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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 2–3 Werder Bremen

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.73 fair 1.90
Draw 4.00 fair 4.92
Away ✓ 4.50 fair 3.68
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 3.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Werder Bremen
18 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 8
1.70 Expected goals (xG) 2.69
6 Corners 6
7 Fouls 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (55 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.42
Expected goals 2.22 – 1.57
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawWerder Bremen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.7% 1–1 7.9% 2–2 6.9%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:10
Werder Bremen before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 12:12
Mainz all matches all matches Werder Bremen

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 2.00
1.67 Goals conceded 2.00
4.00 Total goals 4.00
2.29 xG created 1.61
1.41 xG allowed 1.63
17.67 Shots 14.00
6.00 Shots on target 6.83
12.50 Shots faced 15.33
4.83 Corners 3.67
4.00 Corners against 5.83
13.83 Fouls 12.00
2.33 Yellow cards 1.17
1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.17
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
17% Draws 50%
33% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 83%
67% Over 3.5 goals 83%
50% Over 4.5 goals 33%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 17%
33% Draws 17%
17% Losses 67%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Werder Bremen all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
0.33points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:7
Werder Bremen before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:7
Mainz at home away Werder Bremen

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.33
2.33 Goals conceded 2.33
3.67 Total goals 3.67
2.07 xG created 0.91
1.49 xG allowed 2.00
20.67 Shots 11.33
4.67 Shots on target 4.00
12.33 Shots faced 18.33
6.33 Corners 4.33
3.33 Corners against 7.67
10.00 Fouls 12.67
1.33 Yellow cards 1.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
33% Draws 67%
67% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
67% Over 3.5 goals 67%
33% Over 4.5 goals 33%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 100%
33% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
67% Draws 33%
33% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Werder Bremen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Schalke 04 – Mainz 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.752.25 1.62 2.30
10.10.26 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–4 (2–2) 3.003.802.20 1.44 2.75
19.09.26 M'gladbach – Mainz 3–4 (1–2) 3.003.702.20 1.53 2.50
12.09.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 1.954.003.40 1.50 2.63
06.09.26 Hamburg – Mainz 0–5 (0–2) 2.883.502.40 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Mainz – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.67 2.20
16.05.26 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–2) 1.914.333.40 1.44 2.75
10.05.26 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–3 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.20
03.05.26 St Pauli – Mainz 1–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.60 2.10 1.73
25.04.26 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–4 (3–0) 4.334.501.67 1.44 2.75

Werder Bremen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.26 Werder Bremen – Paderborn 2–2 (0–2) 1.754.204.10 1.53 2.50
09.10.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.40 3.00
19.09.26 Werder Bremen – Augsburg 3–2 (0–1) 2.303.802.80 1.44 2.75
12.09.26 FC Koln – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.803.30 1.53 2.50
05.09.26 Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig 3–1 (1–0) 4.334.001.73 1.50 2.63
30.08.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
16.05.26 Werder Bremen – Dortmund 0–2 (0–0) 3.504.001.95 1.40 3.00
09.05.26 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.455.005.75 1.36 3.20
02.05.26 Werder Bremen – Augsburg 1–3 (0–2) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30
26.04.26 Stuttgart – Werder Bremen 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.335.50 1.44 2.75

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–4 (2–2) 3.003.802.20 1.44 2.75
12.09.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 1.954.003.40 1.50 2.63
29.08.26 Mainz – Paderborn 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.67 2.20
10.05.26 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–3 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.20
25.04.26 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–4 (3–0) 4.334.501.67 1.44 2.75
12.04.26 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.50 1.88 1.98
22.03.26 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.703.25 1.73 2.10
07.03.26 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.602.15 1.62 2.30
20.02.26 Mainz – Hamburg 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Mainz – Augsburg 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00

