Colchester 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.604.75 2.08 1.73
07.03.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Harrogate 4–1 (2–1) 1.334.508.00 1.67 2.15
17.02.26E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Crawley Town 0–0 (0–0) 1.534.005.25 1.70 2.10

Reading away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.09.26 Wycombe – Reading 2–2 (0–0) 2.453.602.50 1.67 2.15
12.09.26 Cambridge – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.102.65 2.00 1.85
22.08.26 AFC Wimbledon – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.57 2.05 1.75
25.04.26 Rotherham – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 2.823.402.25 2.05 1.75
11.04.26 Doncaster – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.703.60 1.85 2.00
03.04.26 Huddersfield – Reading 1–1 (0–1) 1.713.604.50 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Stevenage – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.204.20 2.35 1.57
17.03.26 Burton – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.98 1.88
10.03.26 Mansfield – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.10 1.85 1.95
07.03.26 Luton – Reading 2–3 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18 12 +6 19
2 Bradford 8 5 1 2 8 5 +3 16
3 Huddersfield 8 4 3 1 14 7 +7 15
4 Oxford 7 4 2 1 15 8 +7 14
5 Sheffield Weds 7 4 2 1 13 6 +7 14
6 Stockport 8 4 1 3 17 10 +7 13
7 Cambridge 8 3 4 1 13 11 +2 13
8 Reading 8 3 3 2 17 10 +7 12
9 Burton 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
10 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7 10 -3 12
11 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 13 11 +2 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13 16 -3 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11 8 +3 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13 13 0 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12 14 -2 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7 12 -5 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8 18 -10 8
20 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8 11 -3 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8 9 -1 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8 10 -2 6
23 Peterboro 8 1 2 5 4 13 -9 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5 12 -7 4
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Reading 5 3 1 1 14 6 +8 10
2 Plymouth 5 3 0 2 8 5 +3 9
3 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 2 0 2 0 +2 8
4 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
5 Mansfield 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
6 Cambridge 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
7 Stockport 4 2 0 2 10 7 +3 6
8 Bradford 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
9 Burton 5 1 3 1 10 9 +1 6
10 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 7 3 +4 5
11 Oxford 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
12 Blackpool 4 1 2 1 9 7 +2 5
13 Luton 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
14 Stevenage 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
15 Notts County 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
16 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
17 Barnsley 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
18 Bromley 4 1 1 2 3 9 -6 4
19 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
20 Wycombe 4 0 3 1 7 8 -1 3
21 Leicester 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
22 Leyton Orient 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3
23 Wigan 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
24 Doncaster 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 10 7 +3 10
2 Bradford 5 3 1 1 4 3 +1 10
3 Oxford 4 3 0 1 9 5 +4 9
4 Sheffield Weds 3 3 0 0 6 3 +3 9
5 Huddersfield 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
6 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 0 8 1 +7 7
7 Stockport 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
8 Wycombe 4 2 1 1 6 8 -2 7
9 Cambridge 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
10 Leicester 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
11 Burton 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6
12 Stevenage 4 1 2 1 6 3 +3 5
13 Doncaster 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
14 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
15 Bromley 3 1 1 1 5 9 -4 4
16 AFC Wimbledon 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
17 Milton Keynes Dons 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
18 Blackpool 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
19 Notts County 4 0 3 1 4 6 -2 3
20 Luton 3 1 0 2 7 10 -3 3
21 Reading 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 Wigan 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
23 Mansfield 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1
24 Peterboro 4 0 1 3 1 8 -7 1

Milton Keynes Dons   Reading

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Burton 9 2 7 1.6 1.7 3 3 3 14 15 12
2 4 Oxford 7 1 6 2.1 1.1 4 2 1 15 8 14
3 15 Blackpool 7 1 6 1.9 1.9 2 2 3 13 13 8
4 1 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.8 1.2 6 1 3 18 12 19
5 3 Huddersfield 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 3 1 14 7 15
6 6 Stockport 8 3 5 2.1 1.2 4 1 3 17 10 13
7 7 Cambridge 8 3 5 1.6 1.4 3 4 1 13 11 13
8 8 Reading 8 3 5 2.1 1.2 3 3 2 17 10 12
9 12 Wycombe 8 3 5 1.6 2.0 2 4 2 13 16 10
10 17 Mansfield 7 2 5 1.4 1.9 2 2 3 10 13 8
11 5 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 4 2 1 13 6 14
12 11 Leyton Orient 8 4 4 1.6 1.4 3 1 4 13 11 10
13 13 Stevenage 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 2 3 2 11 8 9
14 16 Luton 7 3 4 1.7 2.0 2 2 3 12 14 8
15 18 Barnsley 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 3 7 12 8
16 19 Bromley 7 3 4 1.1 2.6 2 2 3 8 18 8
17 10 AFC Wimbledon 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 3 3 3 7 10 12
18 14 Leicester 7 4 3 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
19 20 Notts County 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 1 4 3 8 11 7
20 21 Doncaster 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 1 3 3 8 9 6
21 22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 0 6 1 8 10 6
22 23 Peterboro 8 5 3 0.5 1.6 1 2 5 4 13 5
23 24 Wigan 7 4 3 0.7 1.7 1 1 5 5 12 4
24 2 Bradford 8 7 1 1.0 0.6 5 1 2 8 5 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Burton 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 1 3 1 10 9 6
2 1 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 0 2 8 5 9
3 6 Stockport 4 1 3 2.5 1.8 2 0 2 10 7 6
4 7 Cambridge 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
5 8 Reading 5 2 3 2.8 1.2 3 1 1 14 6 10
6 11 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3
7 12 Wycombe 4 1 3 1.8 2.0 0 3 1 7 8 3
8 13 Stevenage 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
9 15 Blackpool 4 1 3 2.2 1.8 1 2 1 9 7 5
10 3 Huddersfield 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
11 4 Oxford 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
12 14 Leicester 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
13 17 Mansfield 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
14 18 Barnsley 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
15 19 Bromley 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 1 1 2 3 9 4
16 20 Notts County 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
17 23 Peterboro 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
18 24 Wigan 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
19 2 Bradford 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
20 5 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 1 2 1 7 3 5
21 16 Luton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
22 21 Doncaster 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
23 10 AFC Wimbledon 4 4 0 0.5 0.0 2 2 0 2 0 8
24 22 Milton Keynes Dons 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Oxford 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 3 0 1 9 5 9
2 3 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
3 5 Sheffield Weds 3 0 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 0 6 3 9
4 9 Burton 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6
5 10 AFC Wimbledon 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
6 15 Blackpool 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
7 16 Luton 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 1 0 2 7 10 3
8 17 Mansfield 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
9 22 Milton Keynes Dons 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
10 1 Plymouth 5 3 2 2.0 1.4 3 1 1 10 7 10
11 6 Stockport 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
12 7 Cambridge 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
13 8 Reading 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
14 12 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 2 1 1 6 8 7
15 18 Barnsley 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
16 19 Bromley 3 1 2 1.7 3.0 1 1 1 5 9 4
17 21 Doncaster 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
18 11 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 2.7 0.3 2 1 0 8 1 7
19 13 Stevenage 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 1 2 1 6 3 5
20 14 Leicester 4 3 1 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
21 20 Notts County 4 3 1 1.0 1.5 0 3 1 4 6 3
22 23 Peterboro 4 3 1 0.2 2.0 0 1 3 1 8 1
23 24 Wigan 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
24 2 Bradford 5 5 0 0.8 0.6 3 1 1 4 3 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51