---
title: 'Stoke 3–1 Derby – England Championship, 9 Aug 2025'
url: 'https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-08-09-stoke-vs-derby'
markdown: 'https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-08-09-stoke-vs-derby.md'
date: '2026-10-25'
---

[England Championship](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship) · Saturday 9 August 2025, 16:00 ·Referee: E Bell 

#  Stoke 3–1 Derby 

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

 Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.11 

 Draw 3.20 fair 3.80 

 Away 3.20 fair 3.78 

 Under 2.5 1.53 fair 1.83 

 Over 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.21 

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

## Match facts

 Stoke Derby 

 12  Shots  3 

 7  Shots on target  2 

 7  Corners  3 

 12  Fouls  14 

 1  Yellow cards  2 

 0  Red cards  0 

## Our pre-match prediction

 ✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (4 league matches this season so far). 

 Result Stoke to win 

 Goals Under 2.5 

 Both teams score No fair 1.97 

 Expected goals 1.46 – 1.02 

Home / Draw / Away

 47% 26% 26% 

StokeDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

 55% 45% 

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

 51% 49% 

NoYes

Total goals in the match

 8%  0 

 21%  1 

 26%  2 

 21%  3 

 13%  4 

 11%  5+ 

Most likely scores

 **1–1** 12.5% **1–0** 12.2% **2–1** 9.1% 

## Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

 **Stoke** before this match, all matches 

No matches yet this season.

 **Derby** before this match, all matches 

No matches yet this season.

 Stoke all matches all matches Derby 

### Per match

### How often Full Time

### How often Half Time

### Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches

***1***

 W 

***1***

 L 

***3***

***1***

 W 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***1***

 W 

***2***

 W 

***6***

 L 

***2***

 L 

 D 

Derby all matches

***2***

 W 

***3***

***2***

 W 

***2***

 W 

***1***

 L 

 D 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***1***

 L 

***3***

***1***

 W 

***1***

 W 

 D 

 **Stoke** before this match, at home 

No matches yet this season.

 **Derby** before this match, away 

No matches yet this season.

 Stoke at home away Derby 

### Per match

### How often Full Time

### How often Half Time

### Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home

 D 

 D 

***3***

***1***

 W 

***1***

***3***

 L 

 D 

***1***

 W 

***3***

***1***

 W 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***2***

 W 

***2***

 L 

Derby away

***1***

 L 

***1***

***2***

 L 

***1***

***1***

 D 

***4***

 L 

***1***

 L 

***3***

***2***

 W 

***1***

 L 

***2***

***2***

 D 

***3***

***1***

 W 

***1***

 W 

## Last 10 matches before this match

### Stoke all matches

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.05.25 | [ Derby – Stoke ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-05-03-derby-vs-stoke) | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.00 | 4.20 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 25.04.25 | [ Stoke – Sheffield United ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-25-stoke-vs-sheffield-united) | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.35 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 21.04.25 | [ Leeds – Stoke ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-21-leeds-vs-stoke) | 6–0 (5–0) | 1.27 | 5.75 | 11.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 18.04.25 | [ Stoke – Sheffield Weds ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-18-stoke-vs-sheffield-weds) | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 12.04.25 | [ Cardiff – Stoke ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-12-cardiff-vs-stoke) | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 08.04.25 | [ Stoke – Luton ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-08-stoke-vs-luton) | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 05.04.25 | [ Preston – Stoke ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-05-preston-vs-stoke) | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 29.03.25 | [ Stoke – QPR ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-29-stoke-vs-qpr) | 3–1 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 15.03.25 | [ Millwall – Stoke ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-15-millwall-vs-stoke) | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| 12.03.25 | [ Stoke – Blackburn ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-12-stoke-vs-blackburn) | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.05 | 1.68 |