Werder Bremen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.10.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.40 3.00
12.09.26 FC Koln – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.803.30 1.53 2.50
30.08.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
09.05.26 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.455.005.75 1.36 3.20
26.04.26 Stuttgart – Werder Bremen 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.335.50 1.44 2.75
12.04.26 FC Koln – Werder Bremen 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Wolfsburg – Werder Bremen 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.602.80 1.73 2.10
08.03.26 Union Berlin – Werder Bremen 1–4 (1–2) 2.253.403.25 2.00 1.80
22.02.26 St Pauli – Werder Bremen 2–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
07.02.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsWerder Bremen wins
8matches
2.38goals / match
38%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26D1 Werder Bremen – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
01.11.25D1 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.57 2.38
31.01.25D1 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
15.09.24D1 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.703.50 1.73 2.10
03.02.24D1 Mainz – Werder Bremen 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.90
02.09.23D1 Werder Bremen – Mainz 4–0 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 1.73 2.10
08.04.23D1 Mainz – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
15.10.22D1 Werder Bremen – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.602.87 1.72 2.10

Germany Bundesliga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 6 4 2 0 22 5 +17 14 WDWWDW
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 11 4 +7 14 WWWWDD
3 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 15 6 +9 13 WWWDWL
4 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 16 9 +7 13 LWDWWW
5 Mainz 6 3 1 2 14 10 +4 10 DWLWLW
6 Elversberg 6 3 1 2 12 11 +1 10 WWLDLW
7 RB Leipzig 6 3 0 3 16 11 +5 9 WLWLWL
8 Werder Bremen 6 2 3 1 12 12 0 9 LWDWDD
9 Hamburg 6 3 0 3 6 15 -9 9 LLLWWW
10 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 16 12 +4 8 WWDLDL
11 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 10 16 -6 8 DLWDLW
12 FC Koln 6 2 1 3 8 11 -3 7 WLDLWL
13 Hoffenheim 6 2 0 4 11 14 -3 6 LLWLLW
14 Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 10 13 -3 6 WLLWLL
15 Schalke 04 6 1 2 3 4 7 -3 5 LDWDLL
16 Paderborn 6 1 2 3 5 9 -4 5 DLLWLD
17 Union Berlin 6 1 2 3 5 17 -12 5 DLLLWD
18 M'gladbach 7 1 0 6 11 22 -11 3 LLLLLW
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to 2. Bundesliga

DFB-Pokal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 18 2 +16 9 WWW
2 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 14 0 +14 9 WWW
3 Freiburg 3 3 0 0 11 2 +9 9 WWW
4 Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9 WWW
5 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7 WWD
6 Werder Bremen 3 2 1 0 8 5 +3 7 WWD
7 FC Koln 3 2 1 0 6 4 +2 7 WDW
8 Elversberg 3 2 0 1 8 7 +1 6 WLW
9 Hamburg 3 2 0 1 3 6 -3 6 LWW
10 Augsburg 3 1 2 0 7 4 +3 5 WDD
11 Union Berlin 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5 DLWD
12 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4 LDW
13 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 6 5 +1 3 WLL
14 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 6 7 -1 3 LWL
15 Paderborn 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3 LWL
16 Schalke 04 3 0 2 1 0 1 -1 2 DDL
17 Mainz 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1 DLL
18 M'gladbach 3 0 0 3 7 10 -3 0 LLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Mainz 3 3 0 0 10 3 +7 9 WWW
2 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7 WWD
3 Bayern Munich 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5 DWD
4 Leverkusen 3 1 1 1 8 8 0 4 LDW
5 Elversberg 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4 WDL
6 Freiburg 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4 WDL
7 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 6 10 -4 4 DWL
8 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 9 8 +1 3 WLL
9 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 5 7 -2 3 LLW
10 Schalke 04 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3 LWL
11 Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3 LLWL
12 Hamburg 3 1 0 2 3 9 -6 3 LLW
13 M'gladbach 4 1 0 3 4 12 -8 3 LLLW
14 Werder Bremen 3 0 2 1 4 7 -3 2 LDD
15 Paderborn 3 0 2 1 2 5 -3 2 DLD
16 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 2 7 -5 0 LLL
17 RB Leipzig 3 0 0 3 2 11 -9 0 LLL
18 Union Berlin 2 0 0 2 0 11 -11 0 LL

