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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: R Eley

Mansfield 5–2 Luton

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 2.85 fair 2.22
Draw 3.40 fair 4.25
Away 2.25 fair 3.19
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.49
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mansfield Luton
21 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
1.37 Expected goals (xG) 1.34
4 Corners 7
13 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (34 league matches this season so far).
Result Mansfield to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
MansfieldDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 7.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Mansfield before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Luton before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
3.00scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 6:5
Mansfield all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 3.00
1.50 Goals conceded 2.50
3.00 Total goals 5.50
1.25 xG created 1.77
1.30 xG allowed 1.28
14.00 Shots 13.00
4.00 Shots on target 4.50
12.00 Shots faced 11.50
5.00 Corners 5.00
3.50 Corners against 4.00
13.50 Fouls 13.00
2.00 Yellow cards 3.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 2.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 50%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mansfield all matches
Luton all matches
Mansfield before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:1
Luton before this match, away
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 4:3
Mansfield at home away Luton

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 4.00
1.00 Goals conceded 3.00
3.00 Total goals 7.00
1.12 xG created 1.60
1.11 xG allowed 1.77
18.00 Shots 12.00
4.00 Shots on target 5.00
9.00 Shots faced 17.00
7.00 Corners 2.00
1.00 Corners against 5.00
9.00 Fouls 11.00
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 3.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 100%
0% Over 5.5 goals 100%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mansfield at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mansfield all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Peterboro – Mansfield 2–1 (0–0) 2.753.502.25 1.65 2.20
15.08.26 Mansfield – Doncaster 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.05.26 Mansfield – Cardiff 5–4 (3–0) 3.603.901.81 1.53 2.40
28.04.26 Peterboro – Mansfield 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.65 1.57 2.35
25.04.26 Huddersfield – Mansfield 1–4 (0–2) 1.793.703.90 1.73 2.08
21.04.26 Stockport – Mansfield 0–1 (0–0) 1.464.335.75 1.53 2.40
18.04.26 Mansfield – Luton 2–2 (2–1) 3.203.402.10 1.70 2.10
14.04.26 Leyton Orient – Mansfield 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.302.85 1.90 1.95
11.04.26 Wigan – Mansfield 2–1 (1–1) 2.353.302.82 2.00 1.80
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Luton – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 1.573.905.00 1.73 2.08
15.08.26 Reading – Luton 3–4 (3–1) 3.303.402.05 1.93 1.93
02.05.26 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
25.04.26 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.394.756.50 1.50 2.50
21.04.26 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 5.253.901.56 1.67 2.15
18.04.26 Mansfield – Luton 2–2 (2–1) 3.203.402.10 1.70 2.10
15.04.26 Luton – Northampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.008.00 1.60 2.30
06.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.202.15 2.00 1.80
03.04.26 Luton – Peterboro 2–1 (1–0) 1.614.004.75 1.53 2.40
21.03.26 Luton – Stockport 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.57 1.93 1.93

Mansfield at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.26 Mansfield – Doncaster 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.403.30 1.95 1.90
02.05.26 Mansfield – Cardiff 5–4 (3–0) 3.603.901.81 1.53 2.40
18.04.26 Mansfield – Luton 2–2 (2–1) 3.203.402.10 1.70 2.10
06.04.26 Mansfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.303.40 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Mansfield – Northampton 4–1 (1–0) 1.663.604.75 1.90 1.90
14.03.26 Mansfield – Barnsley 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.703.10 1.70 2.10
10.03.26 Mansfield – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.10 1.85 1.95
28.02.26 Mansfield – AFC Wimbledon 2–2 (2–1) 1.963.203.75 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Mansfield – Lincoln 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 1.95 1.85
10.02.26 Mansfield – Peterboro 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.70 2.10

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.26 Reading – Luton 3–4 (3–1) 3.303.402.05 1.93 1.93
02.05.26 Bolton – Luton 2–3 (2–1) 2.404.002.35 1.57 2.35
21.04.26 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 5.253.901.56 1.67 2.15
18.04.26 Mansfield – Luton 2–2 (2–1) 3.203.402.10 1.70 2.10
06.04.26 AFC Wimbledon – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.202.15 2.00 1.80
14.03.26 Wycombe – Luton 1–2 (0–2) 1.863.603.75 2.00 1.85
10.03.26 Doncaster – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.502.40 1.88 1.98
28.02.26 Port Vale – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.401.96 2.15 1.67
18.02.26 Wigan – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.853.252.40 2.25 1.62
14.02.26 Cardiff – Luton 3–1 (3–1) 1.713.504.00 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mansfield winsDrawsLuton wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26E2 Mansfield – Luton 2–2 (2–1) 3.203.402.10 1.70 2.10
18.10.25E2 Luton – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00