### Derby all matches

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.05.25 | [ Derby – Stoke ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-05-03-derby-vs-stoke) | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.00 | 4.20 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 26.04.25 | [ Hull – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-26-hull-vs-derby) | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| 21.04.25 | [ West Brom – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-21-west-brom-vs-derby) | 1–3 (0–2) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 18.04.25 | [ Derby – Luton ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-18-derby-vs-luton) | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.75 | 1.44 |
| 12.04.25 | [ Portsmouth – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-12-portsmouth-vs-derby) | 2–2 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| 08.04.25 | [ Derby – Burnley ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-08-derby-vs-burnley) | 0–0 (0–0) | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.82 | 2.75 | 1.44 |
| 05.04.25 | [ Swansea – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-05-swansea-vs-derby) | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 02.04.25 | [ Derby – Preston ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-02-derby-vs-preston) | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 1.44 |
| 15.03.25 | [ Plymouth – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-15-plymouth-vs-derby) | 2–3 (1–2) | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 11.03.25 | [ Derby – Coventry ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-11-derby-vs-coventry) | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 2.32 | 1.53 |

### Stoke at home

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.04.25 | [ Stoke – Sheffield United ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-25-stoke-vs-sheffield-united) | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.35 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 18.04.25 | [ Stoke – Sheffield Weds ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-18-stoke-vs-sheffield-weds) | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 08.04.25 | [ Stoke – Luton ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-08-stoke-vs-luton) | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 29.03.25 | [ Stoke – QPR ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-29-stoke-vs-qpr) | 3–1 (2–0) | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 12.03.25 | [ Stoke – Blackburn ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-12-stoke-vs-blackburn) | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.05 | 1.68 |
| 01.03.25 | [ Stoke – Watford ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-01-stoke-vs-watford) | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 25.02.25 | [ Stoke – Middlesbrough ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-02-25-stoke-vs-middlesbrough) | 1–3 (1–1) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 15.02.25 | [ Stoke – Swansea ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-02-15-stoke-vs-swansea) | 3–1 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 25.01.25 | [ Stoke – Oxford ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-01-25-stoke-vs-oxford) | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 04.01.25 | [ Stoke – Plymouth ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-01-04-stoke-vs-plymouth) | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.65 | 4.33 | 4.33 | 1.67 | 2.20 |

### Derby away

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.04.25 | [ Hull – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-26-hull-vs-derby) | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| 21.04.25 | [ West Brom – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-21-west-brom-vs-derby) | 1–3 (0–2) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 12.04.25 | [ Portsmouth – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-12-portsmouth-vs-derby) | 2–2 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| 05.04.25 | [ Swansea – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-04-05-swansea-vs-derby) | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 15.03.25 | [ Plymouth – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-15-plymouth-vs-derby) | 2–3 (1–2) | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 01.03.25 | [ Middlesbrough – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-03-01-middlesbrough-vs-derby) | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.65 | 3.60 | 5.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 14.02.25 | [ QPR – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-02-14-qpr-vs-derby) | 4–0 (2–0) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| 08.02.25 | [ Norwich – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-02-08-norwich-vs-derby) | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 25.01.25 | [ Cardiff – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-01-25-cardiff-vs-derby) | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 04.01.25 | [ Bristol City – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-01-04-bristol-city-vs-derby) | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.20 | 2.30 | 1.62 |

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

## Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

 1 1 2 

Stoke winsDrawsDerby wins

4matches

2.25goals / match

75%over 2.5

75%both scored

 | Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.05.25E1 | [ Derby – Stoke ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2025-05-03-derby-vs-stoke) | **0–0** (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.00 | 4.20 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 02.11.24E1 | [ Stoke – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2024-11-02-stoke-vs-derby) | **2–1** (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 30.12.21E1 | [ Stoke – Derby ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2021-12-30-stoke-vs-derby) | **1–2** (0–1) | 1.66 | 3.75 | 5.50 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 18.09.21E1 | [ Derby – Stoke ](https://www.betgps.com/england-championship/2021-09-18-derby-vs-stoke) | **2–1** (2–0) | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 2.37 | 1.57 |

## England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

 All matches – league table
| \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Hull | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Watford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |

 Home – league table
| \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

 Away – league table
| \# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ipswich | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Hull | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Watford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |

 Stoke  Derby

## Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

 Goals        

 All matches – Under/Over goals
| \# |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | Wrexham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | 2 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | Birmingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | Coventry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | Hull | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |

 Home – Under/Over goals
| \# |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | Birmingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 5 | Coventry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 7 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 8 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

 Away – Under/Over goals
| \# |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Wrexham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2 | 1 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 4 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 6 | Hull | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51

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