Mainz   Werder Bremen

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 M'gladbach 7 0 7 1.6 3.1 1 0 6 11 22 3 OOOOOO
2 10 Augsburg 6 0 6 2.7 2.0 2 2 2 16 12 8 OOOOOO
3 13 Hoffenheim 6 0 6 1.8 2.3 2 0 4 11 14 6 OOOOOO
4 1 Bayern Munich 6 1 5 3.7 0.8 4 2 0 22 5 14 OUOOOO
5 3 Freiburg 6 1 5 2.5 1.0 4 1 1 15 6 13 OUOOOO
6 4 Leverkusen 6 1 5 2.7 1.5 4 1 1 16 9 13 OOOUOO
7 7 RB Leipzig 6 1 5 2.7 1.8 3 0 3 16 11 9 OOOUOO
8 8 Werder Bremen 6 1 5 2.0 2.0 2 3 1 12 12 9 OOUOOO
9 11 Ein Frankfurt 6 1 5 1.7 2.7 2 2 2 10 16 8 OOOOOU
10 5 Mainz 6 2 4 2.3 1.7 3 1 2 14 10 10 UOOOOU
11 6 Elversberg 6 2 4 2.0 1.8 3 1 2 12 11 10 OOOUUO
12 9 Hamburg 6 2 4 1.0 2.5 3 0 3 6 15 9 UOOOOU
13 12 FC Koln 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 2 1 3 8 11 7 OOUOOU
14 14 Stuttgart 7 3 4 1.4 1.9 2 0 5 10 13 6 OOUUUO
15 17 Union Berlin 6 2 4 0.8 2.8 1 2 3 5 17 5 OOOOUU
16 2 Dortmund 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 2 0 11 4 14 UOOUOU
17 15 Schalke 04 6 3 3 0.7 1.2 1 2 3 4 7 5 OUOUOU
18 16 Paderborn 6 3 3 0.8 1.5 1 2 3 5 9 5 UUOOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 3 0 3 6.0 0.7 3 0 0 18 2 9 OOO
2 3 Freiburg 3 0 3 3.7 0.7 3 0 0 11 2 9 OOO
3 6 Elversberg 3 0 3 2.7 2.3 2 0 1 8 7 6 OOO
4 7 RB Leipzig 3 0 3 4.7 0.0 3 0 0 14 0 9 OOO
5 8 Werder Bremen 3 0 3 2.7 1.7 2 1 0 8 5 7 OOO
6 10 Augsburg 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 1 2 0 7 4 5 OOO
7 13 Hoffenheim 3 0 3 2.0 2.3 1 0 2 6 7 3 OOO
8 18 M'gladbach 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 0 0 3 7 10 0 OOO
9 2 Dortmund 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7 UOO
10 4 Leverkusen 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9 OUO
11 5 Mainz 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1 UOO
12 9 Hamburg 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 2 0 1 3 6 6 OOU
13 11 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4 OOU
14 12 FC Koln 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 1 0 6 4 7 OUO
15 14 Stuttgart 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 0 2 6 5 3 OUO
16 17 Union Berlin 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5 OOUU
17 16 Paderborn 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3 UOU
18 15 Schalke 04 3 3 0 0.0 0.3 0 2 1 0 1 2 UUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 M'gladbach 4 0 4 1.0 3.0 1 0 3 4 12 3 OOOO
2 4 Leverkusen 3 0 3 2.7 2.7 1 1 1 8 8 4 OOO
3 10 Augsburg 3 0 3 3.0 2.7 1 0 2 9 8 3 OOO
4 11 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 3 2.0 3.3 1 1 1 6 10 4 OOO
5 13 Hoffenheim 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 0 2 5 7 3 OOO
6 15 Schalke 04 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3 OOO
7 1 Bayern Munich 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5 UOO
8 3 Freiburg 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4 UOO
9 5 Mainz 3 1 2 3.3 1.0 3 0 0 10 3 9 OOU
10 7 RB Leipzig 3 1 2 0.7 3.7 0 0 3 2 11 0 OUO
11 8 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 2 1 4 7 2 OUO
12 9 Hamburg 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 1 0 2 3 9 3 UOO
13 12 FC Koln 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 0 3 2 7 0 OOU
14 14 Stuttgart 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3 OOUU
15 16 Paderborn 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 0 2 1 2 5 2 UOO
16 17 Union Berlin 2 0 2 0.0 5.5 0 0 2 0 11 0 OO
17 2 Dortmund 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7 OUU
18 6 Elversberg 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4 OUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47