England League One table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
2 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
3 Sheffield Weds 3 2 0 1 9 4 +5 6
4 Stockport 3 2 0 1 9 4 +5 6
5 Bradford 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
6 Notts County 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
7 Luton 2 1 1 0 6 5 +1 4
8 Oxford 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
9 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
10 Cambridge 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
11 Burton 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
12 Plymouth 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
13 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 1 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Bromley 3 1 1 1 4 8 -4 4
15 Mansfield 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
16 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
17 Leyton Orient 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
18 Peterboro 3 1 0 2 2 7 -5 3
19 Stevenage 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
20 Doncaster 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
21 Leicester 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
22 Wycombe 3 0 2 1 3 7 -4 2
23 Reading 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
24 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2 6 -4 0
  • Promotion to Championship
  • Promotion play-offs
  • Relegation to League Two
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
2 Notts County 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
4 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 7 3 +4 3
5 Stockport 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
6 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
7 Bradford 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
8 Mansfield 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
9 Peterboro 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
10 Cambridge 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
11 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
12 Milton Keynes Dons 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
13 Luton 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
14 Oxford 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
15 Bromley 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
16 Burton 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
17 Wycombe 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
18 Doncaster 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
19 Stevenage 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
20 Reading 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 0
21 Leicester 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
23 Wigan 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
24 Leyton Orient 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
2 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
3 Stockport 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
4 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
5 Luton 1 1 0 0 4 3 +1 3
6 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
7 Oxford 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
9 Burton 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
10 Bradford 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
11 Bromley 2 1 0 1 3 7 -4 3
12 Leicester 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
13 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
14 Notts County 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
15 Cambridge 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
16 Plymouth 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
17 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
18 Reading 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
19 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
20 Wycombe 2 0 1 1 2 6 -4 1
21 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Wigan 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
23 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
24 Peterboro 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0

Mansfield   Luton

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Stockport 3 0 3 3.0 1.3 2 0 1 9 4 6
2 1 Blackpool 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
3 2 Huddersfield 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
4 3 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 3.0 1.3 2 0 1 9 4 6
5 6 Notts County 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
6 7 Luton 2 0 2 3.0 2.5 1 1 0 6 5 4
7 8 Oxford 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
8 10 Cambridge 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
9 11 Burton 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
10 15 Mansfield 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
11 17 Leyton Orient 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
12 18 Peterboro 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 1 0 2 2 7 3
13 19 Stevenage 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
14 20 Doncaster 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
15 9 Barnsley 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
16 12 Plymouth 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
17 13 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 1 0.3 1.0 1 1 1 1 3 4
18 14 Bromley 3 2 1 1.3 2.7 1 1 1 4 8 4
19 16 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
20 21 Leicester 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
21 22 Wycombe 3 2 1 1.0 2.3 0 2 1 3 7 2
22 23 Reading 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
23 24 Wigan 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 0 0 3 2 6 0
24 5 Bradford 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Stockport 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 1 0 1 6 3 3
2 10 Cambridge 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
3 17 Leyton Orient 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
4 19 Stevenage 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
5 1 Blackpool 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
6 2 Huddersfield 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
7 3 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 3.5 1.5 1 0 1 7 3 3
8 6 Notts County 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
9 7 Luton 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
10 8 Oxford 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
11 12 Plymouth 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
12 15 Mansfield 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
13 18 Peterboro 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
14 21 Leicester 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
15 23 Reading 1 0 1 3.0 4.0 0 0 1 3 4 0
16 5 Bradford 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
17 9 Barnsley 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
18 11 Burton 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
19 13 AFC Wimbledon 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
20 14 Bromley 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
21 16 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
22 20 Doncaster 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
23 22 Wycombe 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
24 24 Wigan 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Burton 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
2 20 Doncaster 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
3 1 Blackpool 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
4 2 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
5 3 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
6 4 Stockport 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
7 6 Notts County 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
8 7 Luton 1 0 1 4.0 3.0 1 0 0 4 3 3
9 8 Oxford 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
10 9 Barnsley 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
11 13 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
12 14 Bromley 2 1 1 1.5 3.5 1 0 1 3 7 3
13 15 Mansfield 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
14 16 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
15 18 Peterboro 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
16 22 Wycombe 2 1 1 1.0 3.0 0 1 1 2 6 1
17 24 Wigan 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
18 5 Bradford 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
19 10 Cambridge 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
20 12 Plymouth 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
21 17 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
22 19 Stevenage 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 21 Leicester 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
24 23 Reading 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51